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Tony Allen: Waive, Work or Keep for Insurance?

Tony has been rumored to be in every Celtic trade suggestion from Marquis Daniels to Sidney Wicks. At least in what has made print, Danny Ainge has offered Tony and Gabe Pruitt around the league like a waiter offers those last couple of hors d'oeuvres turned cold sitting on the plate in the middle of the party. ‘Care for one? They're really good.'

‘No thank you. I'll pass.'

Pruitt is gone. Tony is still here. Larry Bird was reported to not want Tony in a sign and trade for Daniels. Not because Tony can't play the game, but because of ‘off court distractions' that Bird has been working hard to distance his team from ever since he took over complete control of player personnel decisions from Donnie Walsh.

Many think the Tony Allen situation is already clear.

That's understandable. But there has been little direction from Celtic management on Tony Allen to this point. Many consider his off court issues to be the central problem from last season. It could be argued that the bigger issue was his health. He only played 46 games.

The year started with great promise.

Star-divide

NBA.com preseason report on October 11...

Update: Allen had 25 points in the Celtics' preseason win over the Cavs on Friday night.

Analysis: Allen may fill the sixth man role left by James Posey, especially if he can find his scoring touch.

Then this October 19 report from NBA.com....

Looking Strong in Preseason
Update: Allen had 32 points in three quarters during the Celtics' preseason game against New Jersey on Thursday, according to the Boston Herald.

Analysis: Allen seems like the current favorite for the sixth man role left by James Posey, and has shown an ability to score in bunches. His defensive issues, however, may end up reducing his playing time as the season continues.

November 23rd ....

Instant Offense off Bench
Update: Allen had 15 points and six rebounds in the Celtics' win over the Raptors on Sunday.

Analysis: Allen has now posted double-figure scoring in three straight games, and is averaging 20.6 points per 48 minutes.

December 2nd, the first shoe drops, rather, the ankle turns ...

Right Ankle Sprain
Update: Allen sprained his right ankle during Boston's victory over Orlando on Monday, the Boston Globe reports.

That was the start of the season long bugaboo to Tony's healthfulness. The whole string of setbacks (and dates) for the season are noted here. But to give you a taste:
 
The ankle continued to vex Tony all the way through January:

Re-injures ankle - Jan. 6
Could possibly play - Jan. 10
Out one more week -  Jan. 13
Returns to practice, still recovering - Jan. 26

Then Tony played in just seven games before he got a severe thumb injury with ligament damage that required surgery on Feb 17.

Tony was out until April 3rd missing 23 straight games.

Allen came back to finish the season with 18 and 15 points on 13 of 25 shooting with 7 rebounds, 8 assists, and 4 steals in the final two regular season games.

Already out of the rotation and with recurring ankle problems, he played little in the post season.

On June 3rd,  Tony...

Undergoes Ankle Surgery
Update: Allen had surgery on his right ankle and leg on Wednesday, the Associated Press reports.

Analysis: The Celtics expect Allen to recover in time for training camp. Allen was hampered by his faulty ankle for most of last season, averaging 7.8 points in 34 games.

That brings us to today.

What to do about Tony Allen?


When healthy, he can still play some productive ball. But he is 27. He will be 28 in January. The Celtics have given Tony many opportunities. Primarily, it is injuries that have taken down Tony's career. He has missed 128 games in 5 years. Only twice has he played more than 51 games. At some point, it doesn't matter how good the reasons are.  A change of scenery might be a good thing for everyone involved.

As of today, August 15th, through the end of the regular season, a player clears waivers after just 48 hours.

Should Tony Allen be waived? Or worked?

If he is not in the Celtics plans, waiving him helps Tony. He would be free to find a place where he can get a real opportunity to restart his career. For the Celtics, it would clear a valuable roster spot for a player that could be in training camp from the get-go. But that would mean a buy out that still counts against the cap and additional money spent on another player when the Cs are deep in luxury tax territory.

I'm normally not in favor of such moves or of contract buy outs. But in this case, the amount is relatively small - $2.5 million. Total cost with tax - $5 mil. Vet minimum replacement - another $2-2.5 million with tax. Total cost - $7.5 million.

But....the other problem is that there are few good free agent options at small forward, the position of choice, available at minimum dollars.

Ime Udoka might bite. Rodney Carney will want more money.

Other positions
?
How about a shooter likes Flip Murray, Juan Dixon, or Steve Novak. Keith Bogans, Desmond Mason and Rashad McCants are still out there. Perhaps an insurance center in Aaron Gray, a Collins brother or Jake Voskuhl? Are any of these options better than having Tony Allen available on your bench?

Neither Danny nor Doc has said that Tony won't play a role. If for no other reason than Marquis Daniels often averages about 60 games a season, Tony could be a valuable fill in for 20 games a year, assuming a similar 60 game season from Marquis.

