Smoke = Fire
I don't know anything more than I've reported here already, but I grow more certain by the day that something pretty significant is going to happen. Call it "chatter," call it "rumblings," or call it "smoke." There's a lot of it going on right now and Ainge is right in the thick of things.
That isn't to say I believe in any one particular rumor that has come out recently. I'll go so far as to say that none of them will happen as reported. My guess is that if we are hearing about them, the rumors are already a couple weeks old. Those rumors get passed along in a game of telephone where critical pieces of information get lost along the way and opinion gets mixed with rumor (never mind facts). So I'm not going to waste a ton of time speculating about one rumor or another (though it is fun to weigh the pros & cons and debate them for a while).
What strikes me is the consistency and regularity with which we hear the Celtics involved. They've been connected to the Suns, the Grizzlies, the Kings, and just about anyone with a first round draft pick. Multiple sources are claiming that Ray Allen is available for the right price (and the rumored price has ranged from Amare Stoudemire to draft pick and expiring contracts). Rondo's name has come up on more than one occasion and now even Perkins has been tossed into the tumbler. We haven't even talked much about Big Baby. And if you prefer to dislodge from reality, you can find "rumors" on message boards about Dwyane Wade or Chris Paul.
Wyc poured gas on the fire when he made the pronouncement that there was a scenario where we could clear enough cap space to land a max free agent. The only way that happens is if some significant moves are made between now and next summer.
Of course the rumor miss isn't limited to the Celtics. The Suns are said to be looking for buyers for both Stoudamire and Shaq. The Cavs are looking to add a star next to LeBron. The Hawks might be looking to dump Josh Smith and/or Speedy Claxton (with the 19 pick). The Wizards might be looking to offload Antawn Jamison. The Wolves might be looking to snag the #2 pick. Houston is trying to move Tracy McGrady. This time of year always brings rumors, but there seems to be a higher sense of urgency and maybe even desperation this time around (probably related to the economy and the 2010 free agent class).
I don't blame Ainge at all for kicking the tires and "throwing things against the wall" in this market. That's his job. He has to look under every rock and ever GM is calling every other GM every day with hundreds of ideas that none of us ever hears about. Still, there just seems to be something more to all this talk than the business-as-usual rumor season.
I think Ainge will make a deal and I wouldn't be surprised at all to see someone from the starting 5 leave town. Furthermore, I don't think he'll stop there. In fact, I don't think he can stop there. Our starting five has wonderful balance right now (everyone has a defined role that they excel at). It isn't likely that we'll be able to trade (for example) Ray Allen and get back another shooting guard to adequately fill that spot in the starting lineup. So an additional move has to be made, either via free agency or another trade (or by expanding the original trade to involved a 3rd team which becomes very complex very quickly).
My guess is that the trade that actually does go down will be something we haven't even heard about yet. There will be great weeping and gnashing of teeth (probably by me) because we've come to love the core of this group. People (like me) will rush to declare winners and losers in the trade. But in the end, all that matters is the end result. Ainge isn't just working on winning a trade. He's trying to position us to make a run at the Championship; not just this year but for years to come.
I was sure this was going to be an interesting offseason and thus far it has not disappointed. While there's only been one actual trade completed thus far, the smoke is billowing out from where the GM's are conducting business. A lot of big stuff is going to happen this summer, and chances are the Celtics will be part of it.
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98 comments
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Comments
I like that he`s working on options
It`s better than this:
by Casperian on Jun 16, 2009 8:55 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
if perk were traded, who would we sign at center?
i’d be open to that deal, provided there’s a plan for the center position.
by ssspence on Jun 16, 2009 9:01 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
What about Gasol
No, the other Gasol!
Perk for the #2 does not make sense – they would have 2 centers and we would have none. Perk and Stuff (Walker, Giddens, Cap relief) for Gasol and the #2 makes more sense.
by Michael Anthony on Jun 16, 2009 10:13 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I Don't See Fire
I don’t think there is necessarily “fire” here. As Casperian says, Ainge is just doing his job, exploring all options.
But I do think Ray Allen is a goner, if not on draft night then at the trading deadline. They can’t realistically improve the team in a major way without moving him. I suppose that signing someone like ZaZa for the MLE would help, but they may need more than one decent big body to win next year.
You look at the two teams that made the NBA finals. Each one was 6-10 or better across all three frontcourt positions.
by Brickowski on Jun 16, 2009 9:10 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
why "major"?
Why do you feel they need to make a"major" improvement? If KG and Powe were healthy, this team would have made the finals if not won the championship again. To me, that signals the team needs to add depth, not a complete revamping or ’"major" improvement.
Get a solid big off the bench that can back up Perk (keeping BBD and resigning Powe would cover the PF spot), a good wing to back up PP and Ray and a good backup point. House isn’t a bad guy off the bench but TA , Pruitt and Scal should not be the other primary option off the bench. With the talent available in free agency, Danny should be able to improve those bench spots without issue and hopefully move those expiring contracts for a much better bench player.
by slamtheking on Jun 16, 2009 9:30 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I Think the Bench is Weak
Not in the frontcourt, but in the backcourt and at the sf position. Pierce and Allen are forced to play too many minutes given that they are both over 30. There is also no effective backup point guard.
