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When Will Big Al Get His Contract?

Peter May has a good rundown on the Big Al contract situation.

Jefferson, entering his fourth season, is eligible to sign up to a six-year extension, which would kick in for the start of the 2008-09 season. He already is on the books to earn a little more than $2.48 million this season, which ranks him seventh on the Celtics' pay scale after Paul Pierce, Ray Allen, Theo Ratliff, Kendrick Perkins, Brian Scalabrine, and Sebastian Telfair.

The Celtics and Jefferson have until late October to see if they can come to an agreement. If not, Jefferson becomes a restricted free agent at the end of the season. Perkins was in the same situation last year and signed for four years, the first of which is this season, and $16.2 million.

...

The alternative is to wait and see -- and that's not such a bad scenario for either side. It gives the Celtics another year to observe Jefferson and to make sure they have the Big Al who averaged a double-double and who finished sixth in the voting for Most Improved Player. If he continues along those lines, he will be a valued commodity in restricted free agency, but the Celtics would have the right to match any offer to keep him. It might cost them more, but a team would likely have to have $10 million or so of cap space and target Jefferson. Is there such a team? It's too early to say.

Personally I vote for locking him up now if he'll take less than the max.  He won't take less if he plays like he did at the end of the season.

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If Al wants to get it done and is willing to give a bit of an early bird discount or let the deal be incentive or back loaded then sign him. There is no reason to jump the gun, he is a RFA. He will set his own market value with his stats this season. No other team can pay him what we can anyway and he aint dumb.

He will not get the numbers, especially rebounds this year that he did last year. Perk will get better rebounding numbers and with Pierce/Allen getting so many touches, he will score less. No 20/10 here, more like 14/8 which will still be wonderful but much cheaper. If I am wrong, we lose……nothing. He isnt going anywhere. 8)

by billysan on Jul 29, 2007 7:30 AM EDT reply actions  

Jefferson getting the max? Huh? He’s still a primarily one dimensional player, undersized at his best position (center), underdeveloped defensively but showing signs of potential improvement….His basketball IQ is substantially less than would be expected of a MAX player.

I see him as a player with great potential and with instinctive offensive attributes but still an unfinished product. Based on his breakout season of 2007 one could expect further improvement. But will he truly dominate on both sides of the ball?

Signing Jefferson to an extended 6 year contract NOW represents risks for both the player and management as well as similar benefits for both. As has already been proposed, the incentive for management is to get Jefferson at a reasonable although INFLATED value now in hopes that his ultimate upside would otherwise justify a maximum contract.

Should Jefferson’s salary extension demands escalate to the max. it would be time to trade him for a known established star that already justifies the max.

by moskqq on Jul 29, 2007 9:02 AM EDT reply actions  

He’s probably going to get his new contract in Minnesota.

by Brickowski on Jul 29, 2007 9:13 AM EDT reply actions  

Howard’s a one dimensional player also and look what he’s getting. Also, there’s no risk for Al to sign now at a discount. How can getting $10,000,000 a year be considered a risk? You throw in all the endorsement monies, and the kid is set for the rest of his life, and probably a few generations after him. Any risk is all on the Celtics part. Al could end up being a bust (become lazy or continually hurt), or a bargain. But there’s no risk on Al’s part to sign now. The risk for Al is if he waits till the end of the season and has a less than stellar year, and/or gets hurt.

by amenhotep04 on Jul 29, 2007 9:16 AM EDT reply actions  

There is risk to both sides if Al signs now, and risk to both sides if he signs later. The risks are simply different (other than the risk of injury, which is always present with professional athletes).

The reality is that the difference between 11 million a year and, say, 13 million a year is probably not huge for the player, but it’s huge for the player’s agent. It’s not just the increase in the agent’s compensation. An Agent needs to establish a reputation as someone who can get top dollar for his clients.

by Brickowski on Jul 29, 2007 9:32 AM EDT reply actions  

I am truly and utterly surprised that Peter May would once again be factually incorrect in one of his stories. Big Al can not be extended for six seasons. As noted in Larry Coon’s CBA FAQ:

Rookie scale contracts may be extended for up to five seasons beyond the player’s last option season, bringing the total contract length to six seasons. All other extensions are limited to five seasons, including the seasons remaining on the current contract. For example, a contract with two seasons remaining may be extended for up to three additional seasons.

