Bench Question Marks

The Defending Champs will have a different looking bench than the Champs did. In my opinion, the Celtics have the best starting five in the league. We all know what to expect from the Paul, Ray, and Kevin. The only question with Rondo is "how much better can he get?" Even if Perkins doesn't get any better he'll still be one of the better defensive centers in the league. The bench is a different story.
Last year the team benefited from veterans with playoff experience like Posey, PJ Brown, and (to an extent) Sam Cassell. All three are gone now and Ainge has shifted to a youth movement. There are a lot of good reasons for going with a younger cast on the bench.
For one thing, the 30-something stars are going to need some fresh young legs to spell them. Also, we'll need to keep up with the younger, more athletic teams like Atlanta that gave us problems in the playoffs last year. Finally, there are the economic forces driving the roster younger. When the payroll is tied up with three max contracts, you can only fill the roster veterans looking for one last shot at glory, broken down players looking for another shot, and young players on rookie contracts. Ainge went with the latter two this offseason.
Clearly every team has bench players with question marks. If they were free from doubt, they'd more than likely be starters somewhere. However, this squad just seems a little more stacked with doubt than in the past. All have the potential to do great things, but all have a good chance at failure too. We can tick them off right down the rotation:
Returning Players:
Eddie House: We all fell in love with his energy and jumper in the playoffs, but remember that the reason the team brought in Sam Cassell was because Eddie had trouble getting the ball over half court. He just isn't a point guard. He provides instant offense as a combo guard, but don't ask him to run the offense. If Rondo goes down for any stretch, can we count on Eddie to fill his spot?
Leon Powe/Glen "Big Baby" Davis: It really isn't fair, but I can't seem to separate these two. In my head they are our Siamese twin undersized power forwards. Both flexed their muscles at times last year. It almost seemed that they took turns stepping up. Would either one benefit more from consistent minutes? Or are they like situational relief pitchers that can only be counted on in certain circumstances?
Tony Allen: He's been in the league 4 seasons and we still are not sure exactly what to expect from him. Was that brilliant stretch just before his last injury in 06-07 just a mirage, or can he finally stay healthy and fulfill some of his promise? Even if he's healthy, can he stay focused enough to be a consistent performer, or will mental errors continue to plague him?
Brian Scalabrine: He finally got demoted to the inactive list last year, but now Posey is gone. Scalabrine has a limited upside but he also has limited downside. In other words, you know what you get with him. So the only question is; "do we really have to rely on Scal this year?"
Gabe Pruitt: Gabe was drafted in the second round and spent the majority of the year on the inactive list or in the D-League. There's really not much we know for sure about him. Can he play point? Can he play defense? Is he skilled enough to contribute? Did he just need a year of experience or is he just not good enough?
New Faces
Patrick O'Bryant: Ladies and gentlemen, this is our prize free agent signing of the offseason. (So much for my comments about free agents "lining up around the block." Maybe they were lined up, but when they got to the front of the line, they were met with disinterested low-ball offers. Oh well.) POB is just one big question mark. Is there enough talent to work with? Even if he has talent, will he work at it? If the answer to either question was "yes" then wouldn't the team that used (i.e. wasted) a lottery pick on him think about keeping him around for another year by picking up his option? What style or system works best for him? Can he play defense? Can he play offense? The list goes on.
Darius Miles: If Darius plays 10 games for the Celtics, he'll cost the Blazers millions in cap space. If he plays anything close to a full season, you can just hand him the Comeback Player of the Year award and be done with it. Even if he is fully healthy and can play several more seasons, will he ever have the explosiveness that pretty much defined his game before the injuries? Even if he regains his hops, has he matured enough through life's lessons to make him a positive element in the locker room? Will we sign any more players with IMDB pages (see also Ray Allen)?
