Uncertainty Reigns
The optimist in me wants to believe in this team. I want to believe that they will get healthy and get back into that same rhythm that had them rolling in the first couple months of the season. I mean, there is still plenty of time between now and the end of the season for things to turn around. But I'm not sure. And that uncertainty is unnerving.
Ratcheting up the anxiety, of course, is the trade deadline. In theory you should know if your team "has it" or doesn't after 3 months of games. But injuries have clouded and distorted the image too much to make a clear analysis. However, that uncertainty might itself be an indication of the answer.
It becomes a percentage play of sorts. No team can be 100% sure they'll be healthy in the playoffs, but many teams can say that they have a reasonably good chance at fielding their top 8 or 9 players. What are the chances that the Celtics can do that? 80%? 70%? 50%? At times it feels like less.
Today was the first time we've actually had our top 8 ready to go, and even that wasn't enough to avoid an epic collapse. How much of that was guys getting back into playing shape? How many injuries are the guys playing through because they don't want to let their team down? Of course the worst scenario would be that maybe the guys are reasonably healthy and they just aren't good enough any more. Having the 2nd best record in the East isn't as impressive when you can't beat the Hawks and only have one win over the Magic.
But once again, we just don't know if this team has what it takes to turn it around and recapture that Championship swagger or not. Yet we approach the trade deadline with a decision to make. Trade Ray Allen or keep him and let it ride? I don't want to trade him if it isn't a move that gives us a legit shot at the title this year. But if you can get a guy that helps us this year and into the future (Iggy, Martin, etc.) then you have to think about it long and hard.
I have to note that future considerations have to be considered. I know most don't want to hear about it, but we can't simply take on all the future cash in the world if it means hog-tying our salary cap for the next 5 years for this one shot.
Ainge has said all along that if he can make a deal that puts us in a position to win now and later, he'll do it. I couldn't imagine too many deals that would have made sense but perhaps I wasn't being creative enough. Or maybe I underestimated the desperation that some teams have in wanting to cut money. Or perhaps all these trade rumors are being overblown (a very real possibility).
And that brings me back to my original point. We just don't know. And that is troubling.
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Im with you jeff
I feel the same way, how can a team be so dominant for the first 20 games and so shaky in the interim?
We beat the Cavs easily on opening night, but we’ve lost 4 straight to the Hawks, we lost to the Lakers by 1 and dominated for most of the game. Its been a rollecoaster, you just don’t know which team is going to show up.
Nevertheless, the team as presently constructed wont beat the Magic or Cavs, and maybe even the Hawks without home court advantage in the playoffs. I agree if we trade ray it has to be for K-mart or Iggy or Ellis, I don’t even think the salmon/hinrich/thomas helps us that much. I think Iggy is the best fit because he would be the best cover for Lebron/Kobe.
Like you ’m shells hocked and disappointed in this team, if I can draw one positive from this season its Rondo, hes hands down the best Point Guard in the East and on his way to greatness.
Unfortunately that wont satisfy Celtics nation when many including myself thought that this was the season of banner 18.
It looks incredibly unlikely now, and uncertainty reigns supreme for all of us right now.
Irony
The irony is that Ray is playing better than Pierce and Garnett, who have been stinking it up.
But Ray is the one with the expiring contract.
yep. Ray is playing MAYBE just a little worse than two years ago as oppossed to PP and KG who are much worse
Not that Im happy with how Ray is playing its just sad that it HAS to be him.
Mostly its as if Doc has lost the team. We talk about the lack of effort in third quarters but no one wants to implicate the coach. And look I have NO idea why the effort sucks so bad but its been obvious since about game 6
I had a dream lTWO YEARS ago that Iggie was on the Celtics and hit a huge game winning shot in the playoffs
Ive watched him closely since. This is weird for me but Im going to jump up and down if we can swing a deal for him. How is Wyc gonna pay for all this?
