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About Big Baby

Kelly Dwyer of Ball Don't Lie had the following to say about Big Baby.

Scalabrine eventually fouled out, and as a result, Glen Davis played 30 minutes. Now, while this may seem like a reaction to Davis' 1-12 shooting night, you have to understand that I pride myself on trying to be even keel with these things. That said, Davis is killing the Celtics. Destroying this team.

His PER on the season is around 8, which puts him amongst the worst rotation players in the NBA, and PER doesn't account for his defensive attributes. Which are awful. Ruddy awful. And I just refuse to buy the excuse that Doc Rivers can't play Kevin Garnett and Leon Powe on the court together.

Ouch.

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Somebody want to pick up the challenge?

Okay, who wants to step up and make the usual argument for Glen Davis, the “at least he hustles” one? As I pointed out earlier this morning, my dog “plays with effort” too, but he can’t cut it as a backup center either.

I don’t care anymore what Doc thinks he has and hasn’t seen in practice. I want to see Patrick O’Bryant get a serious trial as backup center – on the court, in games. He has decent offensive moves in the paint, a respectable mid-range jumper, and more than enough height and leaping ability to finish around the paint (all of which, Davis doesn’t have).

If O’Bryant can’t cut it, I want to see it with my own eyes. I’ve already seen enough of Davis.

by no kidding on Jan 12, 2009 10:47 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

He’s wrong, of course. Even if BBD were as bad as he says (he isn’t), there’s no way that a 15-minute rotation player can destroy a team.

You will see plenty of derogatory stuff about the Celtics reserves between now and the trading deadline. Some of this stuff will be planted by other GMs to devalue these players for trading purposes.

by Brickowski on Jan 12, 2009 10:48 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Not just BB, but Eddie Too

I agree with the analysis that Leon and Kevin can and SHOULD be on the flor at the same time. However, BB is not the only issue with the 2nd unit…Eddie had a -9 last night, and continues to play porous defense, causing serious disruption to our team defense, which ends up costing us leads, both in Cleveland and in Toronto. When Eddie went in last night we were up 20, and when he went out we were only up 13 and totally lost momentum that was gained during the 3rd period. Doc didn’t even play Gabe during the 2nd half, or sub for Eddie when he saw the slide start to happen…Come on DOC!

by Scott_T_CT on Jan 12, 2009 10:56 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Let's remember who Eddie is though...

I hear what you’re saying Scott. I think we have all been frustrated by Eddie at points this season. Keep in mind though, who Eddie House is. He is a peaks and valleys type of player. He can get us back in a game as fast as he can get us out of a game at times. That’s how he’s always been. You’re right though, Doc has to be quicker on the trigger with Eddie in my opinion. But at the end of the day, the success of this team is going to rest on the starters. Look no further than the first 29 games of the year when our starters were playing magnificant, as compared to the next 9 games (before toronto) and you’ll notice that at least statistically, the blame falls on the starters. It will always go that way. Getting bench help is a huge plus, but we can’t start blaming losses on Eddie House or Glenn Davis (Toronto game aside).

SCOTT

by Vegas Scott on Jan 12, 2009 11:06 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Yea what a joke

Big Baby is DESTROYING THIS TEAM. I mean that is pretty absurd. Brickowski I’m with you. That paragraph is a complete reaction to 1-12. Mainly because since Davis has been on this team his defensive rotations have been phenomenal. That’s the biggest reason he plays, not hustle. On the flip side, this is an area Powe has struggled big time, which Doc has commented on numerous times in the last year and a half.

I love POB’s potential as much as you no kidding, but he’s clearly not ready. Just having an NBA body does not make a player ready to contribute on a championship caliber team (see Gerlad Green). He’s young, he’s soft, he’s scared. There is a 0% chance you will see POB make his way into the rotation this year unless there is an injury.

The main reason Doc plays Davis is not because of hustle, it’s for the same reason he starts Scalabrine when Perk is out: he trusts him. And clearly Doc trusts Davis more than Powe right now. Obviously if Davis continues to struggle from the floor like he did yesterday, Doc will have to make a change. However, if Davis can begin finishing those putbacks and dump offs like he was last year, I do believe he is a solid option off the bench for us.

No kidding, please proceed with your 6 page rant.

SCOTT

by Vegas Scott on Jan 12, 2009 11:01 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Just to be clear:

Yes, I’ve been ranting.
No, Davis is not “destroying the team.” But he’s hurting it badly.
Yes, Doc is playing Davis because he trusts him. But that’s a weak excuse. Trust can be acquired.
And no, Davis is not going to begin finishing off putbacks and dump offs. He simply lacks the height and jumping ability. He’s been around the league now, and the opposition now knows what he lacks. Just stay in position and on your feet with your arms up, and Davis can’t finish. It’s really that simple.

by no kidding on Jan 12, 2009 11:13 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Agree with you and Brick.

I said in the BBD thread that I liked what I saw from BBD last night (with the exception of the 1-12 shooting). Those were shots that on most nights I think he finishes. Just tough luck, imo. Other than that, I thought he played great. I think he is better than Powe at everything except for low post scoring. He’s a much better defender of bigs, better passer and better free throw shooter and boxes out well most times too. I think people are way overreacting to Davis’ poor shooting night. Had he finished 3 or 4 of those layups people would say he had a great game.

by Bankshot on Jan 12, 2009 11:24 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

It's not simply yesterday's game.

I’ve been forming much the same opinion of Davis since last year’s summer session, where he first demonstrated (to me) his inability to get his shot off in the paint.

I can’t point to any stat, since what I need probably doesn’t exist. But the point is, on closely contested shots, Davis is particuarly inept. You simply can’t dump it down to him in the paint against a set defense and expect anything good to come of it. (And from what I’ve seen, O’Bryant is a good passer and free show shooter as well.)

by no kidding on Jan 12, 2009 11:31 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

You do realize

that Davis was just a rookie last year, right? And a 2nd year player today? People are being too hard on this young and still developing player. Shame!

by Bankshot on Jan 12, 2009 11:53 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

It works both ways.

