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NBA Previews Review - Northwest Division

uth.gif sea.gif por.gif min.gif den.gif

Our NBA Previews Review continues with the Northwest Divison.

The Jazz are perhaps the least talked about powerhouse in the West and the Nuggets beat out the Warriors for one of the best races for the 8th seed in recent memory.  The Sonics have the future in Durant, but it look more and more like that future will be in Oklahoma City.  The Blazers made news by winning 13 games in a row, but they too are looking forward to next year when Greg Oden will hopefully be patroling the lane.  The TWolves are still trying to regroup after trading the Big Ticket but Al Jefferson is a good foundation to build on.

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For review, here's the list of Previews from the preseason.   


 

uth.gifUtah Jazz

Daily Basketball - la287

Overall, this season was a big step forward for the Jazz. Record-wise, the team nearly met our prediction, falling just a couple games short. Still, they improved on their record, which is impressive considering their disappointing road record. The Jazz have continually played to the level of their opponents, so considering they won't play the Timberwolves on the road, they've got a good chance to make a run deep into the playoffs.

As far as the team goes, Deron Williams was an overwhelming All-Star snub. D-Will is probably the MVP of the team, though you could vote for Boozer as well. The Kyle Korver trade revitalized the team. Before the trade, the Jazz rarely looked for three-point shots -- and though they still don't run plays to get outside shots -- the Jazz now regularly knock down a solid 38% of their shots from downtown.

The Jazz will need to dramatically improve their play on the road if they want to win in a championship in the next couple seasons. The Jazz are one of the youngest teams in league. As soon as they find some consistent success on the road, they'll be ready to bring home the big trophy.

Steve Weinman - CelticsBlog NBA (formerly of Taking It To The Rack)

Wow, Jeff!  Way to give me a chance to actually feel good about a prediction!  Okay, let’s rephrase:  Way to give me a chance to actually not feel terrible about a prediction!  I said in October that a similar record to last year’s 51-31 mark and another trip to the Western Conference Finals would represent an improvement for the Jazz thanks to how much tougher the Western Conference has become.

The improvements are there: The team jumped from third to first in offensive efficiency and 18th to 12th on D.  Deron Williams has been the star he first emerged as last postseason, and Carlos Boozer continues to terrorize opponents inside.  The coach is still one of the best in the business.  In fact, the team has been even better than I expected, having already matched last season’s win total and passed my prediction of 48 wins.  But the West is as tough to play in as ever, and the Jazz will likely have to beat consecutive 50-win teams just to return to the WCFs.  So much remains to be seen with this team, so you might just have to call me back in June.  How’s that for straddling the fence?

The Utah Jazz |  As seen by Basketball John

The Jazz of Utah have once again snuck up on everyone despite appearing in the WCF last year.  And they’re in good position to do it again this year.  The biggest reasons have been the strengths I listed in my season preview.  Carlos Boozer is still a beast.  Andrei Kirilenko has come back around.  And Mehmet Okur, since the All-Star break, has been a nightmare for opposing teams.  I would put them up with any front-court in the league.

Deron Williams is one of the top 3 point guards in the league.  He’s putting up 19 & 10 (19 & 12 since the break).  He won’t get any MVP talk, but the Jazz are probably out of the playoffs without him this year.

And Coach Sloan, who won’t win COY again, shows that his offense is a thing of beauty.  It’s scalable for whether you want to run or slow it down.  This is evidenced by the Jazz having the most efficient offense in the NBA.

The Jazz just have to finish 3-1 to meet my projected 55 wins.  With home-court and some favorable matchups, you could see the Jazz in the WCF again.


 

sea.gifSeattle Supersonics

SonicsCentral - Chris Meirose

Our team was bad, our ownership sucked.  I believed before the season that there were two keys to this season - finding a way to play defense, and thwarting the ownership from moving our team.  On the first point the team failed miserably.  Rare was the consistent and prolonged attempt to play defense, and our record reflects those failures.  On the second point, the results are still unclear, but the efforts to keep the team in Seattle have been fantastic.

The highlight of the season is that Kevin Durant has progressed well.  He has especially shown growth in shot selection over the past month and a half, showing he is beginning to understand the NBA game.  Our other rookie acquisition - Jeff Green - has been up and down.  Green has shown potential but little consistency.  Overall, the season was a resounding failure.  Many players failed to improve and make progress.  Our coaching was at best sub-par.

There is hope.  We haven't given up the fight for our team, and we are positioned for a high lottery pick.  And sometimes all you have is hope.


 

por.gifPortland Trail Blazers

True Hoop - Henry Abbott

My season preview was about incremental improvement, building towards a contender in 2011 or so. On that front, a major score this year. Portland got leaps in development from Travis Outlaw, LaMarcus Aldridge, and even Brandon Roy. Portland traded away their leading scorer and rebounder -- Zach Randolph -- yet improved.

