A Dark Fourth Quarter Feeling
A Daily Babble Production
We're now closing in on two o'clock on Tuesday morning. I've gone through all possible avenues. An hour on the phone with The Guru's calm fatherly voice taking me through the right and largely wrong of last night's events. Forty-five minutes of screaming back and forth with a long-time best friend and antagonist afterwards. Much of the last hour spent doing some mutual therapy chatting with our very own CelticBalla32. The most angering loss of the year is sticking with me for now.
Well, that's not entirely fair. The loss happened. It's over. The Celtics lost Game 4 in Atlanta as well and came back strong in Game 5 for a big victory. This team has given us every reason all year to put our faith in it, and even if it hadn't, that's what we would have done, because we are fans as in fanatics -- keepers of the faith. Over the next 48 hours, the sting of this loss will go away as the nervous energy flow for Game 5 gains strength (it has already begun).
But what isn't subsiding is the feeling of terror in the fourth quarter. In a lot of ways, the strength of this terror is a tribute to how wonderful a season it has been for this Celts team. That's because the terror came from a problem that we knew about subconciously at the very least from day one, but it took 82 regular season games and 11 playoff games before it reared its ugly head enough to be this disconcerting. That says something wonderful about how well this team cruised through most of the year.
But the terror itself says something else: That as of right now, these Celtics do not have an option to go to for a bucket going to the rim when they need it the most.
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This was the feeling that held me in a death grip throughout last night's 12-point fourth quarter: They have a guy to go to every time, and we don't have a way to get a big basket.
This is really a lot less about "their guy" than it is about the make-up of this Celtics team. I'm not asking anybody on this team to be LeBron James. LeBron is a special breed of player on par with just one other swingman in this league right now and few others for all time. That isn't the point. Further, the Celtics ultimately did another fairly decent of limiting him prior to the dunk that blew the roof off the building to build the Cavs' lead to nine with 1:45 to play.
What this is about is that this Celtics team is for the most part a team of shooters. Ray Allen has made a career of being a shooter. In fact, he is one of the best this league has ever seen. Kevin Garnett is a fantastic mid-range jump shooter. It's the bread and butter of his offensive game (along with his unselfishness), and he does quite a job from 15 to 18 feet. James Posey and Sam Cassell are perimeter shooters as well. Rajon Rondo hasn't seen the floor at the end of too many close games as of late, and he has been having a rough go of it when he has been involved. When he has been around, the Cavs have forced him into taking shots from the corners and wings, which isn't his game.
The problem here is that for the most part, shooters are going to have hot nights and cold nights. When shooters are cold, there isn't much to do but wait for them to heat up again. Some nights, that never happens. On a team on which nearly everything is done from mid-range and beyond, that makes it very difficult to get baskets -- and thus to win -- down the stretch in close games.
The difference between a shooter and a slasher is that a slasher has a greater capacity to make himself hot. Going to the rim means taking a shot from closer to the basket, which even if contested is often going to be a higher percentage shot. When a player can beat the defense, an open lay-up is generally more of a guarantee than an open trey or jumper, no matter how cold the slasher may be. Further, going to the basket means that there is a greater chance of contact and a foul. Scorers can get going by getting themselves to the foul line and getting easy points with the clock stopped. And, of course, the best ones also create easier looks for everybody else by getting into the lane and wreaking havoc. Those looks can be kick-outs for less contested perimeter jumpers, or they can be dishes to teammates cutting to the basket for dunks and lay-ins.
Last night, it was painfully clear that the Celtics didn't have that at all, at least for the evening. It isn't Doc's fault. It -- with one exception, which we'll address shortly -- isn't even necessarily about what the players should be doing. It's simply about who they are, particularly the stars. Ray Allen has been a shooter for more than a decade in this league and an excellent one at that -- even if he has been cold over the past few games, there should be no need to play the "What have you done for me lately?" game with Ray. Kevin Garnett brings an unbelievable total package to the table. He is a great defender, a tremendously unselfish teammate, a deft passer and a tenacious rebounder. He is also reliant on his mid-range shooting for an enormous portion of of his scoring. That's part of the package, and it's a package that we Celtics fans have come to love, and it seems safe to say that most of us (self certainly included) wouldn't give it up for the world. Whether it is fair to ask players like Allen and Garnett to change is another issue, but it looks clear that there is no evidence that would support the idea of expecting them to change at this point. They are who they are.