Peter May really should get these things correct. I mean, it is, after all, his job to do so. Big Al can sign up to a five year extension, much like the 5 year, approximately $85 million extension signed by Dwight Howard.

by Roy_Hobbs on Jul 29, 2007 10:45 AM EDT reply actions  

What lies BENEATHE the surface is Jefferson’s professed love and loyalty toward the Celtic’s….as in his statement that he doesn’t want to be traded but would “chain” himself to a streetlight/telepnone pole to prevent such a trade. Were his statements merely POSTURING or was he genuine in his remarks? Based on the fan outcry when the proposed trade for KG was rumored it would seem that most fans thought Jefferson sincere.

Such comments can undermine Jefferson’s quest for a max contract and induce him to settle for less….as was the case with a Red Sox pitcher two year’s ago signing a low-ball extension in hopes of remaining in Boston but instead enhancing his trade value and ending up in L.A.

As Brick mentioned, it’s the agent trying his best to secure the best possible contract extension (for financial and personal reasons) versus the desires of the player and the willingness of management to make a rational deal. As for players accepting less than top dollar, look no further than the Patriots….

by moskqq on Jul 29, 2007 11:05 AM EDT reply actions  

Isn’t Jefferson’s last option season next year (not this year)? If so, he can be locked up for 6 years.

If you look at Howard’s deal, you will see that he is now under contract for a total of six years, since the 5-year extension does not kick in until 2008-2009: http://www.hoopshype.com/salaries/orlando.htm

by Brickowski on Jul 29, 2007 11:28 AM EDT reply actions  

Read what Peter May said again, Brick.

Jefferson … is eligible to sign up to a six-year extension, which would kick in for the start of the 2008-09 season

Jefferson can only sign a five year extension. If you argue that Peter May was talking about the total length that Big Al can be under Celtics control, then his part about it kicking in in 2008-09 is completely wrong. Once again, a Peter May story is factually inaccurate.

by Roy_Hobbs on Jul 29, 2007 11:45 AM EDT reply actions  

Yes, May’s statement is wrong. It would technically be a 6-year extension, but the “big money” would only start in year two and last for years 2 through 6.

by Brickowski on Jul 29, 2007 12:08 PM EDT reply actions  

The important piece is how much Jefferson would cost know as opposed to after the season. Who really cares if May was incorrect about when the six year extension would kick in, it is kind of irrelevant and just seems like an excuse to trash on the guy.

by Cooldude5t5 on Jul 29, 2007 3:16 PM EDT reply actions  

It looks to me as if the Celts are waiting to see if they trade Al before the season. If they do, then it’s the other’s team responsibility to sign Al. If they don’t, look for a contract before the first game.

I am on record for hoping they don’t trade – but thinking they will.

by SShoreFan on Jul 29, 2007 3:56 PM EDT reply actions  

Give five year contract @10 Mil per and offer opt out for him at and team in year four. pierce and Allen will have reached the end of their contracts and the door will be open to put Al where he belongs at a max hoefully by then he will have proven his worth and deserve it.

by Freeease1 on Jul 29, 2007 4:04 PM EDT reply actions  

Al isn’t going anywhere. Danny is not an above average GM but he has a 22 yr old who can score in this league, who showed flashes of leadership and who is core to any tema bonding this team could aspire too. KG is great but if Danny gets his pocket picked by McHale he should be ridden out of town on a rail.

by Wildblu1 on Jul 29, 2007 5:23 PM EDT reply actions  

sign him; a bird (don’t i wish) in hand is worth more than one in the bush. build a core. it’s a business and you also have to show the $ to make the $.

by nazzbo on Jul 29, 2007 6:32 PM EDT reply actions  

The difference of 11 million and 13 million of salary doesn’t have to be an issue for the agent. If Al is in the right market, the agent is going to clean up. Place Al as the center piece for this franchise for ten years, and see what that brings.

If Al stays, he’s got the fan base behind him who chimed in that they don’t want Al traded for KG. That is worth millions in endorsements for Al in Boston. He goes somewhere else, maybe makes more money toward a team’s cap, but might not necessarily get the endorsement monies. That’s a net loss for Al and the agent.

So Al won’t be under any risk if he signs now, other than what he does on the court, but that’s a constant risk anyway.

by amenhotep04 on Jul 29, 2007 9:47 PM EDT reply actions  

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