Good point
re KG and PP. KG has been in rehab mode all season, which in turn has meant too much Wallace. And Paul keeps trying to play when he should be resting. Really, the wing rotation should be either Paul or Ray with Quis and Tony—which makes Ray the odd man out.
and this distinction is important as it seems some folks assume trading a player should be based purely on the player’s performance.
by The Village Idiot on Feb 8, 2010 1:04 AM EST up reply actions
Ray's real value is 3 point shooting. He is shooting 34% for 3 pointers. His PER is 14. That makes him BELOW AVERAGE for shooting guards. (the average player gets 15)
If we don’t trade Ray we lose him with NO COMPENSATION this summer. If we had a very good chance to win #18 it would be worth it. But this is NOT AN ELITE TEAM and we have to get some value for Ray before he leaves next summer. [You don’t resign a guy known for 3 point shooting, whose even doing that poorly.]
by celticspride4ever on Feb 8, 2010 7:40 AM EST up reply actions
Better than Pierce?
What am I missing, Ray had another miserable shooting game yesterday, 4-13, and if he is not shooting well, then Ray is not playing well. He has one good game now every six or seven.
Team is at a number of crossroads
When does Rondo start completely taking over? Its evident that the offense is running ENTIRELY through him when the team is playing at his best. When do we stop forcing the ball to the Big 3 and use them as complimentary pieces to Rondo? I think that time is now.
Do we make a trade, and if so, who? Obviously Ray Allen is the first option to be traded, but what about Big Baby and Sheed, who have been pretty disappointing so far. My heart tells me that we keep the team intact (how can a person WANT to trade a guy like Ray Allen?) but my brain tells me that something needs to change.
And latched onto that last point, we should seriously consider trading for someone who is either a great defender or a great rebounder (both would be nice), but the Celtics are lacking in both of those fundamental categories. Perk has sucked for the past month, KG isn’t the same and he never will be and Sheed is just plain lazy. We need a young guy (Tyrus Thomas) who can provide energy, rebounding, and defense, but not be to short to do those things effectively (Big Baby, Shelden).
So many questions, still have a big headache from today’s game, and it doesn’t seem like its gonna get any better in the near future. Thank god its almost the All-Star break.
We're pretty much in a crossroad now
Dismantling the Big Three seems to be risky right now, but if can trade Ray for a younger player that can be part of a future Celtic core, say Iggy or Martin, it would benefit us in the long run. But everything is still a 50-50 scenario. I just remembered how Red Auerbach refused to break the Big Three (a suggestion of then player Danny Ainge) and then traded Ainge instead, it proved to be a wrong move as we look at it right now.
But still, to trade or not, no one knows if it will work because even at this point, it is hard to diagnose our season.
"The beautiful thing about when you go through a slide is that you learn from it. Not just saying that you learn from it, but applying the things that you have learned." - KG
by LoveTheShootingPF on Feb 8, 2010 1:51 AM EST reply actions
LOL
I did not notice that. Maybe Jeff really meant Uncertainty Reigns.
"The beautiful thing about when you go through a slide is that you learn from it. Not just saying that you learn from it, but applying the things that you have learned." - KG
by LoveTheShootingPF on Feb 8, 2010 2:01 AM EST up reply actions
Maybe it's about
…Doc’s uncertain reins on this team. “Uncertainty” would then be an adjective, like “happiness” in “happiness pills”. Ha
It's to the point that Danny shouldn't do anything to help this year's team--
—all moves should be with an eye on rebuilding.
Going out on a limb here but ...
Shouldn’t we let the full complement play say five games together before we talk blowing up the team?
Yes, we need to let the full team play and beat some really lousy teams
So then we can feelmuch better.
This year is toast with the status quo so why the worry about making a trade? Also why does no one mention how Perk stinks. He has either regressed badly or just hit is ceiling and we all missed it.
The Froncourt 3
..is a problem. One legged Kevin, gimmie-me Perkins and 3-fail Wallace. A real hole needing to be filled there. Hope BBD keeps picking up his game.
