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What If...?

A couple of recent articles wondering what life would have been like if things had gone differently.

Tom Halzack wonders "What if Rondo Played for Another Team?"

My guess is his lack of a jump shot, poor foul shooting, questionable ball distribution decisions (remember last season and the year before – he is better now) and strength as a man defender would mean he accumulates serious bench time with the D’Antoni Suns. Though his strength was in the open court, he was the anti-Sun. Development delayed.

How about if he went to say….San Antonio? Or Detroit? Both are defensive minded teams. Would he have developed quicker there? Or would highly defined systems make it difficult for him to gain valuable court time AND play the game the right way?

Empty the Bench wonders what the Celtics would look like if they never made the trades for KG and Ray.

No, Boston wouldn’t have won a title yet. They would still be must-see TV in my book though, and they would still be a playoff team out East. A starting lineup of Rajon Rondo, Paul Pierce, Jeff Green, Al Jefferson and Kendrick Perkins is nothing to sneeze at, especially with the likes of West, G. Green, Gomes, Allen, Powe, Telfair and Szczerbiak coming off the bench. With Boston looking more elderly and creaky by the day, the future of this franchise for 2010 and beyond would undoubtedly be brighter, that’s for sure.

Right off the bat I see an issue with this because I'm pretty sure Pierce was ready to demand a trade if help didn't come in the way of veteran stars.  So you would have to envision what we would have gotten for Pierce in way of a trade (probably not enough). 

Best case is that we'd be the Portland Trailblazers (young but successful).  Worst case would be more years toiling in the lottery.

Of course I wouldn't take back or change a thing, but I admit it is fun to look at and debate what could have happened.

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more what if's...

What if…
…we fired Doc back in 06?
…we kept Joe Johnson?
…we drafted Tony Parker instead of Joe Forte?

this could go on for days

"Would I rather be feared or loved? Easy. Both. I want people to be afraid of how much they love me." Michael Scott

by Jeff Clark on Jan 15, 2009 10:45 AM EST reply actions  

And Even More..

What if…

Pierce had been traded to Portland for Nick VanExel’s nonguaranteed contract and the the #3 pick, and Chris Paul had become a Celtic?

Jefferson, Perkins, Jeff Green, Joe Johnson, Chris Paul

with Rondo, West , Gomes, Powe, Allen, BBD and the rest coming off the bench.

By the way, if Joe Johnson had not been traded, the Celtics could have used the first round pick that was traded to Phoenix in that deal (#22) to draft Tayshaun Prince, Carlos Boozer or Luis Scola, just to name three.

by Brickowski on Jan 15, 2009 11:03 AM EST reply actions  

ugh

the ineptitude of the previous regime gives me bad flashbacks

"Would I rather be feared or loved? Easy. Both. I want people to be afraid of how much they love me." Michael Scott

by Jeff Clark on Jan 15, 2009 11:21 AM EST up reply actions  

Non of these what if's work

Because we would be dealing with an entirely different set of circumstances.
No one really knows what the team would look like today.
Plus IMO, that line up Brick just mentioned may be one of the worst defensive teams in the history of the NBA
Perkins is the only defensive presence and he’d foul out of every game.

by Jaycelt on Jan 15, 2009 11:39 AM EST reply actions  

Jeff Green, Chris Paul and Joe Johnson are all above average defenders, and you would have three excellent defenders (Rondo, West, Allen) coming off the bench.

by Brickowski on Jan 15, 2009 11:47 AM EST up reply actions  

D. West

My point exactly. A GM that doesn’t believe in them can make a terrible environment for them. He never got much of a chance.

by Tom Halzack on Jan 15, 2009 12:31 PM EST up reply actions  

A team with Chris Paul, Joe Johnson and Al Jefferson

would never give you the chance to draft Jeff Green. And I doubt a Pierce/JJ team in 03/04 and 04/05 would propel a Pierce for draft pick trade. And so on and so on.

by cordobes on Jan 15, 2009 6:02 PM EST up reply actions  

Player development

I can’t speak for the Empty the Bench article, but the purpose of my own piece was to view a player in different (hypothetical) circumstances, to possibly see the player in a different light. And obviously to do it with certain Celtics.

As I suggest, GM’s and scouts do it all the time in evaluating potential players for their own team and system.

An interesting example over his career is someone like Donyell Marshall. He has flourished…or sat. There has been little in between. Did he need the right system? it seems so.

Glen Davis and Leon Powe are two other interesting players to walk down that road with.

Delonte West is another one. Promising start here, then doesn’t play in Seattle…at all. His development stops. Goes to the Cavs, he is now starting on a contending team.

Sometimes, a great team can makes players look better than they are. Danny Ainge was traded to the Kings. The Kings thought he was good enough to make him into a first or second scoring option. Danny did well, but couldn’t really fill that role.

The point of the Rondo piece, in spite of the Celtics being predominantly a half court team, is that it looks like this is the best of all worlds for him. Where would he be developmentally right now on other specific teams?

