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Ray For Ellis? Pros and Cons

No idea if this rumor has any validity or not, but it passes a few sniff tests.

  1. It was reported/broken by a mainstream media outlet - A. Sherrod Blakely of CSNNE.com
  2. The Warriors might actually like to get out from under Monta's contract.  Ray would be a nice way to do that.

Also, real or not, it is an interesting topic of discussion.  So lets look at some pros and cons to a deal like this.

Pros:

  • Monta Ellis can flat out score.  He's averaging 26 points a game.
  • He also manages to chip in 5 assists and 2.2 steals a game.
  • He's got a game reminiscent of Allen Iverson, whom we all know Danny has an affection for.
  • Ray is in a shooting slump right now.  Someday he's going to go into a slump and never come out of it.  We just don't know when.
  • Ellis is just 24 years old and could bridge the Celtics past the Big 3 window.

Cons:

  • Monta is a terrible fit for this team as it is constructed.  He needs the ball in his hands a lot.
  • Next year means nothing to this team until next year.  We cannot do anything to sabotage the chances of winning it all this year (unless management is convinced that this team is fatally flawed already - which I don't think is the case at all).
  • Ray Allen, on the other hand, is a perfect fit for this team.  As discussed on this blog at least a few thousand times in the last few years.
  • In a word, chemistry.
  • The numbers don't really work very well.  We'd have to take Vlad Rad's contract and he's not going to opt out next season, so we'd be stuck with him for another year.

Bottom Line:  I don't think it is happening and I'm fine with that.  I see the rationale but I think Ainge will politely pass.  I gotta admit though, these are the kinds of deals that make you stop and think "well, maybe Ray's not totally untouchable."

For the Golden St. perspective on this, check out Golden St. of Mind (their poll is a little more lopsided than ours)

Update: at least one Golden St. scribe says it isn't happening.

Update 2: Don Nelson finds the rumor laughable.

Comment 52 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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'What Po said!

Dis wud be a riddy stupid trade.

Ellis does not fit.

Scores a lot – because he takes a million shots.

Needs ball in hand – does not fit our offense.

People complain about Ray being undersized on defense – hell, Ray looks like KG on defense compared to Ellis.

by mmmmm on Jan 25, 2010 11:40 PM EST up reply actions  

He doesn't fit as a starter.

But if you put Daniels in the starting line up and bring Ellis off the bench as a supersub, it could work. There are a lot of ifs there but Ellis has never played with KG and Pierce. He could be part of something special now and into the future. It would be interesting. If we could one of these guys thrown in Randolph, Maggette, Ronny Turiaf, instead of Radmanovic. If this is a fire sale we should look into it.

by liamail on Jan 25, 2010 11:52 PM EST up reply actions  

Ugh.

Ray has provided us over +10 Net48 point differential since he came here and continues to do that this year. And he’s giving us 36 minutes per game! That is a HELL OF A LOT OF PRODUCTIVITY TO REPLACE.

Daniels has only played limited minutes for us this year, but only put up a +2.5. Let’s be kind and say he could provide +5 if he was playing with the starters and able to post 36 minutes a game. I doubt it, for reasons I’ll get to, but let’s pretend. So right off the bat you are down about 4 or 5 pts you have to replace. Are you expecting them to come from Ellis, off the BENCH?

On defense, Daniels should be a more than adequate sub for Allen, but on offense Daniels is not a perimeter 3 point threat. Having him replace Allen with the starters totally changes the way you run the offense because all of a sudden only Pierce is a threat from outside the arc. Not good.

Daniels is a better fit to replace all the minutes Allen has to currently put in leading the second team.

