Wondering What Season Five Will Bring For Big Al

A Daily Babble Production
Along with many members of the green faithful, it's fair to label me a booster of Al Jefferson. When a guy is the future of your beloved franchise for three seasons - and particularly when his development is the one highlight among a season of nearly unmitigated misery - it's hard not to maintain a lingering affection even after he moves on.
It sadly seems worthwhile to preface the rest of this bit of rambling by clarifying that the fact that he has indeed moved on is not - repeat, not - a sore spot here. That whole bit about acquiring the sort of player who happens to be a future Hall of Famer, former MVP, current MVP candidate and the type of leader who helps turn a team into a champion - even if it costs some youth to do so - that worked for me. It turns out that watching a favorite team win a championship is a lot of fun. Considerably more fun than going 24-58 and, yes, likely even more fun than having some of those younger players, being a decent contender and probably not winning it all.
So we're not dwelling on Big Al from the standpoint of pining for him to be back in green instead of the team's current power forward (although he would no doubt be a nice piece in the frontcourt next to KG). It's the fact that he seemed for all intents and purposes to be a likable kid who worked hard and improved quickly that continues to endear him to us, and his break-out season last year in Minnesota was a nice sight to see from afar.
But though Jefferson was one of just four players players to average better than 20 points and 10 rebounds per game last year, there is still plenty of room for him to improve going forward. It's how much of that growing he'll do as a player that provides much of the intrigue for the season ahead in Minnesota.
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With 21.3 points and 11.3 rebounds per game last year, Jefferson had a very impressive season playing the center spot for a putrid Minnesota team. He has put in a ton of work on his offensive game over his NBA career thus far, and it has really shown over the last couple of seasons. His footwork inside has improved greatly, and his refined touch has allowed him to get over the 70 percent mark at the foul line and to begin to develop a mid range game. He has really started to come into his own with his command of his herky-jerky moves down low, and he is becoming an interior offensive force.
But the hope for this season for Jefferson should be that he will work to get his points more efficiently this time around. He shot exactly 50 percent from the field last season and put up a mark of just 53.5 percent true shooting. Not awful, but not wonderful for a center either. In his defense, Jefferson had to take a lot of shots on a bad team last season. This year, with a (hopefully) healthy Randy Foye, veteran sharpshooter Mike Miller, draftee Kevin Love and a now-experienced Corey Brewer around him, Jefferson should be part of an offense that is more dangerous overall. This should prevent defenses from keying on him and thus get him better looks at the basket while not requiring as many field-goal attempts of him.
But while the surroundings should play a role, Jefferson also has to improve his shot selection. At times last season, he seemed to fall a bit too far in love with his jumper, which is still getting to the point where it won't betray him regularly. He also occasionally appeared to suffer from Antoine Walker syndrome: On certain plays, Jefferson had the look of a guy who had decided that he was shooting the basketball, and that's all there was to it. This of course posed a problem when Jefferson wound up forcing shots up against multiple defenders rather than looking to patiently distribute the ball and wait for his shots in the flow of the offense. In order to take the next step offensively this season, he'll need to do a better job of recognizing and passing out of double teams as well as cutting down on his two turnovers per game, which placed him ninth among centers last season.
The big focus area of improvement, however, is at the other end of the floor. For all of the work Jefferson has clearly put in on his offensive game, it's hard to imagine he has done the same on 'D' given how stunningly bad the results there have been. The guy simply doesn't guard anybody. He doesn't stick his man, doesn't rotate well, consistently misplays pick-and-rolls, is slow getting to the spot and often winds up completely out of position on that end of the floor. The numbers back it up: He gave up a less than desirable 50.2 percent effective field goal percentage while playing center last season, and the team was an astounding 12.1 points per 100 possessions worse defensively with him on the court than off it.
Yes, the claim has been made that Jefferson is not playing his natural position at center, but it some point, it needs to be accepted that if that's where he is going to spend the brunt of hs minutes, he needs to be accountable at that position and become less of a defensive liability. Jefferson played 69 percent of the Timberwolves' total minutes at center last season (compared to three percent at power forward), and with Kevin Love coming to town as a power forward, that doesn't figure to change any time soon. Jefferson has put in so much work to become a potent offensive player that it's frustrating to imagine him not being able to do the same on the defensive end.