Perkins is progressing…(he has’t been griping about every call lately which means fewer T’s), and he is one of the best defensive centers in the league. Glen Davis has recovered some of his passion and effort (and looks like he is back in shape) but he is what he is…to short to be a center or power forward (gets stuffed too many times at the rim and refuses to pass) and to take Pierce’s place. What he does do is clog up the middle and rebound (both of which are needed by this team, by the way) and he has a nice little jumper. Williams can dunk, plays better with Marquis, imo, and passes. We went on our 18 game winning streak with Williams, not Davis, coming off the bench. Marquis needs no explanation…he fills in three positions very well and adds cohesion and direction to the bench. Ray has been overused, but should be fine now that we have a full complement of players, and is still the glue guy (without whom KG and possibly Pierce might have been playing for other teams now). Rondo has, and is still, improving. He still makes the occasional dumb mistake but is one of the best point guards in the league and will be playing on his first All Star team. KG is still working on stamina after his long layoffs…and it looks like he is coming into shape. Raheed is a wonder heading to the rim…none better (I just wish he would do more of it and stay away from the threes…). Scal is still the cheerleader who will try to do anything asked of him. Allen and House have been playing well, but are limited and Walker hasn’t shown anything on the NBA level (although he looked good on the Claws).
I have a hard time believing a trade at this point would do anything to help this team. I just hope everyone gets back their stamina, teamwork ( timing and spacing), and most of all, UBUNTU.
by thirstyboots18 on Feb 8, 2010 2:03 PM EST up reply actions
Ray's been off, but he's not toxic. Sheed is.
It’s more important to move Sheed… gotta cut the tumor out. But I have no problem with moving both, in the right trade. (Would love to see Iggy on this team, btw.)
Don't know unless you try
He’s a true big… lotta teams are looking for that… ya never know.
The alternative is to sit him.
pp never should have been out there yesterday and i blame him and doc for that. rest your stupid ankle and stay away from your ego driven allstar contest, pp. instead, he plays but does not put out the whole game. will kg ever get healthier? that is the real question because this is his team. he sets the tone. when he takes time off in a game, they all do.
Steady, steady, steady
Was at the game yesterday and the first half Celts could compete for Championship. 2nd half, well we know what happened.
Everyone builds a Championship team around veterans. We’ve got them. Can they lift themselves to it? Not sure if they can if they couldn’t in such a “show me” game as yesterday. But the options are 1. Build the team you got to a peak for the playoffs 2. Sell Ray for good value 3. Sell Ray and get worse.
I like #1 because I just can’t believe that a player of better playoff value than Ray will come our way. #2 may be possilbe. Danny has shown a knack for such things but how will the rest of the players react. After all, if KG isn’t peak for playoffs we’re not going far, with Ray or without Ray. I don’t see KG getting emotionally fired up following a trade deadline fire sale of a guy of such quality as Ray. As for #3, some bloggers may bloviate about the end of the Bird/McHale era and be OK with abandoning quest for this year’s banner, but I don’t think ownership.Ainge are thinking that way.
So, there were some good things to see yesterday. Glen Davis doing man’s work three games in row. Daniels helped. That can be a good bench. I think it is about KG’s health and Doc. Doc’s tendency is to double down on his starters when they hit a bad patch. I advocate for “Steady” at Danny’s level but not at Doc’s level. He needs to be more creative given the tendencies of his veterans.
We do know one thing...
NBA players aren’t exactly the type of athletes that tough things out. We encourage rest from our players, even our stars. We want them to have breaks at the end of corners, in back to back games, and in garbage time. We don’t really herald NBA players for playing every game, because the NBA is the one sport where the regular season matters the least and we want our players rested for the postseason at all costs.
i say that to suggests that the Celtics are probably as healthy as they will ever be this season. Their top 8 were in play yesterday, not because they were fighting off injuries, but because they were prepared to play. Could their legs come back a little more and could they be a little more crisp? Sure. But that doesn’t negate a 36-11 drubbing in the 3rd quarter, nor a season of signs pointing to the aging of the Celtics big 3.
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by TheSportsWatcher on Feb 8, 2010 10:07 AM EST reply actions
KG is what he is
He is never going to be the 2007-2008 KG again folks. Time to move on off of that idea. can we buffer him with enough help to still get a title? Possible, I guess. Might it take a significant deal to get it done? Also very possible. I feel they need an upgrade over Allen at this current stage to get to the title level again. Can Ainge pull it off? We’ll see….
How many teams have intentionally coasted then won a championship?
