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Daily Babble: On the Plan Going Forward In Jersey

Despite the best efforts of Devean George (and his worst efforts, too, seeing as he went 0-for-11 on Wednesday night), word around the league seems to be indicating that, one way or another, Jason Kidd is going to become a member of the Dallas Mavericks sooner rather than later.

This makes the Mavs' plan fairly evident: Attempt a more concerted than ever run at a title with their new stud point guard in tow.   And apparently without much interior defense.

What isn't quite as clear is where the Nets will be going from here.  Besides Brooklyn in a couple of years, that is.

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Theoretically, this should be pretty simple (explanation forthcoming).  The real issue right now is figuring out why trade rumors continue to float about the Nets possibly looking to acquire Jermaine O'Neal for Vince Carter or attempting to pry Mike Miller loose from the Grizzlies for some expiring contracts.  Because it's a mystery to me.  Several weeks back, I wrote that trying to dump VC for O'Neal would be a potentially excellent move for the Nets, because a team featuring O'Neal, Jefferson and, of course, Kidd would give O'Neal a legitimate shot to rehabilitate his career and give the Nets a far better shot at winning in the relatively near future than they had as currently constructed.  With Kidd about to be gone, taking on another player with a long-term deal whose skills and joints have aged far beyond his 29 years seems like a foolish idea.  Same goes for bringing in a player like Miller, who can do a nice job as a second or third option but certainly isn't taking this team to another level at any point in the near future.

Once Kidd is gone for sure, it would certainly appear that the wisest choice moving forward would be to break everything down and build from the bottom up.  Besides Carter and Richard Jefferson, the other critical cogs remaining on this team will be newly acquired point guard Devin Harris (24 years old), second-year back-up point Marcus Williams (22), young big men Josh Boone (23) and Sean Williams (21), possibly Stromile Swift (28) and whatever is left of the once-promising Nenad Krstic (24).  In fact, there isn't a single other player on this team signed past the end of this season.   This is good.

The issue then becomes figuring out which of those guys should really be kept around long-term.  Harris is the key get of the Kidd deal, and chances are he should be the point guard for some years to come, if the Nets can keep him in town.  Sean Williams has the potential to be a great shot-blocker and defensive force in this league.  Those are the two most valuable young pieces by far.  Beyond that, it comes down to figuring out what Krstic will be able to give the Nets long-term and deciding from there whether or not he or Josh Boone (a solidly scrappy front-court player, although he'll never be a stud) is expendable.  Marcus Williams still has a fair share of physical talent, and it's probably worth keeping him around, although he certainly wouldn't be untouchable in any blockbuster deals.  Given his history of attitude problems everywhere he has played as well as his age, Swift probably won't be a part of the picture in the long haul.

All that in mind, the Nets' true direction going forward will be determined by what they do with their two most prominent remaining players.  It's easy with regard to Carter: He has to go.  The man has proven time and time again that he is a loafer rather than a winner and that he will consistently fail to live up to his immense physical promise when all is said and done.  He puts on a very nice show when he wants to, but he isn't the world's most coachable dude or the best teammate around, and the Nets need to find nearly any way they can to get him off their hands.  Bringing in JO for Carter is no longer a solid idea; dumping VC for any sort of expiring contracts-young talent-picks package possible is quite viable.  Yes, Carter has a monstrous contract, and no, not a single team in the league should be interested in him, but the fact remains that someone always is.  It's how this league works.  Someone always thinks that his team has the next great coach and psychologist to get an immensely talented player to get his act together mentally.  If the Nets can just find away to dump VC's salary without taking on too much of a long-term commitment in return, they will have gained themselves a crucial victory.

The final question lies with Jefferson.  He will have three years and $42 million left on his deal after this season, which is more than enough money to pay a guy who has scored and done little else in his breakout season.  RJ's rebound numbers have been way down over the past two seasons (4.4 rebounds per game, compared to 6.8 and 7.3 over the two previous seasons), and he isn't a great passer in the first place.  That said, he has very good size and quickness for a swingman, and he has become a dynamic scorer at the three for the Nets.  Furthermore, despite very recent allegations that RJ dropped the bop on some unsuspecting patron at a hotel on a road trip, he has established a legacy of being one of the good guys in this league.  He is extraordinarily well-spoken and has the capability to be a leader.  That said, he still has that aura of "always a bridesmaid, never a bride" when it comes to being the number one option on a good team, and if the Nets can find a team willing to overpay for Jefferson in young talent and draft picks, the move should probably be made.

One way or the other, trading for veterans should no longer be a part of the New Jersey Nets' plans once the final ties are severed with Jason Kidd.  It's time to start over. 

