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Point Guard Afraid

A Daily Babble Production

The 13 assists and four steals against just two turnovers in his box score line indicate that Rajon Rondo wasn't the Celtics' biggest problem in last night's debacle in Cleveland.  He wasn't.  That the team couldn't stop anyone, that LeBron James is incredible, that Paul Pierce was anything but and that the Celtics couldn't buy a shot from the outside all played large roles in the 98-83 fiasco.  But not lost among those issues or in the midst of those nice numbers should be the fact that the Celtics' point guard was part of the problem rather than the solution last night.

While Rondo had his moments where he pushed the tempo and helped increase the efficacy of the offense (the begining of the third quarter comes to mind), it wasn't just his 1-for-8 shooting performance that truly defined his night but the body language he demonstrated in accumulating that line.  The man looked scared.

Star-divide

Rondo and the Celtics are at their best when the point guard is attacking the rim fearlessly and playing aggressive basketball all the way through every play.  The latter portion of last season's series with the Cavs is the last time I can recall Rondo consistently not doing those sorts of things.  He had several shots blocked around the rim, and especially disturbing was the regularity with which he had the ball knocked away on the fast break, particularly by LeBron James.  By the end of that series, Rondo clearly wanted no part of either LeBron or the Cavs' jungle of bigs on the inside. He had experienced something similar at times against the super-athletic Hawks, but he Cavs' size and shot-blocking ability seemed to take the tentative play to a new level for him.

Over the early portion of this season, that uncertainty disappeared.  Rondo made himself a scoring threat in the lane and didn't seem afraid of having his shot blocked.  Some of that higher confidence level may have declined over the first eight games of this recent slump, particularly when teams started putting bigs on him and forcing him toward the perimeter.  But it was last night that the confidence issues appeared to return to a high not witnessed since the Cavs series a season ago.

Looking back, I should have counted the number of occasions on which Rondo began to attack the rim, elevated toward the basket and then seemed to decide while in the air that he no longer wanted to put the ball up, opting instead to fling it back out to the perimeter, often to an unsuspecting teammate.  It won't show up in the box score or the play-by-play, and I don't have an exact figure for you, but it did happen several times over the course of the game.

In addition to the attack-then-change-mind-in-midair issue, Rondo rushed just about every shot he took around the rim.  The defining image of his shooting from around the hoop for the night was a play on which Ray Allen had his lay-up attempt blocked by James.  Rondo grabbed the ball in the air roughly two feet from the basket and all but tried to put it back in the basket before he had even caught it.  Predictably, the ball bounced off the rim and to a waiting Cavalier.  It was one of many rushed misses around the goal for a guy who couldn't seem to get the ball out of his hands quickly enough anytime he was in the same zip code as the paint all night.

Further, while Raj missed several around the bucket, there were also a few opportunities that he passed up without even making himself a threat to shoot.  As was the case against Charlotte on Tuesday night, Rondo also had a couple of instances in which he caught the ball just outside the block and made no effort to get set in a triple threat position, square up to the basket or attack.  This was not lost on defenders, and it prevented Rondo from being effective when he caught the ball down low.  The Cavs didn't have to leave other Celtics open in order to send help because there was no threat of Rondo getting to the basket for an easy two as he just wasn't looking for it.

Really, it's the first problem about making his decisions in midair that is the most frustrating.  While Rondo had only two turnovers on the night, consistently making a last-second decision to fling the ball back out to the perimeter has plenty of risk of resulting not only in a turnover but a fast break for the other team.  Even when the ball isn't turned over, it doesn't do much good to catch a teammate off guard because that teammate often won't be ready to do something useful with the basketball.  Finally, it's just a bad sign to see the point guard who catalyzed this offense during the team's 19 straight wins look so gun-shy about making himself a scoring threat.

Whether Rajon Rondo's timidness around the rim last night was an issue unique to facing a Cavaliers team that blocks a lot of shots is uncertain. It could have been a result of the frustration of having not played well recently, or it could have simply not been his night as far as shooting the ball was concerned.  Perhaps (and this writer has the omnipresent faith of a fanatic) he will get that confidence back next time out against Toronto.  But for one game, the point guard looked downright scared of getting his shot blocked inside.  And that is one of the last things the Celtics need if they are going to get their offensive swagger back anytime soon.

***

Programming note: Sunday's Celtics-Raps tilt tips in the early afternoon, so the Babble will come at you a few hours later than its normal time.  Likely early evening rather than one o'clock, but it will be present as always.