That there has been a less than hoped for performance from Tony is acknowledged by all. Nagging injuries have played a central part in his being able to establish himself. When he is healthy, he can be a contributor.

I'm looking at this strictly from a Doc Rivers, Danny Ainge, and what-is-best-for-the-Celtics-and-Tony-Allen point of view.

At this point, Tony Allen's trade value is at a low point. With Marquis Daniels about to come aboard, and J.R. Giddens in house, what is Tony's role this coming season?

Right now the 15th roster spot is assumed to go to rookie Lester Hudson or another PG possibility. If Tony is no longer in the Celtics plans, the Celtics should waive Allen. Then they could bring another player. It helps both parties.

Do you think the Celtics should waive Tony, work him, or keep him for insurance?

Poll
What to do with Tony?
Waive him
780 votes
Keep as insurance
777 votes
Work him into the lineup
323 votes

1880 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 76 comments  |  1 recs  | 

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Comments

Display:

I'm ready

for the Tony Allen experiment to end. I was a believer many moons ago, but I just don’t think he can put it all together, and now with a stacked Boston team, I can’t imagine he’ll find a way to break through. I would like to see him packaged with other players at the deadline to bring in what ever it is we’re lacking. I think by that point teams will be more willing to take on expiring contracts as they will all have a better idea as to whether they will be pushing for the playoffs or a better spot in the draft lottery.

by Prof. Clutch on Aug 15, 2009 7:08 AM EDT reply actions  

I'm ready

It’s easy for you to say get rid of him. Why don’t you and the other posters who want TA gone fork over $2.5M. Talk is cheap just like being a Monday Morning QB.

I’m not as down on TA as most people on this board. He can play!!!! Oh, BTW, when our new savior Daniels is out for 20-25 games as is his usual who replaces PP and Ray or backs up Rajon?

TA may bounce a ball of his leg, although not as often as Scal, but he is still an asset. Expiring contracts are assets, never for get that. GMs, late in the season will be desperate to cut salary and that is when trades that win championships happen. And we will have assets to make a deal, primarily expiring contracts. What did SA give up for RJ or Memphis for Gasol. So to dump a player because he doesn’t play up to “your” (a fans) expectation is BRAIN DEAD!!!!!

Besides, like I said I’m not as down on TA as most people. Further, I’d forgotten about some of his injuries last year until Jeff brought them up. Also, this is a contract year and many pro athletes have an uncanny ability to step up in them. So why shouldn’t we take advantage of this situation.

by badax33 on Aug 15, 2009 11:29 AM EDT up reply actions  

Do you think the Celtics should waive Tony, work him, or keep him for insurance?

“You can take the boy out of the city, but you can’t take the city out of the boy.”
This, above, revised “old wisdom” pretty much sums up the attitude towards Allen. There was a locker room incident before game 7 of the playoffs that pretty much sealed Allen’s fate.
I know you were there, “T,” because I was standing next to you…. no? LOl
As much as the Celtics will hate to eat a contract, it may happen that way.
One option would be to keep him around for a few months and feed him some minutes to enhance his trade value, but I don’t see it happening.
Doc/Danny put a lot of faith in Allen (including letting Posey walk) and defended him for a couple of years, but I believe they will “cut bait.”

"Yes Indeed!"

by JB_Celticsstuff on Aug 15, 2009 8:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Interesting

Do tell about the “locker room incident before game 7 of the playoffs” that you guys witnessed.

by Mencius on Aug 15, 2009 9:26 AM EDT up reply actions  

The 'play him to trade him option'

was something I thought about as well.

I wondered how possible that would be this year. In such a race for wins and home court, would Doc and Danny do that early on, especially with Marquis arriving? They could run him out there for a few games to show he has recovered from surgery.As you say, I don’t think they would give him extended minutes either, unless he is at least part of the short term picture.

by Tom Halzack on Aug 15, 2009 10:54 AM EDT up reply actions  

If they play him I doubt it will be for showcasing reasons. His value is his expiring contract, not his ability to play the game. So if he’s playing it’s because Doc thinks he can help to win games.

by BudweiserCeltic on Aug 15, 2009 10:56 AM EDT up reply actions  

True

I could never understand the concept of showcasing a player. TAs value is the expiring contract unless someone sees some value in his play.

by amenhotep04 on Aug 15, 2009 11:15 AM EDT up reply actions  

Any perceived gain from letting Posey walk – which has largely been dispelled at this point – was lost with the money wasted on Tony. I’m for whatever play expunges this guy from our roster as soon as humanly possible.

by CoachBo on Aug 15, 2009 11:43 AM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Okay JB...

…You’ve bated all of on Celtics blog. Spill the beans please, it is Saturday night.

by Little D on Aug 15, 2009 5:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think he might be talking about...