Plus, generally, the team is too short.
by Brickowski on Jun 16, 2009 3:04 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
ok
so, those holes should be able to be filled via decent FA’s and moving expiring deals.
by slamtheking on Jun 16, 2009 4:43 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ray is fine
The team isn’t broken, we were a few bounces of a ball away from making the ECF and likely the finals. Had Garnett not gone down, there might have been a different champion, or at least we’d have given the Lakers a better run for their money. Why would you trade Ray when (if everyone stays healthy) you have a shot at a championship again next year?
by funkstarrdeluxe on Jun 16, 2009 1:57 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ray
will be 34 this year. That’s why. We all love Ray, but if there’s a chance to reload a younger star for Ray and another piece outside of the big 3, you have to do it.
by jdpapa3 on Jun 16, 2009 2:14 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
but
none of these trade proposals are brining in the ‘younger star’ that would replace Ray — certainly not without costing us one of the ‘younger stars’ we already have such as Rondo or Perk.
The only one I’ve seen so far that would be worthwhile is a Ray/Rondo/filler for Chris Paul/Tyson Chandler/filler deal. I’d still have concerns with chemistry (minor) but that does net the better player in the deal for the C’s and fills their biggest CURRENT void. Of course that deal makes a bigger hole because there’s no longer a starting quality (nevermind allstar) at SG.
by slamtheking on Jun 16, 2009 2:42 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I see a disaster of a season if he trades Perk.
The Celtics are built on defense and I don’t see how they defend Howard or other big centers without Perk. What center can we get that could shut Howard or Bynum down? I didn’t think so.
by Bankshot on Jun 16, 2009 9:13 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Agreed
It makes some sense (or can) to trade Ray. If you read Elrod Enchilada’s recent piece over on RealGM, he thinks that unless Danny thinks that Rondo is going to be a top-5-to-10 player in the league, a Rondo trade makes sense (or can).
But Centers are almost impossible to get. What is Danny going to do if he trades Perk: switch the franchise to the 6’5"-and-under league?
In general, we need MORE bigs, not less. I’m starting to think Danny may have some psychiatric problem with tall guys. Maybe HE should make an appointment with the Brain Doctor.
I love the pre-draft silly season!
"People don't understand, if you can't live the rest of your life off one year in the NBA, you can't live off 21." -- Keon Clark
by Eeyore III on Jun 16, 2009 9:30 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
On Rondo
I wonder if Danny is getting smoke signals that Rondo may look to break the bank on his next contract. Is he worth huge money? Personally, I don’t think so.
by Kuberski33 on Jun 16, 2009 9:33 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Let Chris "Caveman" Kaman examine DA's brain
That might scare him straight…errrr sane
I still want to get Kris/Chris Kaman in green BTW
Is it Soup Yet?
by Master Po on Jun 16, 2009 11:45 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
No Way Perk is Getting Dealt
Perk’s value is higher than it’s ever been, because he’s now a rare commodity. He’s proven that he’s one of the few Centers in the NBA who can do a reasonable job guarding Dwight Howard. They have him for a reasonable price. There’s no way he’s going anywhere because he would be very difficult to replace and this team is undersized to begin with after him and KG.
Rondo on the other hand….it honestly wouldn’t shock me if they did something with him given that his perceived value is sky high and I still think his game has some limitations. And I think Ray is definitely in play — and would be the most likely of he and Rondo to get moved.
by Kuberski33 on Jun 16, 2009 9:31 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
i would love to snag amare
somehow…someway….
by celticinorlando on Jun 16, 2009 9:15 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
you're aware he has a nasty eye injury...
right?
by ssspence on Jun 16, 2009 9:17 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
DO NOTHING
If they did NOTHING, they’d contend for #18.
Trading Kendrick would be moronic…likewise with Perk.
Don't fake the funk on a nasty dunk
by mcpu40 on Jun 16, 2009 9:26 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
RONDO
Meant to type:
- Trading Kendrick would be moronic…likewise with RONDO.
.
Don't fake the funk on a nasty dunk
by mcpu40 on Jun 16, 2009 10:34 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
got it---makes more sense now
and I agree.
by slamtheking on Jun 16, 2009 12:35 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Great article, thanks.
I share your opinion and I would be one of the first one to grind my teeth too. I just can’t imagine that Danny would pull the trigger to trade Ray, Perkins or any other player of the starting five, it would be incredibly stupid for me because so far we haven’t heard trade scenarios that really make us stronger… I mean, you can’t trade a player like Ray or Perkins for a 2nd pick if you are contending for the championship next season, it doesn’t make sense to break the chemistry of the starting five to acquire a talented and promising player who could be a bust.
Still, I don’t have any long term vision, I’m focused on next year only and Danny must consider the present and the long term. But in my opinion the only problem of this team is its bench, not its starting five which is probably the best in the league.
We’ll see what happens but I must admit that all these rumors and the likely “big trade” coming are making me anxious while I was hoping to be excited by the Celtics offseason… I just wish we could know already what is going to happen. I hope no player from the starting five gets traded.
by Drucci on Jun 16, 2009 9:31 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I'm with Drucci on this one.
