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Tony Allen: Seldom Unmasked Potential

How do you even begin to write about Tony Allen?  Seriously, how can you even begin to put into words any coherent thoughts about a guy whose career has - whether viewed at a macro or micro level - displayed about as much coherence as this paragraph?  Which is to say, hardly any.

Surely the only way to broach the subject, when that subject is so maddeningly inconsistent, dangerously erratic and, on a good day, effectively wild, is to pattern my article in the same manner.  Perhaps if I start to make a good point and then lose focus and fly off at a wild tangent, peppering my article with disappointingly formed analogies and paragraphs where I contribute nothing of value whatsoever, but then every now and then I write something good and start to get on a roll, only then can I capture the true spirit of Tony Allen.

However you feel about Tony Allen right now, it's likely you have run through the full gamut of emotions towards him over the course of his perplexing career.

Star-divide

In his rookie season, fans warmed to Allen immediately, after his athleticism stood out during Summer League play.  During the season, he was a part-time starter and contributed hard-nosed defense and fast break finishing to a team that went on to win the Atlantic Division.  Despite being rendered useless in the playoffs by Reggie Miller's kick out and flop jumper and the fact that he kept getting hit with ridiculous rookie calls, hopes were high that he could be a consistent contributor for years to come.

Despite being slowed by a knee injury, his role progressed slightly in year two, but it was halfway through his third season when he looked set to make the leap.  Capitalizing on a series of injuries, Allen had the best month of his career, averaging almost 20 points per game and shooting 57%, but then blew out his knee on an ill-advised dunk attempt after the whistle in a game against the Pacers and was lost for the year.

With Ray Allen and James Posey joining the squad in 2007/08 and Tony still recovering from that knee injury, his role diminished, but he still had his moments during the championship run.  For example, with Rajon Rondo out, he started at point guard against the Lakers in LA, scoring 16 points in a key win.  Also, in a dreaded Admiral Ackbar Game ("It's a trap!") against the Memphis Grizzlies, his 20 points helped ensure that the Celtics overcame an 0-for-9 shooting night from Ray Allen and headed into Detroit on an 8 game winning streak for one of their biggest wins of the year (a.k.a. the Big Baby Game).

In the postseason, he didn't play much, but nobody expended more energy in terms of behind-the-shooter-psyche-outs and when called upon right in the middle of the comeback against the Lakers in the finals, he didn't let the Celtics down at a time when a momentum-stifling turnover (his trademark) could have significantly damaged their title hopes.  He even turned in a solid performance in game five, where Boston almost clinched the title and put the exclamation point on game six with a spectacular last minute dunk when they finally did.

Heading into last season, the hope was that Tony would step up and replace some of Posey's production.  He started the season reasonably well, perhaps showing signs that he had put his knee injury behind him, but the more he played, the more it became apparent that those poor decisions and routine errors that were forgivable when they could be classified as "rookie mistakes" had not disappeared from his game.  His late-season thumb surgery maybe explained the downturn in his play over the second half of the season, but his return during the last few weeks of the season and his postseason contribution to the injury riddled Celtics did little to restore confidence in him.

Clearly, he's been up and down over the course of his career.  So how do we feel about Tony Allen?  Let's play emotion association: I name a player and you tell me the first emotion that springs to mind...

Rajon Rondo - Excitement?  Optimism?

Let's try another:

Kevin Garnett - Are you fired up?  Ready to run through a wall?

How about this one:

Tony Allen - You're shaking your head, aren't you?  I bet you sighed too.

You see, at some point over the course of his Celtics career, which - believe it or not - is about to enter its sixth season, Tony Allen reached saturation point.  It wasn't always that way.  At times he has shown real promise - remember how depressed we all felt when he blew out his knee during the best run of form of his life?  I'm not sure it's possible to pinpoint exactly when he wore out his welcome, because his career arc displays more characteristics of a seismology reading than a learning curve.  (That was one of the poorly formed analogies I warned you about earlier.)

I, like many of you, really want to support Tony.  He's an infectiously enthusiastic guy that isn't expensive, came through the system and has, at times, seemed to be progressing towards becoming a productive and talented NBA player.  However, even during his better performances, he can suddenly make an inexplicably bad decision and even during a solid run of games, he can suddenly lay an egg at the worst possible time.  You just can't trust him.

That's why, as I try to reason with myself that he could live up to the potential he has flashed in the past on a more consistent basis if he maybe stayed healthy for long enough to earn a steady spot in the rotation, or if his focus became less intermittent as the soon-to-be-28-year-old matured, there's always a devil on my shoulder trying to get me to go with the flow and just make fun of him like everybody else seems to.  (I almost did there, but I flinched as I decided against it.  Despite being 4,000 miles away, Tony bit on the hesitation.)