I posted this question in a thread on the forum. I believe the answer is that it is a rarity when teams intentionally or unintentionally coast through the season and then are able to turn it on and win a championship. Yes, you had a Houston team in the mid-90’s and the Celtics back in 1969, but how many others? That’s the problem in a nutshell. It just is not going to happen here. So, Danny can do one of two things: start rebuilding for the future now or let it ride for the rest of the year. Either way this team is not winning a championship.
I’d trade Ray Allen for any solid young player. I don’t see any reason to worry about getting someone in return who can fill Ray’s role. He can no longer fill that role. He’s healthy and has good stamina, but no longer has the athleticism to get off and make hard shots against a good defense. We need to rid ourselves of one of the old guys and Ray is the only one tradeable. Logically speaking, it’s a no-brainer. Almost any of the names mentioned in the various rumors would make us better not just for the future, but for this year. They’d boost the almost non-existent title chances to minimal.
In addition, I think KG should be playing Sheed’s role, coming off the bench, and Sheed should play rarely. Baby, with all his limitations, can move around energetically like an NBA player. We need that sort of thing to compete with other NBA teams who’ve had the audacity to fill their rosters with good athletes who run around the court at high speed.
I couldn’t understand why Doc didn’t start to sub his younger faster bench players as the lead slipped away in the middle of the 3rd yesterday. Those were the guys that built the lead. He seems dead set against rocking the boat even when it’s clearly starting to take on water. It’s mystifying.
And Pierce should be taking the next 10 days off so he can come back with some spring in his step, like he had at the beginning of the year.
by BouncingBuckeye on Feb 8, 2010 10:29 AM EST reply actions
Ray
I still think we have a championship quality team positions 1 — 8. I am thrilled that Marquis came back yesterday looking as sharp as he did. Glen Davis, while he is hustling and clogging up the middle, still has a way to go. He has to learn how to finish or how to pass.
I get the feeling that we are living in the one hour television age, where positive results are expected in an hour. Life is not like that. What happened to all the people who were screaming for Doc to rest everyone until after the All Star break…and not to worry about W’s and L’s. This team will be back to strength in a couple weeks, barring more injuries.
Davis has played with passion the last couple of games. I hate to say it, but I kind of hope Danny is showcasing him to trade, and will bring back Daniels off the bench.
Sorry, I meant “Williams off the bench”.
by thirstyboots18 on Feb 8, 2010 10:36 AM EST up reply actions
It's a question of will - not talent, health, or age
The reason I can be quite sure of that is related to something Doc said post-game. He said (paraphrasing now) that “they could have scored ZERO points in that 3rd quarter (and that would have been something he could accept) but they should NEVER have have allowed 36 points. That was unacceptable.”
You can have a bad game. Your shot can be off (see Allen, Ray). But if you do your job… the job they know perfectly well how to do… you can still win on the strength of your defense. That’s the whole point of being a “defensive team”. It’s smart, and it wins championships. But…. you gotta actually DO it. If you take a quarter off, as the Cs did, and let the other team — in this case a well-known 3s-shooting club — run riot… well, you’re gonna lose.
So my need, my urgency, to trade and trade is not great. This team is ready… it needs to be better motivated. It needs focus. But it can go all the way as constituted.
However, if motivation and focus are the issues, there is one player they need to get rid of. And that would be Sheed. Because that guy is toxic to this team… he’s the least motivated, he’s a vet, and he’s in the top 6. If anybody’s pulling motivation out of this team, he’s suspect #1. Perk’s recent Sheed-like changes attest to that.
So…. bottom line… other than getting rid of Sheed, I don’t think there’s a strong urgency to make a major move. Adding a backup PG would be nice. Another wing guy to spell PP, sure. But it’s not a sine qua non.
That "defense" word...
"they could have scored ZERO points in that 3rd quarter (and that would have been something he could accept) but they should NEVER have have allowed 36 points. That was unacceptable."