We have the best starting 5 in the league right now, and the way Rondo (and Perk) are developing, we can keep this 5 together another four years and still have the best starters in the league. Can you imagine a prime of his career Rondo with role players like Ray Allen and Paul Pierce spreading the floor for him? The on court chemistry alone is reason enough not to break them up.
Danny has tools to improve the bench. The full MLE and the expiring package of Scal/TA/youth should be able to net us the quality backups we need to make another run at the Finals next year.
The mindset has to be maximize this window we have to contend with this core group of players.
by D Dub on Jun 16, 2009 12:52 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I am sticking with George Foreman on this one - and his non stick Grill
“Generally when there’s a lot of smoke… there’s just a whole lot more smoke.
George Foreman”
Ray Allen, Rondo or Perk aren’t going anywhere
Is it Soup Yet?
by Master Po on Jun 16, 2009 9:36 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Rondo
I cannot remember seeing a player in the league who could look so UBER at times and at other times so bad! When he is blazing past peeps to the rim or at the last minute dishing off for an assist, then stealing the ball from an opponent with his so fast hands and feet, he IS UBER! Then, when he is tossing bad passes, missing 6 foot jumpers, dogging it up the floor and wearing out the ball dribbling while the clock runs down, and watching his opponent PGuard dribble past him for a uncontested layup (Groan).
I would dearly love to hear what Danny and Doc say to each other privately about the Jekyl-Hyde above.
by Dipper on Jun 16, 2009 9:55 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I tend to agree with Jeff. There’s too much chatter for something not to be happening. Also, you had to know that when all the trades were made two years ago, that Danny was thinking some kind of move for this year. I’d like to play chess with him some time.
However, I think likelihood of trades will involve:
1. Some combination of bench guard players to get Memphis’s second or third pick (a big man project).
1A. BBD S&T to do something (move up and get player[s] in return).
2. Rondo – he can get the most return on his buck right now in terms of young players and picks.
3. Ray – Huge expiring contract, and Ray has always been on the outside looking in.
None of these would surprise me. Then of course the additional vet signings that are warranted.
by amenhotep04 on Jun 16, 2009 9:58 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
1A won't work
From my understanding of salary restrictions a sign-and-trade for BBD would only work if another team was looking to give him a max contract (which would NEVER happen) or if another team was looking to trade a player making very little and the Celtics wanted him. I’m no expert on salaries, but I remember seeing it on this site or another that an S&T could only net 60% back in salary. So another team would really need to make a financial commitment to BBD to execute that while having someone making less money that the Celtics would want. More likely, the team could just sign him in free agency.
by funkstarrdeluxe on Jun 16, 2009 2:05 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
We held on Bird, McHale and Parish and never won a title until 22 years later. Ainge was not born yesterday. I trust him.
by GreenGrizz on Jun 16, 2009 10:20 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
agree
I think Danny is one of the best gm’s in the game. I have complete faith in him. I fear that people around here have become too attached to some of our guys, which is to be expected. This may be the best opportunity to extend the window, while still being a contender this year. People think some of these trades are sacrificing the title this year, but if you have Garnett, Pierce, and another star, the other pieces will fall in place, just like in 07-08.
by jdpapa3 on Jun 16, 2009 10:36 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
and
on top of that he’s said NUMEROUS times not only would it have been prudent to break up that big three, but that he himself would have done it… say what you want, but the writing’s on the wall that ray’s out of here
by YouveBeenPierced on Jun 16, 2009 10:38 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Loyalty
That’s what Red called it. How many guys were drafted, traded for, won championships and retired as Celtics? I don’t know what’s going on except Danny stirring the pot. I hope and expected Ray, PP and KG to remian and retire as Celts and have their numbers retired. OH, BTW, and let’s hope we win a title or two along the way.
by badax33 on Jun 16, 2009 2:20 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
If loyalty means 22 years of suck, I`ll happily pass!
It`s not the 80ies.
by Casperian on Jun 16, 2009 2:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Call me stupid or anything, but I choose ‘suck’ over ‘betrayal’.
Having said that, I must admit the Celtics did not always put loyaltiy in front of team improvement. They did trade away the ‘Cornbread’. And also, Ainge should know firsthand about this one, he himself was traded to Sacramento after winning a couple of banners. So I won’t be surprised if Ainge break up the starting 5, or even the Big 3.
They way things are going, no one is untouchable except maybe KG.
by wincelticswin on Jun 17, 2009 3:32 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think the way these probably go is that Ainge calls a team inquiring about a particular asset. The other team then let’s Ainge know who they would want in return. Rumors of the discussion get leaked (after the fact) and Celtics nation then flies off the handle about who’s been “offered.”
But there’s no surprise that the Celtics generating the most interest are Rondo, Ray Allen and Perk. Rondo and Perk are young and good, and Ray is still a sharpshooter with a large deal coming off the books.
Pierce and Garnett are here to stay, but I could see any of the other three going in the “right” deal. Ray Allen only has one year left under contract, his health is a concern, and he might want more money on his next deal than the C’s want to pay a guard in his mid 30’s. Rondo still can’t shoot and might want way too much money as well (and, coming off this playoffs, his trade value may never be higher). I’d hate to see Perk go, but the ongoing health of his shoulder could be of concern to the team.
