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NBA Blogger Preview - Boston Celtics

This begins our annual NBA Blogger Preview series, where every team is represented by at least one blogger covering those teams.  Every day (during October) a new team will be previewed for the upcoming season.  Here's a complete list and schedule.   Enjoy. 

bos.gifBoston Celtics - CelticsBlog
Last Years Record: 66-16
Key Losses: James Posey, PJ Brown
Key Additions: Patrick O'Bryant, Darius Miles, JR Giddens, Billy Walker

1. What significant moves were made during the offseason?

poseyhugkg.jpgWe knew going into last year that James Posey took less money for a chance to win another title and thus earn himself a bigger paycheck.  Mission accomplished on all accounts and no regrets.  Posey will be a very valuable pickup for the Hornets for the next year or two, but beyond that I can't imagine that he'll be worth the paycheck he got from New Orleans. 

Some will argue that the future cost would have been worth paying to secure the short term window of opportunity that we have with this core group.  On the other hand, if we want to sustain the success this team has achieved as that core group grows older, we will very much need that cap flexibility in a couple of years.  For now, clearly no one player can step in and do everything James did for this team.  However, I believe that each of the younger players has the ability to learn and grow into bigger roles on this team to collectively fill the void.

In other news, Ainge filled out the roster by bringing in low cost, low risk, high upside guys.  Patrick O'Bryant was a bust in Golden State but gets a second chance here (and has been working with renowned big man guru Clifford Ray).  Darius Miles is trying to prove every doubter and doctor in the world wrong.  Giddens slipped a little in the draft for character concerns (but seems to have matured greatly).  Walker slipped a lot in the draft for injury concerns (but seems to be healthy and could be the steal of the year).

2. What are the team's biggest strengths?

kg-lakers.jpgDefense, defense, defense.  The thing about clichés is that they are often very true.  And defense certainly won the Championship last year.  It was a total buy-in from the top of the roster down, with Kevin Garnett setting the hyper-intense pace.  Paul Pierce played the best defense of his life (brilliantly stepping up on both ends in the Finals) and Ray Allen even learned to move his feet and trust his teammates. 

Rounding out the starting five were Rajon Rondo (quick hands, quicker feet) and Kendrick Perkins (roughneck anchor).  Posey will be missed but the team has high hopes for Tony Allen, Leon Powe, and the next generation of younger players.

On offense, the resumes of Paul Pierce, Ray Allen, and Kevin Garnett speak for themselves.  Rondo drives the bus and everyone else knows their role and plays their part well.

Of course the glue that holds everything together is the concept of Ubuntu (teamwork) that Doc Rivers got the team to buy into a year ago.  When everyone is working together (not just paying lip service to it, actually sacrificing self for the greater good), things tend to simply fall into place.

3. What are the team's biggest weaknesses?

Very little went wrong last year, so "weakness" is a relative term.  In truth, there are more potential weaknesses than glaring holes.  The bench was questioned last year but ended up becoming a significant strength.  This year's younger group faces the same types of questions and has the same kind of opportunity to prove its worth.  Specifically a lot of pressure falls on the untested shoulders of Patrick O'Bryant if Kendrick Perkins misses any significant time.

Scribes will point to the team's age as KG, Pierce, and Ray are all a year older.  But Doc has made a point of saying that he'll try to rest Paul and Ray more this year.  So the team may not keep that same breakneck pace that saw them steamroll through the regular season last year.  Of course then we start sounding like the Detroit Pistons, wondering if and when the team will be able to "turn it on" for the playoffs.  Then again, the Pistons don't have KG barking (litterally) at his teammates to step it up.  Bottom line is that if the veterans can stay healthy and well rested, age shouldn't catch up with them just yet.

4. What are the goals for this team?

Dynasty.  If they need motivation, all they have to do is look up.  The 17 Championship banners are both a salute to the storied history and a call to arms for the current generation.  The energy and emotion driving this team to win the first rings for KG, Pierce, and Ray now has to be rechanneled into adding this team to the list of all-time greats.

In a way, the age of the veterans once again becomes a bit of an asset.  They know that time is precious and every year is a cherished opportunity to add to their legacy in green.

5. What is the most underrated story going into this season?

Rondo1.jpgRajon Rondo taking yet another step forward.  At this point last year, we were handing over the keys of this superstar lineup to a largely untested 2nd year player.  Many around the league were skeptical, but most Celtics fans were confident in his ability to step it up.  And step up he did.  His defense was disruptive, his ball handling superb, and the offense simply ran better when he was in the game.