There was a reported confrontation between TA and Marc Spears over questions regarding the death threats TA was receiving…

by SalmonAndMashedPotatoes on Aug 15, 2009 5:53 PM EDT up reply actions  

ta ta tony who is and can be serviceable, but who has so much extra baggage in boston. i will never forget the salmon and mashed potatoes game and quote.

by nazzbo on Aug 15, 2009 8:02 AM EDT reply actions  

Do you think he will be waived?

It would be kind of strange, considering he could be traded at the deadline with Scal for example. Unless there is someone else coming that needs his spot I think Danny will keep him in the roster.

btw, what happened before game 7 in the locker room?? I am very curious to know!! :)

by greenwise on Aug 15, 2009 8:07 AM EDT reply actions  

You win nothing by waiving him. On the other hand, barring a major injury, we can put together him, Scal, and Walker/Giddens to net us a decent player at the trading deadline.

by kozlodoev on Aug 15, 2009 8:29 AM EDT reply actions  

Yeah

If we’re not able to get something for him by the deadline, then if you want to cut bait, do it. Until then, his expiring (by itself or along with Scal’s) could potentially land us something good. No sense in just cutting him before the deadline.

As to the poll, it’d be none of the above for me. Or if you put the option “Keep to trade expiring” I’d opt for that.

by Mencius on Aug 15, 2009 9:24 AM EDT up reply actions  

No sense in waving him. Keep him around.

by BudweiserCeltic on Aug 15, 2009 8:49 AM EDT reply actions  

Well…as mentioned, waiving him frees up a roster space now. A good question is – Would the options out there would be worth doing that?

As Roy Hobbs points out ( a few posts down) that costs the Cs about $5 mil – plus double whatever they pay someone to fill the spot – most likely around another $2 mill total with a vet minimum deal. Total cost to do it? About $7 – 7.5 million.

As the saying goes… a million here, a few million there. Pretty soon it starts to add up to real money.

by Tom Halzack on Aug 15, 2009 11:02 AM EDT up reply actions  

I don’t think his roster spot is important at the moment, mainly because I think TA is more useful than his critics… especially now that he’s one or two slots down in the depth chart than what he previously was. At worst, he’s a good contract to have that should net us a more useful player. Or he can be sent to a team with cap space and provide us with cap relief AND the roster space. Waving him just doesn’t make sense to me… not for roster makeup reasons, nor for financial reasons.

by BudweiserCeltic on Aug 15, 2009 11:09 AM EDT up reply actions  

Keep him

Tony is garbage, but his expiring contract could be useful in a mid-season trade. And also can we really trust JR or Bill in an emergency situation? No. Until they show Doc something besides garbage minutes, We’ll have to keep Tony. Then try package him with Scal for a mid-season trade. He is getting paid either way, so keep him.

by Change on Aug 15, 2009 9:12 AM EDT reply actions  

I wouldn't waive him, either...

Obviously, the first choice is to trade him. Before I waived him, I’d probably send him to a team under the cap (or with a trade exception), along with cash to pay his salary and a little extra.

If we waive him, we’re on the hook for a $5 million pay out ($2.5 million salary, $2.5 luxury tax). If we trade him, we’d only be paying whatever cash we sent (I’d say around $3 million or so.)

All the negativity in this town sucks. It sucks, and it stinks, and it sucks. - Rick Pitino

by Roy_Hobbs on Aug 15, 2009 9:13 AM EDT reply actions  

I like this option as well

if someone took Patrick O’Bryant and Sam Cassell, someone will take Tony

that is if we can’t use him in a decent trade – I’m still holding out hope that his expiring contract might bring back something

"We few, we happy few, we band of brothers" Henry V

by Jeff Clark on Aug 15, 2009 10:22 AM EDT up reply actions  

Points well taken Roy and Jeff

As mentioned above, the total cost (including penalties) of waiving now, coupled with a vet minimum replacement is about $7.5 million.

I had even checked to see what kind of relief the Celtics would get if Tony signed with another club. Theoretically, with a a signing of equal value ($2.5 mill, they would save that amount minus the vet minimum – which would be a substantial savings – but not close to ever really happening, I would say)

If Tony found a club under the cap (as OKC Thunder are, and they were interested in him before the Cs re-signed him) that would pay him, say…. a million for the year, after you deduct the vet minimum and split the difference, which is what the savings would be allowed for the Cs – it is a negligible amount.