I was wrong on two big points though:

  • The team somehow did not get much faster without Randolph, which is a bummer.
  • The team won way more than 34 games, which is not a bummer at all.


min.gif Minnesota Timberwolves 

TWolvesBlog - College Wolf

It seems like only yesterday when I wrote the season preview "A New Beginning."  Some prognostications good, some a little off.  Admittedly it’s been far from a stellar season, but I did predict the Wolves to win 21 games this year… which has a chance to be dead on. 

Big Al has helped me at least appear to look smart, by emerging as the leader and go to guy for this franchise.  I also predicted that perhaps Foye would step up as a leader, but it really hurt (pun intended) that he missed the first 43 games of the season.  I also nailed our "Biggest Weakness" by stating that the roster construction, rotation/ pecking order, and team chemistry would be the biggest hurdle(s) to overcome.  The proof is in the pudding: The Wolves have used a franchise high 24 different starting lineups (and counting) this season.  We still don’t know which players will be back next season.

The biggest error that I almost refuse to admit that I mentioned: "Who knows, maybe the young Wolves will catch some lucky breaks and win a few more games than people expect. The 8th playoff seed certainly isn’t out of the question."  Yikes!


 

den.gifDenver Nuggets

The Nugg Doctor - Nick Sclafani

It's time to check in on how good (and bad) of a job I did previewing the Nuggets by recalling some of my predictions made this fall in the NBA Blog Previews.

Where I was (almost) right:

-Overall Record: I predicted 53 wins for this year's Nuggets and they are on pace to win about 50 games. Pretty close considering all the trades and injuries Denver went through.

-Denver’s Biggest Weaknesses: I said defense and chemistry and Denver is to defense as a wet paper bag is sturdy. Chemistry has also been a problem for the snake bitten Nuggets. 

-Denver’s Greatest Strength: I said offense. With one of the three highest overall scoring averages in the league and Anthony and Iverson both in the top five leaders in scoring the Nuggets have lived up to be the juggernaut I thought they would be.

Where I was dead wrong: 

-Acquiring Steven Hunter from Philly for Reggie Evans and Von Wafer from the D-League was fruitless.

-Denver "marching" all the way to the conference finals. Merely making the playoffs is going to be tough and now the finals seem like a pipedream.

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The division that I have the most difficulty naming the teams from it.

Utah[/b] – I thought Utah were the best team in the division. I thought they’d drop unneccessary games and possibly lose the division championship that they should win hands down. I felt they were too light on the wings to be a true contender but the improvement of Ronnie Brewer and the acquisition of Kyle Korver have answered that. Surprises were Brewer and that wierd home-away record differential.

] – I thought they would be the second worst team in basketball and lose 60 games. Spot on.

] – I thought they’d be the worst team in basketball and lose 65 games. Little off. By the standings they’re 3rd worst and will only lose 60/61. They’ve surprised me. I still don’t know how they won all those games. Just a really dysfunctional bad team. Al Jefferson took great strides improving his game which was nice to see. Nobody other surprises on the team, actually Marko’s good behaviour and the fact they found a use for him was a bit of a surprise. I don’t think that happens if Foye was healthy to start the year.

] – I thought they were a playoff caliber team with Greg Oden. I thought they’d be around or better last season’s win total without him. I didn’t expect a winning season which they’re on track for right now (41-40) so that was a big surprise. But the biggest surprise was the way achieved it. The 13 straight wins and their style of play. I expected a team that would punch of above their weight because they were scrappy (hustle, extra effort) and that they’d outrun a bunch of teams. Well the running plan didn’t look so good in training camp so Nate killed that, instead they’ve become one of the best executing teams in the halfcourt across the league. Travis Outlaw’s stellar play has been the biggest surprise. Przybilla has been better than I expected too.

– I expected they’d be good enough to beat anybody anytime anyplace but not good enough to do it 4 playoff series in a row. I expected a weak defensive ball club and they are. I expected Iverson to kill several possessions a game and he has. I expected horrible chemistry on the court and it has. But I also expected them to win more regular season games than they did. I thought they’d challenge and possibly unseat the Jazz. But all those silly losses to below .500 teams killed that chance, there was a stat on one of their broadcasts the other day that said they’ve lost 11 games by 10 points to below .500 teams.

by Who on Apr 16, 2008 7:25 AM EDT reply actions  

utah—not the best or top3 on the team, but i love kirilenko. he is a better james posey.
minnesota- i miss big al and feel, no matter how he progresses, he is stuck in lottoland.
portland-i love aldridge and they are the potential champs when oden arrives.
denver-the land of the thugs. poor camby is wasted on this team.

by nazzbo on Apr 16, 2008 7:46 AM EDT reply actions  

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