JR Giddens: He is technically a first rounder, but he was projected in the 2nd round and every other team with a 1st rounder passed on him. Being a rookie is already a challenge, but he has to break into a Championship rotation. Ray Allen might need some more rest this year, but he'll still get the bulk of the minutes and we might see Eddie House play some 2 as well. Is there any room in the rotation for him? Are his maturity issues really in the past or does he still have some growing up to do?Bill Walker: He had lottery talent before injuries to his legs sent him deep into the 2nd round. Can he stay healthy? Can he refine his game to the pro level? How much can he contribute in his rookie year?
The bottom line is that this team's bench seems like more of a risk than the team that ended the year. The flipside of that is the upside this bench has. This year's squad has a higher upside and much more long-term value than the one that won the title last year. But will those future considerations cost us in the short term? Is the strong starting 5 good enough to make up for anything the bench might lack? Are there enough "hits" on the bench to make up for the expected "misses?"
Only time will answer these questions, but it is fun to debate them in the offseason. What other questions/concerns do you have? Who do you think has the best chance of success? How about the greatest chance of failure?
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38 comments
Comments
We had no choice in losing PJ. He wanted to retire. He was big in the playoffs, but I doubt he’ll return. The Posey loss really hurt. I would have paid him and given him the years, but then we wouldn’t have been able to sigh House, who came thru for us, and TA. It would also have reduced future options. So our only real loss that we had control over was Posey. I didn’t see any free agents, worth the money, to bring in. I would like to see Alonzo Mourning as a backup to Perk, but I doubt that will happen. So alot depends on Tony Allen and Scals coming thru for us. We don’t win another championship without a bench and as it stands now the bench has declined from last year. We just need to see how others step up. I also don’t think we are necessarily thru making additions. So let’s hope for the best.
by TrueGreen on Aug 25, 2008 9:58 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
One positive way of looking at it: Last year we had 2 guys with championship experience (Posey & Cassell). This year we have 11. Not bad.
by Jeff Clark on Aug 25, 2008 10:06 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I like Danny’s approach.
The odds are that Leon and Baby will get better, Rondo and Perk too.
Not all of OBryant, Miles, Giddens, Walker and Pruitt are going to work out – that would be too good – but maybe 3 will and maybe 1-2 will replace Posey/PJ and provide critical bench strength.
I think Eddie can handle the back up point. We’re talking back up. After Doc got on him last year he got the ball into front court much quicker. There’s only room for so many fannies on the bench and Eddie brings quality – not perfection – to his role as back up point. He’s not a lockdown defender but he works hard, thinks and helps pretty darn well.
by Wildblu1 on Aug 25, 2008 10:30 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Also, Eddie plays the passing lanes better than he’s given credit for.
by KCattheStripe on Aug 25, 2008 10:40 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
This year will be a perfect answer to the question – is it the team “system”, or individual players, that gets us wins? If the coach can maximize his ability to use his puzzle pieces, and the players buy into the team defense and the coaches understand how to exploit each player’s strengths and have the right guys out there to cover up the weaknesses, then the Celts win. Team play wins.Posey was very very good, but it was because he knew his role, and the other players knew when to help out. I think the players on the roster can buy into this system that (obviously) works, SO, IMO, it is up to the coaches to make it work.
by johnnymost on Aug 25, 2008 10:54 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Nice commentary. Re: Eddie House, I strongly disagree that “we all fell in love with his energy and jumper in the playoffs.” House shot a porous 30% in the playoffs, and was generally outplayed by the opposing PG. Fans have fond memories of House because Cassell was the media whipping boy, and House is remembered for being the ML Carr cheerleader and diving for a couple of loose balls. Hopefully Rondo can play 40 minutes, and Pruitt will evolve into the backup PG. House has his place as a 12th man sparkplug, spread-the-floor shooter like we saw Game 4 against the Lakers.
by EVAN on Aug 25, 2008 10:55 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
The only key loss this year was Posey. Everything else (Sam and Pollard) wasn’t a big deal. We have 4 guys who will fill his shoes. Either one of them will step up and be the man, or the collective 4’s production will be enough.