So…it would be costly to do.

by Tom Halzack on Aug 15, 2009 11:14 AM EDT up reply actions  

Roy and Jeff

Stop making sense, will ya? : )

by Tom Halzack on Aug 15, 2009 11:22 AM EDT up reply actions  

I agree. It’s too costly to waive him at this point – but hopefully he can be dumped down the road, along with some incentives to someone to take him off our hands.

by CoachBo on Aug 15, 2009 11:44 AM EDT up reply actions  

minor point: we wouldn’t be able to sign someone for the same amount as Tony is making now because we’ll still be over the cap and the exceptions are all that are available to us now

so trading TA for nothing gives us the opportunity to sign someone else for the vet min

I would imagine that we would go this route if there were a few guys that we wanted to bring in and need the extra roster spot – like say Bruce Bowen and whatever point guard we pick off the scrap heap

"We few, we happy few, we band of brothers" Henry V

by Jeff Clark on Aug 15, 2009 12:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

OKC would seem like an ideal destination for Tony since

they are under the cap and he might get more minutes with a lowly team like the Thunder. Also OKC would be going back ot his college town so maybe he still has some cache there.

However, the Thunder are a team that is building on their youth core of very high draft picks. Tony would come in as a vet who has likely seen his better days. In addition, Tony needs minutes to be effective; he never really got good at the role of short minutes off the bench. I am not sure he would thrive there.

That said, I agree with those who have said here that he needs a change of scenery. The problem is a can’t think of another NBA team where he would get the role he really needs to be effective which is starting SG. Add in the liability of his extensive injury history and I have to conclude that this could be Tony’s last year in the NBA unfortunately.

by Surferdad on Aug 15, 2009 5:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

Agree with others...keep him for now

Good subject and well posed. I forgot the good signals that emitted from Tony last preseason and the accumulation of injuries. As we’ve all acknowledged on this blog, there is good Tony and bad Tony. Bad Tony appears in short minutes, good Tony in long stretches. On this team, with Daniels, Eddie etc, Tony may only get short minutes. Hello bad Tony – the dribbler off foot, the hit-my-head-why’d-I-throw-that-pass, the looking the other way while his man cuts free.
Maybe if he stays injury-free, Doc can find Good Tony over short minutes. Never say never. But, really, this is a guy who needs a change of scenery. I’m not for the the cah consequences of waiving him but I think a mid-season trade makes a lot of sense.

by Wildblu1 on Aug 15, 2009 9:19 AM EDT reply actions  

Posey Replacement?

This is where I disagree with a lot of people. I believe Danny thought Posey would sign with the Cs. If Posey signs, than TA would never have been brought back. For me, TA was the default replacement for Posey. At that point then the propaganda machine went into effect. But after last season, if Posey would have resigned then the TA experiment would have been over.

I actually thought he could be integrated into the rotation. I thought Gabe, Eddie, and TA worked pretty well together (though Doc rarely used that lineup with the exception of preseason). But having Daniels, Eddie, and TA on the floor at the same time would require that Sheed and BBD be the outside shooters. I know Doc likes to spread the floor, but for me having Daniels and TA on the court at the same time is fruitless.

So to answer the question, I hate the thought of waiving players. If there’s no trade out there, I’d keep him on the bench for insurance, at least until either JR and/or Walker prove they’re better.

by amenhotep04 on Aug 15, 2009 9:40 AM EDT reply actions  

If Posey signs, I’m not sure we wouldn’t have signed Tony anyways… but yeah, there’s a good chance that we wouldn’t have.

You thought there was a good chance he could be integrated into the rotation? He WAS integrated in the rotation, he simply was hampered by injuries… I still don’t understand why people keep dismissing this. Overall he was having a solid year until the injuries. I fully understand the complaints about his health and on people might not want to count on him because of that, but otherwise I think most fully exaggerate TA “inability” to play this game.

Beyond Daniels and Eddie, I doubt we’ll see much of the other wings. We’ll see Eddie and Daniels often paired up with one of Rondo, Ray, or Pierce.

by BudweiserCeltic on Aug 15, 2009 9:58 AM EDT up reply actions  

I misspoke with regard to the integrating into the rotation. I was thinking ‘past’ and ‘present’ simultaneously. My bad. My point was that there is a place for him where it benefits the team. If you have players around him that can shoot, then Tony can drive the lane. The problem I see with Tony on the floor is that if Daniels were on the court with him, that the offense would be very limited. So Tony might put up decent numbers, but the offense stagnates.

It can be fixed, but I still don’t like the idea of he and Daniels on the court at the same time.

by amenhotep04 on Aug 15, 2009 10:06 AM EDT up reply actions  

Right on amenhotep04

It was a bad idea last year and it’s a bad idea this year…..remember Posey, yeah Posey. This was the guy that was to expensive, it was supposed to be bad business to sign Posey. So what does Danny do he signs Tony Allen for 2.5 million. All this could have been avoided by paying Posey just a little more. At least you could have received something for your money.

We could have had the guy for $88.000 that’s right eighty eight thousand and he’s more serviceable than Big Baby($2.5mil). And Danny say’s it’s just business. Glad he’s not accountant

Danny does a good job of dealing with starters but the end of the roster he leaves a lot to be desired.

by tyquinton on Aug 15, 2009 10:07 AM EDT reply actions  

The $88.000 is ment for Powe in compairson to Big Baby

by tyquinton on Aug 15, 2009 10:12 AM EDT up reply actions  

Did you see Posey last season?