Like Jeff, I wouldn’t be surprised to see a new member (or two) of the starting five next year. I’d hate to see anything too drastic done to a 62 win team that likely would have won the title if healthy. But who know what Ainge’s long term plans are?
by TheRev72 on Jun 16, 2009 10:36 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Blog Chatter. That's all
slamtheking is right. If KG (and Leon) stayed healthy we’re playing the Lakers and looking down the bench at Big Baby and Leon as bigs, instead of Baby starting, Leon out and Scal and Mikki are the bench. In fact we’re 50/50 to beat that Laker team with our team and that’s all you can ask for in this salary cap world.
If a point guard and a center are two difficult cogs in a lineup to find and we’ve got those two cogs in Rondo and Perk, Ainge isn’t going to unload them for a “maybe” like Thabeet. Stoudamire is not a good value compared to Perk. I wouldn’t make that trade straight up.
The changes Danny will make will be for bench parts. Our starting 5 will be back. GreenGrizz and company are wrong with their analogy. It is a different NBA than when Bird/McHale/Parish were around. Getting rid of aging parts is much more complicated and I think Danny built this team for a multiple year run and he’s still on that strategy.
by Wildblu1 on Jun 16, 2009 10:38 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
thanks for the vote of confidence
It’s possible something big is in the works but the team just needs some smaller additions to complement the solid foundation of the starting 5.
by slamtheking on Jun 16, 2009 12:48 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Chris Paul
I think Ainge’s target is Chris Paul. He was willing to trade Pierce for Paul a few years ago.
The essentials of the deal will be CP3 and Chandler for Ray Allen and Rondo. Some other pieces (e.g BBD, Julian Wright) may be involved.
The deal saves NO a huge amount of money. For Boston, the key to the deal is Chandler’s health. A healthy Chandler is vastly more valuable than Thrabeet, that’s for sure.
Will the Hornets bite? Time will tell.
by Brickowski on Jun 16, 2009 11:16 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
hope so
I’d love for that to be the case, but I’m sure it is a long shot
"We few, we happy few, we band of brothers" Henry V
by Jeff Clark on Jun 16, 2009 11:53 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don’t doubt that Chris Paul is an Ainge target, I just don’t see how the Hornets trade him without getting run out of town by angry fans. Are the Hornets that desperate to cut salary? That they would trade the face of their franchise?
Let’s hope so…
by TheRev72 on Jun 16, 2009 12:09 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Exactly
If they traded CP3 they might as well just tell their fans “We’re giving up the best PG in the game, who is in his early 20s because we really don’t care about winning. It’s all about the bottom line, but please keep coming to the games anyway because we really need your money.”
Good luck selling that Shinn.
by Mencius on Jun 16, 2009 12:19 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
well
he could just move the team again
"We few, we happy few, we band of brothers" Henry V
by Jeff Clark on Jun 16, 2009 12:55 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
He's better off doing that than trading a top 5 player entering his prime
Chris Paul single handedly has kept New Orleans interested in basketball. Say what you will about Pierce and Allen, but they are on the wrong side of 30, it would be a disaster.
That Steve Nash is exactly the same as Kirk Hinrich, but worse.
by NBA Observer on Apr 8, 2009 12:23 PM CDT
by Ozzie Montana on Jun 16, 2009 1:18 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
He certainly could
As you note, he’s done it before, but to me, the message sent would be the same, “My bottom line is making money, and if winning happens, all the better, but my priorities are clear. Now please get in line for season tickets because I really need the money.”
Perfectly natural to want to turn a profit, but if I were he, though, I’d do everything to shed salary other than trading CP3. I suppose it’s a perception thing, and trading CP3 just screams “I’m not in it to win it.” even though trading everything else of value to shed salary has the same effect of not having enough to be a true contender; it just doesn’t create the same “who cares?” perception. It’d be like us trading a young Larry to save a buck (and I don’t think CP is as good as Larry, but just from a perception standpoint).
by Mencius on Jun 16, 2009 1:39 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Nah
He’ll just convice the fans that Rondo will be just as good. Rondo is fun to watch.
by Brickowski on Jun 16, 2009 1:42 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
CP3 is Mr. NO
Talent-wise, Rondo isn`t even a “poor man`s” Chris Paul.
Besides, Paul is bigger than God in NO……He`s easily the most beloved and popular celebrity in that community, very involved in all sorts of charities.
by Title 18 on Jun 16, 2009 2:20 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
maybe
he’ll do the trade and then move to Seattle. The NO market is not that great, Seattle is on the rebound, and the Katrina sympathy factor keeping him there is gone.
by Brendan on Jun 16, 2009 2:37 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
and wouldnt
Ray going back to Seattle make it all work?
by Brendan on Jun 16, 2009 2:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well, your CP3, Chandler, Wright for Ray, Rondo certainly is interesting. It would kick asz for us, that’s for sure.
by Mencius on Jun 16, 2009 2:50 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
it may take the #2 pick also but lets hope not. we will need a SG, backup PG, backup SF, backup center. if we did that trade.
im gonna be all up on you like a spider monkey!
by remembering9ergods on Jun 16, 2009 2:53 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I’m not sure why this idea is so far-fetched. Some of our own people think Rondo’s the equal of CP3. Plus, Shinn gets badly needed cap relief.