I repeat, Ellis is not a good fit for this team.

by mmmmm on Jan 26, 2010 12:16 AM EST up reply actions  

Relax, m

I know this one REALLY bothers you :))
But it ain’t happening. Quite sure of that. Makes no sense.

by DRJ1 on Jan 26, 2010 2:21 AM EST up reply actions  

Conditions

I don’t think this deal will happen, because Ellis not a good fit. But, it’s not impossible. The keys are…

1) Can Ellis play D? If the Cs believe he can be made to focus a LOT more attention on the defensive end, they would be much more inclined to take this deal seriously. But that’s a big IF. Not sure how they could be made to believe that. Not sure it can happen at all… the guy has never had much defensive focus… is he going to magically start now? If the answer is no, and it sure seems that way… this deal is not happening. The Cs are too smart to throw their WHOLE IDENTITY out the window for Monta Ellis.

2) Can Ellis temper his shot selection, thereby increasing his assists and his FG%. This I can see happening… surrounded by a quality team, he might easily and naturally choose better shots and pass more… thus really becoming a GREAT offensive player.

3) Can the Cs live with Radmanovich for even one day? This guy is STUPID… hell, he was too stupid for even the Lakers to keep around! I don’t know if there’s any way to make this deal work without adding Vlady to it. Might be a deal-breaker.

All in all… this deal is very unlikely to happen. But it’s not unthinkable.

by DRJ1 on Jan 26, 2010 3:38 AM EST up reply actions  

hahaha

keep ray he suck compared to Monte. Why don’t you Celtics quit trying to buy your skill and fix your players. rays form on his shot is terrible.

by warriorstoptrading on Feb 1, 2010 6:53 PM EST up reply actions  

Do it!

Sorry, I just like saying that. Call it a reverse curse. Every time I say “do it!” Danny never does. And we’ve got a title to show for it!
I agree with ultimate conclusion, though. I HATE saying negative things about the classiest guy on the team, but I also worry he’ll be an albatross on this team. Oy, I need a shower after saying that.

by Big_Easy on Jan 25, 2010 11:30 PM EST reply actions  

See how many voted on the Warriors site

I’m surprised they have that many fans/followers.

by bdm860 on Jan 25, 2010 11:57 PM EST reply actions  

Our team is like a car-wreck. You know you shouldn’t look, but once you do, you can’t look away.

I’m one of the Warriors fans that wouldn’t mind dumping Ellis… but as you can see from our poll, I’m in the minority.

by samuraaaaiiiiiii on Jan 26, 2010 2:49 AM EST up reply actions  

They don't

It’s a bunch of Cs fans who followed Jeff’s link. I had a lot of fun hitting the “Bring Ray to the Bay” button.

"People don't understand, if you can't live the rest of your life off one year in the NBA, you can't live off 21." -- Keon Clark

by Eeyore III on Jan 26, 2010 8:13 AM EST up reply actions  

While I don't know how much crowd livelihood correlates to blogosphere prominence,

this seems like a good time to note that ORACLE always seems to have terrific crowds – even when the team isn’t great – and those crowds were absolutely outstanding during the ’07 playoff run.

-sw

Growing up in the Weinman household, you learn two rules very quickly if you aspire to reach double-digits in the years-of-age category: Hate thy Knick, hate thy Yankee.

Go Celtics, Go Dodgers. -sw

by Steve Weinman on Jan 26, 2010 5:47 PM EST up reply actions  

No way Ray

Ellis Ray
FT% 76.6. 89.3
3P% 29.2 39.6
FG%. 48.2 44.8

Remember Ray was in a bad slump for a while in the year we won it all. Hall of Famer. Remember the Chicago playoff game last year. Also, who do you want most of all at the free throw line when the game is on the line?
Fagetaboutit!

by Daveonthecape on Jan 26, 2010 12:01 AM EST via mobile reply actions  

Im from the bay and despite pore management I am still a warriors fan. I think that monte is a great player. He came off that bad injury and almost made the all-star team, amazing. Your stats are slanted. what about points per game and minutes per game bet the beat rayray pretty bad.
I’m stuck out east for now and have to watch the Celtics games. I have watched 30 I am open and trying to enjoy it. BORING. oh yea didn’t warriors beat the Celtics now that game was exciting.