This is something I’ve tried to explain over and over again. Someone people will quote stats to show off how the Celts are holding teams to fewest points possible, But they don’t look at the flip side of that same coin… Those same teams the Cs are hokding to fewest points, are also holding the Celtics to even fewer points. At the end of the day, they win, we lose.
by The Village Idiot on Feb 8, 2010 4:08 PM EST up reply actions
KG's and 1 dunk over Howard
Seemed to fire the squad up at the end. KG started talking trash and arguing with Howard. I think he needs to bring that fire more.
by LouisvilleSlugger33 on Feb 8, 2010 11:09 AM EST reply actions
TRADE TRADE TRADE!!!
Gotta make the trade now before you lose him for nothing and can’t sign a top 30 player because of cap restrictions. Trading is the only way to do it.
by funkstarrdeluxe on Feb 8, 2010 11:22 AM EST reply actions
No Major Trades
Make Ray Allen the 6th man and start Daniels. He is not the shooter Allen is, but he brings energy, athleticism, defense and quickness. Our perimeter game will suffer a bit, but I like the idea of Ronda and Daniels as slashers. If we trade anyone, let it be Sheed or BBD for another, younger big. BBD had no lift yesterday and had about 5 or 6 shots blocked under the basket. He should not be playing power forward and seems to have gained back the weight he lost in the offseason. As for Sheed, I doubt there would be many takers. The guy is a drain on this team right now.
Don't know about Sheed takers
… nobody knows unless it’s tried. They should try. He’s cheap enough, and there are teams out there desperate for a legitimate big. I really feel he’s one guy they need to move… his continued presence is toxic to this team. (For many reasons, enumerated elsewhere… but let me add one now: Doc’s authority wanes with every game he plays. He’s clearly ignoring Doc’s requests to play more in the post, on defense, and everywhere else. That inevitably leads to the diminishment of Doc’s effectiveness in his job. Just one more way in which Sheed’s toxicity damages this team.)
Is Sheed the illegitimate love child of...
Sidney Wicks?
Just asking.
Danny Ainge deserves credit
for making lemonade out of lemons but you can go to well only so many times.
Aquiring Sheed was not a smart move.
blow it up
Lets build around Rondo before he gets old.
by Ragetti on Feb 8, 2010 12:49 PM EST via mobile reply actions
Aside from benching Sheed
and using Sheldon Williams or Brian Scalabrine, I don’t have that many suggestions of what should be done. I don’t like the idea of trading Ray Allen at this point because the championship window closes when the Celtics get eliminated in Round One (Round Two if they make an effort and are very lucky).
Doc is a good coach but his strategy of “taking it easy” is a failed approach. Taking it easy points to collapsing to the point of falling to 9th place in the East and a most embarrassing season in the History of the NBA.
Perhaps Doc will ride his players until their ACL/MCL’s rupture and then we can say – Oh well it was not meant to be.
Boston Celtics - 2008 World Champions
heres what i dont understand
We play some outstanding basketball every night including against the best teams. We were winning in almost all the games we played against the elite at one point only to blow it later. So to me, are we good enough? Hell yea we are we dominate the elite teams for most of games. Then, we blow it. We gotta find a way to dominate more and struggle less when in game. If we contain yesterdays third (not stop) but contain it we win that game.
I propose that we tell our players if we don’t win by 7 we don’t win. Giving them an incentive to play a closer game than the score shows and hopefully stop them from falling asleep after incredible first halves
by threats13 on Feb 8, 2010 2:23 PM EST via mobile reply actions
Exactly
Ok this is my first post (tho I have been following the blog since the beginning of the season).
But I fully agree with you. Its not that we can’t build leads against teams like Lakers or Orlando, the problem I feel is that the guys get too comfortable with the lead and just stop trying so much and end up blowing the lead.
If we can build leads and just hold on to them….if we aren’t going to score then we shouldn’t let the opponents score either. I am still having a hard time getting over the 36 3rd quarter for Magic yesterday.
I really hope the C’s do serious thinking over their mistakes over the All Star weekend and come back strong and show the intensity and the heart which the team is all about, because am seriously tried of a lot of people and sites who have already started counting the C’s out and have turned them into a laughingstock.
The Celtics Are Turning Themselves into a Laughingstock
And many of their recent collapses have occurred on national TV.
Don’t blame the messenger.