He had his worst year since he was a rookie, and was plagued with injuries the whole season. yea, I like him better than Tony, but he wouldn’t have helped us last year, unless we traded his good rep for a healthy player.

by KY Celts fan on Aug 15, 2009 4:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

Are you sure?

Posey played 75 games, his highest total since 2004. His rebounding and scoring both went up from his time here, and he shot 36.9% from 3PT. Posey’s career has been remarkably consistent the past five seasons; he didn’t take any sort of a dip last season.

All the negativity in this town sucks. It sucks, and it stinks, and it sucks. - Rick Pitino

by Roy_Hobbs on Aug 16, 2009 9:52 AM EDT up reply actions  

I agree with most of those points. I think his real dip was defensively, and he was quite banged up during the playoffs… where he played fairly poorly (who didn’t for the Hornets?). He still rebounded well, but I would say his defense and shooting left a bit to be desired from in the playoffs. So he was hurt, so I don’t know how much he would’ve really helped the Celtics last year under this conditions particularly during the playoffs. At best maybe, it would come from Doc’s intrinsic trust in him which would’ve allowed Ray and Pierce to rest a bit, but other than that… i don’t know if I can come up with solid factors that would convince me that Posey last year would’ve made that big of a difference with our team.

by BudweiserCeltic on Aug 16, 2009 1:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

"Nice Article"

I’ll add two more quotes to it:

When Tony tore up his hand Doc was quoted as saying, “Tony was the one person we couldn’t afford to lose…and we did.”

And Danny when Ray was having hamstring troubles said, “I felt comfortable with Tony in the wings…”

The point is, the two guys who have dedicated their lives to NBA basketball and have built up the team that has won #17 seem to see TA in a different light than most of the blogging public…I’ll take it a step further, this is the first time I’ve seen that casual little operation Tony had in June mentioned as perhaps a reason that Allen wasn’t up to par or played much coming down the stretch. That’s absolutely uncanny! “Tony Allen underwent successful arthroscopic right ankle surgery and posterior tibial tendon repair.” (Boston Herald, Celtics Insider) That’s not the sniffles!…He missed 34 of the last 47 games with the “ankle injury” according to NECN…That’s serious business and terribly bad luck.

At the beginning of last year, we were looking at Tony Allen as perhaps filling the role that James Posey had filled…Well, that flopped!, pick your own reasons…This year we’re looking at spot fill ins at two and three: a 12th man not a sixth…I feel comfortable with TA filling that role. It’s really that simple…

by BoundingRounder on Aug 15, 2009 11:07 AM EDT reply actions  

Good additional input

from BoundingRebounder. Thanks for furthering the discussion.

by Tom Halzack on Aug 16, 2009 6:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

I’ve been singing this tune for a while, but people don’t want to look at the injuries as the possible reason why he had a poor playoff performance (which btw wasn’t as disastrous as people seem to think it was). But na’, it’s easier to ignore this factors when it’s a player you disklike so clearly has to be garbage. Of course his ankle injury had nothing to do with it nor the surgery he had on his thumb late in the season.

He was having a solid season until his injuries, and for someone that is looked at as “Turnover Tony” over the last two playoff runs he has turned over the ball 2 times in 125 minutes of play. All of this while shooting 54% from the field.

And remember that play where he was guarding Ben Gordon, made Ben Gordon step out of bounds (which the ref didn’t see) and was subsequently called for a foul? Great defensive play, but when that occured most if not all Tony critics started calling Tony stupid for that play. How can that be?

by BudweiserCeltic on Aug 16, 2009 9:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

I do remember that play.

One point of the article was remember how well the year started (I had forgotten, myself) and then to factor in the injuries in contributing negatively to his overall performance.

For a myriad of reasons and unfortunate luck, Tony just has rarely been able to put the whole thing together. I think that’s what has gotten so many fans frustrated.

by Tom Halzack on Aug 17, 2009 2:56 AM EDT up reply actions  

Summer 2008

It`s amazing that Danny—-4 years after he had drafted him—-actually thought Tony could fill Posey`s shoes.

Tony`s a potential all-star…from the neck down.
It`s a shame that he`s brain dead.

by Title 18 on Aug 15, 2009 11:20 AM EDT reply actions  

Well the problem was not that Tony couldn’t fill Posey’s shoes. The main problem ended up being that there was no one to fill Tony’s shoes. We clearly had people on the roster to manage, the coaching staff apparently had other plans.

by BudweiserCeltic on Aug 15, 2009 11:24 AM EDT up reply actions  

Haha terrific quote

Couldn’t have worded it any better. Funny how we seem to attract those guys; Tony, Gerald Green, Mark Blount…

by Silhouette on Aug 15, 2009 6:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

There's a lot of backcourt backup uncertainty.