I agree, Davis is still young, and with experience comes confidence and a lot of the tricks of trade that make you a better player.

However, if you especially lack certain abilities (such as height and leaping ability), no amount of craftiness will enable you to perform adequately. In fact, as the opposition comes to understand your extreme weaknesses, it becomes much easier to take advantage of them.

by no kidding on Jan 12, 2009 11:58 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Every known statistic...

…disagrees with that assessment…

There are times when Davis plays better, but its so infrequent i’d put it a 1 out of 3 or more times…Davis is charismatic and energetic, so people are endeared to him…he will get better in time, but I dont ever see him being a better PF than Powe…

by BillfromBoston on Jan 12, 2009 12:49 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

with all due respect Scott...

Powe’s “defensive struggles” are the most pointed to AND most overrated comment alive in the Davis/Powe debate…

Doc hasn’t commented on them on and off over the past year and a half – He HAS NOT made that comment for almost a year and a half…Powe misses as many rotations as any other rotation player these days – people see what they want to see…

I don’t think many on this actually understand what the defensive rotations are suppose to be and cleary seem only to be alert about Powe’s functionality in them – Davis continually gets out of position by gambling off his man, especially on the perimeter – its not egregious, but it happens…

Now, I’ve got some beef with Leon to be sure, the lack of playmaking with the unit he plays the most minutes on has slackened his spacial awareness off-ball, so he has become un-focused at times when presenting himself as a target for ball delivery.

Powe is also over-relying on his main post move even though he has more – his primary move is the drive-to-the-middle-rip-through, which teams are sitting on now with a secondary defender. Davis and his lack of jump shooting accuracy is further hindering this moves effectiveness, but i’m not blaming it on him alone.

Powe has a rolling hook, fade-away in the lane, turn-around baseline, and counter-spin move he executes well. But be it the lack of touches causing poor rhythm or whatever, he isn’t utilizing his full repetoire, electing to go to the primary nearly every time – this has to chance for him to fully utilize his post game.

But as far as rotations – I know Chris was saying that he was late on a number of P&R shows in the Houston game and once in the Cleveland game, but this is far more the exception to the rule than the rule these days. His rotations were pretty flawless last night and he rarely errs when recovering…I’ve watched Powe’s defense closer than most because I have high expectations for him – his progress through last year and into this season is one of the defining areas of his game…he’s not “lost” nor a liability as a help defender and as a man defender he is very good against 4’s…

I had high hopes for Davis coming into his rookie year and they waned as his time has gone on. After an initial push of good play that gave me hope, Davis has continued to show little growth in any fundemental area that he needs to in order to harness his full potential – his weight being the primary area.

Powe, IMO will at least be as productive as Udonis Haslem in time, with more post game to complement a face-up shot that he DOES have, but isn’t asked to use because his to-the-basket game is more advanced and clearly a missing element on this team – Davis will never be a post threat and even with a decent jumper – its horrible now – his decision making with the ball in his hands is atrocious…most people point to Powe being a “black hole” but he shoots less that 4 shots a game and his patience and awareness when making a decision has gone up substantially – look at his assists to made baskets ratio this year to last…

Glen Davis isn’t playing because Doc trusts him, he’s playing because the difference between Davis and Powe isn’t great enough to cost the team games based off the time they play and giving Davis a few more minutes helps to promote him in trade – the team would rather trade him than Powe, I have this on good authority…he plays because they are hoping he’ll have a quality stretch where they can sell his song-and-dance….

by BillfromBoston on Jan 12, 2009 12:46 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

thats a great assement

++ on noting Powe’s other moves (a better shot in college than he’s shown)

And I also agree about getting sleepy with a lack of play making.

by Brendan on Jan 12, 2009 12:56 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

With all due respect Bill...

Ok so you’re claiming that you have an inside track on the reasoning for Glenn Davis getting minutes? I would appreciate some further explanation as to how you seem to know something the rest of us don’t. Unless that is you are just assuming. Either way, I’m confused by your post. Mainly because you go on for about 7 paragraphs telling me how much better Powe is than Davis, then sum up the reason why Davis is playing over him being that the gap isn’t big enough to matter, so showcasing the player they’d rather get rid of is just the smarter move.

Outside of the first point I just made, there is another glaring problem with your theory. Danny and Doc would have to be pretty naive to think that they can showcase Glenn Davis right now and expect to reap any benefits from it. I mean you yourself just went on for again 7 paragraphs telling us how bad Glenn Davis is, and now your explanation for why he is playing is to showcase him, hoping that a Kevin Mchale of the NBA is out there licking his chops? That’s hypocritical and makes no sense.

Also, I played the game at the collegiate level so I understand what rotations are. It’s not just about the pick and roll either, it’s mainly about being in the right or wrong places on defense. I’m not saying that Leon Powe is a horrible defender. If i was coming off that way, let me just say for the record I don’t believe that. What I believe is that Glenn Davis is extraordinarly good for a 2nd year player. His IQ is extraordinarly high for a 2nd year player. I, like you, actually believe Powe’s ceiling is much higher than Davis’. Simply for some of the reasons you’ve stated, we all know Davis is limited in some areas. Leon Powe has and will continue to improve in these areas that I feel he is currently inferior to Davis in. Little by little, as he grows up, he will probably soar past Davis on the NBA radar because he’s just more athletically gifted.

Most important thing here is I was simply making the case for why Doc is playing Davis. I don’t necessarily agree with him. Like Van Gundy says “give me tangibles ova intangibles every day of the week.” I was simply making the case for why Glenn Davis should absolutely be in the rotation and ahead of Patrick O’bryant of all people. If I were the coach, Leon would be my third big man in this rotation, no question. But Davis would be my 4th and I wouldn’t be looking to replace him.

SCOTT

by Vegas Scott on Jan 12, 2009 2:27 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

With all due respect...