Key Factor in the Re-Tool Decision
Which only Danny really knows and that’s KG’s health. If he’s going to get better, stay the course. If not, then you probably need to make a move.
Looks like Simmons was right about KG and his ‘mileage’ — until proven otherwise and as yet it has not been proven.
Agree
I think the key to this team is KG and I’m not a down on him as many other people. Before he injured his other knee he was looking better. He had major knee surgery, they took a golf ball size piece of tissue or whatever from his knee. It’s going to take time to recoved. I thought before the hyper extension he was starting to get there. Not on every possession but more than 1 or 2 out of 10. Now he’s relapsed because of the other knee. He’s got 2 bad knees and he pretty much has to play, so it’s a problem.
I also agree that he might and probably won’t get the tremendous explosiveness back that he once possessed. But I can see him getting to 90-95% and that will be pretty darn good.
wallace needs to shape up
KG is trying, Agree with Celty86 he will not be KG of old
This is a team is transition. NOW RR is the leader.
Until the big 3 & RR come to terms the gelling will not happen.
the big transition must be made by PP. RR can make his life easier and he needs to realize that.
Ray allen made the same adjusmtent a year & 1/2 ago.
otherwise the rest of the team is ok. & yeah rasheed need to play inside
Don't agree
KG’s trash talking after the dunk and 1 near the end of the game was frankly sad—we were down 10-12 at the time, and talking junk when you’re deep in the hole and after you just got owned on your home floor by a supposed rival just doesn’t look that tough.
Enough of the “KG is working himself into shape” comments, please. He is playing on one leg, which has eviscerated his lateral movement on D (see Lewis, Rashard), and reduced him to a stand still rebounder. He is 60% of the player that he was—still effective, but not the KG that we knew and led us to the promised land two years ago.
I agree completely with DRJ1 on ’Sheed. He looks terrible out there—always late on his rotations, lazy, and looking disinterested to boot. He was supposed to be the key piece to the title run? Oh my, I bougth that one along with a lot of other folks on this board and now I wonder what the heck I (or Danny) was thinking.
Yeah it's pretty amazing how the C's just lag with Rasheed out there...
Without wanting to scapegoat anybody, it just LOOKS like Rasheed is ruining the chemistry. The way he plays defense is to swipe at the ball – not to move his feet. The way he plays offense is to hang around the outside – not to make moves to the rim. The way he “energizes” the team off the bench is to bark at officials – not to play with any kind of passion. Yeah, sometimes he makes a great play, but for the most part he just looks like a drain on the team. Kind of like in…. Detroit.
But do Doc and/or Danny recognize this problem and/or have the cojones to do anything about it? Is it even possible to do anything about it?
by milt palacio's shot on Feb 8, 2010 4:18 PM EST up reply actions
Rasheed was not on the court to start the 3rd when we totally blew that 11 pt lead.
Sheed could be playing a lot better. But that applies to several names on the roster right now.
yeah but if team psychology is off right now
it doesn’t mean that the problem players must be on the court to have a negative effect. Practice, planes, pregames, half-times…. all of that is involved in team focus, especially with strong personalities like Wallace.
by milt palacio's shot on Feb 8, 2010 7:14 PM EST up reply actions
Well I can't argue with that.
Not being at all privy to the inner workings of the team and all. I haven’t been in attendance at the practices and hanging around in the locker room with the team to get real bead on how all the personalities are working together.
Oh, wait – have you?
yes, actually, i have
this is Eddie House’s son Jalen, and I am frequently in the locker room and on the team plane and at practices and I watch the games. Let me tell you the inside scoop: team chemistry and focus is off and Rasheed is a big part of the problem.
by milt palacio's shot on Feb 9, 2010 7:39 AM EST up reply actions
Celtics CAN win with this core, BTW...
The team which started this season on a roll didn’t just evaporate. The same players that were winning at the beginning didn’t magically become useless in less than half a season. The problem seems to be that the puzzle pieces aren’t properly arranged.
We need more athleticism in our starting lineup (Marquis, Tony) and we need A LOT more energy/hustle on our bench. I think BBD is starting to provide some energy, and Tony Allen is usually good for that too. Also, we need more consistent scoring from our bench, and Ray would be perfect for that. So it would make a lot sense to put Marquis into the starting lineup and bring both Allens in as the bench wings.
