Any Chance Thibodeau Is Back Next Year?
Yup, I'm already worried (a little) about next year. I know we have to get through this year, and if we raise a banner I'll be happy with whatever. But if we don't win it all, I can't help but wonder if our top assistant might have several interested teams knocking on his door with large contract offers to become their head coach.
Consider some facts:
- The Celtics have been transformed into the best defensive team in the planet. Part of the credit goes to KG and Posey. A good deal of credit goes to Thibodeau.
- The last team Thibodeau was with, the Rockets, finished 5th in the league in opponents scoring.
- In 17 seasons as an assistant, his teams have finished in the top 10 in defense 14 times.
- Tom is getting more and more attention and name recognition as the team continues to win games.
- Tom gets a lot of credit for developing Yao Ming into a better all around player.
- Tom's contract is for just one year - "a term he reportedly sought" (Herald)
- Thebodeau interviewed for the head coaching job in Sacramento last year, so he wants to be a head coach.
You can't blame Tom for wanting to take on the challenge (and paycheck) of being a head coach in the NBA. He probably saw Boston as an opportunity to advance his career no matter what happened this year. If the team faltered, he could step in for a fired Doc Rivers. If the team did what it is doing now, he would only enjoy more success and acclaim. Win-win for him.
If I were a GM of another team unhappy with my coach, I'd be keeping a close eye on Tom and he'd be right up at the top of my list of candidates to interview at the end of the season.
There's no chance Doc isn't coming back next year. Doc only got that one year extension in the offseason, but you can bet he'll cash in this summer and there's no way he'd want to walk away from KG, Pierce, and Allen.
So our only hope is if the Celtics can somehow wrap Thibodeau up with a contract extension, probably before the season even ends (so he can't become a free agent). Perhaps he will also want to stay where he can coach KG, Posey, and the current top defensive team in the league. But there's no question they should pay him good money to stay and keep doing what he's doing.
The one thing that makes me feel a little better about him potentially leaving is the situation in Houston. The defense that he set up there is still going strong and using his system to stay in the top 5 in opponents scoring and shooting %. Maybe the Celtics (with KG still around to anchor the D) will also be able to carry on without him. I'd just rather not take that chance.
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There’s m no doubt that Tom Thibodeau is a “keeper”. But with the rising success of the Celtics and the simultaneous vindication of Doc as a top echelon coach, what can Tom hope to gain from the Celtics?
Just speculating, but how long will this incredible run last for the Celtics before age and injury once again humble this franchise. Perhaps this is a one year, two year or three year run of credibility. Then what?
At some point we need to be rebuilding for the future, but alas, we’ve traded away our first round draft choices. Will we be able to retain Pollard? Do we want to? How about Posey whose stellar play has not gone unnoticed by other teams with money to spend? Will we be a one year wonder as a team or will other aging stars flock to us for a last chance at glory? How long can we continue to play the “geriatric” game?
…and when the time comes for rebuilding… perhaps 2 or three years from now…will Doc want to again undergo the “humiliation” of losing seasons?
What we can offer Tom, at best, is the assurance that in three years, perhaps two years hence, when Doc has had enough, that he’ll get that head coaching position. Will he want to inherit the ashes of a once great team or would he instead look elsewhere having seen better “pieces” to work with?
If this team must once agin be rebuilt through the draft, will Danny Ainge still be with us to exercise his drafting genius? Alas, it would appear that Tom Thibodeau has better options elsewhere…but ownership could surprise us once again as they did when they put a fegling GM (Danny Ainge) on the throne because he had a new “vision” that most of us doubted!
by moskqq on Jan 9, 2008 10:12 AM EST reply actions
I’m going to say it right now …. I think there is zero chance Tom T gets a head coaching job next season.
He’ll get some publicity, some recommendations and maybe a few interviews but I don’t see anyone giving him a job. He hasn’t paid his dues yet. Assitants go through years of being a favourite for new jobs without ever getting the gig. Tom has another year or two to pay first. He hasn’t been in the GM’s eyes long enough yet. He’s wanted a head coaching gig for a few years now and several in the media have openly pined for him to get a chance (Rick Barry for one) and nobody has come close to even considering him for the top job. He isn’t there yet.
Zero chance of being a head coach next year. Doesn’t mean he won’t leave though …..
Are you kidding? There is a 100% chance that Thibodeau will get at least one head coaching offer next year. Isn’t 17 years as an NBA assistant dues enough? What dues did Sam Vincent pay?
The only question is whether or not he’s willing to leave an upper echelon team to go to a rebuilding situation (e.g. Minnesota or Miami).
It will be interesting to see how the Celtics perform defensively after his departure.
Sam Vincent had his ties to MJ …. there’s nobody in the league that will go out on a limb for Tom T
For 17 years he has been out there and nobody bit on him. They’re not going to now either.
