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What's next for Al Jefferson?

big-al1.jpg Back on March 16th the Boston Celtics traveled to Dallas. In the midst of an exciting 5-point loss Al Jefferson pulled an impressive move out of his bag of tricks. He got the ball around 14 feet out, turned to face the basket, pump faked, pump faked again, drove to the middle of the paint, executed a 2 footed jump stop, pump faked, and then went up and under the defender for a lay up. DeSagana Diop had no clue what hit him.

Fast forward exactly one week and the Mavericks were in town to deliver the proverbial “worse than the final scored indicated”14-point beating. In the process Big Al went to the well again and executed an incredibly similar move. This time Diop rejected the shot and set up a Mavericks’ fast break basket. The two contrasting results beg the question, “Where does Al Jefferson go from here?”

To be fair one has to recognize how far Jefferson has already come. Legend has it he showed up at Logan Airport his rookie season in shorts and a Paul Pierce jersey. While the story may be apocryphal, it is definitely believable. Since then Jefferson learned the importance of ankle taping, participated in a proper lifting and conditioning program, and gained an understanding of nutrition.

Furthermore, he has cut down his fouls, learned to run the floor, and made strides on defense as well. The end result has been a breakout season highlighted by 15 points and 11 rebounds per game. And while Jefferson is widely regarded as a bright spot in an otherwise dismal season, it is fair to ask, what’s next?

There are the obvious areas to improve â€" free throw percentage (.678 this season) and defense. But Jefferson must improve his greatest strength, post play, as well. In particular three areas stand out.

big-al2.jpg For starters Big Al often holds the ball too long and allows the double team to swarm. He will at times compound this mistake by trying to fight through the defense instead of finding the open man. If that double team consists of Jake Voskuhl and “insert Bobcats defender” he has a shot. But it is less successful against the better defensive teams.

Secondly Jefferson occasionally spends too much time sizing up a defender, deciding whether to shoot over him or dribble drive. His moves become deliberate, predictable, and easier to defend. And finally Jefferson, like many of his teammates, has to learn how to operate when facing a zone defense.

Ultimately Jefferson is a scorer. As he continues to watch videotape, gains a better feel for the game, and begins to see plays unfold, it is not unrealistic to expect him to adapt as a player. In addition he must continue to approach the game with the right mindset. He will not sneak up on anyone next season, as teams will devote more effort to making life difficult for him. Also as his name enters into All Star discussions and he approaches a financial windfall, Jefferson will be faced with more pressure and distractions. Celtics fans can only hope that Jefferson continues along his current path.

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As management finishes finding new and creative ways to deposit their ethics into the dipsy dumpster in the crusade for ping-pong balls, we will have to wait until next season to see the answer to the question above. Hopefully, by next season, Al, and the rest of the young players on this roster can forget that their captain played 52 heroic minutes in his season finale, only to shut it down because he’s not “feeling well”. Maybe the players who are left, if they are part of the team next year, can remember Perk’s example of playing through discomfort….It’ll be real interesting which Big Al shows up once he gets his extention…after he’s seen the new “gamer” standard for those under contract set by management and the team’s captain.

Utterly disgraceful.

by iowa plowboy on Apr 7, 2007 1:54 PM EDT reply actions  

Great article. If he thinks he’s already made it he will dissapoint next year. The biggest thing I think he needs to do over the summer is go shoppng. He needs to show up with a big wad of cash at the “left hand” store and buy one. He shoots with his right every time. If he adds that he will look more like McHale every day. (Although no one has ever quite done it like Kevin) ( Maybe Olajuwon…) He is going to be either a really good one or incredible based on his work ethic. Amen on the free throws as well!

by EJPLAYA on Apr 7, 2007 2:02 PM EDT reply actions  

Whats next for Big Al? If he works hard this offseason, then probably about 18 ppg and 10 rpg.

“Amen on the free throws as well!”

Al has excellent form for a big man, and a very nice shooting touch. There is no reason he shouldnt be a 70 % FT shooter next season.

One big thing I would like to see him add is a consistent 8-12 foot jumper. He has the form and touch, and has shown that he can hit it…but he needs to make it a major part of his arsenal so that defenders will have no idea what hes gonna do.

by ucn33 on Apr 7, 2007 2:07 PM EDT reply actions  

What’s next? Probably a contract extension this Summer starting at around 8-9 million a year with maximum raises.

by Brickowski on Apr 7, 2007 2:42 PM EDT reply actions  

I mean this is ridiculous. Al is going to be a fantastic player, that’s all. There is nothing to figure out here. Zero. Sure he has more work to do, but have no second thoughts, he already is among the best post up players in the league. A few years from now he won’t be much different than today, just better. Ain’t no need to analyze this thing into little nitpicking pieces. So Diop stuffed him the second time. So what. Big Al is freakin’ good. Ain’t no more than that.