But I don’t think Sheed brings much to this team. We have veterans already. We have the capability to score with our bench. We need to move him to a team that could use a veteran big man and take whatever we can get from that trade. But does DA make that move when Sheed was our supposed free agent steal last summer?
by milt palacio's shot on Feb 8, 2010 4:25 PM EST reply actions
No, they CAN'T win with this core
The team which started this season on a roll didn’t just evaporate. The same players that were winning at the beginning didn’t magically become useless in less than half a season.
Here’s the inconvinient truth… The same team that started this season on a roll is getting older by the day. Skills decline with age and time, especially when you throw in an injury here and there, and when players are getting back on the court well before they have fully recovered. The recovery time for an aging player is going to be longer on average than for a younger player. And if these guys think they can push themselves back into the rotation the way they used to do 6 or 7 years ago, they are sadly mistaken. The mind may still be willing but the body surely can’t keep up.
That’s why the Cs needs an infusion of young blood so they won’t need to ride the aging stars too much. Time to consider trading someone, ahem, the one with the juicy expiring contract.
by The Village Idiot on Feb 8, 2010 4:52 PM EST up reply actions
i understand your point that the players are older today than they were yesterday
and also older than they were in November. But you really think the team aged so much in the 3.5 months of this season that they are no longer talented enough/physically able to win convincingly against both good and bad teams?
The reason the C’s look so old is that the oldest players get the most minutes. A different arrangement of the same pieces, like the one I suggested with Daniels starting in place of Ray (and a very tight leash on Wallace) would probably do as much for team energy/athleticism as most trades out there would.
by milt palacio's shot on Feb 8, 2010 7:22 PM EST up reply actions
I was just thinking - what would help this team the most would be to trade Sheed for Powe
and then I woke up and realized that it’s never going to happen…
by milt palacio's shot on Feb 8, 2010 4:29 PM EST reply actions
Moving Sheed and Ray Allen will guarantee your post season departure
There’s no time for chemistry if a big trade is made and you won’t get Allen or Sheeds value in return. You will need Sheed’s size, defense, post game and spacing in a 7 game series. Rondo, Pierce, Allen & KG have chemistry. Basically it all rests on KG’s health for the second straight season. Boston with a gimpy KG can knock off a Magic, Cavs or Hawks team but I don’t think they can knock off 2 in a row and certainly not 2 in a row and have something left for Denver or the Lakers.
Life is a series of serious choices, theories are formed from experience, never mysterious forces. - stic.man
i don't buy the chemistry thing
Detroit won after grabbing sheed at the deadline
Lakers went to the finals in 08 after grabbing Gasol at the deadline
2 months is enough time to form a team chemistry and rhythm heading into the playoffs. Especially on a team full of vets like Boston. I don’t think it has to be a trade, but Celtics need to shake some things up. If Doc won’t change rotations, then Danny might have no choice but to change personnel.
by milt palacio's shot on Feb 8, 2010 7:30 PM EST up reply actions
It is very interesting
that we have a serious problem with defensive rebounds, whereas we did not have it in the playoffs, despite of playing undersized BBD and Perk as a frontcourt. The thing is that KG doesn’t jump at all, he barely can catch an alleyopp pass from Rondo. I know that is a little unfair to demand it from our point guard, but Rondo has to to get himself involved in rebounding even more than currently, even if that means that we give up fastbreak points. Second chance points often kill us, so we must make some adjustments as soon as possible. Moreover, if I had a chance to bring a player of Tyrus Thomas’ kind, I would take it. We are definitely too weak physically in comparison with Orlando, Atlanta and Cleveland, so Danny must figure something out with it.
hmmm...
Comparing our defensive rebounding efficiency to some other top teams:
Boston: 73%
Atlanta: 69%
Cleveland: 70%
Los Angeles: 70%
Orlando: 73%
It doesn’t look like we are doing quite as bad as folks seem to think. You can’t just compare the raw rebound totals. We also generally suppress the number of shot possessions by forcing turnovers at a high (17%) rate. That and the general pace of play can tend to suppress the raw rebound opportunities.