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The Nets have no plan

Rod Thorn doesn’t have a clue what he’s doing

And that’s alright. He doesn’t need to know now. At this point he just has to collect a few pieces and figure out what they can give/get. He can’t plan the packages he’ll get in return for Kidd/Vince/RJ …. just can’t do it. It’s impossible. None of them had trade value. He has to move at least two of them – I think moving all three would be best – and then start planning when he understands what he has to work with.

by Who on Feb 15, 2008 5:01 AM EST reply actions  

As far as their present roster goes…..

They have two players who are incapable of being the first option and two players who are questionable second options. Both have gargantuan contracts. Neither have any trade value. I said back in the summer that the worst contract was not Rashard Lewis but Vince Carter and I still believe that. As for RJ, he couldn’t even land Zach Randolph. Nobody trusts his health, nobody thinks he can be a top offensive option, nobody likes his contract. Lovely mix. Expiring contracts would be a heist for NJ. If they get even a mid-level prospect Rod Thorn will have done well. They might be better able to trade these guys by draft day. The only teams dealing now are teams trying to contend or desperately restructuring and most of those teams have already made their move.

As for the rest of the roster, well it’s full of bad-to-mediocre talents. Welcome to the lottery. You’re not allowed to leave lottery land until you add some quality.

Sean Williams is a decent young player but he’s got a long way to go in order to be anything more than the fourth best player on a good team. I like that he’s been working on his offensive game throughout the year though, makes him more interesting.

Same for Devin Harris.

Marcus Williams has loads of talent but he doesn’t understand how to use his skills which doesn’t bode well for his future. NJ should just throw him in the deep end and see what happens. He has a higher ceiling than Devin Harris and he isn’t learning/developing from his bench role. Gotta get him on the court or trade him while he still has some value. Cannot, I repeat, cannot keep him on the bench the rest of the season if it’s been decided that Devin Harris is the future point guard …. it’ll hurt his play and stagnate his development even further.

Darrell Armstrong is still outplaying Marcus Williams. He’d outplay Devin Harris too if he got the minutes. Probably time to cut old Darrell loose. He won’t help matters. He’d help if there was only one young point guard, but two? No that’s just a complication that makes matters worse. Having two young points is dangerous enough, especially when neither are clear cut players and both are polar opposites of one another in terms of skill set. Danger here. Problem here.

Josh Boone isn’t much. He’s solid, you’d like him, but you’d trade him for a high second round pick if someone asked nicely. They should start coupling him along with one of the point guards and get to work. His future here is to be the first or second big off the bench, no point holding onto that if it improves your trade package. Too easy to replace.

Krstic is a nice young player. But he and Sean Williams are both in the same boat, they need to be the second best big man on the roster in order to win. That’s problematic. Getting him back healthy should be a priority. He’s NJ’s best prospect (7 feet, can go 16/7, very likable and tradable). Road to recovery is long and arduous though, and with his contract expiring at the end of the season it will be a big risk to take. His most recent return has been hard on the eyes but it’s still very early in his comeback.

by Who on Feb 15, 2008 5:04 AM EST reply actions  

I don’t know, Steve: Sounds this morning like Stackhouse’s mouth has torpedoed the deal. NBA’s not going to let them work out a side deal to send Stack back to Dallas after a buyout.

by CoachBo on Feb 15, 2008 8:25 AM EST reply actions  

I think that they should keep Jefferson because you need some sort of a vet presence on the team.

by GreenBalls on Feb 15, 2008 9:10 AM EST reply actions  

There is no secret as to what is happening in NJ. They were going nowhere: stuck in the limbo of being just good enough to stay out ouf the draft lottery but not good enough to go very far in the playoffs. Love him or hate him, KMart was the soul of that team, and when he left, they were going nowhere and in fact went nowhere.

So they are rebuilding around youngsters: Marcus Williams, Devin Harris, Josh Boone, Sean Williams, etc.

Carter will be the next to go. And when Carter leaves, it’s a virtual certainty that RJ will demand a trade. If either of those players are still with the Nets after the February, 2009 trading deadline I will be astounded.

by Brickowski on Feb 15, 2008 9:47 AM EST reply actions  

when you say “if the Nets can keep him in town” about devin harris, what exactly is it that you think might cause him to leave town? Is there an unexpected vacation in the works? Harris’ current contract has him locked up for the next six seasons. So what magical forces are the Nets contending with for this guy?

by swisaclosetknicksfan on Feb 15, 2008 11:20 AM EST reply actions  

When I say “if the Nets can keep him in town,” that should be read as “Steve’s ability to read HoopsHype’s salaries page correctly doesn’t appear to be what it once was.” Good catch, He Who Attempts To Defame My Name. Thanks for keeping me honest :)

-sw

by Steve Weinman on Feb 15, 2008 12:07 PM EST reply actions  

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