If I could bring together all the people I’ve known who have played the game on the collegiate level, yet couldn’t find their own butt in the dark (with either hand), they’d have to start lining up around the corner.

by no kidding on Jan 12, 2009 3:13 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

So that implies what No kidding?

That you know me or have any idea of what my understanding of the game is? If you’d stop being so argumentative for a minute you’d realize that my posts have been looking at things from both sides. I have no agenda, so I’m not sure why you continue to make attacking posts instead of just debating the facts.

SCOTT

by Vegas Scott on Jan 12, 2009 3:44 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Didn't mean to cause any offense.

I was simply reacting to your one comment, which, let’s face it, is the sort one occasionally hears used to dismiss the opinions of others. But no, I didn’t mean to imply you were being dismissive. And in fact, I find your opinions, BillfromBoston’s, and most everybody’s usually worth the trouble to read.

So I apologize, and withdraw the remark. In hindsight, it was ill-considered to make.

by no kidding on Jan 12, 2009 4:13 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

All good

I think we all got a little carried away with this argument, none the less it did create quite a reaction and for the most part was a pretty positive debate. Jeff is right though, everyone just needs to debate the issues. The personal attacks are just so easy and meaningless. If you’re making good points you don’t need to do that. I’ve definitely been guilty of it many times so I’m certainly not pointing fingers. I just think from this point forward let’s keep it clean.

SCOTT

by Vegas Scott on Jan 12, 2009 8:20 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

What I know...

…and what I am assuming are two different things…

I have fairly reliable information that leads me to believe that Davis isn’t a highly probable candidate to continue his Celts tenure if the team has its druthers…I don’t think they value him very highly and will move him in a deal if possible…

I’m using his current effectiveness in games, his tangible statistical contribution and lining it up with Doc/Danny’s past usage of players leading up to the trade deadline.

My comment about Powe/Davis PT not being a “make-or-break” proposition is consistent with what I said. Powe has a much brighter future in the league in my professional opinion, but relative to what they are being asked to do, neither is going to significantly impact the bottom line of winning games on the whole – the starting 5’s play is much more important to success…

Now, down the line I expect Powe to be able to provide a significant contribution – as he does each and every time he plays significant minutes or has to fill in for an injured starter – but neither is asked to do much off the bench – defend, crash glass, post or shoot depending on the player…

I am fairly confident that the team is giving a final evaluation of Davis right now and putting him in situations to succeed in order to pump up interest – hence his increased PT with the starters despite no tangible improvement from him or poor play by Powe…

Last year and earlier this year it was an either/or proposition, now Davis is being allowed to play through all types of mistakes he wasn’t allowed to before – this, along with the other information leads me to believe he’s being showcased/evaluated…whatever you want to call it…

by BillfromBoston on Jan 12, 2009 3:34 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Well sure

Davis is being allowed to play through mistakes for two reasons:

1. Doc feels the positives are outweighing the negatives.
2. James Posey and PJ Brown are gone.

Davis wasn’t even a regular member of the rotation last year, nor was Powe. So things have changed, and Doc is trying to stabilize a 3rd big man in the rotation. There is nobody behind them now, outside of POB who again is just not ready. Or at least Doc doesn’t feel that he is ready.

My issue with the showcasing argument is that when a guy is the midst of a 1-12 night, why would that be the time to say “leave him out there, lets shocase him.??” It makes no sense, Doc’s choosing to play him for the same reason he plays anyone, he feels they give the team the best chance to win on that given night. Lets not start making excuses just because you don’t agree with it. Just say you don’t agree with it.

SCOTT

by Vegas Scott on Jan 12, 2009 3:52 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

KG playing too far from the bucket, Perks shoulder,

PP’s fatigue and or knee, and Rondo having games on both sides of the spectrum have a lot more effect than Baby. House shooting poorly from the three does too.

Doc has in the past criticized Powe’s defense so he and tibs are seeing something on d to cause Baby to be in more then Powe. Powes presence causes KG to move too far out. Whether anyone wants to hear it or not this is what is happening because there is no way anyone can say Baby’s stats are better than Leon’s

by wahz on Jan 12, 2009 11:06 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

IF BBD is Destroying the Team, then Rivers must Be an Idiot

Of course, there’s the bogus “showcasing” theory. But you don’t showcase a player whose contract is expiring. No tean is going to give much value for a two-month rental. If a team likes BBD they will wait until he becomes an unrestricted free agent in June and go after him then. (Ainge did not get a 3rd year team option on BBD.)

Actually, the same holds true for Powe, who is also unrestricted at the end of the year. And no team is looking for young players like Powe or BBD to shore up their benches short-term for the playoffs. Teams want veterans for that.

by Brickowski on Jan 12, 2009 11:18 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

the unrestricted FA point is a good one

I hadn’t thought of that

"Would I rather be feared or loved? Easy. Both. I want people to be afraid of how much they love me." Michael Scott

by Jeff Clark on Jan 12, 2009 11:21 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Logic isn't sound...

….a team looking to make a low-level deal and ensure early bird or bird rights for either Powe or Davis would indeed trade for them as opposed to competing on the open market…

Davis is getting a prolonged look minutes-wise right now SPECIFICALLY so the team can evaluate him in an expanded role AND to give that exposure to prospective trading partners…

As someone pointed out, the difference between playing Davis 20 minutes and Powe 14 isn’t enough to cause the team to win or lose that night – some nights Davis has been limited because of excessive poor play, but on the whole he is getting more minutes than either his good play or Powe’s poor play deserve.

He is being played through some terrible decisions and allowed to continue, even on nights when Powe has been perfectly effective in his time – this is the definition of a “showcase.”

Like it or not, one or both of Powe/Davis is going to be gone come this off-season, so the team is going to want to evaluate both prospects as much as possible to make an informed decision – what i’ve seen and heard makes me believe that its Davis who is getting his last chance to showcase his ability to both Boston and other teams….