Really, our despite the lip service given to it, its hard to see how our defense is the problem – we are holding teams to an NBA-best 93.7 pts per game.
Our scoring, though – is much worse than any of the above teams except for Orlando (its only slightly worse than theirs).
One reason that the numbers indicate is a big culprit is turnovers-per-possession.
Boston: 17% <—- yes, we surrender turnovers as often as we cause them. Not good.
Atlanta: 13%
Cleveland: 16%
Los Angeles: 14%
Orlando: 15%
So basically, we turn it over more often than we should. A lot of those (305 of them) seem to be bad passes – one has to wonder if that’s partially due to the lack of stable rotations. People make quick passes thinking somebody is going to be there – only they are not because they haven’t been practicing and playing with the same stable set of guys.
We also have a lot of PFs on our bigs – that also is exacerbated by unstable rotations.
This team would really benefit from having the same top-9 rotation for a while.
If we could reduce the TOV% to around 14% or so, that’s an extra 3 possessions or so each game in which to make a shot on basket, which would add a little more than 3 pts to our scoring differential – which would be a HUGE improvement.
It would also help a little if our 3PT% continued to climb back to career norms.
Fair enough
The fact is I did not look at our rebounding efficiency, but it makes me crazy when I see opposite team grabbing two or three offensive rebounds during single possession. Furthermore, it would be hard to increase our 3PT% because we play mostly static basketball and Ray doesn’t run as fast as he used to. And we’re getting older. But some remedy for this issue emerged in the 2nd and 3rd quarter against Lakers. The answer is to give the ball into Rondo’s hands, push the pace and play quick pick’n’roll at high post. And some fresh legs which can elevate you higher would be useful, Tonny Allen brought it at the both ends of the floor. We can’t spread panic, we must figure out some adjustments and enforce them. The sooner the better :)
it drives me crazy too
but that sensation exagerates how often it is really happening. We do a pretty good job of grabbing the defensive boards.
One thing that makes it SEEM like we don’t rebound that well is that we basically punt on offensive boards. Doc and Tom T’s philosophy is that the moment the shot is up, the smalls are supposed to immediately get back on defense and the bigs have the option of fighting for an offensive board, but mostly they should get back on defense. So visually, you see the other team grab a lot of rebounds on our end of the court. But numbers wise, this strategy pays off because it results in much better defense (as proven by the final number at the end of the game).
Ultimately, rebounds as a stat are sort of like RBIs in baseball – they don’t really tell you what you might think and are not a very useful stat by themselves.
However, the Celtic’s strategy as nice as it sounds, is dependent on converting our own offensive possessions into points. We focus on a low-post game with high FG% (we are the top team in terms of FG% at 48.5%). So if we actually take a shot on basket we convert nicely and don’t NEED the offensive rebound. The problem is turnovers (and to a lesser extent foul trouble).
In other words, sloppy play is killing us.
Actually, don’t be surprised if our 3PT% DOES go up. Ray, Eddie, Scal & Sheed were ALL well below their career averages. Simple statistical regression to the mean should pull most or all off those guys back up (and most of them have been starting to trend upward already). That bodes well for the stretch run in that department.
Bunch of chicken littles
Get a grip. The sky is not falling. Trading Ray for that idiot Thomas will not solve things. It will only make it worse. Please read the blurb about Thomas and his latest child like antics:
Trade Ray and I guarantee this team gets bounced in 4 games.
If we make a trade, I suggest trading the Paul. He’s the captain but he’s not getting the job done. Heck, he was coasting before the knee injury. When was the last time he took over a game and scored 30+ points? I think I can count them on one hand.
It is his job to motivate this team or take over a game. I hate Kobe and LeBron with a passion but they put all they have into every game. They will break any rule they can to help their team win. This team needs passion, heart, the eye of the tiger. If Pierce can’t get it done, then maybe we need a new captain and possibly a new SF.
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Stay Optimistic
Lets try and stay optimistic and do what we can do to help the celtics win. Just be fans and never look at the dark side of things!

