I’m happy with the way the big-man picture was addressed this off-season. And that’s where the team’s main priority lied. But from a fan’s viewpoint, there’s sure a lot of uncertainly with the backups for the rest of the positions.

A lot of this is because we’re not sure where Doc plans to play Daniels, and how ready, if at all, Giddens and Walker are. So I don’t see why the Celtics would be in hurry to shove Tony Allen out the door.

by no kidding on Aug 15, 2009 11:31 AM EDT reply actions  

Trade deadline value

He is going to be a nice chip along with Scali. They should hold onto it unless they use him in a good trade now.

by Wide Load on Aug 15, 2009 11:44 AM EDT reply actions  

If they cut bait on Powe's chances

then they are definitely ready to cut bait on TA but that’s a lot more money to throw away so I’m guessing if they can’t package him now they’ll keep him as bench insurance and trade him at the deadline. If they dump him I’d think it would be then, not now.

by SotaPop on Aug 15, 2009 11:47 AM EDT reply actions  

Makes no sense to waive him now.
He has to be paid regardless, waiving him now throws away any possible uses later this year.
If a better player becomes free , TA can be waived at that point. Doing anthing now is not a good business move for the team.

by CfanMissippi on Aug 15, 2009 12:03 PM EDT reply actions  

The Cs will never waive TA

They don’t operate that way—the value of keeping TA, for insurance purposes and possible inclusion in a trade at the deadline, is much higher than the value of opening up a roster spot for 5 million dollars. He’ll go into the season as the 10th man.

It’s my community continues, on the average, to completely under-rate TA’s value as a player. If not for injury problems, TA would be an important player on this team. Doc/Danny know that and they just won’t throw that away for nothing—it’s bad business AND basketball decision.

by SalmonAndMashedPotatoes on Aug 15, 2009 1:39 PM EDT reply actions  

Right On

At least there are some people on this board who can think objectively.

TA is an asset – either as an expiring contract or (hopefully) as a player. But still an asset.

by badax33 on Aug 15, 2009 1:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

He is worthless

Worse than worthless, actually, his value is negative. He hurts the team every time he’s on the floor, and I hope I never see him play another minute for the Celtics. I would rather have Walker or Giddens out there, because at least they are still learning and have potential. I would rather see the Celtics put 4 players on the floor than put Tony out there.

That being said, Tony shouldn’t be waived, because his expiring contract is valuable. He should be traded at the deadline, along with Scal and possibly Walker or Giddens, for someone like Posey or Nocioni. It doesn’t make sense to waive him now, although it would have made sense a couple years ago.

Ideally Tony Allen would just stay home and not even show up at practices or games this season, and we can forget all about him until the trade deadline comes along and we learn that he’s been traded for someone who can actually play 10 seconds of basketball without making a retarded mistake and hurting the team.

by dooyork on Aug 15, 2009 2:07 PM EDT reply actions  

wow, tony went to from having negative value to having value in just one paragraph! if he keeps this up, he’ll be an all-star after a couple more articles!

by Silhouette on Aug 15, 2009 6:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

at first i thought this was a great idea, we wuld have to give up sum cash but we culd also sign another player, i wuldnt do this though unless i already had a guy lined up that was willing to come to boston. becasue if we waive him n then we r not able to get another wing player we will be in trouble when marquis eventually goes down. we will have to backup 4 ray n paul, or rondo we go from one of the depest teams in the least to very uncertain of our second team.

maybe this will be the year tony allen starts to play real basketball, he has tons of talent but hes dumb as a rock, id love to see him play well. every year since the year he went down was awful 4 him, but hes has excuses with odff court problems and injuries. they both seem to have be resolved so maybe this will be his year

by celtics94 on Aug 15, 2009 2:13 PM EDT reply actions  

Nice recap of T.A' season, thanks TenaciousT!

Frankly I had forgotten that he had good games this season, as I constantly see T.A as a terrible player since I saw him damage us in the playoffs against Chicago.