This is a phone call that’s absolutely essential for Ainge to make.
by CoachBo on Jun 16, 2009 7:29 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
IF
IF danny could somehow miraculously get chris paul and tyson chandler by shipping ray and rondo to NO and move perkins and walker(who i really would like to keep) for the #2 pick…wow.
for somereason, part of me thinks he would then trade down and pick up another vet player for the bench or to fill the SG spot. the #2 pick has a first year salary of $3.6m add that to tony and scal and the .25% we can go over and we could get a player(s) up to $11.8m in return.
teams looking to trade have players we could use: t’wolves, mike miller ($9.7m), washington, caron butler ($9.7m), pistons, prince ($10.3m), bulls, hinrich ($9.5m), deng ($10.3m)
esentially this would give us a starting 5 of paul, ?, pierce. KG, chandler.
with a pretty good bench. it woul also make danny look like a friggin genius!
im gonna be all up on you like a spider monkey!
by remembering9ergods on Jun 16, 2009 3:16 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
plus
we would still have the $5.7m MLE to use on a FA.
im gonna be all up on you like a spider monkey!
by remembering9ergods on Jun 16, 2009 3:28 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
How about if Ray, ...
…. knowing that he may be traded, opts out of his 2009-2010 contract and re-signs for a lesser amount? Then there would be no need to trade him and we’ll have a little more $$$ to sign someone else.
I read before that his wife told Wyc that when Ray retires, he better have another job for him in the organization because they are here to stay. The Allens want to be near the hospital that specializes in the treatment of children w/ diabetes.
Everyone has been talking about the possibility of Pierce opting out during the 2010-2011 season … I just raise the possibility of Allen doing the same thing for the 2009-2010 season.
by TheGreenThumb on Jun 16, 2009 11:34 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
pretty sure
Allen doesn’t have an option on this last year, he’d have to take a buyout of zero dollars and then there may be some restrictions on him resigning with the celts – for example he could only get MLE money.
by Brendan on Jun 16, 2009 11:37 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
It's Never the Rumor You Here
I agree when there is smoke there is sometimes fire but usually the fire doesn’t end up looking the way you thought it would. My favorite part of sports are the drafts and trade rumors so I tend to follow these things pretty closely, almost never do you hear a rumor and then have it happen later. Usually you hear a rumor and another thing happens with the same team that is different than reported.
by Evantime34 on Jun 16, 2009 11:56 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
my goodness, we are having fun in the offseason speculating. thak you danny for keeping us on our toes. i have n o idea what would make us better because the cap always gets in my way. i also do get attached to what we have. at this point in time, i would like to keep the starting 5 and everyone else is game-but i do realize danny has to look at the future and not get stuck with a bunch of oldies.
by nazzbo on Jun 16, 2009 12:19 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I am sorry but for a viable future to this team something HAS to happen THIS summer.
There is no way around it. We will be in Salary cap heck unless things start moving now! If we move now we can make a slow transition, if we move later it gets ugly. If these guys were five years younger Danny would stretch this out but they aren’t and he can’t.
by SaCaChAu on Jun 16, 2009 12:24 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Danny, Don't burn down the starting unit.
Perk is very valuable and still has a few years left in his physical prime. As stated above his value is sky high for a Center right now based on the Orlando series, but we are thin as paper up front and his contract is fair. I don’t see him going anywhere unless the C’s medical staff knows something about his shoulder that we don’t.
Rondo has some weaknesses but the brilliance he’s shown of late cannot be understated. Might he look to break the bank in a few years? Sure. But we have KG and Pierce as cornerstones for now, so why would we trade their best assist man while the window is still open?
I can see the argument for trading Ray. He just had an awesome season statistically so theoretically his trade value is probalby peaking. But the flipside of that is his huge contract. Who would want him? Only a contender due to his age. Trading him would mean taking back most of his salary in the form of other contracts. It seems intelligent to me to make a hard push with him at the 2 for one more year and let his contract come off the books so we have flexibility to sign Rondo and others.
All of the above said… we clearly need a back up for Perk. Mikki didn’t contribute much last year—and while a training camp might help him with the rotations I’m not sure how great a fit he is. Scal isn’t gonna hack it as our back up at the 5 if we have any serious aspirations.
We also definitely need a backup for KG. We need him peaking during the second season, and that means that he shouldn’t be averaging more than 30-33 mpg. That means we need a rotation quality vet to spell him.
Pierce clearly was breaking down in the post season. He carried the team for too long during the regular season and it showed in his legs in the post season. We need a veteran to give Pierce a breather. They should be a competent defender at the very least.
In my mind the 2 is one of our deepest positions—assuming that House picks up his player option (I consider House’s maximum value to our team to be at the 2 since he is clearly most efficient catching and shooting). If House resigns he is instant O when Ray is resting and if the opposing guards are outplaying Eddie we can plug in T. A. to slow them down.
Assuming Eddie and T. A. are platooning behind Ray at the 2—that leaves Rondo backed up by Pruitt at the point. I don’t know Gabe’s game too well. I know he has a shooters mentality and he is an alright athlete, but his lack of experience mean’s he would most likely be a liability in the post season. I don’t know if Marbury is the right answer here, but if he doesn’t demand too much money I wouldn’t mind seeing him behind Rondo. Steph certainly had some good chemistry with Eddie—allowing him to play off the ball and unleash that beautiful jumper.