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Absolutely

That’s the issue. Bottom line. That is why all the talk about Rondo’s jumper is so frustrating. He does not need to knock down jump shots to be a terror. Don’t get me wrong, I’d love to see it happen. It’s just not ever the issue between him playing well or not, and the Celtics winning or not. “Playing off Rondo” is not a new strategy. It’s been going on for a year and a half. Nothing the defense does is ever the reason for Rondo’s demise. To me it is always his mentality, as you demonstrated in this article Steve.

It is absolutely a confidence issue. Rondo is much more comfortable setting up teammates than he is finishing himself. Also, he needs to improve his free throw shooting. Mainly because Rondo does not have the strength, and probably never will, to finish a lot of And 1’s. You can see it in his body language at the free throw line, he’s not very comfortable up there. To make things worse, he’s very good at drawing contact. I think this may be part of the problem, knowing that if he takes it up theres a good chance of going to the free throw line. Great article Steve, it’s good to see someone hitting on the ACTUAL problems with Rondo, instead of the same old incorrect assessments of his game.

SCOTT

by Vegas Scott on Jan 10, 2009 1:13 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

 I don’t care how many shots he gets blocked. He needs to continue to be aggressive and take everything to the rim. He also has a bad habit of passing while off his feet. That’s a fundamental error that they teach you to avoid at an early age. Once in the air you’re committed to do something with the ball: shoot it, pass it, turn it over. An occasional jumper to keep the defense honest is warranted, but he needs to heed the words of Tommy and Bob Cousy: ATTACK…ATTACK…ATTACK!!!

- JoeB

by joeb on Jan 10, 2009 1:29 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Finishing

Finishing at the rim has become an issue for Rondo recently. And not only against the cavs. He goes up for layups with his typical aggression and the ball rims out – its usually fairly close, but it just doesn’t fall. And as Scott and you say, his confidence then adjusts (poorly) and he decides to kick it out to no one in particular, forcing someone like KG, who just got the ball in a bad spot from a penetrating Rondo, put up a forced jumper or find someone else in an equally bad spot. I can recall from this game specifically a time when Rondo went to the rim, decided not to put it up, passed it out to KG, who had nothing and passed it back to Rondo who also had nothing because while all of this was occuring under the basket the entire cavs d was able to get back (while ray and paul stood at the perimeter) – eventually though KG scored but this was a terrible looking play and more luck than smarts.

by Slick on Jan 10, 2009 1:34 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Basically...

Rondo needs to be more selfish. Who would’ve thought I’d say that about a point guard.

by Slick on Jan 10, 2009 1:36 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Rational Rondo Talk??

We are definitely on the same page Slick. Over passing has probably been this team’s biggest issue since they came together. Which is what often leads to our biggest statistical issue: turnovers. How many times have we seen a surprised Perkins drop a pass near the rim because he just got an unsuspecting pass from Rondo or KG when they themselves were in an equal or sometimes better position to score themselves. This is something KG has done for years, and is why he received a lot of criticism for deferring, especially late in games.

Rondo needs to break himself of this habbit. Especially because when you’re at the basket, even if you miss, more often than not the weakside defender is the reason you missed, leaving the weakside offensive player in perfect position for a rebound. Doc should create a “Rondo rule” where if he is within 4 feet of the basket he has to shoot. This would force Rondo to gain that confidence of finishing at the basket that he desperately needs to help this team win its 2nd title in a row.

SCOTT

by Vegas Scott on Jan 10, 2009 1:52 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Creative

Stay with the same line-ups in the next 2 games if they do not come out of their slump make a couple of changes in the line-up between 1st and the 2nd unit to shake things up.

by CelticsWin on Jan 10, 2009 1:51 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

yes.

Well said, that’s pretty much it. It’s maddening to see poor decisions from Rondo whenever he anticipates contact at the rim, we could make a highlight reel of them from last night’s game alone. I know he’s gotten blocked down there a few times and his layups aren’t always money but that’s no excuse really. His last second outlet passes have become far too frequent and rarely have a positive outcome on the offense.

On top of that, his confidence in his jump shot could not be lower. Unless it’s a 3 for some reason, which I never want to see Rondo taking unless there’s no other option. It’s not that Rondo can’t shoot, we saw him hit open shots regularly last season that he passes up every time now. It’s part mental and part mechanical but it’s a problem and a major point of weakness in our offensive attack. And every other team in the league knows this.

by NYDan on Jan 10, 2009 1:53 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

This may in fact be true...