This brings us, of course, to the elephant quietly sitting in the corner of the room, the man who has been left conspicuously unmentioned thus far in this discussion: Paul Pierce.
Pierce's situation is the most confusing of those of the three stars because this is the guy who does seem to have changed, at least as of late. If there is anyone on this team expected to be the man when it comes to the crunch-time slashing, this is the guy. This is the man who used to be a routine top-five finisher in free throws made and attempted in this league. This is the man who once seemed to long for the fourth quarter. For his time. For the time when he stepped it up in a way that few others in the league could.
Certainly, there isn't an expectation here that the free throw totals or the scoring numbers will be as high as they once were. Pierce has done a great job becoming more deferential in a season that required it on his part. He needed to cede some of the offensive burden to his new co-workers, and he has done an admirable job of it. The confusion here isn't about the total numbers. It's about how Pierce has been reaching those numbers. Particularly as of late, he seems to be doing more settling than ever before. The Celtics and we fans would have to live with it if this guy was working to get to the rim on a play-to-play basis and simply having trouble finishing or getting calls. But that isn't the case. Pierce has been routinely settling for perimeter jump shots, sometimes semi-reasonable mid-range looks and sometimes clearly forced threes, on which he really hasn't looked particularly effective throughout this series.
Through the first four games against Cleveland, Pierce has taken 16 threes compared to just 14 foul shots. That isn't a formula for success, and it isn't about the officiating. It's about Pierce's decision-making and his choice to settle with far too much regularity. In fairness to PP, The Guru offers up the possibility that it may be an issue of energy conservation for Pierce. He has spent much of his time on the floor this series guarding and being guarded by one of the best players in the league, a player who happens to be bigger, stronger and faster than Pierce is. There is no shame for Pierce in not being LeBron James, and the truth remains that The Truth has done a fantastic job on LBJ on the defensive end thus far this series. It's hard to ask any more of him on than what he has given on that end.
But if conserving energy because of all that is being expended on the defensive end is the issue at hand, it brings up a different concern. Pierce doesn't have a shot quota. He isn't contractually obligated to pull the trigger a certain number of times each night. So while the not getting to the rim as much as he might be expected to normally might make sense, what doesn't add up is his apparent compulsion to force outside shots seemingly just for the sake of heaving. If Paul isn't getting to the bucket, it would seem far more reasonable for him to move the ball and make LeBron work on the defensive end by generating as much off-the-ball movement for himself as possible. The pressing treys do this team no good.
Whether there is something Doc should be doing to make the situation easier for Pierce, I'm not sure. Same goes for just how related this change is to Pierce's defense on LeBron, an effort for which he deserves plenty of praise. Ditto for whether or not there is something the coach can do with this roster overall in order to manufacture that crunch-time scorer.
But one way or the other, the fact remains that at present, this is now virtually an exclusively jump-shooting Celtics team. The boys in green don't have a go-to scorer at crunch time, and they don't have a way to generate easy buckets when the game hangs in the balance.
When nearly every other team around the league -- especially the ones competing at the level that the Celtics are striving to reach -- has one such scorer, that's a discomforting thought.
When the opponent at hand has the freak of nature that is LeBron James, it's a purely terrifying one.
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17 comments
Comments
Steve, this is on Pierce. But, in fairness, he has to guard James. No other choice, unless you start Posey instead of Perk. So you’re asking a 30 year old with lots of mileage to guard the league’s top physical freak and give us 25 points. Collins said it well last night. Both teams expende so much energy on defense, there’s nothing left in the tank for offense. Except for Lebron. He well may be the difference.
by celty86 on May 13, 2008 5:22 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
-I would take KG on the high post vs KG on the block every day of the week and twice on Sundays
-Yes, Rondo is taking a lot of shots because PP, RA aren’t comming off screens and KG has been ordered/planted in the low-post
-No one cut to the basket when KG was about to force that basline -behind the basket – shot….while the lane was wide open for cutters(maybe TA can give some lessons on how to move without the ball – especially when your teamate is about to be traped)
by cocofan on May 13, 2008 6:18 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
This series is over…Cleveland will take it in 6.
How’s that sound fellas?
Pretty bad, huh?
Cleveland can easily come to Boston and steal one now…still buzzing from Lebron’s thunderous dunk that I’ve been forced to watch nearly 30 times now.
And if Cleveland wins tomorrow night, it’s OVER.