All in all… I wouldn’t be surprised to see Ray traded, but I think that our best chance for the next banner is to keep the starting five together and plug the holes on the bench (of which there are many). If we resign Davis, Powe and House picks up his option we are set at the 4 and the 2, in my opinion. That leaves gaping holes on the bench behind Perk, Pierce, and Rondo.
Danny certainly has his work cut out for him. But I think that if we Steph stays on board, and we find a veteran C and SF we have an amazing shot at hanging another banner. That would be my plan A.
by 6oston's 6east on Jun 16, 2009 1:01 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Smoke = Work
All this chatter is just Danny Ainge doing his job and gauging the worth of his players around the league. As usually happens, he will probably end up valuing his players more than other teams, meaning a trade is unlikely.
Put me in the status quo group—we still have the best starting 5 in the league. Let’s add around the edges and take home #18.
by SalmonAndMashedPotatoes on Jun 16, 2009 1:14 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
My prediction is...
We have two things we can afford to trade.
Ray and Leon (This doesn’t mean I don’t like these guys)
It’s not personal, it’s just business. MC
Ray’s expiring contract plus his ability to help put a contender over the top
make him a huge asset. Bring in Ray go for broke, things don’t work out oh well,
there’s 15 mil off the books next year.
Leon has been great and how could you not like the guy. Truly one of the great guys in the NBA. But his injury problems and the fact that there is a Big Baby who can do the same thing, maybe even a little better.
I think Ainge and Wyc want options. They want to make Rondo earn it one more year, which is smart. Trading away Ray and Leon and adding a PG like Rubio or Evans allows them the option to bail on Rondo next year if one of these guys can develop quickly. Also Ray frees up money for the Summer of 2010 FA’s and that still leaves us money to go get the MLE hopefully the guy they want.
If the Cowboys could only play like a team with passion and unity like my beloved
Boston Celtics, I would be happy.
by Captain Comeback on Jun 16, 2009 1:31 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
How about Captian LeaveItAlone rather than Captain Comeback
You said ……Ray’s expiring contract plus his ability to help put a contender over the top make him a huge asset. Bring in Ray go for broke, things don’t work out oh well, there’s 15 mil off the books next year……So what makes you think we aren’t that team you speak of. Rubio or Evans don’t replace Ray’s game next year in my opinion. Our Big 3 is terrific and I’m more concerned of Pierce’s health (law of averages. He’s been a lucky warrior his whole career) than of Ray losing his game next year.
by Wildblu1 on Jun 16, 2009 2:00 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Leon? Seriously?
You realize that no team would trade for Leon because he is a free agent and they could just sign him. He isn’t going to get enough money that it matters to a team, the market for an injured reserve player that will never see more than 16 minutes per game will not be over $2 million (and he is likely to get $1.2 per year for 3 years – if he is lucky).
by funkstarrdeluxe on Jun 16, 2009 2:13 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
pardon me?
It kills me when I see a line like
“Ray’s expiring contract plus his ability to help put a contender over the top
make him a huge asset. Bring in Ray go for broke, things don’t work out oh well,
there’s 15 mil off the books next year.”
Why would we want to help another team get ‘over the top’? That refers to winning a title, correct? That’s what the C’s goal is. Why would we help another team improve where they could win it?
Keep Ray and let him help put US over the top.
by slamtheking on Jun 16, 2009 2:56 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
One other thought on Ainge
He’s kind of like me my Fantasy Football roster (when I used to play)
he’s never satisfied with his team. Doesn’t matter…..he’s always looking to upgrade.
This is part of what makes him a great GM. Most everything he’s done so far has worked out great, that’s what scares me. Eventually he’s gonna throw up a brick.
If the Cowboys could only play like a team with passion and unity like my beloved
Boston Celtics, I would be happy.
by Captain Comeback on Jun 16, 2009 1:36 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
i hope the hell we stay away from tracy MCinjured
im gonna be all up on you like a spider monkey!
by remembering9ergods on Jun 16, 2009 1:52 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
We don’t get Rubio without giving up Rondo. I don’t believe Ray will bring us a top 4 pick. Sacremento may want to drop payroll but not enough to take Ray for a young player and #4.
by celty86 on Jun 16, 2009 2:00 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Danny
Danny is constantly looking to make the team better. It’s his job. He’s also a proactive GM and will look to make things happen. That doesn’t mean he’ll do anything. Before last year he was willing to make gambles until something came of it. The team is different now. His moves must be more calculated. So all this talk about trading Perk for an unproven 2nd pick is ridiculous. A few years ago many of us were praying that we did NOT get the #1 pick. Now going after the #2 at the expense of Perk makes no sense at all as do the rumors about Ray and Rondo. What Danny needs to do is get more depth around the starting 5, not mess with the starting five. When that type of rumor surfaces then maybe there’s something to talk about.
"I don't come to play, I come to WIN"--Larry Bird
"Criminally Negligent Officiating"--Tommy Heinsohn
by TrueGreen on Jun 16, 2009 2:04 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Ray Allen is trade bait
If getting banner #18 was the only goal, and for most teams a one year window is a luxury, then the C’s stand pat on the starters and upgrade the bench. This would likely result in a much weaker team in 2-3 years as the other starters retire and we get nothing in return.