by warriorstoptrading on Feb 1, 2010 7:23 PM EST up reply actions  

Do it in a heartbeat

Ray is on the decline. He should be coming off the bench here. Secondly, he;s going to want more money than Ainge should give him next year. Lastly, Ellis is an all-star – this year.

by lemonade sky on Jan 26, 2010 1:05 AM EST reply actions  

Nope

don’t let ppg fool you. Who else is on his team? He’s not even in the same class a Ray Allen. When Ray gun starts hitting again you’ll bandwagon back to him.

by Daveonthecape on Jan 26, 2010 6:45 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

I agree with lemonade sky

Ray wasn’t either known for his defense before he came to Boston so I’m sure Ellis can learn to play some D as well. It’s team defense that matters most. Offensively, we’ll be more potent which will make up for his poor defense. We’ll be fast, atletic and young. As far as needing a ball in his hand is concerned, I hope Doc can figure that out by either making new plays to fit both Rondo and Ellis in starting lineup or having Ellis come off the bench. Ainge shouldn’t miss out on this opportunity. Besides we may be able to bring Ray back next yr for cheaper salary.

by Biraj on Jan 26, 2010 6:57 AM EST up reply actions  

Every player wants more money than they should be given...

but Ray is one of the few guys who might actually take a lesser contract for a better team. Plus his expiring deal is valuable to the Warriors for the same reason it’s valuable to us – cap space = flexibility.

by milt palacio's shot on Jan 26, 2010 4:56 PM EST up reply actions  

   Ray could use a couple weeks of 25-30 minute nights. Of the big 3 , he’s the oldest and getting the most minutes. Whats that all about? With TA, Eddie, and even Hudson at times, they could easily drop his minutes. I don’t see the point of giving him near 40/games nighht in, night out.
   Like one of the posts above said, any discussion of next year will begin next year. When Daniels gets back, let Ray rest, and when post-season gets here, he’ll be rested and ready.

by VT Bill on Jan 26, 2010 7:20 AM EST reply actions  

While your point about minutes still stands,

a small nit to pick: Hudson was waived in early January and was last seen on the Memphis roster.

-sw

Growing up in the Weinman household, you learn two rules very quickly if you aspire to reach double-digits in the years-of-age category: Hate thy Knick, hate thy Yankee.

Go Celtics, Go Dodgers. -sw

by Steve Weinman on Jan 26, 2010 5:48 PM EST up reply actions  

You do this...

…and you do it now.

This is exactly what we need. Ray is walking after this year, and is not much help to us in the short term.

by rickyfan3.0... on Jan 26, 2010 7:28 AM EST reply actions  

Randolph too?

That kid is great? He is a throw in? The kid is absolutely beastly…

DO THIS TRADE PLEASE!!

I don’t think Danny is looking at this team in a 1 year window like we think he is. He is likely to deconstruct this team so that the same thing doesn’t happen to him, that unfolded right in front of his eyes when he played for them.

by rickyfan3.0... on Jan 26, 2010 7:32 AM EST reply actions  

Sorry for the 3rd straight post...

I think the principles here are that if you don’t think you are going to win a title this year (I don’t think we will), and you want to get a young star for a player that will not be on the team next year anyways, you do this.

Ray is gone anyways, so why not get younger and more athletic overnight? I am not sure that this trade would hurt us this year either.

by rickyfan3.0... on Jan 26, 2010 7:59 AM EST reply actions  

I agree with your first statement

that if you think a title is completely out of reach then, you MIGHT make this (or a similar) trade to make the team stronger in the future. Contrary to what some folks think I am not totally against trading Ray. I also would consider trading Ray for someone if I believed they could help THIS year more than Ray.

However, I think it is still way too early to punt on THIS year. And I definitely don’t believe Ellis would make the team stronger THIS year. So I think it would be a bad trade at this point.

by mmmmm on Jan 26, 2010 11:55 AM EST up reply actions  

Ellis not the player they need

C’s could use a replacement for Ray but it would need to be someone that can shoot. Ellis isn’t a shooter from deep. If they through in Randolph as well, that’s probably a deal too good to overlook. Having Rondo, Ellis, Randolph and Perk after the big 3 is a pretty decent core.