But then how does it get fixed? Mentally is a tough thing to change, in my opinion, possibly harder than the actual mechanics of his shooting.

by illantari on Jan 10, 2009 2:03 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Did anyone notice the play at the end of the first half last night? With less than 10 seconds Rondo brings the ball down the court and immediately passes to Perkins who is on the baseline about 10 feet from the basket. Now if it’s Paul Pierce who can create his own shot that’s one thing but Perkins? Not exactly known for his offensive repertoire and that’s who our point guard goes to in the closing seconds? He has to be smarter than that but what concerns me is that it seemed he wanted the ball out of his hands as soon as possible rather than driving the lane or pulling up for a mid-range jumper (which likely would’ve been a bad miss).

by Celts_Fan_From_LA on Jan 10, 2009 2:47 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Excellent observation

Thanks for reminding me about this. That end of half play was a fiasco.

-sw

Manuel Aristides Ramirez is the greatest hitter I've ever seen.

by Steve Weinman on Jan 10, 2009 3:02 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Good piece Steve, but I am not going to back off my criticism of his jumper. He has to develop a consistent one to be an All-Star, which he obviously is not. The bigs strategy is going to shut him down – and hurt this offense – until he does.

Beyond that, the timid play yesterday is something we’ve seen before. He’ll overcome that.

But his game will remain flawed until his offense develops.

by CoachBo on Jan 10, 2009 4:13 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

That play was bad

That play was definitely a bad decision by Rondo, but also a rarity. His decision making is great except that he just over passes and goes through phases where he makes things more difficult at the rim than it needs to be. He’s not the only one doing this though. Leon Powe has been suffering from this a lot this year. Kevin Garnett does it from time to time in my opinion. Glenn Davis does it. Ray Allen does it. Tony Allen and Paul Pierce are the only guys on our team that go to the rim and get THEIR shot 10 times out of 10. The main difference is that these other players on our team still shoot, they just take a more difficult shot than they need to. Rondo often elects to pass instead. The biggest adjustment teams have made recently has been forcing Rondo to finish every play. Once he adjusts to this, we won’t be talking about Rondo anymore, except for how he should be an all star.

SCOTT

by Vegas Scott on Jan 10, 2009 5:49 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

It wasn't Rondo

who lost us the game last night, sure Rondo was bad offensively but IMO he set the offense alright, It sure wasn’t his fault if his kick outs to PP and Ray ended up clanging off the rim. What if those shots by Ray or PP or even KG were falling in, then no one here would complain and instead be praisng the guy for doing what he did….for me Rondo mixed it up by driving also to the hole…its just awful his shots weren’t falling in.

Paul was the one who lost it for the Celts last night, he was hesitant to drive to the hole last night, sure lebron was making it difficult for him but he had several chances he should have taken it to the hole but instead he stops and elects to pass which is somehow ended up being deflected by lebron on the pick n roll.hence a turnover, there where about five of these instances….how many FT did he attempted last night?….not that many………Paul is our captain, he should have taken it upon his shoulders to carry this team like he always does…..but I won’t complain anymore since its just a regular season game…it wasn’t the end of the world, I know PP would have done something if it was a do or die situation

by bopna on Jan 10, 2009 2:53 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

This was a team loss

And Pierce wasn’t played by James straight up. He was double and triple teamed and then the defenders swarmed the passing lanes when he picked up his dribble.
What was most frustrating was not having guys come to the ball when their teammate is in trouble.
That happened numerous times last night.

by Jaycelt on Jan 10, 2009 3:39 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I thought Mo Williams did a great job of stabilizing their second unit last night while LeBron got some rest. He also put up half of his points for the night during those few minutes. In future matchups against the Cavs, I think Doc may have to match up Rondo’s minutes against Mo Williams in order to stop that.

by Who on Jan 10, 2009 3:31 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

3/4 of our posessions started with under 15 seconds on the shot clock, if he ran the offense the way he did at the beginning of the season we’d be getting better looks at the basket and would have more mismatches for our little three to take advantage of.

by xmuscular ghandix on Jan 10, 2009 3:59 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

eddie house - gabe pruitt

As a Lakers fan working in Boston, I watch a lot of Celts game. Despite this 4 game trip, they’re a good team that I never feel comfortable going into the 4th if it’s a close game. One thing I’m a bit surprised is how much Eddie House gets PT. I’ve seen him play live and ont CSN often and I think he’s terrible. If I were a Celts fan, I would really hate to see him play…and the fact everyone mention g. pruitt (who I don’t know much about), why not give him a chance.