All that said, it's worth remembering that this is just year five coming up for a 24-year-old Al Jefferson. He's a young player who has already realized a good deal of his vast potential and still has plenty of time for more growth as a player. Even though he is no longer a Cetic, it is a pleasure to watch him improve, and the hope here is that he'll continue to do so. Because in order to make the leap toward becoming one of the game's complete interior threats, Big Al will need to take another set of steps forward, particularly as a defender.
Here's hoping the face of the future in Minnesota puts in the work and gets it done.
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For more on Big Al, particularly the issues defensively, be sure to check out this post from early last season by Britt Robson over at The Rake. Britt could well be my favorite writer in the game today. He's funny and insightful, and his words are really a pleasure to read. Definitely worth the time.
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13 comments
Comments
Once again a great piece by you, Steve. I think you summed up what most of us feel.
I truly hope that Al wins a place in the hearts of NBA fans globally and that he’ll be a player who is remembered 20, 30 or even 50 years from now.
Happy trails and thanks for being a true Celtic, AJ.
by Amager Celtic Fan on Sep 5, 2008 2:08 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Thank you for writing about Big Al. I like his game a lot and hope he will fare well in the NBA. I think you covered two of his weaknesses very well (passing, overall defense).
The third weakness is his inability to go to the line. I think he should look for contact more to improve his efficiency.
by Mahoney_jr on Sep 5, 2008 3:05 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Great work Steve.
I wonder how Big AL and K-Love will mesh…will it be good or bad Big AL?
by Mon on Sep 5, 2008 7:13 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
With Miller and Love, Big Al could actually rack up quite a few assists out of the post if he improves his vision.
I wonder if they wish they had drafted Al Thornton instead of Brewer.
by arambone on Sep 5, 2008 9:42 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
minn. will be much improved this year and so will al. i do not know the defensemindedness of the coaches in minn. but al needs coacing on d. we will always love him and our providence guy as well. miller will be a big help to al.
by nazzbo on Sep 5, 2008 10:24 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
He also occasionally appeared to suffer from Antoine Walker syndrome: On certain plays, Jefferson had the look of a guy who had decided that he was shooting the basketball, and that’s all there was to it.
Funny, that describes my pickup game to a tee. I’m an Antoine and I’m not ashamed to admit it.
by the way, agree with the above commenters, great work as usual Steve
by Jeff Clark on Sep 5, 2008 2:39 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
If they can muster any type of defense they may sneak in the 8th seed. The bottom two seeds in the west couldn’t be more wide open.
Look for Big Al to be an all star and at least an average defender this season.
by Finkelskyhook on Sep 5, 2008 4:26 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
In a perfecrt world, when his contract is up in Minny, Danny will sign him in his prime to finish his career as a Celtic. Like a salmon, Big Al, needs to “swim” back home.
by bring BIG AL back on Sep 5, 2008 4:35 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I am looking forward to seeing Big Al match up against Oden. Big Al use to own him back in AAU – it will be interesting to see if the tide has turned.
They are going to have to go through a tough Portland team if they want that eigth seed. Should be fun to watch.
by D Dub on Sep 5, 2008 4:39 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Very good article. I think Minny made a big mistake. Riley/Miami wanted out of #2 to get Mayo. Minny for very little could have had Beasley but McHale was looking to reach down too to get Kevin Love. Love is decent but not a star player. Beasley may not be Oden or Durrant but he is a notch below and until Minny can get star players to surround Big Al with they will be mediocre forever. You don’t get the #3 pick often and a chance to nudge up to get the #2. Another big mistake by McHale IMO.
by docextension on Sep 5, 2008 8:24 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Nicely said Steve. I think we all feel an allegiance towards the guys the “young guys” from two years ago. Delonte, Gomes and Big Al were fun to watch (even as the Celts were losing). I’d definitely like to seem them all succeed, so long as it doesn’t come at the Celtics’ expense (see Cle/Bos conf. semifinals `08).
Big Al, was the Big Chip that landed the Big Ticket. We’ll all forever be grateful for his piece in that. I’m a fan of Jefferson’s and hope he can take the next step of learning how to D up – or perhaps more accurately committing to D’ing up.
by redzdeadbabyredzdead on Sep 6, 2008 3:55 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I thought Al’s post defense showed some promise last season. The rest of his D was poor though.
Looking forward to seeing the Wolves play this season. They should be an interesting squad, a bad squad but interesting.
by Who on Sep 6, 2008 5:11 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

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