CelticsBlog: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Around SBN: Baby Boilers no more: Michigan State-Purdue Preview

Grading The Blogger Predictions

Over the last week we let bloggers look back on their preview articles and review their work.   Now Jason Gurney of BallHype was kind enough to put together a sortable chart of all the preseason predictions vs. each team's final record.

See all the results here. 

Of course most Celtics fans vastly underestimated how great this team would be.  On the other end of the spectrum are the Bulls and Heat fans that really overestimated their team's chances.  But Jason noticed another trend.

Interesting footnote: in the last two years, predictions in the range of 40-42 wins have been the kiss of death. Last year, 7 predictions came in at between 40 and 42 wins, and they overerstimated by an average of nearly 8 wins. This year was even worse—the 7 near-.500 predictions were off by a whopping 12 wins. Word to the wise: if you find yourself predicting a .500 record for your team next year, you may want to consider ratcheting down your expectations.

By the way, this is a good chance to tell you about BallHype's Playoffs Pick'em Contest. I just created a group just for CelticsBlog readers.   Feel free to join and compare scores with everyone else.

0 recs  |  Comment 0 comments

Story-email Email Printer Print

Comments

Display:

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

CelticsBlog is a growing interactive community dedicated to providing fresh, comprehensive coverage of the Boston Celtics.
Start posting about the Celtics »

Join SB Nation and dive into communities focused on all your favorite teams.

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recent FanPosts

Small
Why is the trade taking it too long!!!!
Small
Huge TRADE WORKs ON TRADE MACHINE
Small
Monta Ellis next to Rondo?
Small
relax with all the trades!!! .. for now
Small
BOS OKC Trade Idea
Small
Stoudemire/Richardson for Ray/Baby, expirings...
Small
Another Philly Trade Idea
Small
GREAT TRADE IDEAA
It_s_rajon__small
Oh Sheed...how we forget that...
190518335osmpfk_ph_1__small
Ray Allen for Jason Richardson?

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

Sponsors


Managers

Shamrock-blk-trans_small Jeff Clark

Editors

Hoosiers-dvdcover_small Roy_Hobbs

Leon_powe_small Green17

Ud_small indeedproceed

300h_small Wide Load

Authors

Photo_14_small Steve Weinman

1_koolaid_avi_small FLCeltsFan

Po3_small Master Po

Images_small Bent

Small tenaciousT

Big_4_small Jimmy Toscano

Celtics_shirt_small Greg Payne

Small Fafnir