Does anyone know why E. House get so much PT?

by 9timers on Jan 10, 2009 7:23 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Dead On sw

Ive seen the fright in Rondo before the Cavs game…especially in road games.

by house_call on Jan 10, 2009 7:43 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

As Phil Hartman playing Ed McMahon would have said ...

“You are correct, sir!”

Excellent article.

by Cousin It on Jan 10, 2009 8:32 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

I think I'd change the starting lineup for the rest of the year even if we get some roster help later

If I am doc and this is all going down, and i have to use these players danny has provided, I start Kg, baby, PP, Ray and rondo. I tell perk i know his shoulder is hurting and i will probably play him almost as much as normal but i want kg in the post to start the game. I tell KG this is it: if he wants to win another title he is going to have to start at center the rest of the year. period. no whinning, complaining and no acting like he wishes he was a small forward. I am laying it on KG: PP took this team to a conf final with little help. You have to step it up. Now. Carry us. We have to find out if you can

I’ll bring perk in for Baby after several minutes. Powe can come in for kg or perk as can baby later. I might well bring in house for Ray early and use ray for q2. No more house at point. Pruitt can do it. and obviously try to get the ball in rays hands more again and force RR to push the pace every moment

other than that, we need marbury, a big and a shooter.

if da thinks getting Reddick is the answer, wow. i dunno what to say to that.

by wahz on Jan 10, 2009 8:53 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

sorry. Redick

by wahz on Jan 10, 2009 8:56 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Baby?

Shouldn’t be a rotation player for most teams let alone starting for the C’s.

by Fan from VT on Jan 10, 2009 10:22 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Well Done, Steve!

Great job summarizing the issues at hand.

by BleedinGreen417 on Jan 10, 2009 8:59 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

I don’t know if he’s scared but his play has definitely deteriorated the last few weeks. when we were playing well he was the main reason and people were touting him for the all star game. you don’t hear anyone now say that rondo is an all star. he wil pick it up again but it may take a while. I think it’s a ombination of him being hurt and losing some confidence with all the marbury talk.

by Red2 on Jan 10, 2009 10:16 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

rondo has played scared and he did not lose the game. it was a team effort. eddie has been the real big skunk, since xmas. i would love to know his plus minus stats ovet these last games. rondo takes a beating and he’s stilla kid. he’ll do better. lebron as great as he is is one big crybaby and there should be a pealty like in hockey for flopping. of course stern would never want to pick on mr. box office.

by nazzbo on Jan 10, 2009 10:16 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Pierce's play

I’m just throwing this out there.

One thing I noticed during the C’s torrid start was that Pierce’s numbers were down, but that the team was playing extremely well and the offense was very fluid. I kind of wondered to myself if this would eventually be a problem in that Pierce is the kind of guy that eventually needs to get his touches and is used to playing a certain way. Well Pierce tried to take over in the Lakers game and since then his individual stats have been great but the team has been terrible. Some have pointed to his individual stats as proof that he is not to blame for the recent slide, but I wonder the opposite: it seems like lately the offense has completely slowed to the point of Rondo walking the ball up and either Pierce or KG going one on one for an eventual fadeaway jumper.

I’m not blaming Pierce for the slide, but it’s interesting that this casual observation that we have reverted to a “give the ball to pierce and get out of the way” style of offense, especially at the end of games (where we’ve been terrible), coincides with his increase in individual numbers and also coincides with our losing streak. Maybe we do need a practice to straighten things out, maybe Rondo needs to get healthy/restore his confidence, but it really seems like we need to return to an offense based on Rondo handling the ball and good off-ball movement.

by Fan from VT on Jan 10, 2009 10:28 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

I agree

Pierce was the main playmaker when the Celtics were horrible a few years ago. When the Celtics are at their best, Rondo is the main playmaker. Him getting in the lane disrupts the defense, and when he kicks it back out to, say, Pierce for instance, the defense is out of balace and PP can take advantadge. And the C’s need to run MUCH MORE. They run a lot at home and when they’re running, they’re winning. They need to run on the road as well, I don’t care who they’re playing, Rondo will always be the fastest player on the court. So Doc needs to force Rondo push the ball more often, no matter what.

by misterx2day on Jan 11, 2009 12:06 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

A Team Problem

This is a TEAM problem from Danny down to the last guy on the bench. The team is simply out of synch for whatever reason. The problem needs to be solved in a TEAM fashion whatever the answer might be.

by TrueGreen on Jan 11, 2009 9:54 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

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