Unexpected Plan In Backcourt For Hicag?
A Daily Babble Production
Since the Bulls made Memphis point guard Derrick Rose the first pick in the 2008 draft a week and a half ago, there has been more than a bit of theorizing from observers across the Association that the end of Kirk Hinrich's days in Chicago are near.
Hinrich is on the books for an onerous $36.5 million between now and 2012. He's also a point guard but no longer the franchise point guard. Thus, shipping him rather than paying quite a chunk of change to a back-up seems logical enough.
But the actual plan may in fact be a third option.
As ESPN's Marc Stein reported in yesterday's Daily Dime, there is at least some sentiment that has arisen in the Chicago organization in favor of moving restricted free agent shooting guard Ben Gordon in a sign-and-trade while sliding Hinrich into the starting shooting guard's role.
The first part has sounded excellent for some time, but I'm unsure of how much sense it makes if the latter is part of the equation.
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Independent of the Hinrich situation, the contention here has for some time been that this team would be best served in the long run by getting rid of Gordon as he is likely to be more valuable as a trading piece than as a player in Chicago.
To his credit, Gordon is an able scorer and an excellent three-point shooter -- he has never shot below 40 percent from beyond the arc. But virtually everything else about his game seems to be to his discredit. He is undersized as a 6-foot-3 off-guard, and as a result he contributes very little on the glass and has a lot of trouble defensively. Gordon is a poor defender and not a great passer, and he doesn't necessarily handle the ball all that well, particularly for someone who entered the league with the combo guard label attached. Further, for as good a three-point shooter as he is, his true shooting was only 55.8 percent this past season (and 54.8 for his career), which ranked him 22nd among qualified shooting guards. Gordon only gets to the line four times per game, which ranked him in the middle of the pack (14th) among two-guards last season as well.
Undoubtedly, the former UConn guard's scoring has been important to a Chicago team that has been largely strapped in that department in recent years. But since he is a restricted free agent, the Bulls are likely going to need to give Gordon a hefty long-term deal in order to keep him around, and given the flaws in his game and the fact that he is a capable scorer rather than a great one, it may be wiser for the Bulls to move Gordon while they can get something for him and then search for a replacement scorer later on.
The problem is that this line of theorizing seemed to make considerably more sense when the Bulls didn't have a $36 million point guard in no man's land. Hinrich was a good point who as recently as a year ago seemed well on his way to jumping a class in the NBA's floor general strata. In 2006-07, he set career highs in scoring (16.6 points per game), field-goal shooting (44.8 percent), three-point shooting (41.5 percent) and foul shooting (83.5 percent) while still putting up a solid 6.3 assists per game, hitting clutch shots and leading the Bulls to the second round of the playoffs. The following season, the scoring and shooting figures all dropped precipitously, to the tune of 11.5 points per game, 41.4 percent field-goal shooting and 35.0 percent free-throw shooting.
The Bulls had a season full of tumult, and Hinrich was far from the lone culprit, so there remains some belief around the league that he has the capability to regain the level of play he showed two seasons ago and become a very solid point guard in this league again. This gives him some value despite the high price tag. The problem is that with Rose in town, starting at the point won't be an option for Hinrich.
While the Bulls used him at shooting guard in tandem with utility point guard Chris Duhon at times in the past, having Hinrich at the two seems like a questionable solution in its own right. Though he is a better defender than Gordon, he isn't a great defender, and at 6-foot-3 as well, he shares the same problem with regard to being undersized. He is clearly an inferior shooter to Gordon and isn't exactly a fixture at the free-throw line either.
Hinrich is no doubt not the scoring presence Gordon is, and the rest of his game likely isn't enough of an improvement over Gordon's in order to make him the right man to have the spot at the two. Hinrich might be the better overall player in the long term, but without the right position available for him, he instead becomes either an overpaid back-up or an overpaid guy playing out of position. Both of those possibilities make moving him seem to be the best option.
Ben Gordon still doesn't thrill me as a long-term part of the plan in Chicago, and it might even be ideal for the Bulls to continue the roster make-over they began at last year's trade deadline by ridding themselves of both Gordon and Hinrich. But under the present circumstances in the Windy City, perhaps Hinrich may just be the better man to move if the right deal comes along.
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Gordon as he is likely to be more valuable as a trading piece than as a player in Chicago.
I disagree very strongly with this theory.
Ben Gordon will always have more value as a player to Chicago than as a trade asset. Every team in the league knows his flaws and nobody is going to give up a player who’s as capable a scorer …… which is important considering Chicago lack scoring. They also lack shooting if they move Ben with only two (Noce, Kirk) capable three point shooters in the lineup along with their zero post presences, that’ll be fun ….. There’s no other team in the league that will use Ben Gordon as their leading scorer, none (think through all the teams from A-W and realize how true that sentence is).
Why do you think Chicago haven’t been able to make a trade?
The answer is their pieces are far more valuable to them than to other teams. That causes a huge and constant complication for John Paxson. Johnny boy seems to have a hard time understanding this and seems to lose his patience when other teams disagree with his valuations of his own players (which reportedly are always grossly different to the team he’s negotiating with which is very easy to believe). The difference in player evaluations has been at the crux of every major trade that’s fallen through. Pax isn’t wrong when he only considers his own team, where he’s wrong is that he isn’t considering the other team.
