FanPost

Rebounding Stats as Percentages - A Call to Reason



Rebounding stats need to be kept and talked about on a percentage basis. 

Can we start a movement?  Do we have the connections to get this done?

Look, I am no stats geek but consider the following.  First, rebounding is the C's biggest issue.  Securing the defensive boards is going to go a long way to determining the chance this team has to win the whole thing.  If they can secure those boards then their defense and their offense are good enough, I think, to compete with anyone.  Also, the C's do not go after offensive rebounds.  This is intentional.  They prefer to concede the low percentage chance for offensive boards in order to get back against the opponent's transition offense.  (Rondo, and/or whatever big is already in the paint seem to be the lone exceptions, and both, still seem to have major responsibility to get back when they do this - transition D is first, offensive boards a distant second.)   Further, our field goal against numbers are still often very very good while our own shooting percentages are high.  Basically when we can keep from turning it over we shoot a nice percentage and when we can get back to defend we do a good job.  When I put all these facts together, it makes no sense to me why we keep rebounding numbers as a total instead of as a percentage. 

Let's say Atlanta shoots 30% against us while we are shooting 50%.  Atlanta is a team that goes after offensive boards.  70% percent of their shots produce rebounds while only 50% of ours do.  They are going to get a lot more rebounds than us.  There is no way around that.  They just have more chances and they are more willing to risk transition baskets.  Comparing totals, which include offensive rebounds is an apples to oranges issue - it is useless.  What I want to know is how often we secure the defensive boards, that is, what percentage of defensive rebounds do we secure.  (The stats guys would have to take into account missed free-throws that result in lose balls, otherwise the numbers are already there, right?).  What percentage does a good rebounding team achieve, 75%?  When we are getting out hustled and out jumped by Atlanta's young legs what percentage are we at, 60%?  Who knows?  Nobody knows because this is not the way the stats are kept.  (Obviously we would get the flip side as well, say an average offensive rebounding rate is 20% or 25%, although that seems high, and we know that Atlanta grabs 30%, well that would then be a stat worth knowing and watching for.)

So, who has some pull around here?  There have got to be folks in the C's organization and from at least CSN lurking.  (ESPN? JVG himself?  Why was Paul Pierce picked to shoot threes again? - oh, cirlce gets a square.)  Doesn't this make sense and isn't it especially important for understanding the C's success the rest of the way?  I emailed Mike and Tommy but Tommy blamed the whole thing on the officials whereupon Mike mercifully  announced the C's next charity outing.

Be respectful and keep it clean. Thanks.

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