O for OFFENSE [lack of] or OVERRATED
V for VICTORY [cleveland]
E for EXIT [boston]
R for RIDICULE
This team isn’t as good as we thought.
This team has no heart on the road
This team is poorly coached on the road in the playoffs
This team stinks
This team roped us all in and is sucking the life out of us
This team is my team and I hope they win
This team still has homecourt
This team had better show up tomorrow night
This team needs a win in the worst way
This team needs to show some toughness in the paint
by mcpu40 on May 13, 2008 7:16 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Well analyzed, Steve; right on point. The Lakers have a go to guy in Kobe. Spurs have Ginobili; Hornets have Paul; Detroit has Wallace, Billups and Hamilton. Cavs have Lebron. We used to have PP. Now it 50-50 chance he gets stripped of the ball driving in. I used to love TA as our driver; apparently his drive has been shortened by his injury. All the others need the space even to shoot the ball decently. You are absolutely right; we have no go to guy as the team is presently constructed. Well, Its been a wonderful season; but the stay at Disney Land is probably over; if not now, it will be a little later. Still, its been a wonderul ride.
by Reyquila on May 13, 2008 7:23 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I am surprised Boston doesn’t put Rondo on the floor at the end of the game. He has some pretty good driving ability. I could Boston spreading the floor and lettin Rondo go one on one. The drive and kick is a great weapon.
by MMacOH on May 13, 2008 7:29 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
we win as a team & lost as a team…thought the game was for us to take…but our Offense was the problem in the 4th.
I disagree with DOC. in the playoffs you need heros….someone needed to step up.
this ball movement stuff works but at the end of the day of our 3 stars one needs to try to win one for the team.We want “hero shots”
Lets hope we win tomorrow.
by tommyfan on May 13, 2008 7:34 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Um, no tommyfan, we DON’T want hero shots.
Hero shots are idiotic.
Raining 3’s after 1 pass with NO ONE THERE TO REBOUND is an idiotic strategy.
It shows nothing.
by mcpu40 on May 13, 2008 7:40 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
big shot /hero shots are not bad 3’s. i mean big shots…..Pierce needs to drive. We need a guy to step up & make some big shots.
Call it what you will……. I’m hoping we win in Boston.
by tommyfan on May 13, 2008 8:16 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I wont get so down on these Celts. Neither the Lakers nor Jazz, nor Hornets nor Spurs have won on the road this second round either. Lets have a little faith right now, there will be plenty of time to rip them after the season is over. The positive is that this game was much better than their last.
The offense is the problem. We need to open things up. Maybe with Rondo driving and dishing. If its going to be Pierce, we need someone else on James — Posey perhaps. If we’re going to swing it to Allen, we need Cassell at PG or Rondo driving or the defense will just sag.
Right now the offense is KG or bust and he, though a great player, wasn’t built that way.
by GreenBalls on May 13, 2008 8:16 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Nice read, Steve. This IMHO explains why the Cs have given TA chance after chance: hoping the light bulb would finally turn on, because he has slasher ability. Too bad he’s a dunce.
by Eeyore III on May 13, 2008 8:17 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Like everything in life nothing happens in a vacuum, or without multiple reasons. I said Doc can’t coach a long time ago, and I still feel that way. I was a lonely voice in here about Cassell a few months back, and in fact I was ridiculed to say that Sam Cassell was not going to be that great for us. I wish I was wrong on bot counts. But even those two things are only 1/4 of the story. Shot selection last night in the 4th was terrible. 3 point shots at bad times are killing us. KG quit rebounding offensively for som reason. etc. etc etc.
It’s weird. My analogy would be the Celtics this season are like drilling an oil well. I feel like we have drilled so close to hitting the mother-load of oil (Banner 17) and now we could easily have drilled a completely dry hole because we were never were really over the big oil itself. We just thought we were all season. Doc keeps adjusting the pitch and angle of the drill-bit itself when he should just drill straight down (with the stating five). Maybe we still strike a pocket of oil, but we ain’t dead center over the mother-load, and we are quickly running out of pipe and time.