However, there were still times when he played inconsistent basketball.  He had to learn to look for his own shot.  He had trouble with some matchups.  He would follow up 3 great games with an ineffective one.  Nothing major.  He did better than anyone could have expected, but there was still room for improvement. 

Typically it takes point guards a couple years in the league to really "get it" and mature into their potential.  I see Rajon taking another big step forward this year, perhaps even forcing himself into the discussion for the All Star game.  He should be more consistent, which will raise his averages and more importantly raise the productivity of the team.

Just think about how good the team looked in games 1, 2, and 6 of the Finals and contrast that with the way the team struggled more when Rondo was limited by injury in the other games. Rondo is already a solid starter and a Champion.  This could be the year that he becomes a star.

Predicted Record: 59-23 

The East is getting better, so I feel like the bad teams will lose less and the good teams will win less, but the Celtics should still be good for the best record in the East.

More Celtics Blogger Previews: Green Bandwagon | LOY's Place | Red's Army | Celtics 24/7

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Jeff, an excellent overview and somewhat unexpected in these “dog-days” of preseason. What was unexpected? To be honest, it was the quality of even-handed presentation sprinkled with flavorful comments…Rondo drove the bus…etc. It already FEELS like the SEASON has finally begun.

The one real concern is whether we can stay HEALTHY…a problem that dogs all teams regardless of the advancing age of its best players…but especially of concern for us.

by moskqq on Oct 1, 2008 7:51 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

60 wins

by Who on Oct 1, 2008 8:14 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

The plus sign didn’t come up for some reason, that was 60 plus wins.

by Who on Oct 1, 2008 8:15 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

The weakness of this club is how they match up with younger, more athletic teams. That was the main weakness last year and I don’t see it changing with the big three a year older. Teams like Washington, Atlanta and Philly gave them fits.

by Gino on Oct 1, 2008 8:21 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Great assessment, Jeff.

For Bill Walker to be healthy is great news: I know he’s still supposed to be raw in some skills, but he strikes me as bright and mature for an NBA rookie—and ready to work as hard as anyone.

I also loved today’s reports on Miles. It sounds like he’s ahead of expectations with at least his horizontal athleticism intact, and he’s got as much to prove as anyone. (Though are we surprised he beat BB and Scal in sprints?)

Finally, speaking of much to prove, it is I believe a good sign that the coaches have penciled O’Bryant in to start with Perk out. I was looking for some sort of sign of confidence from them after the time Ray had had with him, and this seems like a good first step.

by clover on Oct 1, 2008 8:27 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

great synopsis.. my biggest fear is injuries and bad knees,shoulders,etc. just look at washington. this requires luck and depth.with the salary cap, danny has to gamble on depth. let’s get the coaches signed up.

by nazzbo on Oct 1, 2008 10:21 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I agree that Doc wanting POB to get maximum playing time with the starters is a good sign. Doc is still harping his fear of needing length, but Perk’s absence is providing an big open door for POB to step in, and prove to Doc and others that he is the answer. And Doc is going to make certain that he gets a real good look at POB. When fielding 16 players, knowing that something is going to happen, its plausible that the assessment of POB over the next 30 days is the key that then sets the direction in what they decide to do.

by Bozo on Oct 1, 2008 10:27 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Well done Jeff.

by cocofan on Oct 1, 2008 10:37 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

BTW, it’s great to have the C’s back in the news, any chance we could arrange to have a friendly local scribe text or email over impressions after the morning sessions? (We’d promise to read his/her full writeups the next day.)

by clover on Oct 1, 2008 11:01 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Thanks for the compliments everyone! It is so much easier to write “we’ll probably be the best again” than it is to write “hopefully we’ll make the playoffs”

by Jeff Clark on Oct 1, 2008 11:51 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Not to be missed is John Hollinger’s Celtic’s commentary, a superb overview of why and how the Celtics achieved greatness last year (see Daily Links, “after the jump”) as well as his analysis and prediction for 2008-09.

by moskqq on Oct 1, 2008 11:51 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

While Doc says he wants to limit the minutes of his veterans this year you know that he still wants to win games. Like any coach, he’ll ride the horses that got him to the promised land to win as many games as possible. I’ll bet the house and my adjustable rate mortgage that KG’s, PP’s and Ray’s minutes will not be significantly different from last year.

by The Real Large James on Oct 1, 2008 1:04 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Great job Jeff — very indepth review. I hope to do as good a job on the Blazers!

by mookie on Oct 1, 2008 4:18 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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