Just remember one thing. With most NBA players what you see after the first couple of years is what you will get lifetime. There will be polish added to their game, a small increment of production, and given another year or two with high school players or 19 yr. olds out of college, there is nothing more to see. Delonte West will be no different next year or the year after. Nor Gomes or Rondo. Rondo will never be a good shooter. He might be a little better, but , heh, Rondo’s two points will never, ever look like 2 pts. by Steve Nash. He just can’t shoot.

by gustusias on Apr 7, 2007 3:39 PM EDT reply actions  

We get the first pick in this draft or the second Al is gone for veteran help and Durant or Oden will remain with the team. This is prob our best chance. Imagine Baron Davis/Green/Pierce/Marian/Oden pretty fierce for the eastern conference.

by richardlight86 on Apr 7, 2007 3:44 PM EDT reply actions  

I think Al is heading in the right direction. With his style he reminds me of Vin Baker (before the booze in Milwaukee). Vin was a clever finisher around the basket and a tough rebounder. I think we should lock him up with a contract over 10 million a year. He would get a max offer on the open market, don’t think he or his agent don’t know that.

by dsbeave on Apr 7, 2007 3:48 PM EDT reply actions  

“I mean this is ridiculous. Al is going to be a fantastic player, that’s all. There is nothing to figure out here. Zero. Sure he has more work to do, but have no second thoughts, he already is among the best post up players in the league. A few years from now he won’t be much different than today, just better. Ain’t no need to analyze this thing into little nitpicking pieces. So Diop stuffed him the second time. So what. Big Al is freakin’ good. Ain’t no more than that.”

I understand the point of view that this is probably nitpicking. But I am not sure I get the arguement that players don’t change very much over the course of their careers. Look at the Chief’s career numbers.

http://www.nba.com/history/players/parish_stats.html
 
Do you think the Warriors thought they were giving up on a future Hall of Famer? I am not arguing that Jefferson will ever have the same impact as Parish. But guys get better. They learn how to play team defense, gain confidence, and in the case of young big men grow into their bodies. If the 25 year old Jefferson is the same as the current version I will be disappointed.

“A few years from now he won’t be much different than today, just better.” – Isn’t better different?

by CelticsBandwagon on Apr 7, 2007 4:02 PM EDT reply actions  

gustusias, youre right. Ben Wallace barely got better after he was released by the Celtics early in his career.

And to whoever said Al will be gone for vet help, well maybe, but only if it brings in a KG, JO, or maybeee Marion. Baron Davis is a fat load that gets injured every season. Hes great when hes healthy, but those times are few and far between.

by ucn33 on Apr 7, 2007 4:09 PM EDT reply actions  

I think CelticsBandwagon did a nice job of identifying the areas that Big Al must improve in and by identifying the new landscape that he will be playing in next year, CBW is pointing to the factors that Jeff needs to address the most in the future.

by webmaster on Apr 7, 2007 4:19 PM EDT reply actions  

What is next for Big Al

1. 10 plus years of trips to the All Star Game
2. 3 titles with the men in green
4. A big fat raise and extension
3. A new teammate whose name is synonymous with Zeus in Norse Mythology

by BringToughnessBack on Apr 7, 2007 4:45 PM EDT reply actions  

BringToughnessBack said: What is next for Big Al

1. 10 plus years of trips to the All Star Game
2. 3 titles with the men in green
4. A big fat raise and extension
3. A new teammate whose name is synonymous with Zeus in Norse Mythology

Everybody sing! “Keep on the sunny side, always on the sunny side…”

by webmaster on Apr 7, 2007 5:20 PM EDT reply actions  

I have been following Big Al for the past three years, and have been a big supporter of his game since he first arrived in Boston. Does anyone think that Big Al could become as good as Hakeem Olajuwon. Offensively, I think both of their games are very similar. When thinking of their offensive games, the word effortless comes to mind, as the two are/were so silky smooth. Defensively, Big Al has a long way to go, but does anyone think that he could become the defensive presence Hakeem was for the Rockets.

by Filks2000 on Apr 7, 2007 6:54 PM EDT reply actions  

Good article with reasonable questions, IMO.

Even as the season winds down this remains a good site to get a Celtic community feeling.

While looking at Al recently, I saw that his FG% was heading south pretty badly (34% over the final 6 games before Paul Pierce came back) as the losing streak wore on and he was the number one option on offense. Teams were laying for him and the Cs really had no one else to go to. Al, while performing credibly, was in over his head in that situation (as many would be). Once Pierce came back, Al’s FG% went through the roof (.548 minus the first 2 adjustment games of the PP return). From 34% (granted it was only 6 games) to 54%. That’s pretty dramatic.

I don’t know why we can’t expect that kind of performance from Al going forward. He will have at least Paul, perhaps Wally, and who knows who else next year to draw the defenses’ attention.

I agree he takes too long to make a move sometimes. I’m expecting him to get better with that, too. Al’s not perfect, but he is looking very good going forward, IMHO. His rebounding is better than I thought it would be, as well.

Keep up the good work, guys.
T

by Tom Halzack on Apr 7, 2007 11:56 PM EDT reply actions  

big al is the big ray (clifford) of sunshine in this woeful year. he has work to do but less so than this organization which is a lot closer to laughingstock than to competence.

by nazzbo on Apr 8, 2007 9:52 AM EDT reply actions  

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