Let’s not forget what brought us that championship ring last year – PP, KG, and Ray with a side of Rondo and Perk. The only thing that makes me nervous about repeating is an unforseen injury. The bench will be just fine.
by EJPLAYA on Aug 25, 2008 11:15 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
We haven’t seen these guys in action and 3 out of 4 haven’t seen any NBA action, so to say the team has declined is a fallacy…these players are unproven, not failures…this includes O’Bryant who hasn’t seen enough NBA minutes to make an assessment-all we have is Don Nelson’s opinion, which was in direct conflict with O’Bryant’s NBADL production…he does have work ethic issues, but we don’t know what that translates into…add the fact that he’s playing for his NBA life, and I’d imagine he’ll raise his game enough to be a 10-12 minute backup…
…as for Miles, he’s been a knucklehead, but he put stats up..if he behaves and can actually play, he’ll be productive off the bench as a versatile option for this team…
Eddie House ran the half-court pick-and-roll as well as anybody on the team—his problems with PG were full-court pressure related, not running the offense in the half court…
Gabe Pruitt isn’t in a position where he must contribute and its asking a lot of him to call him a failure if he does not…most players see their greatest development between years 3 and 5…Gabe has solid competition ahead of him, so he shouldn’t be expected to win the back up job…
Leon Powe was in the uppper-echelon of ALL NBA PLAYERS in terms of offensive efficiency…he was masterful in pick-and-roll, offensive rebounds, and cuts to the basket while showing great promise in post situations…Davis faded as the season went on, but still had his share of big games…contract years for both should yield good results…
Tony Allen is a total wildcard…being healthy for two years in a row would be nice and he’s got a contract now, so that should help with his confidence…the increase in competition should hopefully bring out the best in him, but we’ll have to wait and see…
Bottom line, if this team is lacking in any area they have months and months to evaluate the situation and rectify it—there will be many acquirable vets out there…this team is still going to win 50 ball games as currently constituted, so the types of concerns we’re having are about bit players who we can get basically anytime…
by BillfromBoston on Aug 25, 2008 11:21 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
A common thread being often repeated is that there is more mystery about the quality of “bench” that we have this year. Much of that doubt comes from the fact that most of us have not recently seen just how the “new additions” have upgraded their game. “In Danny we trust” is another slogan that seems to ring “hollow”. Why do you ask?
Well, we certainly missed with Gerald Green and perhaps with Gabe Pruitt as well. But consider that in BOTH cases each player was supposedly rated much higher than their draft position and Danny even acknowledged that he didn’t get the chance to really scout either player. Danny’s track record is much better when we consider players that he has had time to scout.
Thus the additions of O’Bryant , Giddens and Walker represent players that Danny has scouted. Perhaps in the case of O’Bryant, Danny may have scouted him thoroughly in Patrick’s draft year? Regardless, Danny has had time to evaluate their talent and to gauge their upside potential. It was, after all, Danny that assembled last year’s CHAMPIONSHIP team amid much second guessing too.
by moskqq on Aug 25, 2008 11:50 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
One thought… “NO PRESSURE TO WIN THIS YEAR”….. Can we all agree that when Garnett and Allen first came here we thought how long will it take to win it all. Many of us thought it would be 2-3 years before we saw them win.
This takes the pressure off the Big Three and they can go about playing there games. It also will allow Rivers to use these young players even more so that that the Big Three get added rest.
Jeff hit it on the head earlier with his comment that we now have 11 players with a ring on the roster. I think the goal for this team is to stay “HEALTHY” and make it to the playoffs and go from there.
Danny also will pick up someone toward the middle of the season… Wander if Reggie Miller has any second thoughts about comming out of retirement in January/February.
I’m not concerned, were going to be just fine
by Ancient Red on Aug 25, 2008 12:23 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Is the Celtic nation concerned that the Miles signing represents another Raef-type mistake? But are the two situations comparable?