I’m in the “keep him while hoping you can trade him to acquire a good player before the trade deadline” camp, and I hope that his value rises when a team desperate for cap relief trades a good player to us for T.A expiring contract.

by Drucci on Aug 15, 2009 2:25 PM EDT reply actions  

Tony shows flashes of being a scorer and a good defender…Im in for giving him another chance to prove he belongs. It was not long ago Doc was very high on him as a go to defender and offense off the bench. There was a period last year he showed he could score and his confidence was up…he can be a good player.

by DJlives on Aug 15, 2009 3:56 PM EDT reply actions  

keep tony allen or not ?

they dont need a player that needs armed security every where he goes he is trouble and everybody thinks powe;s knees were jello his knees are just as bad as leons he is just a garbage time player at best get rid of him soon.i rather have marbury then him….

by lohaus#54 on Aug 15, 2009 3:57 PM EDT reply actions  

his knees r nutin like leons, leon has had 3 surjuries tony allen has had 1

by celtics94 on Aug 16, 2009 1:41 AM EDT up reply actions  

With all due respect to TA supporters ...

you guys are crazy. Injuries notwithstanding (because they happen to everyone), TA is one of the league’s least-productive players, committing turnovers at an alarming rate. The only reason we should keep him is to use him in a midseason trade. Bill Walker should be given a real chance on this team as the third-string SF, and TA — if he’s not going to be part of a trade — should be giving his walking papers. At this point, I’d rather see us pay his 09-10 salary and get absolutely nothing in return than have him step on the court one more time as a Celtic.

by rocknrollforyoursoul on Aug 15, 2009 5:57 PM EDT reply actions  

With all due respect,

[insert condescending remark here]

I’d be interested to see objective proof for the statement, “TA is one of the league’s least-productive players,” because all the statistics I’ve seen actually show that TA is an above average NBA player.

by SalmonAndMashedPotatoes on Aug 15, 2009 7:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

Even watching him before his injuries

He definitely seemed like the “Good TA” people think can’t come out. He is what he is, and I think what he is when healthy is a serviceable player. People say the “Good TA” can only come out over an extended period time, and not a limited time. I think that also means he doesn’t do well when he comes back after being injured for a significant amount of time. Remember that he did get injured twice this season, and was out for pretty much half the season.

Even wit him, as long as we can get that backup PG, TA can be one of those 3 players we pay to sit on the bench that you were referring to when we were talking about bringing Powe back, Salmon. : )

by Tai on Aug 16, 2009 1:14 AM EDT up reply actions  

I guess you haven't seen these statistics, then...

eFG% on jump shots (39% of total shots): .282

That’s the lowest number I’ve ever seen from a guard. Ever. It’s atrocious. Our shooting guard makes roughly one out of every four jump shots. Terrible.

Among SGs averaging 15 mpg or more, only D. Wade averaged more turnovers per minute. Only Joey Graham and Desmond Mason had a lower assist-to-turnover ratio among guards (PGs and SGs) playing 15 mpg or more. In other words, when you combine volume with efficiency, Tony is the very worst SG in the entire NBA when it comes to turnovers.

All the negativity in this town sucks. It sucks, and it stinks, and it sucks. - Rick Pitino

by Roy_Hobbs on Aug 16, 2009 10:05 AM EDT up reply actions  

Didn't mean to sound condescending ...

but I really can’t see why anyone would still hold out hope for TA. Seriously. Yeah, he’s had flashes of something good, but that’s it. He’s been in the league too long for any fan to be content with mere “flashes.” He played little in the playoffs, but when he did it was ugly. And if Tony Allen is an above-average NBA player, that’s an insult to all the other above-average NBA players. Come on, this guy has bricks for hands, turns the ball over way too much, and seems kinda dumb on the court, like he doesn’t know what to do.

by rocknrollforyoursoul on Aug 15, 2009 7:39 PM EDT reply actions  

Slow down cowboy

I agree…some people let the masses make decisions for them without looking at things objectively. He is not a bad player when his confidence is up and he is getting consistant minutes. As far as injuries, that can and does happen to anyone… its part of any sport. He is reasonably cheap, is in a contract year and we can walk away if he does not perform well…what’s the problem with that? It would be interesting to see him get starter or 6th man minutes with another team. I would bet knowing he was in that role would make the difference for him and he would be productive.

by DJlives on Aug 15, 2009 7:48 PM EDT reply actions  

Yes, that's exactly right, but the problem is...

name some other team that will give him that job. I can’t come up with a team for which TA would be better than their current SG.

by Surferdad on Aug 15, 2009 9:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

Since you mentioned stats, Salmon ...

I took another look at his numbers, from last year and for his career. On first look it appears that he’s a solid player — nearly 8 points a game last season, 7.4 for his career, 2 or 3 rebounds a game. But on closer look I saw that last season he averaged 1.4 assists … and 1.7 turnovers. I don’t expect a lot of assists from a SG/SF, but no way should anyone at that position average more TOs than assists. Furthermore, he shot 22.2% on 3s last season — as a shooting guard! And for his career he’s only a 30.2% shooter on 3s — not horrible … unless you’re a shooting guard. By comparison with some other bench-type shooting guards, Shannon Brown shot 37.8%, Anthony Parker 39%, Eddie House 44.4%, Kirk Hinrich 40.8%, Mickael Pietrus 35.9%, J.J. Redick 37.4%. If TA can’t do that — and he’s shown that he can’t (at least, not consistently), then he’s of no use, especially when you consider his assist-to-turnover ratio.

by rocknrollforyoursoul on Aug 15, 2009 8:13 PM EDT reply actions  

Okay

In certain parts of the game, such 3 point shooting, TA is below average. I admit that. But that’s only 1 part of the game.