I expect Davis to be wearing another uniform before too long….

by BillfromBoston on Jan 12, 2009 12:55 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

This guy is clueless
PER doesn’t account for his defensive attributes. Which are awful. Ruddy awful

Simply untrue. Either he never watched him playing or he has no idea of what is good or bad defense. BBD is too undersized (short, of course) to be a reliable defender in every single game/matchup; but he does lots of other stuff very well. He’s a particularly good post defender and a very good hedger on the pick and roll defense.

by cordobes on Jan 12, 2009 11:22 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Speaking of pick and roll

Does PER account for all the illegal screens he commits?

by action781 on Jan 12, 2009 1:32 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

On the Flip Side

Big Baby is shooting 35% from the field on the year. It’s hard to look away from that, even if he does take less than 4 shots a game. It is a small sample size, but either way that’s not just bad, its horrific. Especially for a big man who does not shoot 3s. I mean, Eddie House’s fg% is higher than that, and he’s a guy who takes almost 70% of his shots from behind the arc. So until Davis starts hitting some shots, haters certainly have a lot to hate about, I’m not doubting that.

However, if you look at last year, the same guy was shooting 48% from the field. Some of this can definitely be attributed to the addition of a 15 foot jump shot to his game. But his finishing at the rim just hasn’t been as strong. He didn’t have hops last year either, so I’m not buying that just because he can’t jump out of the gym he will never be a good finisher at the rim. Ryan Gomes was an excellent example of a player for the Green that was a great finisher down low without having a lot of athleticism. Give Davis some time, just like we did with Rondo, and you might regret ever doubting him to begin with.

SCOTT

by Vegas Scott on Jan 12, 2009 11:29 AM EST reply actions   1 recs

Gomes was far lighter and more agile than Davis. Davis is very agile for his size. But if he were to drop his weight down enough to be able to get up better, he’d lose the only thing that keeps him in there: his bulk.

by no kidding on Jan 12, 2009 11:35 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

i disagree

its not his bulk, its that a lot his bulk is strength – that let’s him use his body. He’s built big and strong, but he’s still carrying a lot of non-functional weight (fat) and probably some marginally functional weight (slow twitch muscle, etc.)

he’s clearly a talented athlete, but he’s not anywhere close to too light, and he has a lot of room for improvement in both conditioning and skills (e.g. shooting)

by Brendan on Jan 12, 2009 1:04 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I’m not arguing Davis isn’t over-weight. But without it, he’d lose much of his ability to keep from being pushed out of the way on defense.

by no kidding on Jan 12, 2009 1:06 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I'll take my chances...

…Davis is far less agile than Ryan Gomes and Gomes set up his drives with good shooting…Davis is years away from making that jumper a weapon…

by BillfromBoston on Jan 12, 2009 12:57 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Teams have learned to foul BBD whenever he’s down low. He does not protect the ball well with his body. They are making him earn it at the line. As I said the other day, he needs a repetriore uf upfakes so that he can get his defender up in the air before shooting.

He should watch old Paul Silas Tapes. Silas was about the same size.

by Brickowski on Jan 12, 2009 11:33 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Upfakes don’t work if your jump can’t take you higher than the other guy’s standing reach.

by no kidding on Jan 12, 2009 11:37 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Silas was usually being guarded by guys his own size. Davis is almost always being guarded by taller players. Having said that, he absolutely should watch Silas tapes. Silas was an amazing position rebounder.

Davis should also watch Paul Millsap tapes. Millsap is the modern-day Paul Silas.

by Finkelskyhook on Jan 12, 2009 12:16 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

haven’t ready through any replies, but i will just say that his defense is pretty good. everything else is awful, and i fail to see why he is ahead of powe in the rotation. look at the numbers on a per minute basis. isn’t even close.

by slam on Jan 12, 2009 11:39 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

I think a lot of folks will recall how well Baby played in the post last year when KG was out.

It was Baby who played Duncan very well:
http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/recap?gameId=280210002
 Hey if we could trade Baby for Gomes right now Id do it. Its not an option because of the cap and their contracts, but Gomes helps with our wing shooting and would weaken us down low. The point is that Glenn is just ok and is expendable
The contract situatuion is a mess, but I’ll leave it alone other than to say that by the end of last year DA was going to have to replace/protect PJ, Sam, Posey, Baby, Powe, House and Tony Allen from the championship team. It was going to cost money to do this and trying to do it cheaply was bound to weaken the team when we had a realistic two year window to surround and support PP, Ray and KG.

by wahz on Jan 12, 2009 11:45 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Yes, Davis did play Duncan well that game, but only because the Spurs seemingly didn’t understand how to play against him. If you recall, Duncan stayed too far away from the basket, allowing Davis to do the one thing he’s good at, work the guy’s lower body.
Duncan shoud’ve gone down to the paint and simply shot over Davis. He would have abused him, as lesser players are now routinely doing to him.

by no kidding on Jan 12, 2009 11:50 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

he's right and wrong

Davis hasn’t had a good season, but Dwyer is a little over the top here.

What I really don’t understand is why Doc plays Davis over Powe in situations where we’re trying to keep some scoring on the floor when the bench unit is in. The only real difference I see this year is that Powe has fallen out of favor and we’re really not going to him in the post as often as we should. I still think he’s our most productive bench player when utilized properly.

by dobbs on Jan 12, 2009 11:49 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

He is, but don't worry...

…he hasn’t fallen out of favor…give it some time…Powe isn’t utilizing his full post game, which I believe to be a product of infrequency of use – post play is about rhythm and if you don’t have it then your game can be erratic…

The team knows that Powe is a far better PF than Davis – Davis is getting his shot to prove otherwise through extended minutes and has not done so…even assuming Davis is appreciably better defensively -which he’s not, (marginally better maybe) – Productivity is still king in this league.

The team knows that Leon can be highly productive, so developing the nuances in his game is a much better value proposition than hoping Davis can lose 30lbs and figure out how to make an impact statistically.