The one thing that Ellis could improve for this team in the playoffs is that should the C’s face the Lakers in the finals, Kobe would have to play Ellis instead of Rondo. Lakers couldn’t afford to let Ellis abuse Fisher all night and he wouldn’t be able to roam on defense. That would leave Rondo to do as he pleases against Fisher.

by slamtheking on Jan 26, 2010 8:06 AM EST reply actions  

Who Comes along with Ellis?

That’s the real question. If it’s VladRad, no. If I’m willing to take Monta Ellis’ contract, then the other players in the deal have to be a) valuable, or b) expiring, and Vlad Rad is neither.

I don’t believe Don Nelson’s denials. Ellis has been on the market ever since the motorbike incident, and at one point GS wanted to void his contract.

The Warriors stink and are going nowhere. They need to get under the cap. The’d prefer to move Maggette, but noone wants Maggette— or Vlad Rad.

by Brickowski on Jan 26, 2010 9:07 AM EST reply actions  

All for it

I’d love to get Monta here. Yes it would mean giving up Ray, but in essence we have a bona fide, young All Star. imagine a team of starting – Rondo, Daniels, PP, KG and Perk, Bench: Monta, RashWeed, BB, Walker (assuming we trade, House, TA, Scal). We’ll get young, and still be able to run, with an extrememly fast backcourt.
I am a 100% Ray fan and I know he’ll get hot eventually, BUT, let’s not do the same thing the old regime did and hold onto the superstars longer than we should. in 2 years, when KG’s retired, we’ll have a starting line of rondo, ellis, pp, kg and perk. Who’s gonna beat us?

by heyvik on Jan 26, 2010 9:40 AM EST up reply actions  

Remember - we almost had Maggette.

Remember, we had a chance to sign Maggette this summer. But he decided to go to GS. imagine Maggette instead of Daniels on the 2nd unit. This talk about trading Ray wouldn’t be an issue.

by heyvik on Jan 26, 2010 9:44 AM EST up reply actions  

question

why wouldn’t you take vlad rad? You won’t be under the cap eitherway in 2010, so best you can do is an MLE irregardless. Vlad Rad would be a nice expiring entering 2011 though and could net you some trade value at deadline.

It should also be noted monta has an nice contract 11 mil a year non-escalating, which in 2 years will look like a steal

by tafkasam on Jan 26, 2010 12:46 PM EST up reply actions  

I would do it in a heartbeat!

Monta is a great scorer… We can use some YOUTH on this team. Additionally, any thought/rumor on if this is one of the deals when they buyout Ray and he resigns in 30 days? In which case we are stealing Monta!

by funkstarrdeluxe on Jan 26, 2010 9:37 AM EST reply actions  

are you kidding me? i’d do the trade in a heartbeat. i love ray-he’s so smooth and a great citizen and player- but he’s old and expensive and even tho great, he’s slowing down. ellis would be a disruption, but with our injuries, the whole season to date has been disrupted. by playoff time, he’d be better defensively and into the system. with tom tibs and kg and doc and danny, you bet he would be. he can flat out score. forget about percentages- the guy is magic with the ball. he is young and can get better- ray is old and can get worse. we need to get younger for the future, but this kind of young does not hurt us in the present. he has made the motor scooter mistake but like we say about glen davis, he’s a good kid . young kids playing with grown men make boo boos- it’s what kind of boo boos and ellis hurt himself in a less offensive way than glen. he has great speed and with rondo you have 2 racehorses in the backcourt that are handling the ball. all that being said, the warriors would be crazy to let him go for and old fogey.

by nazzbo on Jan 26, 2010 10:28 AM EST reply actions  

"Bursting into Laughter"