We can drill a new hole next year, but all of our drill bits will be older and less sharp. Gotta keep the faith but I am going to start building a wind turbine.
by Master Po on May 13, 2008 8:30 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Start Posey at small forward. Put PP at the two guard and have Ray come off the bench. This could allow PP to overpower Wally and make it easier for him to drive the lane. Also, he would not be guarding LeBron which would probably give him more energy on offensive end. It will also may it easier for Ray since he is now operating against the second team. Gibson would be guarding him and Ray has a significant height advantage here.
by bobs on May 13, 2008 9:18 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
bobs: I like your ideas but changing the lineup would be a tad panicky right now. It should be run though perhaps to start the second half. I expect another win at home. If that lineup and switch proves good, switch to it fast in game 6 at the first smell of trouble.
by GreenBalls on May 13, 2008 9:29 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I agree with Bobs although Doc won’t do that 93 games into the season. Pierce is working his a off defending lebron so I can forgive him some of his offensive struggles. truth is that the Truth has struggled against LeBron for the past few years. I think the real elephant in the corner is that not one of our three ‘stars" can take over a game in this series. at some point one of these guys has to get hot and we need to ride them. Is this series over? Maybe. But even if it’s not and we beat cleveland, it will feel tainted and hollow because all of us have looked into the heart of this team and we’re disappointed by what we’ve seen. I can’t say I really surprised. For those of you unfortunate enough to have witnessed Paul Pierce come up small against Indiana a few years ago it’s no shock that he’s coming up small again. But in fairness, LBJ is younger, stronger and bigger. I thought the only celtic who played well last night was PJ and he’s 105. we are an old team getting older by the second. Look, it was always a crap shoot when Danny traded away everything for Garnett and Allen. we got lucky with Posey and House and seemed to get lucky again with Cassell and PJ. To me the turning point in the downward trend was the acquisistion of cassell who is a shoot first and second guy. the offense dies when he’s out there and he can’t guard gibson that’s for sure. how abouyt him screaming at baby for HIS mistake. Back to the team as constructed. I never thought this team would win 66 games. Somewhere along the line I became a believer and rank the koolaid. If we had played during the regular season the way we’re playing now I would not have been surprised. But those 66 wins sucked me in and now that we are crashing to earth it’s ever so much more painful. If we lose this series that’s it for me. I’m done with this team for at least a year. Is Pierce the anti-christ? NO but by the same token I don’t believe that Pierce will ever lead this team to a title. I have a good friend who gets on me for being a Pierce basher. Trust me it’s not because I dislike the guy but I’ve just seen too many games from our captain that make me question his greatness. On the 84 team we had more players with heart than we do on this team. this team lacks something and it’ showing in these playoffs. It’s sad to see but there it is. If we win game 5 we’ll all be back on the bandwagon but the bloom is off the rose that’s for sure. Too bad because I really thought this was going to be a magical post season capping off a magical year. Instead we look like the 8th seed.
by Red2 on May 13, 2008 9:38 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I’ve been a lurker since the previous CsBlog site, but I gotta post my comments. I was apprehensive in the beginning to crown the Cs champs. In the beginning I thought next year, but I too started drinking from the Kool-Aid. Cs are a finesse team and like Nellie’s Mavs they won’t pass Detroit. That being said I rather have THIS than be the 2nd worst team in the NBA and look forward to Rondo improving and this team gelling better together after knowing what they need to do to win in the playoffs. Again you’ve heard this time and time again that this is the 1st time this team has been playing together in the post-season. It doesn’t matter if they swept the Hawks or the Cavs â€" they are not beating Detroit and not getting 17 â€" this year. I’m a diehard and after the Cs have been exposed, I’m back to how I was before I believed the hype. Give this team one year underneath their belt. I’m sure they’ll make waves next year. We, the media fans crowned them before they did anything disrespecting Detroit and Spurs. Sorry folks it’s not going to be LA vs Celts this year. They don’t need a hero they need to move the ball, and move without the ball â€" this creates the open layups and jumpshots that made them tough team to defend this year. But I take it for what it is â€" I love this team and grateful that they made hoops relevant again in Boston.
by cvtony on May 13, 2008 9:58 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Totally agree with Bobs. I don’t think starting Posey would be a panic move so much as it would be an adjustment. When you are playing the same team in a series, adjusting things to better handle the unique situations that team presents is the right thing to do. Allen could be a spark of the bench and Pierce could save much needed energy to be the offensive catalyst this way.
Pierce can definitely stay with Wally defensively and if the Cavs adjust and play Boobie and DWest together I think Pierce can stay with DWest too. If not then bring in Ray.
Pierce needs to get going offensively for us to win this, and I think the best chance for that to happen would be to lighten his defensive load.
by peckerneck on May 13, 2008 11:34 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

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