Taking the devil-on-my-shoulder theme a bit further, you can sum up Tony's game.  Don't tell me you can't picture him dribbling up the floor while the angel on his shoulder says, "That's it, drive towards the lane and then kick it to Eddie House when the defense collapses, just like last time," and the devil on his shoulder says, "Don't listen to her, you can make it to the basket easily!  There's only four of them in the lane.  If the worst comes to the worst, you can always throw up that ugly, off-balance running hook shot off the high glass.  That occasionally goes in."

We now find ourselves in a situation where the Celtics couldn't give Tony away this offseason.  The Pacers decided that, in terms of compensation for Marquis Daniels, nobody was better than Tony Allen (six words you're unlikely to hear too often.)  No other team wanted to get involved and the Celtics appear to be left with the option of using him (which could theoretically open up the possibility of a trade later on if he does well enough) or not using him.

It's difficult to believe that nobody will trade for him later on in the season, especially with his contract set to expire.  One good thing about the erratic nature of his career is that you can put together a decent résumé for him.  When healthy, he's been productive and efficient, at least in terms of the numbers.  He's been among the league leaders in terms of steals per 48 minutes.  He has a reputation as a solid defensive player - even if he hasn't always lived up to that reputation.  His field goal and free throw percentages are acceptable.  Sure, it's not all about the numbers, but they have to mean something, right?

Assuming he is still here in a few months, it's difficult to project how much he will play, if at all, next season. Although I don't expect Marquis Daniels to play much point guard, there should still be some minutes available backing up Pierce.  Bill Walker and JR Giddens were not ready for the NBA last season, but they'll be gunning for Tony's spot.  Will they get priority because they have a chance of being a part of the team's future or will the Celtics look to showcase Allen?  It may all come down to whether the team has given up on him like many of the fans.

Maybe a dim hope remains in some of us that Tony could return next season and contribute something more than towel waving, garbage minutes and deadline trade-bait.  It is a contract year for him, after all.  However, while the injuries can be taken into account when analyzing some of his poor play, there comes a time when you have to accept that being injury prone is just another negative trait to go along with all the other ones.  While you may try and see past the off-court issues (as I deliberately have to this point) and hope that they won't impact his on-court play, there comes a point where they are a distraction or affect your reputation around the league.

I want to be positive about Tony, I really do, but even among the most measured of fans, patience is wearing thin.  Nevertheless, it seems like he's going to get one more chance to prove himself.  Let's at least hope that if Doc Rivers can't turn him into something useful next year, perhaps Danny Ainge can.

More Player Articles: Kevin Garnett | Ray Allen | Paul Pierce | Rajon Rondo | Kendrick Perkins | Rasheed Wallace | Brian Scalabrine | Bill Walker | Lester Hudson | Eddie House

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good stuff Bent

you captured his game and our feelings towards him very well

I think that Tony would be great on a team like Memphis or even OKC but he’s pretty much done here. There’s too much history here for him.

"We few, we happy few, we band of brothers" Henry V

by Jeff Clark on Sep 18, 2009 6:23 AM EDT reply actions  

True

Too little room for TA to have a shot at getting it rolling. Thanks for the objective review Bent!

by Thruthelookingglass on Sep 18, 2009 8:57 AM EDT up reply actions  

History? What’s that got to do with anything?
Let’s stay in the present.

by markgent on Sep 19, 2009 5:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

good article

very good article. you captured the assessment. With Daniels on board, and Walker and
Giddens coming up, there is no real need to continue to assess Tony. He is what he is. And I doubt there will be playing time to distribute to him.

by Bozo on Sep 18, 2009 8:15 AM EDT reply actions  

I did shake my head. LOL

"Winning is a habit. Unfortunately, so is losing." - Vince Lombardi

by wild-a on Sep 18, 2009 8:28 AM EDT reply actions  

DARE GOOD ARTICLE

I two have agonize with Tony Allen game. But I read where Doc said Tony needed time on the court to be effective. After hearing that I payed attention to that point and understood where Doc was coming from. Tony will not get the minutes here that he needs to be productive.

I agree with Jeff that Tony would be great on lessor teams where his mistakes will not be magnified, and the untimely injuries will not sabotage the rest of his career.

by tyquinton on Sep 18, 2009 8:42 AM EDT reply actions  

At first I groaned

at seeing more ink about TA but this was a great read for the humor and accurate summary – - my favorite being the angel and devil on the shoulder paragraph. :-)

And now when it’s mentioned he’d fit on a lessor team with more minutes I groan again here in MN. Please no. Wait… forget Nocionni…. TA/Scal/something for Gomes?… continuing the tradition of the Wolves being Boston’s recycling bin.