I’m telling you right now …. no chance Tom T gets a head coaching gig next year. At best he gets an interview.
He’ll be back with the Celtics, as far as Head Coaching prospects I’m sure he might interview, but Tom is NOT HEAD COACHING MATERIAL sad to say … not for the NBA…maybe for College… but not for the NBA…..
Here’s my reasoning and you may agree or disagree. Tom is a very straight and narrow person. He’s more of the Bill Fitch type. He’s the X’s and O’s guy….. This use to work years ago….1960’s 70’s and 80’s for that matter…
But today’s game has changed, the players are very raw, unnurished sort to speak and they require more attention, someone who can relate to them just not on the court but off the court as well.
Back in the hay day, Red was able to do it all, because he could. There was no National Media or Internet like it is today. Technology has changed so much and they rely on it with the scouting reports more so now a days.
Tom is a great guy behind the scenes, but his make-up for a Head Coaching job is not there. Maybe I’m wrong on that and maybe his body language suggests that he can, It works for Pat Riley and Phil Jackson but they have the PERSONA to go with it.
Everyone would like a shot a being a head coach, but are they Head Coaching Material, do they have the make-up and the grind necessary…. do they know how to deal with the media and the public…. Would he be razzled if by long losing streaks, things of that nature….
It’s hard to tell…we look at Assistant Coaches and we hold them at a higher standard than a Head Coach because they are behind the scenes and they are nice guys….. But once they become a Head Coach they are looked upon differently… some make it…and some don’t… case in point…. in the 80’s Jimmy Rogers…. nice guy… great assistant coach…but he was not Head Coaching Material….. He didn’t have the people skills necessary
Yes, coaches on successful teams are in the spotlight. The Celtics this year will be much more successful than any of the teams that JVG coached in Houston or NY (with Thibodeau as his lead assistant). And other GMs have seen the Celtics’ huge improvement on defense, and when they break down film, they will see that Thibodeau’s schemes have alot to do with it.
Thibs move was smart. He had no idea how GPA was going to gell and what level his defense would be bought into (by players and coaches). It has worked well. Now, due to the success of the C’s, he’s in a great position to get a raise, either with Boston, with some other team, or as a head coach.
As for the head coach canidacy: I’m not sold. Jim Obrien/Dick Harter made a great impression as a head coach built on defense, but he didn’t last long in Phili. I’m not sure he’s a great hot commodity for the top job somewhere. Time will tell. Either way now is not the time to worry about it.
It is evident that the Cs are working harder on defense this year. Probably a combination of Thibodeau’s schemes and the presence of Garnett and Posey and the others buying into Coach
Thibodeau’s system. If there is a team that is under achieving on the defensive end I think he would get a look as a head coach.
by Greg37 on Jan 9, 2008 6:43 PM EST reply actions
17 years and a positive track record in 14 of those years. Wow! I wonder why he has been overlooked so far by so many teams who should have jumped at him according to his success. any hint why this guy has ben past over all these years?
by Freeease1 on Jan 9, 2008 8:11 PM EST reply actions
tom t reminds me of belichek when he was defensive coordinator for the giants; a man doing great things waiting for the right time. bellichek didn’t make it in cleveland because management didn’t give him the open reign. likewise. tom t. you need the right org. to let you do your thing. hope the c’s keep him. if not, i will root for his success.
If we have a truly great season and we will …. it’s likely Doc is going to get a lot of the credit. He’ll be a candidate for his second CoY award and have turned around the franchise. It’ll be a great story and it will be written about, with Doc getting the credit.
Some will notice Tom T’s contribution but the overwhelming amount of the credit will go to Doc.
Just look at how long PJ Carlesimo took to get out of Pop’s shadow and he had coaching experience. How many of Phil Jackson’s assistants have gotten head coaching jobs? How about Riley? SVG was on that bench for 8 years being ignored around the league.
More so than ever before, teams are hesitant on hiring Head Coaches without experience because of the money and media pressure involved.
Also going back to Ancient Red’s[/i] comment, a lot of those thoughts have been written by writers about Tom T’s questionable personality for leading a franchise as a Head Coach. Love him as an assistant but not so sure of him as a Head Coach. After all, not all assistants are capable of being a Head Coach.
Freeease1 said:
17 years and a positive track record in 14 of those years. Wow! I wonder why he has been overlooked so far by so many teams who should have jumped at him according to his success. any hint why this guy has ben past over all these years?
Great point, and this goes to Ancient Red’s comment. That can change, but not overnight. It’s too soon for Tom T to rise that far that quickly.
Unless of course he goes the Sam Vincent route with a friend in the GM chair like [i]Brickowski pointed out. But Tom T has been here 17 years, where’s his friends? JVG? Who else? players?
Doesn’t look for his head coaching opportunities next season.





















