Further Over-Analysis From the Opener

A Daily Babble Production
Don't worry; we promise not to do this to you on the heels of each of the season's 82 games. But after four months without Celtics basketball, please, just this once, you'll have to forgive me for itching to break out the bullet points to devote way too much thought to 48 minutes of hoopin' as we hit the midst of the 48-hour break between the season's first two contests.
Without further ado, let's babble:
- When all was said and done, the defensive box score numbers looked pretty good on Tuesday. The Celts held the Cavs to 85 points and less than 43 percent shooting from the field and 20 percent shooting from beyond the arc. At times, the Celtics did play that suffocating defense that was integral to making the champions a season ago. But it also seemed that they were the beneficiaries of some very poor shooting from the Cavs. Too many times, it seemed that slow or missed rotations led to open jumpers for the likes of Daniel Gibson, Wally Szczerbiak, Sasha Pavlovic, Mo Williams or Delonte West. The fact that those guys shot a combined 12-for-32 between them worked out for the Celtics, but they all took their share of nobody-near-them wide open shots, and these are guys who make their livings shooting the basketball. Undoubtedly, the issue of LeBron makes Cleveland a tough team to defend if they spread the floor well, and it's unfair to expect the green fellows to completely cut off all good looks for Cleveland, but there did seem to be far more open looks than one would have liked for Cleveland's perimeter shooters. Here's guessing the Celtics were fortunate that it was opening night and there were a lot of sloppy mechanics on display.
- One more defensive note: It appeared on at least a couple of occasions that the Celtics doubled off of LeBron, particularly on a couple of high screen roll sets for Cleveland. I remember Tony Allen being involved at least once, and I'm not sure who it was on the other occasions. While the Celtics love to jump out above the screener on pick-and-rolls, LeBron would seem to be the sort of player who would warrant the occasional change in philosophy. Since this happened in a couple of instances, here's wondering if it was a schematic decision by Tom Thibodeau and Doc Rivers or simply happenstance.
- I know there are plenty who have had it with him, but I can't help but marvel at LeBron. We've established that he is no saint and that he gets his share of help from the officials (like every other star in this league), but what he can do on a basketball court...wow. This time around, it was his strength in particular that astounded me anew. He made at least two or three plays that left me shaking my head in disbelief regarding his ability to force the ball into the basket by virtue of sheer will and power. That the guy still seems to have no shortage of free throw issues could be a cause of concern for Cavs fans - and relief for the rest of the league. The Celts were fairly effective against him last night, but label me among those eagerly awaiting the chance to see what this guy does to the rest of the league this year.
- It was a tale of two Rondos. For parts of the opener, the point guard looked at ease in beginning his second year as full-time floor general for this team. He went 4-of-5 from the field, absolutely flew past Mo Williams, pressured the ball well (three steals), ran the break and led the offense effectively throughout a good portion of the evening. But he also got into foul trouble, committed a silly charge early in the game and made quite possibly the team's two dumbest plays of the night: His behind-the-back ball-fake maneuver may have cost him a lay-up by throwing off his rhythm on a play when he could have beaten Zydrunas Ilgauskas to the basket on pure quickness in the first place. The foul on the rebound after Leon Powe's dunk in the final five seconds of the game was inexcusable. Just no reason to give Cleveland any life at all at that point. Ah, the trials and triumphs of having a wonderfully exciting third-year point guard who occasionally tries to do a bit too much.
- Not as much of a tale-of-two-sides deal in the pivot for the Celtics. Kendrick Perkins was bad. He gets credit for getting his hands on a few offensive boards early on (he had four for the game and eight rebounds total), but it sure seemed like there was a lot of silliness on his end. Wally Szczerbiak isn't considered all that much of a threat these days, but one way to make him one is by putting him on the foul line 93 feet from the basket, which Perk did with an ill-advised shove underneath the offensive glass. Similarly, he fouled out on a clearly illegal screen and consistently seemed to be playing defense with his arms rather than his legs, a symptom of being too slow getting to the right spot. It also seemed that he spent a significant portion of the program being concerned with mouthing off at the opponents rather than playing focused basketball. For a guy who had several nights down the stretch last season when he seemed to make great strides, Tuesday night was a disappointment.
- Anderson Varejao could play for me any day. The guy runs around like there's no tomorrow and consistently works as hard as anybody on the floor. He has become an integral part of the Cavs' defensive success on the interior, and he even poked the ball away from Pierce off the dribble once on Tuesday (though the Celtics got it back). That he had four offensive rebounds (nine total), including a putback to erase two James misses at the foul line didn't hurt his case either. It's frustrating to be on the other side from this guy.
- Mo Williams looked like a guy still getting acclimated to the concept of playing defense. He was caught flat-footed several times by Rondo and also had to resort to fouling to prevent easy baskets on several occasions. This might actually represent an improvement from the contribution that he made at that end in Milwaukee. How much he ends up buying in on defense will make a big difference in how far this Cleveland team goes.