"I don’t think in the past. I don’t think in the future. You grasp the moment." -KG

by SotaPop on Sep 18, 2009 9:03 AM EDT reply actions  

it looks like tony is going to make it training camp

i remain open to TA being an energy guy off the bench. if he can stay healthy, he’s capable of finding a (small) spot in the rotation.

by ssspence on Sep 18, 2009 10:17 AM EDT reply actions  

Ugh!

  When I think of Tony Allen, I think of four point plays…scored by our opponents.

by Dipper on Sep 18, 2009 10:30 AM EDT reply actions  

when i think of tony

I think of turnovers, pump fakes, and the game against the pistons two years ago when billups pump faked and obviously allen bit and fouled him with like a second on the clock.

I can also remember a game in phoenix two years ago when allen went in and just did everything wrong.

 On his best day, he does nothing wrong, but nothing right- he’s just there.

by Jimmy Toscano on Sep 18, 2009 10:48 AM EDT via mobile reply actions  

I've always been one of the bigger TA apologists

I want to see him succeed so badly. But like most of you, I highly doubt that it will be in green.

P2 is the man.

by MikeMartin on Sep 18, 2009 11:19 AM EDT reply actions  

I'll be taking the new year concept

with TA. Until he proves me wrong again I’ll be holding out hope.

At worst he should be able to provide some defensive depth at 2 and 3.

"Do you know that nonbelievers create the most positive energy?" Davis said

by Birdbrain on Sep 18, 2009 11:38 AM EDT reply actions  

that should last

about as long as most new years resolutions ;)

hey, if he can prove it on the court, who am I to argue with results? I remain skeptical though

"We few, we happy few, we band of brothers" Henry V

by Jeff Clark on Sep 18, 2009 12:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

Tony, Tony, Tony, has done it again !!

Why is he even in the league? Can someone just answer me that. Of all the moves Danny has made, no matter what he does, Danny just brings him back in and we are sucked into whatever Tony is smoking…..

At this point I’d rather have Kedrick Brown than “Tony just go away”

by Ancient Red on Sep 18, 2009 11:44 AM EDT reply actions  

I rather have that chair that Dan Dickau and Yi Jianlian can’t guard!

by liamail on Sep 18, 2009 12:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

The problem with Tony

I watched that garbage dunk game at the White Horse in Allston. I was telling my buddy “Trade Tony while his stock is high” just prior to said garbage dunk.
The real devil on his shoulder is his athleticism, while his angel is a babbling idiot. He clearly has the tools, but lacks the intelligence to use them properly and his flashes of greatness merely embolden him to continue forcing possessions even after the defense has adjusted. True, his defensive game is serviceable, but his offense is a pure liability against a savvy team. Unfortunately, much like Gerald Green, his natural abilities have outpaced his basketball intelligence and no amount of coaching or practice will correct it at the professional level no matter where he ends up.

by ChewyChomp on Sep 18, 2009 12:09 PM EDT reply actions  

I think you're all forgetting. . .

the kind of numbers Tony was averaging in the month after Pierce went down in 06-07. He was playing the best ball of his short career. He was starting to become a force on the offensive end and was already a force on the defensive end. He played so well that I thought when Pierce came back, Tony had cemented his spot in the starting rotation and was going to be the second option. His averages for part of December and January of 06-07:

19.0 PPG/ 5.9 RPG/ 2.8 APG/ 2.6 SPG/ 0.7 BPG

That’s an incredibly impressive line right there. Especially for a player who was just thrown into the fire. To be productive like that? I was excited. Really, really excited. And when he went down with that bonehead dunk after the whistle, I was devastated. Tony was probably the best moment of that horrible season for me. Even more than Big Al. I totally understand from a business standpoint why we would get rid of him, and he hasn’t shown us that he can be consistent since that span of 13 games. I’ll miss him when he’s gone and I’ll root for him wherever he goes.

by pete's montreux on Sep 18, 2009 12:43 PM EDT reply actions  

How many of those games were wins and where are the TAs, oops, I mean TOs?

by liamail on Sep 18, 2009 12:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

They went...

5-9 in that spell (not too bad for a team that was 19-49 the rest of the way).

He had 3.5 turnovers a game in that span. Again, not terrible in the context of his role and the other numbers.

However, in researching this, I found that Tony’s worst traits don’t often translate to the stat sheet*. For example, it might surprise you to learn he only had ONE turnover in the playoffs last year. Sure he only played a total of 60 minutes, but that still surprised me. He also shot 50%, which surprised me even more.

