Worried about minutes?
An update for those of you worried about minutes, from today's Metrowest Daily :
Kevin Garnett, Paul Pierce and Ray Allen have always logged heavy minutes during their careers, but with all three now in their 30s, they couldn't be expected to average 40-plus minutes a night.
As the Celtics reach the one-quarter checkpoint of the season this week, Coach Doc Rivers has managed to keep the trio all below that 40-minute average through 19 games.
The 31-year-old Garnett, who entered the season averaging 38.3 minutes per game in his career, is actually down to 35.8 minutes this season.
The 30-year-old Pierce, coming off an injury-plagued season, is at 37.5 minutes, right around his career average of 37.8 minutes.
Only the 32-year-old Allen has had his minutes increase this season (team-high 38.8) from his career average (37.5).
... "I think each guy is different," said Rivers. "To me, between 38 and 36 (minutes) would be great. But that's not going to happen every night. On the average, if that works out, then I'm happy with it."
We'll see how this plays out over time. If the team keeps having relatively easy games that turn into blowouts, minutes shouldn't be much of a concern. However, I think there's a legitimate concern about fatigue setting in, especially after we inevitably have to play several grind-it-out games in a row. 36 to 38 per night on average sounds about right, although I wouldn't mind going even lower than that in the regular season. We're going to be asking these guys to play 16 extra games this season -- something none of our stars are used to -- so Doc should get them rest where he can.
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The bizarre thing is Ray Allen plays the position with the most depth. Between Eddie House, Tony Allen, and Paul Pierce sliding over to the SG spot, Ray should be able to get plenty of rest. I also think he’s the biggest risk for injuries and decline, but what do I know.
KG is right where he should be, Pierce and Allen should come down some more too, especially since Doc seems to have more and more confidence in Tony Allen lately.
I agree with Brenden. KG’s on target. Ray’s minutes are WAY too much. If he ends the season at 32 that would be perfect because without his outside shot(legs) we aren’t winning the title. PP will probably be fine at 34-36.
I am very unhappy with Rays minutes, but I was unhappy with how Big baby was being used and Doc figured it out. Ray is the most fragile of the 3 historically and I think he is already not sharp,(duh, you can see him falling to the side on most of his jumpers).
What I am seeing is that we are being defended by other teams who are clogging the lane. This makes sense because if you jam the lane, that hurts KG and PP’s drives, and Rajon’s drives. Are tremendous interior passing is key, but we will only win the title by having legs to make ENOUGH 3’s to stretch the d.
Posey will be fresh. House will be fresh. Will Ray be fresh enough? He may be. There is lots of time to get him to peka for May and June. But Id like him to be oversused now.
Sheesh. I meant NOT overused now. Maybe it was Freudian. We need home court advantage too. I also meant “peak,” “our.”
Here maybe this will make up for the errors. From “The Onion” last year, for all you Patriots fans:
Peyton Manning: ‘I Won This Game As A Team’
November 2, 2006 | | Onion Sports
INDIANAPOLISâ€"Responding to critics who claim that recent games demonstrate that Indianapolis is a one-dimensional pass-first team with a porous run defense, quarterback Peyton Manning leapt to his team’s defense Monday by saying that he, Peyton Manning, won or lost Colts football games as a team. “Everything I do out there, every play, every first down, every touchdown pass, I do as a team,” said Manning, who added he resented the implication that he was weak in the short-yardage running game and could not pick up the blitz. “Need I remind you that I’ve converted 68 percent of my second-half third-down chances this year, that I have the lowest team average in dropped passes, and that I’m still undefeated? I think I’m doing pretty good for the so-called ‘worst Colts team in years,’ don’t you?” When asked about placekicker Adam Vinatieri’s last-minute game-wnning field goal against Denver last Sunday, a confused Manning said he “wished Vinatieri continued good luck with the Patriots.”
So 37.5 is ok for Pierce, but Allen is oveused at 38.8? For one, if you suggest Pierce sliding over to the SG spot, that means his minutes will increase. This is taking from one pocket and putting it into the other, plus Allen has always been more fit than Pierce, who has a history of getting winded in the end of games.
Second, House cannot be a regular option at SG. He’s 6’1, for crying out loud.
And finally, Tony Allen is absolutely not in a position to provide anything consistently for more than 10 minutes per, which is coincidentally what he’s logging right now.
So arguably, I would say that Ray Allen’s position is the most shallow, not the deepest. Either way, he’s not averaging 40 minutes per game. I am not concerned.
I think Ray’s ankles are bothering him. I am a sonic season ticket holder.(yeah, I know that sucks….I can provide an address if you guys want to start a collection for me.) I am just trying to pound this point whenever possible. Ray is not right. He is not squaring up, he isn’t as smooth, you can see him hoisting it up, if you know what he usually looks like; he is doing EVERYTHING he can to be valuable to us. I think, what you will see is he will end up missing a lot of games in March, and come back with about 3 weeks left. That might be just fine. If we get ahead in home court and can win without him, and TA can play say 20 solid minutes by then
The disconcerting part of PGA’s minutes is that we haven’t gotten to the meat of our schedule yet. PGA will have to log heavy minutes for us to beat the elite teams. Our bench has been up and down this season (although they seem to be settling into their respective roles) and I’m not sure they be as effective come February when our schedule gets a lot tougher.