The whole idea of trading any starter now would be for the goal of keeping the future going. The one thing no one should forget is what happened to the C’s in the early 90’s because Danny sure won’t. The big three retired but the future was gone with the deaths of Len Bias and Reggie Lewis. There was no one left who was good enough to build on. That’s why Rondo isn’t going anywhere. At his age, he has nothing but upside and he will continue to mature and improve, especially if he spends some off-season time with the Couse.
Ray Allen, though, isn’t getting any better just older. Being 34 and with an expiring contract, he’s MOST valuable to the C’s by bringing in a younger guy. That may lessen this years title chances a smidgen but will help to set us up for the long term.
I think that to mitigate Ray’s departure, Marbury is resigned and probably Big Baby. Trading Ray Allen will not adversely affect our title chances next year. Health issues are what would take us down, as two bad knees did this year.
by jdn on Jun 16, 2009 2:17 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Danny sees a golden opportunity...
As a Celtic in the 80`s, he saw first hand what a bunch of healthy seven-footers can do for you {Parish-McHale-Walton}. You cannot teach height, and he wants that massive front-court. KG & Perk are already in place, with one more to acquire {Amare, Thabeet, etc.}.
Ray has already played his last game as a Celtic. Between his $20M expiring contract and 34 years of age, he`s too attractive not to trade. Danny knows that Ray could lose his skills overnight! Look around, how many 34 year old guards are still effective in the NBA?
I wouldn`t be surprised at all to see Danny trade Rondo or BBD if necessary to get that third big man up front.
Marbury has zero chance of ever playing another game with Boston.
by Title 18 on Jun 16, 2009 2:35 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Cap Space?
So my question is one of which is more valuable?
A) What we can get for Ray in trade this summer?
B) What we can buy with the cap relief we get when his contract falls off our books?
I don’t know what the answer is, but given that KG and PP are on the down side of their prime I am inclined to lean toward B. Particularly in light of the significant stats Ray posted last year.
I could be swayed toward trading Ray if the right package was there. What would this be? I imagine it would need to include a veteran, cap relief, and maybe a draft pick. Without Ray who starts at the two? If we lose him I would want to make sure that we were plugging holes at either the 5 the 3 or the point. The thing is we will have to take back some hefty contracts, and those contracts could impede our ability to resign key free agents down the road.
by 6oston's 6east on Jun 16, 2009 2:38 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
ray’s contract coming off the books does NOT give the Cs much cap relief – please look it up. regardless, my beef with your post is that your question lacks options. you provide 2 options: A and B. it’s a drastic over-simplification of the situation.
by k96ps02 on Jun 16, 2009 6:47 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Looking forward to
Something beautiful happening on draft night.
by Tradetime on Jun 16, 2009 2:25 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
hopefully it's us standing pat.
no rookie is going to come in and help this group win number 18.
if you haven’t figured out that its veteran players who win titles, you haven’t been following this team very long.
by D Dub on Jun 16, 2009 2:32 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
there will be a trade in the next days
You can smell it in the air…trade on draft night ;)
by greenwise on Jun 16, 2009 2:33 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
a minor trade
a minor trade where we’re able to move TA or Scal for a pick to a team that doesn’t want to commit to a 3 year rookie contract would be a terrific move. not too likely with Scal but someone might take a shot on TA being a low-risk 1-year rental over a low 1st rounder. If TA plays like good-TA, they have a good player they can resign at a rate they can negotiate to their liking OR TA stinks and they’re rid of his contract at the end of the year (avoiding another 2-years of obligatory rookie salary).
Pruitt’s another option for that type of trade too.
by slamtheking on Jun 16, 2009 3:02 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
A. B. C-Ya!
Nice checking in with you celticsblog.com but I’m out til October. The incessant hand-wringing and conjecture is coma-inducing at best. And insulting at worst. To hear comments about Ray Allen being a huge asset because he can put “another team over the top” is disgusting! What about putting the Celts over the top!? Are you kidding me? Granted the NBA is a business but I am not a fan because of the business aspect, but because of the PLAYERS on our squad and how they fit in with the HISTORY of this organization.
We fall short of winning because of injuries and every starts to hit the panic button speculating on all of these ridiculous trade ideas and rumors. Amare? Really? Your kidding right? For Ray Allen. Trading Rondo…even more of a genius idea. Hold on while I wait for the punchline…Oh wait there isn’t one. Nevermind.
The normal response would say to you all to get a job with the Celtics Organization if you really think your opinion would add value, but then you guys would probably trade away the starting 5. So maybe it’s best after all you post your trade possibilities here rather than professionally. Thank God that’s settled. See you in the Fall. Peace Out.
by paul7x5x on Jun 16, 2009 4:02 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
have a nice summer
enjoy the mental vacation – some of us just can’t check out like that but to each his own
"We few, we happy few, we band of brothers" Henry V
by Jeff Clark on Jun 16, 2009 4:09 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
dont forget your stapler
im gonna be all up on you like a spider monkey!
by remembering9ergods on Jun 16, 2009 4:20 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
What's more difficult?