Both Lafrentz and Miles were productive players when healthy yet both sustained career-threatening injuries. Raef’s recovery left him damaged goods and reduced his NBA effectiveness. In Miles the landscape seems more hazardous in that his injury was considered “career ending”! But Amare recovered and perhaps Miles can as well.
The real difference between Raef and Miles is their contract situation. In the case of Miles it’s a “make-good” or else contract without long term implications. We’re all aware that Raef’s contract strangulated Celtic options for roster flexibility.
We should agree that in Miles’ case all we’re offering is a “formal” invite to the preseason with especially modest financial implications. Any longer term obligations come only after Miles PROVES himself, something Raef never did.
by moskqq on Aug 25, 2008 12:27 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I agree with Ancient Red that the pressure is off this year. Last year at this time most if not all thought that it would take a few years to get it together and position the team to win it all. I believe that all five starters should play better this year. This should take significant pressure off the bench. No question the Cs will miss Posey, but I don’t think PJ and for sure Sam will be missed. Yes there are many questions about the new guys on the block, but I would argue that there is a reasonable chance that at least one and perhaps two will step up and provide decent minutes, while RR and Perk play more minutes than last year and the Big Three (I still dislike that term) play less. IMO, the Cs enter this season in a much stronger position than last.
by Silas on Aug 25, 2008 12:38 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
POB is going to tear it up this season.
by Champzilla on Aug 25, 2008 1:06 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Nice Article: Summarizes the questions well. great job. Obvious omission of positives going into what will be an exciting pre-season is a bit of a downer; but understandable given the high expectations we all have for the team.
by gar on Aug 25, 2008 1:14 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
There was alot of concern about the Celtic bench last year, and it came through. This year will probably be no different, but I’d think it was unlikely this team will win 67 games, regardless of the bench quality. the East is quite a bit better, and the starters should get more rest. Giddens and Pruitt will surprise, Walker will entice but not be ready, and O’Bryant will acceptable for 10-15 minutes, and that may be enough. If Tony Allen can be who who we fantacize him to be, we’ll be lethal. We’ll miss Posey, but more in the playoffs than regular season.
by VT Bill on Aug 25, 2008 1:44 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
don’t worry, we’ve got all of training camp and preseason to go over the “tremendous upside potential” of this bench!
by Jeff Clark on Aug 25, 2008 1:54 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
We have Bill Walker, Jr Giddens, Darius Miles, and Tony Allen for backups. I’m sure atleast 1 of them can be solid. If two of these 4 are solid I’ll prolly forget all bout Posey LOL. My only concern is the backup 7 fott center
by JR Giddens on Aug 25, 2008 2:17 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
So now that Darius Miles has tentatively taken the fifteenth and final spot on the roster, who was it on this blog that most closely predicted the makeup of this squad going into training camp? Or was that contest for the start of the regular season? (The presence of Miles might not last that long.)
by no kidding on Aug 25, 2008 3:32 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
By the way, at the top of this posting, what’s that image seemingly attached to the top of O’Bryant’s head? In real life does he have thought bubbles you can actually see? Does he has some sort of promotional contract with YouTube?
by no kidding on Aug 25, 2008 3:48 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Love the MILES signing.
Love that it can cost Portland Millions.
Love that he’s a Celtics.
Love the drama.
Love this game.
by mcpu40 on Aug 25, 2008 3:54 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
" R Giddens: He is technically a first rounder, but he was projected in the 2nd round and every other team with a 1st rounder passed on him. "
???? So now being the last means 2nd round.. Projected interesting.
by Birdbrain on Aug 25, 2008 4:05 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Most of the comments about the bench being unproven, untested etc are the same as last year. The comments were that we couldn’t win without a bench. Even Posey was criticized as being over rated and over paid.
Even the optimist who thinks we have a great bench, need to wait until the season starts.