That “little things” argument is the same one we bashed Scal for all those years….Little things are very important, but if you are going to play 15-25 minutes, you have to be productive statistically too…Celtics know Powe can put up the numbers and hold his own in man defense – they will work to develop the rest of his game….Davis I doubt sees another TC with this team…

by BillfromBoston on Jan 12, 2009 1:04 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

An analogy to explain

Here’s a little analogy to explain why I’m not a fan of the improvement line of reasoning:

If you girl friend is a 3, and gets a lot hotter to become a 5, and my girl friend is an 8, but does nothing or even drops to a 7 or 6, well my GF is still hotter. And despite any concerns I have about her long term trend, I still don’t drop her for a one night stand with your girl.

I forget what it translates to in points, but I think a diff of 8 to 16 in PER pretty much means BBD would have to be 10 pts a game better on defense or something – someone better at the stats can probably confirm.

by Brendan on Jan 12, 2009 12:00 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I just answered this above.

Davis can become more confident and crafty, but he’s not going to be any taller. And opponents are now more informed on how to abuse him.

by no kidding on Jan 12, 2009 12:00 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

His defense is not good

This is a myth. Check out his defensive stats posted by Roy in the BBD thread. If he was a good defender, it would show up in the teams results. He’s simply not that good right now. I do think the mind is willing, but for BBD the body is unable.

He needs to get into NBA shape if he wants to play – his lack of stamina (how many times is he panting) and lift are really affecting him. This says nothing about the value of his offense (a big negative) versus Powe’s (a marginal plus now, but someone who played very high level ball last year.) KG played a ton of Center last year with Posey as the PF. Do the same with Powe as PF, we’d be fine.

I’m not convinced our bench is so bad, there are a variety of players there that have value, they are just not being used right.

1. They are being used as complementary unit, instead of supplementary players. The negative effect is you have a lower total quality of player on the floor. Additionally instead of learning how to play with the big boys, they are learning to play as the guy at that position – for the second unit. Instead of learning how to excel as an undersized PF/C playing with KG or Perk, Powe is being asked to have the offense run through him. House is not a change of pace PG draining 3pts with guys like KG, Pierce, Allen, and Rondo handling the ball, he’s being asked to be the primary ball handler, etc.

2. Doc hasn’t established a couple of guys as the rotation players and a couple of guys as the “use as needed” reserves. There are games where Scal should be playing SF, games where House should be the SG, and games where Tony Allen should be playing as the wing – but Doc isn’t doing this. I’d like to see Rondo playing the point 35 minutes a night, and Pruitt getting the backup minutes: Pruitt might not pan out, but then we’ll know.. Use House, Allen, and Scal as needed depending on the situation and team – they are all well paid vets and have useful skills, but none warrants a regular spot on this team. Use Powe as the primary big man, and bring in BBD or Scal when situations dictate or there is foul trouble.

by Brendan on Jan 12, 2009 11:55 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

and before anyone says

“Doc sees them in practice” – this line of reasoning justified hiding very talented players for 1/2 season or more in past seasons. I’m a big fan of Doc’s job last year, but let’s face it: it was an easier team to coach. The superstars WERE hungrier. The bench was easier to manage (play Posey starter minutes behind the big 3, use House to backup the PG and use Powe/BBD to backup Perk – later use Brown.) And Tommy T’s defense was new to the league – so very few teams faced in regularly and could adjust.

I felt through most of last year the offense was under performing, and we’re seeing that now (last ten games), but our defense is also a bit worse (with Posey gone and the league adjusting.) The talent of KG, Ray, and PP is such that on any night one of them gets really hot, we will usually win, and any night two of them are hot its pretty much done deal. But the talent level of this team dictates that we should be winning more often than that.

by Brendan on Jan 12, 2009 12:07 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

just to be fair

You make some decent points, but just so I can’t be fairly accused of piliing on Davis, I’ll defer from your main point that Davis isn’t a good defender. He has a high basketball IQ and moves his feet well on defense.

by no kidding on Jan 12, 2009 12:10 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

as i noted

I do think the mind is willing and able, but physical tools are immensely important in this game too

by Brendan on Jan 12, 2009 12:16 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I love when...

People tell me that things I see with my own eyes are myths…funny. Brendan you’re trying to evaluate Glenn’s team defense through stats? Even John Hollinger would chuckle at that.

SCOTT

by Vegas Scott on Jan 12, 2009 4:00 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

This is where I came in on this movie...

Scott, you laugh when anyone tells you what you see are myths. Well, I see Davis as sadly inadequate as a backup center. Yet I’m told he’s fine, and there’s no need for anyone to see anything more of Patrick O’Bryant, since he’s either not ready, or can’t cut it. Yet these same people apparently haven’t seen any more of the guy than I have (though what I’ve seen was encouraging, but inconclusive).

But I came in at this point, so now I’m leaving the theater.

by no kidding on Jan 12, 2009 4:30 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

sorry

i didnt know your eyes are the final judge, in the future I’ll wait for your opinions and then just shut up and toe your line.

if his team defense is so good, it would show up, at least in the final score. otherwise its just cosmetic and not making an actual impact.

by Brendan on Jan 12, 2009 11:07 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Do any of you remember Wayne Embry when he backed up Bill Russell? He was short and low, and gave fits to Chamberlain.

So you take out Davis’s offense, and you have a serviceable defensive center

by johnnymost on Jan 12, 2009 12:12 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Wayne Embry wasn’t playing against the kind of guys Glen Davis is being abused by on a nightly basis.

by no kidding on Jan 12, 2009 12:14 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

You can’t move Baby!