- Great to see Delonte West on the court, particularly after the personal issues of his that came to light during the preseason. Does that guy have a potent afro-goatee combination or what? I lost count of the number of times I said, "We goin' play with a sock, we goin' play with a sock." What a fun dude. Wish him all the best.
- You didn't really think we would laud LeBron and leave you hanging on his counterpart at small forward, did you? Paul Pierce picked up right where he left off. Slicing to the rim, hitting outside shots, making shots with contact, earning his way to the line, playing defense: just a sterling season-opening performance from the reigning Finals MVP. Loved it.
- The Celtics' foul shooting was atrocious. No two ways about it. The team was lucky that the Cavs (24-of-33) weren't much better, but 61.8 percent (21-of-34) isn't going to come close to getting the job done in general. There are no easier ways for a team to beat itself than by picking up ticky-tack fouls and missing its opportunities at the stripe. Boogah.
- Leon! Powe was definitively not atrocious. Or even close. He's going to have my Posey-type love on this team, no two ways about it. Mike Fratello summed it up perfectly when he pointed out that looking at Powe simply calls the term "relentless" to mind.
My jones for some microanalysis to a game that is ultimately the first of 82 has officially completed its way through my system. That felt good. Any overreactions I forgot to commit?
Just 28 hours until the next one tips off. It's deliciously good to have meaningful Celtics hoops back in our lives.
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Comments
Gotta pace myself.
I’m going to save up my comments for after tomorrow’s game. I don’t want to go into extreme over-reactions more than twice in the first week.
by no kidding on Oct 30, 2008 3:13 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Can't blame ya, no kidding
People always look at me funny when I talk about the physical and mental strain of being a fan over the course a season.
They just must not get it :-)
-sw
Manuel Aristides Ramirez is the greatest hitter I've ever seen.
by Steve Weinman on Oct 30, 2008 3:33 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Not me.
I never shy away from an over-reaction. The game showed why we need one more big, a 6-10 guy at least. Perk is both injury- and foul-prone. We could use a Varejao type player. Alas, the word in Cleveland is that the bad feelings from his last-year holdout are all dissipated, and he’ll probably get extended.
LBJ is wildly inconsistent at the foul line, thank heavens. One night he’ll go 9 for 9, the next 3 for 9. He’s always been that way. The Achilles heel of a great player.
"People don't understand, if you can't live the rest of your life off one year in the NBA, you can't live off 21." -- Keon Clark
by Eeyore III on Oct 30, 2008 3:21 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Agreed on all counts, Eeyore
Varejao was a fan favorite for long before the holdout there, and his performance defensively (and the team’s struggles without him) reminded all those within the organization how important he is to what they do. I would be very surprised if he doesn’t end up locked in there for a while.
-sw
Manuel Aristides Ramirez is the greatest hitter I've ever seen.
by Steve Weinman on Oct 30, 2008 3:35 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
While I agree that we need another big with length, I would also add that we won’t need that Big until playoff time. I expect to get that in the form of PJ Brown in the spring.
Leon Powe can more than hold it down as the first big off the bench throughout the regular season.
Lets not forget that he and Baby backed up the 5 during last regular season to the tune of 66 wins. And both of them (especially Leon) have gotten better. I don’t think there is anyone in the league that is tougher than number 0 from Oakland right now. IMO, he is a potential 6th man of the Year candidate.
by D Dub on Oct 30, 2008 4:16 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Love Leon
and Baby, too. I certainly agree that these guys can hold down the fort over the course of the regular season relatively successfully. But one can never have enough bigs, and I wouldn’t be immune to the suggestion of adding another.
-sw
Manuel Aristides Ramirez is the greatest hitter I've ever seen.
by Steve Weinman on Oct 30, 2008 4:23 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'd love PJ, but ...
If I thought solving the problem would be as easy as waiting for PJ, I’d agree. But I keep up on this issue, and it wasn’t more than a few days ago that I read something (Too busy at work to look it up now.), either on Hoopshype or a link from FL Celts Fan, that made me lose all hope of that happening. Thus, I think, under an “the early bird gets the worm” theory, that we should be actively looking for a big. I can wait until the trade deadline, but I for one am unwilling to “place all my eggs in the PJ Brown basket.”
How’s that for multiple metaphors?
"People don't understand, if you can't live the rest of your life off one year in the NBA, you can't live off 21." -- Keon Clark
by Eeyore III on Oct 30, 2008 5:56 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Excellent points, Steve. My reaction to the behind the back nonsense was that’s something I’d expect from Tony Allen.
I thought we were quite sub-par defensively in the first half, rotating very slowly and really seeming kind of out of it. The rotations quickened in the second half, and I wonder if some of the struggle wasn’t the sheer emotion of the ring ceremony. Historically, champs don’t do very well on opening night.
I agree as well about the 5. Perkins was basically nonexistent, and it’s a HUGE, HUGE gamble to rely on one injury prone 5 throughout the regular season. Seems that Paddy has slipped out of some degree of favor, and we can’t ask two undersized 4s or Garnett to hold the 5 down for any period of time. We need another useful 5, preferably a defender.