  • What would you call this…untangibles?

by Bent on Sep 18, 2009 1:17 PM EDT up reply actions  

Excellent Article On A Difficult Subject

Bent, you’re courageous to take on this subject and you did a great job. I, too, would like to see Tony succeed, but I think he’s just a tease and the day won’t come when he becomes a consistent contributor. It’s been said he plays best when he starts, but that won’t happen here. Off the bench he’s inconsistent. He makes teasingly excellent plays and then throws it all away. I don’t see TA making it in the NBA and if he does he certainly needs a change of scenery. I don’t know what happens with him this year, but he won’t be back next year. To me, if there’s a choice between putting in Giddens or TA, I’d rather go with Giddens now and see what he has to offer. I also don’t see Walker making it here either unless something has changed drastically over the summer.

"I don't come to play, I come to WIN"--Larry Bird
"Criminally Negligent Officiating"--Tommy Heinsohn

by TrueGreen on Sep 18, 2009 12:59 PM EDT reply actions  

Not a Difficult Topic

The Tony Allen haters are like hungry piranas waiting for a cow to fall into the water. What’s so difficult about tossing in a cow?

TA has had injury after injury since blowing out his knee on that stupid dunk. When healthy he was effective. Guys who slash to the basket turn the ball over more than spot up shooters. Pierce turns it over quite a bit for that same reason. It comes with the territory.

TA is a poor fit for Rivers’ offense. He would be much better on a running team.

by Brickowski on Sep 18, 2009 1:06 PM EDT reply actions  

Perpetual IF

He is the perpetual if player, more than Kedrick or Gerald, because he showed he could do some things at an NBA level.

If he could stay healthy
If he could regain his explosiveness
If he could remove himself from his off the court problems
If he could focus on just doing the things he does well

Then he would have a role as a legit rotation player on a team.

Besides, he’s responsible for my favorite steal ever, and many TPs to anyone who can find a clip:

One game, an opposing player had the ball out near the 3 point line, back to the basket with his man defending him between him and the basket. The player with the ball pivoted around to face up his defender, and, in preparation to take his man one-on-one, swung the ball down low in a crouch in that oh so cool “I’m about to explode in one direction” kind of way. Tony, guarding his man at the 3 pt line nearby, cheated off and reached through the opposing players legs and snatched the ball away like a QB taking the ball from a Center. Loved it.

by Fan from VT on Sep 18, 2009 3:07 PM EDT reply actions  

Injuries

Anyone who saw Tony in his rookie year knows he was a much better player before all his knee injuries. It’s easy to think of him now as a tentative player, but in his rookie year he was anything but. I remember my impression from that year was that he was a “natural” basketball player. Not a lot of people were watching the Celts back then, but Tony started as a rookie, and he was solid that year and always aggressive.

We saw a glimmer of the same potential when he filled in as a starter for Pierce after coming back from his first knee injury. He was fantastic in that stretch. But unfortunately he injured his other knee.

I think in general sports fans are quick to assume whenever a player has a drop off, that it’s a mental issue. I think much more often it’s physical. A few years back the consensus on sports radio was that Matt Clement was a complete head case, but when Doctors went in to operate on his shoulder I remember one of them said “it looked like a bomb had gone off” in there.

by Stojko on Sep 18, 2009 6:47 PM EDT reply actions  

Tony Relied On Athleticism

When he first came up TA relied on his athleticism. He lost that due to injury and has never been able to adjust. We talk about age of the Celtic players, but for a good player age brings experience and athleticism becomes less important. Just watch Ray take it to the hoop. He’s pretty slow, but he gets the job done by using all sorts of tricks he’s learned as he’s aged.

"I don't come to play, I come to WIN"--Larry Bird
"Criminally Negligent Officiating"--Tommy Heinsohn

by TrueGreen on Sep 18, 2009 7:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

Fan from VT AND Stojko

I agree with both of your comments and you guys sum up my feelings. I like TA but, I hate some of the things he does. I don’t know if he can over come the injuries and, probably of equal concern, are his off court issues.

One of the biggest hurdles in moving up in sports from HS to College to Pros is the mental aspect. Tony certainly has the athletic skills. The injuries and the uncertainties during the rehab drain a person mentally. Plus he’s had the well documented off court issues that also creates additional mental stress. But I’m not sure that he can overcome both issues. I hope I’m wrong, but that’s my 2 cents.

by badax33 on Sep 18, 2009 9:27 PM EDT reply actions  

Time will Tell

Sometimes, the best trade is the one you don’t make.
This is not one of those times.

by scndtony on Sep 19, 2009 12:01 PM EDT reply actions  

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