Don Nelson and I responded the same way, except for different reasons. Considering Ray’s talent, character, and expiring contract, this would be an awful deal for the Celtics. If this trade were 2007-2008 Monta Ellis, I’d consider it, but I would definitely take the current Ray Allen over the current Monta Ellis

by IdahoGreen on Jan 26, 2010 11:18 AM EST reply actions  

Why wouldn't you do it?

the reason why he puts up the ridiculous numbers is because GS just doesn’t have a good team. He is their best player and he carries that team.

by heyvik on Jan 26, 2010 11:21 AM EST up reply actions  

i'd actually argue the horrible team HURTS his numbers

his efficiency is down cause he has ball TOO much, It’s not his fault warriors have had regularly 6-8 healthy players. Currently the warriors have 5 healthy first team players, 1 is Devean George who was never meant to see the court, and 3 D-league 10 day contracts. There were actually Zero backup guards for 2 weeks. He is overworked, even then his efficency hasn’t been awful like say Trevor Ariza.

by tafkasam on Jan 26, 2010 12:48 PM EST up reply actions  

I love Ray but would do this trade —especially if Randolph somehow was thrown in>

by feckless on Jan 26, 2010 11:47 AM EST reply actions  

Warriors fan here:

Need to make 1 correction:

# Monta is a terrible fit for this team as it is constructed. He needs the ball in his hands a lot.

Completely false. Most Warriors fan believe he is better off ball than with. In 07-08 when warriors won 48 games (and became winningest team to NOT make playoffs) he was SG next to Baron. That was probably Monta’s best year:

07-08:
20.2 ppg, 53.1 fg% (wow), 5.0 rpg (he has that rondo knack for every loose ball), 3.9 assists to 2.1 TOs.

with a PER of 19.0 and a TS% of .580

The issue is Baron was a BIG pg so it was easier to play this way defensively. Rondo is probably the best defensive pg in NBA but neither he nor monta r equipped to guard SGs

by tafkasam on Jan 26, 2010 12:43 PM EST reply actions  

First team backcourt is Rondo and Marquis Daniels.

Second team backcourt is Ellis and TA

Odd man out is House, who becomes a “designated shooter” for end-of-game situations.

You cut Rondo’s minutes, so he and Ellis are only together in the backcourt for 5-10 minutes a game. And during that time you could press and give some opposing backcourts fits. Ellis is pretty quick defensively, although he needs to show more commitment to defense than is required by Don Nelson.

by Brickowski on Jan 26, 2010 1:19 PM EST reply actions  

So, your plan is to replace Ray's minutes as a starter

with Daniels (who you already have).

And Daniel’s minutes off the bench with Ellis.

So you traded Ray Allen for a bench player? While weakening your starting rotation?

Good luck with that.

by mmmmm on Jan 26, 2010 3:50 PM EST up reply actions  

Young talent

It is so hard to get young proven talent in this league. Gold expiring contracts like this are the way to get it done.

Monta Ellis is a really good young player.

by rickyfan3.0... on Jan 26, 2010 1:20 PM EST reply actions  

Sorry for the length of the post and the sentences in advance, but it all kind of came to me at once after hearing the rumor on the postgame show last night.

I would never trade Ray Allen for anyone, let alone Monta Ellis, but I can definitely see a way in which the possible transaction of Ellis from the Warriors could help the future of the Celtics. Danny needs to at least explore the option of helping Golden State trade Ellis to a team like the Knicks or Nets, the reason being of course to transform players, and their expiring contracts, like Tony Allen, Brian Scalabrine, Sheldon Williams, JR Giddens (possibly; I haven’t quite given up on him yet because he has the wingspan and defensive talents to become someone like Michael Cooper, I hope, although that seems like a hopeless prayer, I know), and/or Glen Davis (possibly) into a 1st round draft pick from anyone of those teams for next year, or even a second round pick from New Jersey for this year’s draft.