As well as a solid perimeter shooter.
by CoachBo on Oct 30, 2008 9:37 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
" This time around, it was his strength in particular that astounded me anew. "
When is it anything else?
by GreenBalls on Oct 30, 2008 3:51 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Occasionally,
his quickness, leaping ability, wingspan, passing vision and shotblocking get me as well. And I’m probably forgetting a couple. :-)
-sw
Manuel Aristides Ramirez is the greatest hitter I've ever seen.
by Steve Weinman on Oct 30, 2008 3:56 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Boogah
just can’t get over the fact that you created a word that pretty much perfectly describes the feeling of missed free throws
by Jeff Clark on Oct 30, 2008 3:52 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I never thought of it that way,
but I love it. “Boogah” is officially my going term for the vaunted missed FT from now on. Thanks, Jeff. Glad you liked it. :-D
-sw
Manuel Aristides Ramirez is the greatest hitter I've ever seen.
by Steve Weinman on Oct 30, 2008 3:57 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
The Rondo Difference
Maybe if Eddie House hit a couple shots it would not have been so pronounced, but when Rondo was in the game his defensive pressure embossed a rather flat Celtics attack tenfold.
Not sure I agree about the behind-the-back, btw; the clueless broadcasters called it showing off, but I thought he did it to get some separation; he just didn’t finish. I’d rather Rondo do the fake pass and throw that ogre Z off—even if it throws himself off also—than get planted in a heap for the FOURTH time in one game.
Also, I must be the only one who thinks that screen Perk fouled out on was not clearly illegal. After seeing the video replay I thought it was close as to whether he got his feet set before the defender moved. (And I thought it was funny when Reggie Miller started blathering about how the screener has to give the defender a step right before Fratello cut in, effectively dismissing that nonsense, and said the thing you have to look for is if the screener is moving (duh but true)).
by Berkcelt on Oct 30, 2008 5:25 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Amen, on Rondo
Not sure I agree about the behind-the-back, btw; the clueless broadcasters called it showing off, but I thought he did it to get some separation; he just didn’t finish. I’d rather Rondo do the fake pass and throw that ogre Z off—even if it throws himself off also—than get planted in a heap for the FOURTH time in one game.
My sentiments exactly. Every time Rondo gets hammered and his legs go out from under him, I hold my breath. Just glad it didn’t happen again. That move was totally within his game – that announcer, Marv Albert?, just doesn’t watch him enough evidently.
by libermaniac on Oct 31, 2008 12:25 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
TA
TA is not James Posey unfortunately. This will show up eventually. His lack of a three point shot is particularly a problem. Rondo is going to get hurt if he keeps on falling as he does.
by The Real Large James 2 on Oct 30, 2008 6:28 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Juice
Does anyone else think the NBA may have a juice problem? Oden and Lebron come to mind.
by The Real Large James 2 on Oct 30, 2008 6:29 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Yes
Been alluding to that for quite some time now…
God bless and good night!
by BrickJames on Oct 30, 2008 9:10 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't know about those two
they seem like naturally large from youth kinds of guys (like Dwight Howard too)
but I always wondered about Alonzo – who got huge after college and did have a sort of rage problem at times
by Jeff Clark on Oct 31, 2008 8:16 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
hey steve go ahead, we’ve been wating four months for the real thing so we can obsess alittle. my god, the redsox and patriots fan and pundits go on adfinitum and then some. i love the way varejao plays and always will root for dwest. wally is another story. i like the guy and he plays smart, but what a weakness on d. and i like lebron better than kobe’ but he is a big baby and he now can’t keep his mouthpiece inside his mouth. and we do have another long—o’bryant who needs to learn on the floor. please doc pob might be a bit of a head case, but push him in there.
by nazzbo on Oct 30, 2008 6:38 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
More comment
1. I agree that Varejo looked awesome…. but was that because our 5 was double-teaming someone else? On a couple of V’s offensive rebounds, there were NO Celtics even NEAR the basket and they were close, not long bounds.
2. I agree that Rondo CAN NOT last the year taking those kind of spills. Each time he went down I was skeptical about him getting back up.
3. Garnet had a bad night. OK, it will happen. R Allen had a bad night. Is this because of the Cav’s defense? Cuz he had a very bad conference series against the Cavs also.
4. House also looked bad. Of course he always does if his shot isn’t going in. He also looked bad several times trying to bring the ball up before he figured out “Pass it to someone else”.
Final Note: If this was the only game you ever had watched LJ in, you’d wonder why all the hoopla. And if he’d been a ‘role-player benchguy’, the Cavs fans would have yelling “get him out of here” after several of his wild long-distance attempts. And of course if your gonna drive to the hole constantly thru traffic, you gottah be able to make the free throws. Final Final Note: How many of you have noticed PP’s free-throw shooting has been growing worse for some time? And have you noticed he’s trying the Wilt and Shaq approach … trying difference stances?
by Dipper on Oct 31, 2008 8:43 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

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