That’s what it comes down to. There are very few players in the NBA that can move closer to the basket once Baby has set up behind them. They can’t move in the way they want and therefore his defense works. He boxes out well and is an excellent offensive rebounder. He has quick feet and is a good defender for a second year player. His down side is that the only way he becomes a better player is by eliminating his mistakes. He will not be able to jump any higher or finish any better. He has, however, demonstrated that he can use his body on a drive to the basket from time to time. But what you see is what you get with him. The more he understands his role the better player he will be. Remember he is a 2nd year, 2nd rounder.

by B-ball on Jan 12, 2009 12:21 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Sure, his bulk, coupled with his footwork on defense is his main attribute. But as I keep pointing out, he’s an offensive liability. Against a set defense, he’s useless in the paint. And that’s not going to change in the future.

by no kidding on Jan 12, 2009 12:27 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Really, the best way to utilize Davis would be to just have him crushing people on picks all night long, and teach him to roll instead of fade. His newly unveiled jumper that he’s been green-lit for this season sucks, to be fair. If he gets the ball on a cut he’s a threat to get fouled or to use his passing ability.

Really, what Doc has tried to do this season is to turn Big Baby into Ryan Gomes 2.0 with the pick and pop play. It’s not working. And he’s the type of player that gets frustrated with himself when he misses a shot he should have made or screws up a rotation. He then gets mentally irregular, which leads to more mistakes. If all he did was box people out and set picks and not worry about the rest, the game would come to him a lot easier than it does now.

by dobbs on Jan 12, 2009 12:28 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Here's another idea.

How about we just try playing an actual center that we have sitting on the bench (O’Bryant), and see if he might be able to produce more offense in the paint?

by no kidding on Jan 12, 2009 12:32 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Well, that might change if he’d learn a little baby hook or a fallaway jumper like Carlos Boozer.

Davis was pretty effective against opposing centers in college, and LSU made it to the NCAA title game with him playing Center and averaging 17-18 ppg.

by Brickowski on Jan 12, 2009 12:29 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

BBD, Powe and Rondo

Dwyer is over the top, but I get the point. Role players are stepping away from their strengths or are being asked to do more than they’re capable of. That rarely works out. See: Celtics 06’-07.

BBD and Powe, while undersized, do things that few other Celtic (or NBA players) do. Which is scrapping for the ball deep in the post. Both being undersized, they’re now frequently blocked when they shoot, or fouled.

BBD has skills, but he is a role player no question. None of those guys should be putting up 12 shots a game unless they’re put-backs of offensive rebounds. The injury to Perk has pushed the issue so no we have BBD, Scal and Powe being asked to play more and do more. They might get away with it for a game or 2, but not for any extended stretch.

Don’t forget that Powe had played very little until last Spring and BBD was a rookie. Now, they’ve been scouted heavily and opponents know what to do with them. The same goes for Rondo. What makes a player good is his ability to adjust to opponents defense. What makes him great is the ability to change and grow his game from year to year.

We’ll see if BBD, Powe and Rondo can adjust and be successful.

by LuckyNumber07 on Jan 12, 2009 12:30 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Big Baby’ game is my least favorite of all the Celts players. I much prefer Powe to be out there. I’d also prefer POB to be out there.

by moiso on Jan 12, 2009 12:38 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

I keep trying to think of a poll

but none really make much sense

question: who should be the first big off the bench? answer: it depends on matchups

"Would I rather be feared or loved? Easy. Both. I want people to be afraid of how much they love me." Michael Scott

by Jeff Clark on Jan 12, 2009 12:44 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Yea I would agree Jeff

I mean I’m not sure Powe, Davis or Scal has really made a strong enough case this year for being the 3rd big man. In all honesty I’ve been pleased with all 3 of them. Our starting front court is one of the best in the league, and are capable of logging big minutes when healthy. What we get from those 3 is plenty in my opinion. Guards people! All this time shoudl be spent talking about our backup guards!

SCOTT

by Vegas Scott on Jan 12, 2009 4:05 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

It Was Just a Bad Offensive Game

It was a bad offensive game. It won’t be his last. He’ll also have good games going forward.

And he was good enough defensively to help overcome his bad offense. The Celtics WON THE GAME. You can say exactly the same thing about Garnett, who was 3-16 from the field.

by Brickowski on Jan 12, 2009 12:49 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

I don't see why everyone isn't thinking the same thing.

Why do the Celtics always have to play guys that are too short, or too weak on ball-handling, or too whatever? I want Doc to step out of his comfort zone and play a squad that makes sense.

Here’s what constantly occurs to me. In terms of a backup unit (only):

Gabe Pruitt shows promise of being an adequate point guard. Powe is a solid power forward. Scalabrine has just about enough of everything to fill the small forward spot. One could play House or Tony Allen at the 2 spot, depending on whether you want more shooting or slashing. And O’Bryant may be able to give you low post scoring.

To paraphrase somebody (JFK?), some see a poor second unit, and say why? I dream of another unit that could work, and say why not?

by no kidding on Jan 12, 2009 12:51 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Question about PER and Minutes

Right now:
Leon Powe is playing 15.0 MPG and has a PER of 17.19
BBD is playing 16.8 MPG and has a PER of 7.39

Assuming their PER’s would stay static and everything else is equal (i.e. intangibles/defense) how many points would it be worth if Leon was playing 22 MPG and BBD was play 9.8 minutes per game. Or in otherwords, how many points is a drop of almost 10 PER points for 10 MPG costing the Celtics? I know Pace matters, but roughly speaking? Is it 5 points? Is it 10 points? Because the gap between their defense has to be VERY substantial to make up for that. (And yes I know my assumption that PER would stay static and everything else is equal is not correct, but this would give a baseline to set.) The problem is we aren’t understanding HOW MUCH BETTER BBD’d defense is. People talk about missed rotations etc from Powe, but we need to at least establish a baseline, to see if thats enough to justify Doc’s rotation.

My guess is not, Doc has simply decided to play BBD backup C and Powe as the backup PF, and that’s that.

by Brendan on Jan 12, 2009 12:52 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

PER Does Not Measure Defense

A basketball court has two ends. Winning begins with defense and BBD is a better defensive player.

by Brickowski on Jan 12, 2009 1:07 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

PER doesn't necessarily accurately measure defensive value...