It is an interesting question.

Hey, maybe I’m the only guy that thinks that way. Whatever.

thanks for the daylight, Jeff.

best,
T

by Tom Halzack on Jan 15, 2009 11:40 AM EST reply actions  

Pierce is not traded....

…unless we win the #1 or #2 pick.

by LB3533 on Jan 15, 2009 11:42 AM EST reply actions  

Sometimes, a great team can makes players look better than they are.

You are right on that. its not what you are seeing right now on specific player will be the same thing when he play into another team. Maybe he will be more good or much worst be bad. Take some look around, shall i say Brand, Baron davis?. But its not about just the player but more on what type of team they will be after.

by spoiled on Jan 15, 2009 11:45 AM EST reply actions  

the Chicago Bulls

The ’90s Bulls proved this point all by themselves. Scott Williams anyone?

by Thruthelookingglass on Jan 15, 2009 3:08 PM EST up reply actions  

ish dont think so

The roster in the original post looks interesting on paper. But there’s no way they would have done anywhere near as well. I wrote a loooooooong article about redundancy a couple of years back — that was the problem with the Celtics prior to the Ray Allen deal. Too much redundancy in the skillset of the players on the team. You need to fill weaknesses so that they’re not as exploitable vs. piling on strength in the NBA. Defense was the major weakness and we addressed that with KG and Tommy T. Too many SG/SF that could only score off the jumper — same story. We might be entertaining to watch, but there’s no way we’d be in any kind of serious contention.

by dobbs on Jan 15, 2009 11:48 AM EST reply actions  

I swear that Seattle was just trying to lose. Their rotations were nuts and they wanted to drive the fans away. They went so far as to not renew the radio contract they had had for decades and went to a station with poor reception and awful ratings. DW was hurt early in the year and they kept his happy butt on the bench thereafter. It was all going to help them rationalize that they should be allowed to move

by wahz on Jan 15, 2009 12:27 PM EST up reply actions  

The “Major League scenario”

by Thruthelookingglass on Jan 15, 2009 3:11 PM EST up reply actions  

D. West

Oops. My D. West comment was supposed to be here.

by Tom Halzack on Jan 15, 2009 12:32 PM EST up reply actions  

What's to Debate

“With Boston looking more elderly and creaky by the day, the future of this franchise for 2010 and beyond would undoubtedly be brighter, that’s for sure.”

We look elderly and creaky?? That’s an interesting description of a team who is 32-9, and on a 3 game win streak. Yes I can’t tell you how many days I sit around and speculate what would have been if Wally World, Gerald Green and Sebastian Telfair were still on our roster. Oh how I miss them.

SCOTT

by Vegas Scott on Jan 15, 2009 11:56 AM EST reply actions  

This team gets more crap than any 9 loss team after playing half their schedule, its unbelievable

by TheAncientRivalry on Jan 15, 2009 12:20 PM EST up reply actions  

there is nothing to be concerned about beyond the fact that without Big Shot James, and PJ we need some bench help to have an edge over Cle. If healthy imho we beat LA and Orlando as we are right now.

by wahz on Jan 15, 2009 12:30 PM EST up reply actions  

The caveats/disclaimers for my ETB article

Hey guys, glad to see you discussing and taking the time to check out my article on Empty the Bench. I just wanted to excerpt the two disclaimers/caveats I put in the intro. Basically it’s an exercise as a pure thought experiment for discussion and interest:

"I also have two disclaimers. First, acquiring Ray Allen and Kevin Garnett was absolutely the right thing to do. In the NBA a bird in the hand is worth five in the bush. If Ainge had kept the core intact I don’t think the young kids had a snowball’s chance in hell of winning a title in the next two or three years. It would have been a long-term project along the lines of the current Portland Trailblazers with no guarantees of success. When you have a legit shot at a title you take it, no questions asked. Rings are what this game is all about.

Second, there’s an undeniable butterfly effect to take into account here. I acknowledge that we have no way of knowing what other moves would have been made, what contracts would have been signed and how drafts would have shaken down in the alternate universe where Ray Allen is still struggling futilely in Oklahoma and Kevin Garnett is still toiling away in the Twin Cities."

by Mr. Thell on Jan 15, 2009 11:56 AM EST reply actions  

heh

I hate to think about that alternate universe. I like this one just fine, thanks. :)

by dobbs on Jan 15, 2009 12:10 PM EST reply actions  

Minnesota pick

You cannot forget that if we never made the KG trade we would of had the Minnesota lottery pick. It may not have been as good because Garnett would have made Minnesota a better team. But, say the Celtics got lucky, and Minnesota beats the odds and gets a high lottery pick. The Celtics could of drafted OJ Mayo.