We need to see what exactly we need and if the bench can deliver.
Let’s face it, we will go as far as the Big 3 takes us. The bench just need to fit in. Now whether that is enough remains to be seen.
by badax33 on Aug 25, 2008 4:15 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Blazers are stacked this season, they are going to be tough for Boston to beat.
by Champzilla on Aug 25, 2008 4:42 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Yeah the Blazers will be tough for the Cs to beat … in about two or three more years.
I’m warming to the Miles signing; if either he or Medical Bill Walker are healthy, we’re all set at the backup 3.
I still say we need a quality big. Perk is foul- and injury-prone, and POB just isn’t enough to fill the gap. The back-up C spot is going to bite us in the butt big time, mark my words.
by Eeyore III on Aug 25, 2008 5:18 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Realistically approaching the trade deadline last year we had big questions about the bench with Pollard’s injuries and House’s struggles at the point. Post trade deadline with the additions of PJ and Cassell we had championship depth. I like giving our question marks a chance for the first half of the year. If one or two of the Miles/Giddens/Walker combo prove pleasant surprises (the way BBD and Powe did last year), we still could add the buyout vets looking for a ring (ZO/PJ possibly) and be much deeper than last year.
Jeff has mentioned Shaun Livingston on his wish list and I hope the C’s can bring he and Quinton Ross into training camp and see who is left standing going into the season
by Behaviorla on Aug 25, 2008 5:24 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
The key decision was letting Posey walk. We won’t know for 2 years (at least) if that was the right decision.
Given the loss of Posey, I like what Ainge has done this offseason. Every signing and draft pick was low risk, high reward. And if Tony Allen develops some confidence and consistency, Posey won’t be missed at all.
by Brickowski on Aug 25, 2008 6:21 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
We can all agree Sam Cassel will not be missed.
by Champzilla on Aug 25, 2008 6:46 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Not worse, perhaps, but different: guys who can “make plays”[Doc] vs spot up shooters. TA is key.
And (more reluctantly but not without hope) POB.
by Tenacious D on Aug 25, 2008 7:19 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
In this excellent piece to get us thinking again, thanks Jeff, we’ve been concentrating on the playoffs and in reality winning the championship again. At least my comments lean in that direction. There is no doubt that the team as is will be in the playoffs. We may or may not be able to repeat getting the best record. The big decisions will come at the trade deadline when I think we definitely need a veteran big. O’Bryant and Miles are low pay and can be waived and paid off if need be. This wouldn’t be a financial disaster. So we really have two roster spots to work with, if needed. Maybe Pierce and Ray can go to Slidell, LA in the middle of the night and kidnap PJ Brown again.
by TrueGreen on Aug 25, 2008 7:21 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I don’t think POB will be waived TrueGreen, we need a 7ft player, maybe waive pruitt if he doesn’t bring something this season.
by Champzilla on Aug 25, 2008 7:32 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Folks forget how good Darius Miles could be. I personally saw him torch Pierce and the Celtics for about 35 points a few years ago, and he defends too. Immense talent, but he lacks concentration.
Miles could be an extraordinary steal. Or, his knee could give out in the second exhibition game and that’s that. But he’s certainly worth a shot.
by Brickowski on Aug 25, 2008 7:56 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
At the end of the day, Only two of these players matter: POB and TA. We know what BBD and Powe can do – and they will get better, so i am not counting them. POB simply has to be at least a little effective because of Perk’s tendency to commit a lot of fouls. TA has to produce on the defensive end and give Ray some time to rest.
by asterix on Aug 26, 2008 1:44 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
One comfort: Hopefully this isn’t the bench we start the playoffs with.