As for the 1:1 turnover-to-assist ratio, that’s not great, but it’s not terrible either. Paul Pierce has a similar ratio over the course of his career.

If you look at the stats which attempt to quantify the entire game (stats that do have detractors), TA is above-average:

In terms of PER, TA’s career rating is 13.4. That’s between ‘rotation player’ and ‘pretty good’ (as defined by Hollinger). http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Player_Efficiency_Rating

Some people have attempted to improve upon Hollinger’s system, and came up with an adjusted PER. Using that metric, TA’s PER last season was 15.4 at SG. His opponents adjusted PER was 12.7. Under that metric, TA routines outperforms whoever he’s matched up against at shooting guard. These stats are from 82games.com BTW.

by SalmonAndMashedPotatoes on Aug 15, 2009 9:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

Thanks!

I always appreciate good writing!

 FWIW… I think TA would do well with more playing time as long as he stays healthy; however, he’s clearly not going to get it on this team. A trade to a team like OKC, as suggested by another poster, would be the ideal situation but what would we get in return? Roy’s suggestion of paying cash for TA’s contract would save the C’s money.

IMO TA’s real value is his expiring contract. If he’s able to contribute in the mean time, all the better. For the record, I was a TA supporter before he re-injured his knee on that silly dunk on a dead ball. The quote “all-star from the neck down” got a real laugh out of me, Title18. ;-)

As for TA’s off-the-court issues, they have gotten more press than they deserve. I don’t see them affecting anyone other than TA himself, with the exception of when the C’s play the Bulls.

by BleedinGreen417 on Aug 15, 2009 9:11 PM EDT reply actions  

I see your point ...

and I can’t argue with raw numbers, so I won’t, though I’m surprised that those numbers are that good. At any rate, what it boils down to for me is that his presence on the court seems to so often carry with it a big black cloud. And maybe it just happens that he makes mistakes whenever I’m watching him, and I’m otherwise occupied during his good moments. But the amount of conversation about him on this site and others suggests that there is a lot of validity to the complaints about him. I just wish the entire TA saga was over, and that Doc and Danny would give Walker the green light this season.

by rocknrollforyoursoul on Aug 15, 2009 9:18 PM EDT reply actions  

That's the thing...

the majority of people who’ve turned on TA are people that just don’t like watching him play basketball. Those same people remember all the bad things that happen and forget about all the good things. I mean, how many comments have there been on this article alone along the lines of, “geez, I forgot that TA actually played well at the beginning of the season.” That’s what it’s like to be a fan—you tend to lose objectivity.

TA needs consistent playing time and good health and he’ll put up good #s. At this point, he doesn’t have consistent playing time (because Daniels will be here) and he’s had an epic string of bad injury luck. It’s really a tragic story of potential lost. I’d love to see him end up on a team that could use him. He could be a real surprise.

by SalmonAndMashedPotatoes on Aug 15, 2009 9:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

For Tony's sake that would be a nice scenario

I’ve been plenty critical of Tony, mainly due to the agonizing mental mistakes he makes at times, yet he is still one of my favorite players when his game is going well. I can distinctly recall a few games where Tony was the best player on the floor and the C’s would run plays to take advantage when he got hot. The was the pre-ACL Tony: Relentlessly driving the basket and hitting the free throws if he missed the shot. If there’s an NBA team that could use a player like that and give him a consistent role, it would be mutually beneficial to trade him there.

by Surferdad on Aug 16, 2009 9:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

is there any rumors on where bowen might be goin

by celtics94 on Aug 16, 2009 1:40 AM EDT reply actions  

Regardless Of The Reason

TA has not been a positive here. But I would not just waive him because we still have a roster spot open to fulfill a need. Unfortunately there aren’t many free agents left who can really help us. Thus, I would try to work TA into a trade, even if only for a low draft choice or wait till his contract expires. He can still help as a practice player.

As a question, if TA is waived and not picked up we need to pay the remaining salary on his contract. Does his salary then come off the books for this year?

"I don't come to play, I come to WIN"--Larry Bird
"Criminally Negligent Officiating"--Tommy Heinsohn

by TrueGreen on Aug 16, 2009 9:43 AM EDT reply actions  

TrueGreen

You have to be kidding – If we waive Tony does his salary come off our cap? HELL NO, otherwise every team that screwed up and was in Luxury Tax Hell would waive their high priced screws up and not pay the tax. Heck, NY could have waived Curry, Jeffereis, Q and not paid the tax. It doens’t work that way.

by badax33 on Aug 16, 2009 11:16 AM EDT up reply actions  

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