Eh, the good thing that we can take from this is that the bench has slowly but surely gained Rivers confidence. As that continues (with Tony Allen hopefully getting back near 100%) Ray and Paul’s minutes will continue to dip. I think the goal should be for all three of them to play around 35 minutes a game.
Another positive to take note of is that none of the three are playing especially arduous minutes on a consistent basis. Usually one of them will have a tough matchup on both ends while the other two can sort of cruise through a game.
On Bricks point about simply conserving for the playoffs… Thats pretty foolish. With the way the C’s play at home it will be absolutely essential (if the goal is to win a championship) for the C’s to get home court advantage. The C’s need to limit minutes as much as possible while attempting to win more games than any other team in the league.
by alchemist on Dec 11, 2007 11:50 AM EST reply actions
I think you’re right wahz. Ray seems to be hitting the mid range shot. Maybe he should just step in a little closer until he fully recovers.
…and when is the meat of the schedule? It seems to be only one week in March for the Texas trip. Other than that it looks pretty much the same as it’s been. There’s Detroit and away at Utah etc., but no prolonged difficulties.
The difference is that our guys aren’t getting enough practice time. SA doesn’t need much and our guys aren’t getting any either
the other difference is that Ray is the most fragile of the SIX guys we are talking about(the other 3 in SA) and if you don’t believe it, look at his record. if you still don’t believe it understand he is the one with off season ankle surgery and the one who relies on his jumper and he is the one logging the most minutes.
You never know what the deal is. It may well be that Doc and Ray have talked and they have decided he is going to rest a lot down the stretch.
I only bother with this discussion because I think if Ray is on in May and June, we are going to win it. I believe PP, KG, Posey and Perk will be consistent. House is a bit of a wild card. He will need to be hot too. I think Rajon will continue to play well. I don’t think we are beatable if Ray Allen is on fire in the playoffs. Indeed I think we will blow teams off the floor when he is on fire
Well said Wahz, TP. Allen’s minutes need to come down. He’s playing over his career average through the easiest stretch of the schedule?!? Confused, disappointed that Rivers has been able to sit Kevin and not Ray.
by The Walker Wiggle on Dec 11, 2007 2:39 PM EST reply actions
Spurs minutes this year:
Tim Duncan: 32.3
Tony Parker: 34.6
Bruce Bowen: 30.0
Manu Ginobli: 29.6
Brickowski is right. San Antonio is “doing that.” They are significantly below our players’ minutes. The Spurs win championships regularly.
I don’t think playing 40 minutes and missing 10 games is all that great. I’d rather see 33, maybe 35, and have them in the flow of playing every other day than taking a huge chunk of time off.
Let’s see: Duncan played 10 minutes in the game he was injured. With so few games, that shaves more than a minute from his average playing time. Bowen is 36(!). Plus, they also have Michael Finley and Brent Barry. It might be worth how much these players were logging in previous years: Parker and Duncan have both averaged within the 37 minute range as recently as 2 seasons ago.
Plus, no-one seems to be playing 40 minutes on our roster.
If Rivers wants to play everyone 40 minutes a night in the NBA finals, that’s fine with me, although even then I think 8-man rotations are a bad idea. It’s a 48 minute game involving much bigger bodies than you see in college. Those short rotations come back to haunt you, particularly if there is an overtime game or two.
I haven’t been worried about the minutes. I thought it was too early and likely for the minutes to fall by mid December.
It’s odd that Ray is the one taking the most minutes right now. Espcially since, like Brendan said, he’s playing the position with the most quality depth.
I think Ray’s ankles are bothering him. I am a sonic season ticket holder.(yeah, I know that sucks….I can provide an address if you guys want to start a collection for me.) I am just trying to pound this point whenever possible. Ray is not right. He is not squaring up, he isn’t as smooth, you can see him hoisting it up, if you know what he usually looks like; he is doing EVERYTHING he can to be valuable to us. I think, what you will see is he will end up missing a lot of games in March, and come back with about 3 weeks left. That might be just fine. If we get ahead in home court and can win without him, and TA can play say 20 solid minutes by then
I agree that Ray hasn’t been anywhere near his usual standards and has struggled (relative to his past performances) but I do not think it has anything to do with his ankles.
I just think he’s struggling to find his place in the offense. He hardly ever catches the ball inside the 3pt line anymore. He doesn’t get enough high on the ball screen and rolls or enough screens off the ball. There’s quite a few times when the ball is kicked out and he has little option but to try and create by himself.
I think he’s not in rhythm. He isn’t being put into enough situations where he is most effective and that is carrying over into his jump shot.
I see no problems with his elevation or front rimming on his J’s which you normally notice when a player is struggling with either a foot or leg injury. I just think he’s struggling to get used to this role, he hasn’t quite found his spots yet.
Despite his fame for shooting he’s never taken that many stand still jumpers. He moves a lot, normally with the ball, and probes the defense and chooses his spots. He hasn’t been able to do that as much here.

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