Being a GM for a baseball, football or basketball team? Since you can only have 15 guys suit up for a basketball game game and two rounds of drafting vs. the numbers you face in baseball with 40 plus rounds of drafting, farm system or football with all the college drafting and taxi squads, injuries, etc…Being a basketball GM just can’t compare to the complexity of the two other sports.
by The Real Large James 2 on Jun 16, 2009 4:49 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I’d look at these trade rumours as indicating Danny Ainge is very unlikely to make a trade.
Danny is looking for a sweetheart deal. The perfect trade, one where he gets a huge amount back after giving up relatively little. So, I’d look at these rumours and say, Danny is only willing to part with one of the starting five if he gets a home run deal. Nothing less. Home run or nothing.
by Who on Jun 16, 2009 6:13 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
i tend to fall into this camp also.
if you look at the posts above regarding trades that respondents are interested in, the bulk of them are based on the Cs getting chris paul. seriously? chris paul – the best PG in the league, with the potential to be a top 3 PG of all time … and the Cs are going to convince new orleans to let go of him for nothing even close to fair value (rondo, allen, and some throw-ins??). that’s not speculation. it’s beyond wishful thinking even! we might as well start a thread about getting lebron to join the celtics this summer – that’s just as likely as far as i’m concerned.
by k96ps02 on Jun 16, 2009 7:06 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Every Year
Every year the Celtics make about 5 or more roster moves and this year most likely will be the same. 1986 and 2008 we had great quality big men and guards lets hope it happens again in 2010.
by CelticsWin on Jun 16, 2009 7:56 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Are trade ideas "unfair"?
Are we ungrateful if we propose trade ideas that involve our starters?
Is it blasphemous to think about the possibilities?
Or is it all just in good fun, and we only play a game of “what if”, where nobody gets hurt? I mean, everyone does it, right?
Personally, when the first Ray Allen trade idea of this summer came up, I didn´t want to hear about it. I simply refused to talk about trading one of our starting five. Then all these trade rumors came out of nowhere, and they all sounded pretty nonsensical to me.
But after a week of daily trade talk, backed up by chatter from so-called experts and sources, and Wyc`s statement about a max contract yesterday, you start to wonder if there´s more than just smoke (see this article).
I find it hard not to get caught up in all the trade talk, considering the possibilities and my perception of Danny Ainge, but one week ago, all I really wanted from this off-season was a backup big and a wing.
by Casperian on Jun 16, 2009 8:27 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
That's a perfect summation of my own mental progression over the last few weeks.
Thanks for writing this, Cas.
-sw
"I didn't go there with the intentions of getting ejected. I went there with the intentions of just telling Kobe, 'You got to relax. You're hitting the wrong person. Don't you know you're hitting Ron Artest?'" -Ron Artest, 05.06.09
by Steve Weinman on Jun 16, 2009 11:49 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ditto. It’s clear, as Jeff writes, that Danny is actively kicking the tires to see what he can get for Ray and Rondo.
My priorities haven’t changed: If one or both can be moved to enhance our chances of a title next year, fine.
If Danny’s weighing a Chad Ford trade, step back from the crack pipe and forget it. I’m not interested in expiring contracts and a longshot dip into the FA pool in a year.
by CoachBo on Jun 17, 2009 7:41 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
enough with rubio talk
Do you guys honestly think that Ainge is going to draft an 18 year old PG from Europe in a time like this? Come on! Why would he do that? The Celts wont get an early pick by just trading Ray Allen. They will need to trade Rondo to get it. Sure we got him for the 4th pick two years ago, but none of those teams in this years draft are in any position to trade a top pick for Ray Allen.
Do you think Pierce and KG are going to click with Rubio in the next two years? Obviously they won’t. And it will be a major downgrade in the eyes of every player on that team.
No GM is stupid enough to make a move like this. It makes zero sense and will NEVER happen. The Ricky Rubio to Boston talks should stop NOW. I’d rather talk about somehow landing Lebron or Wade next year in FA market… even that seems more reasonable, as farfetched as it is.
by jimmyt on Jun 16, 2009 9:14 PM EDT reply actions 1 recs
If Danny convinced NO to trade Paul for Rondo and Ray. He’s great. If he convinces them to trade Paul, Chandler and say Julian Wright for Rondo and Ray, we all need to meet up in Boston, walk over to the Gardens and thank him personally.
by RebusRankin on Jun 16, 2009 10:02 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Yup. I would hope that call has been made, to see how badly Shinn wants to get under the cap.
by CoachBo on Jun 17, 2009 7:42 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ben Gordon
If we lose Ray Allen, why couldn’t we go after a shooter like Ben Gordon? Sure he’s going to want to get paid, but didn’t he say he’d take less money to go to a contender? Personally, I think Ben is basically the same type of player when Ray first came into the league. Obviously the kid can shoot and he is more athletic than Ray and can play some defense.
by schmalzilla on Jun 16, 2009 10:26 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Our starting lineup is fine. Get the starting 5 to stay healthy. Don’t mess with them if at all possible. Just focus on upgrading the bench to NBA level and we will be going to the 18th parade around this time next year.
by 33-32-00 on Jun 16, 2009 10:32 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

