But it does consider defensive statistics. Additionally, there is “PER differential”. According to 82games.com, Powe has a +1.7 PER differential, BBD has a horrific -8.8.

All the negativity in this town sucks. It sucks, and it stinks, and it sucks. - Rick Pitino

by Roy_Hobbs on Jan 12, 2009 1:16 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

But PER Does measure

Individual statistical contributions, so we can figure out by PER how much better Powe is, and therefor how much better BBD must be at defense to make it even. That’s the real starting point for a Powe v BBD comparison.

by Brendan on Jan 12, 2009 1:57 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Yes, BBD’s defense (and rebounding) is that much better. Just watch the games.

by Brickowski on Jan 12, 2009 1:08 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

BBD's rebounding is better than whose?

Powe’s? Then how come Powe is outrebounding BBD? And why is the man BBD is defending consistently outrebounding him, while Powe is outrebounding his man?

(At his primary position, BBD is averaging 9.1 rebounds per 48 minutes, and he is giving up 11.4 to his opponent. Powe is averaging 12.2 rebounds/48, and is giving up 10.8).

All the negativity in this town sucks. It sucks, and it stinks, and it sucks. - Rick Pitino

by Roy_Hobbs on Jan 12, 2009 1:13 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Powe’s more rebound than BBD because his covering the entire perimeter on his PF position while BBD’s main job is to box out the bigger center.

by spoiled on Jan 12, 2009 1:35 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Personell Issue

Although BBD obviously needs more time to develop this is not the nature of the celtics problems at this point. This is a personell issue to which Danny is the blame. Considering that Patrick does not play, there is not interior threat on defense once Perk and KG leave the game. Neither Powe or BBD were signed to be an interior shot blockers/ shot alterer. BBD can jump 5’ off the ground on his best days. Powe on the other hand is brute strength but lacks the height and jumping ability to alter shots in the paint..

Why did we not sign Dikembe???? That is the real question..

by bigjohnson34st on Jan 12, 2009 1:12 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Luxury Tax

That’s the real answer.

by Brickowski on Jan 12, 2009 1:15 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

When you have three players making 60 million, plus Perkins and Scalabrine making another 7.5 million between them, there isn’t alot of money left over for the other 10 guys.

by Brickowski on Jan 12, 2009 1:17 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Please don't whip out the "owners are cheap" mantra again...

Didn’t you learn your lesson the last time? You used to go on and on about this and then Boston traded for two players that shot their payroll through the roof…

Boston is holding out for a younger center who can actually step away from the basket..clearly they feel they have a shot at someone other than Mutombo who fills more need….

by BillfromBoston on Jan 12, 2009 1:18 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

But who else will be out there?? Keep inmind there is only about 1 month prior to the trade deadline?? Also, I can t imaginge that Dikembe wanted anything more than the vet minimum for his most realistic chance of playing for a title in his career…

by bigjohnson34st on Jan 12, 2009 1:22 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I never said Celtics ownership was cheap. Where did you get that?

But no ownership likes to play luxury tax, because the money goes to your competitors. Except the Steinbrenners, of course.

by Brickowski on Jan 12, 2009 1:20 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

just for fun

I thought I’d see how powerful the archives search engine is

brickowski + owners + cheap provided a few results

"Would I rather be feared or loved? Easy. Both. I want people to be afraid of how much they love me." Michael Scott

by Jeff Clark on Jan 12, 2009 1:51 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

How about Coaching issue regarding BBD's role?

BBD is not a LEGIT Backup CENTER..

Why not giving him his Natural position and Judge him by playing on his role for his Natural Position.

Doc River is continue using Mismatches and if the player never produce, its againts the player.

Yes BBD is Liability now in Offense.. But he is undersize to do his offensive job in his current position..

Defensively – He’s productive..

man, use them on their True Position and then evaluate them, and whatever result will be more acceptable..

Why in the Hell that KG is over 7’’ and not try to use as a Center, and lets see what he gonna do in there. He’s playing in natural position of PF but still his production was far from Last season.

There’s so many issues that Celtics need to address before pointing out on specific player, and im calling First is the Coaching Issues.

by spoiled on Jan 12, 2009 1:21 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Personall issue, not coaching.. When KG and Perk are out BBD and Powe just aren’t centers… other than Patrick we don"t have a legitimae center. This was masked when we had Posey because of his body length. He could come from the weak side and alter a shot. Also, please keep in mind, although BBD is listed as 6"6’ he is truley closer to 6"4’. He and Ray are the same height. Pay attention during the next game..

by bigjohnson34st on Jan 12, 2009 1:26 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Thats why im questioning, BBD’s current role is so difficult mostly in Offensive side of the game as he is facing a true Center opponent with a lot of height advantage. I mean its ok for me even he never score on that but in defensive side he make up.

by spoiled on Jan 12, 2009 1:30 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

My only question is this, this was painfully obvious to me at the start of the season when I realized that they did not view patrick as ready to play. Why did Danny not notice this??

by bigjohnson34st on Jan 12, 2009 1:33 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

You are right..

 When they decide to create the Big 3, it means they dont wanted to wait long time from a rookie to become a superstar and carry the team.

 but from last season, everybody knows that PJ Brown playing days are counting, though Doc River said he dont believe that PJ will completely retire.

 They knew that POB cant be a true center Backup sooner, then why they never prepare for this last summer after they cut Posey.

by spoiled on Jan 12, 2009 1:39 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

We have to figure this one out soon. We don’t have all season. Cleveland looks really good this year. I don’t want to have to see them in the playoffs without honmefield advantage.

by bigjohnson34st on Jan 12, 2009 1:44 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

on offense

BBD plays the outside big (like KG) and Powe plays the inside big (like Perk) – so I don’t by a lot into this. There is not a huge diff between the big rolls in this offensive system, except one starts low and the other high. Both are expected to set high screens and pick and pop/roll. Both catch the ball at the top of the key, and both get low post plays called for them.