A team of Rondo, Mayo, Green, Jefferson, and Perkins is dangerous. And you cannot forget about the proven vet players of Wally, West, and Gomes. And, oh yeah, we still would of had that guy by the name of Paul Pierce.

by KungPoweChicken on Jan 15, 2009 12:20 PM EST reply actions  

What goes up, must come down. Even if the C’s win the championship this year, & even next. It is inevitable that they will gradually decline. Even if its from a team that has an excellent chance to win the title, to a team good enough to make the playoffs, a team scraping into the playoffs, or a lotto team…they will eventually decline. Making those trades in the summer of 2007 basically sacrificed say 2012 for now. I’m not saying it is impossible to be successful in 2012, 2013, 2014, etc.. If the cards are played right, & we have the proper foundation laid, which I believe we do in Rondo, surround him with good players when the Pierce/KG/Allen era is at its closing, then this team can still remain competitive for a number of years. But, it will eventually happen, they will go through a number of decent/mediocre/terrible years. Some years they will make it into the playoffs, lose in the 1st of 2nd round, others they will be receiving the 8th pick in the draft. Let’s just enjoy the ride for now, we got the 17th banner, and yes after 22 years of anguish, the C’s deserved title 17, but let’s not get greedy, and realize that we have a window for this year & next yr, perhaps the year after, but it will close, and things will go down gradually. Let’s just ride this out, enjoy it, hope for the best, hope that gradual work can be done on the roster to secure it for 3-5 years from now.

To be the man, you've gotta beat the man! WOOOOOOOO!

by PaulPierce34G on Jan 15, 2009 12:21 PM EST reply actions  

I think we are all already comfortable with the major moves that went down

but looking at the most realistic out come, we have starters Perk, Jefferson, PP, DWest, Rondo with J Green, T Allen, Gomes, Powe ,Telfair, and Wally off the bench(No BBD because he was from the Ray trade). I am going to say PP doesn’t get traded at that point especially with Wyk and all saying he was always going to be a Celtic for life. I think if Cliff Ray, Tom T and Doc are all here, thats now a 50-55 win team with a good long term future.

The Big Ticket is the big difference as well know. Al is almnost, almost an unstoippable force in Mn, yet they are still not good at best, so far. Al just isn’t a good defender and that is what would hurt the above team so much

by wahz on Jan 15, 2009 12:21 PM EST reply actions  

If Pierce isn't traded...

then it becomes a matter of “what other deals were out there for our young guys?”

I think KG would have gone to the Lakers (which almost happened anyway) and we would have traded for Pau Gasol with Raef’s contract. We could have done ok with Pierce, Gasol, and Big Al, but I think the Lakers would have won the title with KG.

"Would I rather be feared or loved? Easy. Both. I want people to be afraid of how much they love me." Michael Scott

by Jeff Clark on Jan 15, 2009 12:38 PM EST reply actions  

Jeff that is a great point: if we stood pat, standing pat would have meant we get Gasol!

man I dunno. With Perk, Gasol, Al, Green, Powe up front dealing with KG, and Odom?(no bynum, traded or injured either way, and may be no Odom due to trade), and if we have Tom T, with PP owning Kobe which apparently is a rule of the universe, I think we win it. Kg can’t guard both Al and Gasol and LA has no one else up front. KG would have had to assert himself on offense and we all know he would have but intermittently enough to not kill us. Celtics win!

by wahz on Jan 15, 2009 12:46 PM EST up reply actions  

Yi Not Green

Danny was very clear that if held the 5 pick, he would have drafted Yi, not Jeff Green.

by footey on Jan 15, 2009 12:42 PM EST reply actions  

either way that one probably goes to Memphis for Gasol

by wahz on Jan 15, 2009 1:03 PM EST up reply actions  

As many theologians will tell you, it was preordained on the day of creation that Danny would trade for Ray Allen and then Garnett. Free will is just an illusion.

So don’t be so quick to praise Danny, or blame Chris Wallace for the 2001 draft. God knew about Joe Forte all along.

by Brickowski on Jan 15, 2009 1:11 PM EST reply actions  

I disagree, I think we were preordained to win the title (salvation)

we had free will on the details but one way or another we were going to win

"Would I rather be feared or loved? Easy. Both. I want people to be afraid of how much they love me." Michael Scott

by Jeff Clark on Jan 15, 2009 1:32 PM EST up reply actions  

I just wish Red had known about Forte all along.

by Thruthelookingglass on Jan 15, 2009 3:17 PM EST up reply actions  

Would this team without KG have hired Thibodeau?

And given how so many hated Doc before last season, would he have implemented the right young lineups to go along with Pierce? With the trades, the rotations were set for him, the only thing he had to worry about was managing the bench and keeping the big 3 fresh.

Vinny Del Negro interviewed for the job today. I mean come on! Nobody else thinks this is nuts?
by Juiceboxjerry on Jun 6, 2008 4:21 PM CDT actions actions 0 recs

by Ozzie Montana on Jan 15, 2009 4:30 PM EST reply actions  

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