My reasoning of course, is that we all know that the Knicks and Nets would like nothing better than to sign Lebron (or someone else) after this year, and, since Golden State feels that their point guard of the future is Stephen Curry, who the Knicks wanted to take in last year’s draft because of his talent and also his friendship with James, why not take advantage of the situation, knowing that Lebron can’t play for four teams at once (Golden State (not that the Warriors are a place he would relocate to, but because of Ellis), Cleveland, New York, and New Jersey), and try to improve our draft position in the coming year(s) by helping the Knicks or Nets show Lebron that they will have substantial talent (Ellis in New York (although Ellis alone probably won’t be enough), or Ellis and Devin Harris on the same team if he chooses the Nets) on their roster before he possibly arrives, so as to sweeten the deal for him, while, at the same time, making Cleveland panic and suddenly have to use the majority of their cap space to retain the reigning MVP, and therefore making it much more difficult to import more help for Lebron through free agency (kind of like when McHale threatened to sign with the Knicks and the Celtics retaliated by signing three of their best free agents in Sly Williams, Rory Sparrow, and Marvin Webster to handsom offer sheets, which New York had to match, leaving them no room to sign McHale or anyone else).

I know that, at best, this transaction is highly unlikely, but I’m just trying to think of what Red would do. After all, he did manage to get us the second pick in the ’86 draft (even though we all know how that worked out, but the idea was ingenious) from Seattle for Gerald Henderson in 1984, although in comparison to my idea, Henderson had far better trade value than any of the candidates of the said deal in my proposal.

Let the Chess games begin.

by Celtics Fanatic on Jan 26, 2010 4:42 PM EST reply actions  

Bottom Line is...

Monta doesn’t solve enough of the C’s problems to make it worth marrying his very long contract. We’d be committing to 5 years of Rondo and Ellis small ball and all the defensive matchup problems that come with it. It’s not a given that they can even co-exist offensively. Anyway, the money we save on Ray’s expiring deal next year is just as valuable to Boston as it is to Golden State.

There’s a decent chance we re-sign Ray next year at a big discount. and still have enough left over to sign another player (of perhaps lesser talent) who better fits our needs.

by milt palacio's shot on Jan 26, 2010 5:10 PM EST up reply actions  

no way the w's would trade m.ellis for r.allen

first, monta ellis is like untouchable because he is having an all star year despite on a losing team headed to the lottery with a top 5 pick if ended now. ellis and curry is the face of the franchise. i would trade biedrins, brendan wright, and a player and add a first round pick for amare and a scrub that we can lose next year due to salary but never for just ray allen.

by kdogg1980 on Jan 26, 2010 10:21 PM EST reply actions  

finally somone is making some scence on this page lol

im right there with you man. If the warriors make another mistake and let go of Ellis I think I might resign as a warrior fan. The management needs to be patient and let these young guys mature together, we could use some size and I am ready to see Biedrins go. I could also stand to see Maggette go he’s a good player but he has this attitude like all the refs are out to get him, im sick of watching it.

by warriorstoptrading on Feb 1, 2010 7:48 PM EST up reply actions  

but the only way is to add big baby and rondo for just ellis

if it was 2 + allen for ellis, i’d do it in a heart beat.

by kdogg1980 on Jan 26, 2010 10:22 PM EST reply actions  

i agree lol

Eilis is great, what are they talking about. Id go as far as saying he is better then rando 1 on 1. We cant compare there team play though cause of the lack of talent on our roster. if somehow Celtics did end up with Monte i might convert to a Celtics fan. They are used to getting what they want when it comes to spending, but I don’t think Celtics will get Monte.

by warriorstoptrading on Feb 1, 2010 7:34 PM EST up reply actions  

Wanna win a championship this year?

Keep Ray. He’s a better player than Ellis.
Wait til you see him when the game is on the line this summer in the finals against LA!
Can’t wait!

by Daveonthecape on Jan 26, 2010 11:20 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

Bottom line

Celtics fans should have respect for our team, cause warriors create talent and celtics just buy it. And when they suck again they buy more.

by warriorstoptrading on Feb 1, 2010 7:56 PM EST reply actions  

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