BBD is just sucking on O.

by Brendan on Jan 12, 2009 2:00 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

On offense I don’t feel that Powe and BBD are liabilities. It’s defense. You can shoot right over either of them. Between BBD’s 5’ vertical and Powe’s reconstructed knee I can drive to the hole everytime and shoopt right over either of them. I do agree that the scheme does work on offense. But just not defense. And let us not forget that this was never meant to be an offensive team. Defense first. But recently we have broken from that pattern and are attempting to outscore people. The result 3 for the last 9.

by bigjohnson34st on Jan 12, 2009 3:32 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

you'll note

the post i was responding to did

by Brendan on Jan 12, 2009 11:08 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

BBD + 1-12 = "WORZT PLAYER EVER!!!111"

A rotation player has a bad night shooting and THAT’S the problem? So KG spending too much extra time on the perimeter when defending picks, and Rondo never going underneath a pick in his entire career and instead electing to attempt to poke the ball away from behind are just mere blips on the radar in comparison to BBD’s horrible PER I guess…..

Remember boys and girls, defense is waaaay more important to this team than shooting percentages, PER or any other offensive measurable.

I will admit however that it was very frustrating watching BBD go 1-12 with about 10 of those shots being within 2 feet from the rim. If he had missed 11 of those Charles Barkley golf swing looking jumpers then I could see getting on his case, but missing a bunch of layups is just a bad night. Everyone, including the man who went 8-10 from the 3pt line yesterday, has a bad night.

by PutBackDunk on Jan 12, 2009 1:21 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Why Dont use KG as a Center if KP is not available instead of BBD?
Tim Duncan has a similar PF position like KG, but Timmy is playing on center Position on his Team right now. Why all the blame just goes to BBD? just because he had 1-12 stat?

by spoiled on Jan 12, 2009 1:27 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

A better rotation

No doubt in my mind playing the following as your primary big man sets would be a big help:

Option 1: Perk, KG
Option 2: KG, Powe
Option 3: Perk, Powe

But even if you like BBD better, than use him in the same fashion. No sense (whatsoever) in playing BBD at the same time as Powe.

by Brendan on Jan 12, 2009 2:02 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Jeff Clark's alter ego: John Belushi's "Bluto"

Jeff, cccasionally, I think you just like popping your head up in the cafeteria and yelling “Food fight!”

by no kidding on Jan 12, 2009 2:08 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

guilty

what am I? a zit (splooch)

"Would I rather be feared or loved? Easy. Both. I want people to be afraid of how much they love me." Michael Scott

by Jeff Clark on Jan 12, 2009 2:19 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

For Jeff Clark or actually anybody

Where do any of you bloggers see this team in 4 years? Do you think Rondo is the future at the point? What about Perk at the center position? The latter two questions I’m asking are assuming that the big three are no longer playing and if two out of the three are they have begun to take a lesser role as Reggie Miller did with the Pacers when his career was finishing.

by richardlight on Jan 12, 2009 2:16 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

thats a whole week of columns right there

personally I’m not that worried about 4 years from now, but obviously Danny is, otherwise he would have signed Posey

Rondo seems like the PG of the future, but durability concerns have to make me wonder about Perkins

if we lose in the playoffs, we’ll be doing “what’s in store for the future” articles all summer long

"Would I rather be feared or loved? Easy. Both. I want people to be afraid of how much they love me." Michael Scott

by Jeff Clark on Jan 12, 2009 2:33 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

call me resistant to change

but I’m pulling for another summer of “Wow, it was really cool to win a championship…” pieces and wondering how we’ll repeat again. That was awesome. :-D

-sw

Manuel Aristides Ramirez is the greatest hitter I've ever seen.

by Steve Weinman on Jan 13, 2009 2:07 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

In Four Years...

This team will be in the middle of a complete rebuild. I expect that Garnett will still be here, but Ray Allen will be gone and Pierce will be on the verge of retirement.

I expect Rondo to be here, and Perkins, assuming his shoulder holds up. After that, I do not see any members of the current roster as being here 4 years from now, and I do not expect the team to be that good, unless Ainge can persuade LeBron to play for short money in 2010.

by Brickowski on Jan 12, 2009 3:11 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Rondo and Perk are the future with Powe as a solid role player. Bill Walker will be the new “Pierce”.

by bigjohnson34st on Jan 12, 2009 3:34 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Fair enough

Glad we one one title then because this year is not happening and i doubt very much number 18 will happen anytime in the next four years. So I guess we cashed all our chips for title 17! Well at least we ended a long drought.

My opinion? Although the big three something special in Rondo along with the rest of the organization, from watching him play, I echo Stephen A. Smith sentiments. Rondo is not the PG you build a franchise around and for that reason alone I hope they trade him when his stock is high enough! Unless of course we can bring in more talent or JR and Bill turn into special players and not just rotation guys.

by richardlight on Jan 12, 2009 3:45 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

wow. A Big Baby Marathon

Pass the chips….

Actually, I just read almost every bloody one of the posts. This is what Celticsblog is famous for. Wait to go, men!

There are more BB defenders than I thought there were. For the record, I like both players (Powe/Davis). In the past, I’ve been a Davis defender and still like the guy.

I have been purposefully holding off doing another piece on Davis. I must say that a number of BfromB’s thoughts about player evaluation are exactly what I was thinking, when I saw the increased minutes and additional freedom given Glen in games. Most likely that is the case.

I think in reading the thread, both sides made their case. Glen certainly hasn’t improved as I thought he would overall this season. It has been a tough year for him. His defense has gotten better, but his offense has gone down the tubes.

I also don’t believe that Davis will be here next season. But that might just be the best thing for him.

Anyway, great read gentlemen.

T

by tenaciousT on Jan 12, 2009 6:20 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Amen Tenacious

Who would have thought big baby would have caused such chaos. This all started with a one paragraph piece on how Big Baby is killing the team…crazy!

SCOTT

by Vegas Scott on Jan 13, 2009 12:40 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

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