They’re not getting any good offers for Ben Gordon. Ben Gordon isn’t a good trade asset. Kirk Hinrich’s trade value will be far higher than Ben Gordon’s because he can fit into anyone’s team and play his game without needing others to change their games for him. Gordon can’t. Hinrich plays a valuable position. Gordon plays the position (undersized two who only knows how to score) that scares the life out of teams.
The only Bull with good trade value is Luol Deng and that likely took a huge hit over his past season’s performance. Everyone else on that roster has poor trade value because of contracts are concerns over their actual talent/impact.
Think through some teams and ponder what they’d likely give up for Gordon. No All-Stars on that list, no borderline All-Stars on that list, no 20ppg scorers on that list. Nobody as young as Gordon on that list. Keep thinking it through. Write down your list. Look at your list. No way is that list good value for Ben Gordon.
by Who on Jul 8, 2008 1:04 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Chicago – both Reisendorf and Paxson – have some odd love affair with Kirk Hinrich. It wouldn’t surprise me in the slightest if they actually kept him to play alongside Derrick Rose.
Best option for Chicago is to take apart their whole backcourt. I don’t see any one of them being apart of the long term picture there. They also need to get rid of Nocioni and there’s a good chance they’ll need just as radical a change with their interior players.
The only player that you could count on as maybe being in the picture is Luol Deng and since they’re – (1) Desperate for scoring (2) Deng can’t create his own shot consistently (3) He’s their best trade asset – he isn’t exactly locked into that spot in their future lineup. Noah has the next best shot but he has a lot of work to undergo on his game before locking up a spot.
Chicago got a lot of maneuvering to do. A lot of changes, big changes, to bring about. Derrick Rose changes your whole team and it has to be that way to work. The minute you drafted him instead of Beasley, knowingly or not, you committed to that.
I don’t see them making the necessary moves under John Paxson. He’s scared of making trades that aren’t perfect and he won’t get those perfect moves with this group. So they’ll do something else, hopefully the ideal deal falls on their doorstep and it works out for them because I’m not convinced they get a good ending any other way.
by Who on Jul 8, 2008 1:13 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I wonder how good of a package a Ben Gordon deal would be… If my intuition doesn’t fail me, it tells me that his trade value is not good enough to move him right now. You’re better off keeping him, as I don’t envision him getting big deals around the league.
He’s also your biggest clutch shooter… when the team was successful, it was in part to 4th quarter heroics by him.
If you’re going to move Gordon, I think your best move would be to try and package him with Deng or Kirk, and see what you can get out of it. Maybe try to move him with Noah and see who bites.
by BudweiserCeltic on Jul 8, 2008 2:29 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Who, are you from Chicago? You seem to have the inside scope on that team. I would love to see Noah’s length, athleticism and energy on the C’s. He’s the guy I like when we looking at #5 in June 2007 draft. Most dismissed the idea as he wasn’t enough of a scorer. As we saw last year, you can win with defense.
by celty86 on Jul 8, 2008 5:52 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Good posts, Who. You have put your finger on exactly why no one wants Gordon.
IMHO Sefolosha also has trade value. He has been underutilized in Chicago, but he can play. But apart from Hinrich and Deng, the rest of their roster is a curious mix of flawed, mismatched pieces. And their decision to take Rose instead of Beasley just makes the situation worse. How can a team with no inside scoring pass on Beasley? They could have resolved their pg issues by resigning Duhon.
by Brickowski on Jul 8, 2008 6:43 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
celty86-follow steve’s posts every day and who seems to know the whole nba. i never liked the pickup of wallace who seems to have aged poorly. gordon is a superior eddie house and a perfect sixth man. i don’t see hinrich as a 2, and paxson seems to have lost his trading status 2 years ago when he went for wallace and stood pat with the rest. let chicago rust in peace.
by nazzbo on Jul 8, 2008 8:11 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Nope not from Chicago. There’s just a lot of good Bulls news out there because of all the rumours/media coverage over the past few years.
Is anyone watching summer league?
Chicago are getting killed by Indiana. I’m not sure if Indy have one NBA quality player on their roster. The Bulls have Rose/Thomas/Noah/Gray/Nichols/Langford/Curry.
The Pacers defense is just stopping Chicago from playing, nearly every possession is coming down to the final 4 seconds on the shot clock and a hail mary shot. Chicago’s offense looks horrific. Rose is failing to get his team enough easy shots. By the way, Vinny Del Negro is actually on the sidelines coaching here. Not good initial signs for the Bulls. Not exactly filling me with confidence over his coaching credentials. I can’t even describe how much of a mess Chicago are on both ends. Good news is Rose is doing better in transition today.
I gotta find out who’s coaching Indiana’s summer league team. They’re better prepared than any summer league team I’ve seen in recent years. It’s scary how well they’re drilled on both ends of the court. If Chicago were getting coached like this they’d be up 25 points now.
by Who on Jul 8, 2008 7:25 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I think that’s Lester Conner over on the sidelines coaching the team. That’s interesting to know. Unusual to see a team like this in summer league.
Their point guard Earl Calloway looks like he’s playing his way into a NBA contract.
by Who on Jul 8, 2008 7:41 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

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