Ugh. What a mess.
by CoachBo on Aug 26, 2008 6:43 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
the backup group is interesting because it can go both ways- way up, or way down. they didn’t need scal hardly at all last year, and i think we will see more of him this year. i think doc will be resting the big 3 more and there will be more losses and everyone will have to be patient with the sub’s progress.there is an upside to the bbd/powe duo, but just how much? we would all like more mins.for perk and i hope he gets better at playing the ref game, and not lose the effort. doc probably will be slow getting giddens into the games and i hope it’s not an injury that forces his hand. tony will get his chances and i hope he makes the best of it.
by nazzbo on Aug 26, 2008 6:48 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Remember all of the hand wringing last year? Oh, it’s the worst bench in the league! Oh, it’s the worst bench ever! Oh, whatever will we do! At least if we didn’t have Allen and Garnett we’d still have a bench!
Now we’re down one Posey and up several higher-potential players and it’s: Oh, but it won’t possibly be as good as last year’s bench! Oh, if we could only have last year’s bench back again!
I guess the good news is that, again, questioning the bench is the worst problem we can come up with for the team.
by clover on Aug 26, 2008 7:29 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Jeff,
you’ve awakened me from my slumber with this post. Danny is being true to his philosophy which is to give us a bunch of swings and hopefully one of them is a homerun. There is no question in my mind that this bench is weaker than last year’s. Add Perk’s injury to the mix and celtic fans have a legitimate reason to think that this year will not be the magic carpet ride that last year was. But that’s ok because we won the championship and anything that happens this year is gravy. In many ways I view this year as a rebuilding year. I know that sounds crazy considering the talent we have. Sure we will be in the mix for a title but I’m not expecting it; there are too many things that need to go right with this young group for that to happen. As Jeff says every one of our new players is a question mark. I agree with Wildblue that one or two of them should pan out but it’s unrealistic to think that Miles, Walker or Giddens are going to give us the leadership , defense and big shot making of Posey. It’s just not going to happen. I am really excited to see what those guys plus O’Bryant and Pruitt can do but consistency is going to be a problem. In the end this year is necessary in order to develop Pruitt, Giddens, OB etc. Danny and DOc need to find out which of these guys has a future with the team. I expect that Danny will make a move at the trading deadline once he sees what our needs are going into the playoffs. I also would not be shocked at all if PJ re-upped for another title run IF we are in the mix. New Orleans to me is the team to beat out west. With the addition of Posey I think they have an excellent shot at getting to the NBA finals. Paul is the best young player in the league and they’ve added some nice pieces. It would be great to face them in the finals but we have a long ways to go before that happens. I’m excited- let’s get it started!!
by Red2 on Aug 26, 2008 7:55 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I think we’re in pretty good shape.
Patrick O’Bryant as our backup center is not as big a risk as it seems, because a lot of times Garnett plays center when Perk is out and someone like Baby or Powe or Scal can fill in. Similar rotation for the 4. The backup 3 is the biggest concern because thats where Posey was but between Miles and Walker I think we’ll have a solid backup (can TA, Giddens or Powe play here?). For 2 we have Tony Allen, Eddie House, JR Giddens and for PG there’s House and Pruitt.
The Big 3 and Rondo are going to be playing 30 minutes a night at their spots. If Perk can keep the fouls down he can log heavy minutes too. We are vulnerable to injuries (as all good teams are). I think we are honestly most vulnerable with a long injury to Rajon — we saw that we fared pretty well last year with KG and Ray out for stretches.
by GreenBalls on Aug 26, 2008 8:13 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Speaking of POB, and how he’s a quetion mark. Well, last year it was Scott Pollard and it seems to me that he didn’t provide much help and we did win 66 games and the championship.
Yes, we did pickup PJ late in the season and we was HUGE in the playoffs, but like someone else said, we can see where we are at the trade deadline and if we need someone that’s probably the time to make a move.
Let’s face it, we are going as far as the BIG 3 take us. If one of them is out for an extended period or the playoffs we are in trouble. We are not in trouble because POB might be a BUST!
by badax33 on Aug 26, 2008 8:46 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs






















