Celtics Poised to Limit Orlando's Three-Point Shooters
Paul Pierce alluded to something important in his post game press conference following the Celtics' 92-88 win over the Orlando Magic in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals when he said:
"We feel like we want to get up into their shooters and not allow them to get free looks. We feel like we've got guys who can cover Dwight (Howard) such as (Kendrick Perkins), Rasheed (Wallace), and (Glen Davis) one-on-one, so that allows us to get up on their shooters and be a little bit more aggressive and not allow us to open up their three-point game. So I think that's going to be the key for us throughout the rest of this series."
Shutting down Orlando's three-point shooters will be crucial for the Celtics throughout this series, since so much of the Magic's offense revolves around the three-point shot.
In the first round against the Charlotte Bobcats, 43.6 percent of Orlando's total field goal attempts were three-pointers, and 35.6 percent of it's total points in that series came via three-point baskets.
Against the Hawks in the Eastern Conference Semi-Finals, those numbers dipped slightly, as 38.8 percent of the Magic's total field goal attempts were three-pointers, while 30.7 percent of it's total points throughout that four-game sweep came via three-point nation.
Again, the numbers were slightly lower against Atlanta, but through the first two rounds of the postseason, basically 40 percent of Orlando's field goal attempts were three-pointers, which accounted for approximately one-third of it's total points.
Odds are the Magic aren't going to suddenly change their offensive identity just because they are playing the Celtics. Orlando still jacked up 22 three-pointers in Game 1, but made just five of them, and both those numbers are playoff lows for the men in blue. As Pierce said in the quote above, they key for the Celtics is not double-teaming Dwight Howard in the paint, as sinking in on him down low opens things up for Orlando's perimeter shooters.
Kendrick Perkins's value in this series skyrockets, as he's Boston's first option who can go toe-to-toe with Howard on the defensive end without needing any help from his teammates. He's the ideal combination of strength and size as he's only giving up an inch to Howard (Perk's listed at 6'10 while Howard comes in at 6'11) and weighs 15 pounds more (280 lbs. for Perk compared to 265 lbs. for Howard). Through the first two rounds, Howard dealt with guys like Theo Ratliff, Nazr Mohammed, Tyson Chandler, and Al Horford, who all dealt with either significant height or weight disadvantages when placed next to the Orlando center. You probably came across the stat yesterday on the front page, but Howard shot just 1-7 from the field when he was being guarded by Perk in Game 1.
Both Rasheed Wallace and Glen Davis played respectable defense on Howard as well, but Howard's still much stronger than 'Sheed (he's got 30 pounds on him), and has a few inches on Davis. Regardless of their respective deficiencies, they can still make Howard's life difficult down low by playing that aggressive, extremely physical brand of defense that we saw in Game 1, which appeared to thoroughly discombobulate Howard and take him out of the game from a mental stand point (he started complaining to the refs and sending the looks of desperation to Stan Van Gundy on the sideline. You've got to love SVG's response to one of those looks with nothing more than an unconcerned shrug of the shoulders which basically said: "Hey, you're the All-NBA Center, you figure it out."), and by getting a little crafty at times, using moves like the pull-the-chair-out-from-under-him-while-he's-backing-down, which we saw from Rasheed. What of course helps both Rasheed and Davis is the fact that Howard's post game still seems primitive at times, and he's only a 60 percent free throw shooter to boot.
Because Boston has three legitimate options who can combat Howard one-on-one (Shelden Williams, stay ready, regardless), it allows the four other Celtics on the floor to worry about Orlando's perimeter shooters, as having a versatile guy like Rashard Lewis at the power forward spot gives the Magic up to four credible threats from the nation at any given time. Not having to sag into the paint to help on Howard gives the Celtics better chances of closing out and contesting Orlando's three-point shooters. If you look at Orlando's roster, the only two guys who will see consistent minutes who won't shoot threes are Howard and Marcin Gortat. Contesting Orlando's shooters will be crucial throughout the series, and the best chance at that is by not doubling down on Howard.
According to Doc Rivers, the C's double-teamed Howard three times in Game 1, and all three times the Magic ended up scoring:
"We double-teamed three times and they scored all three times, when we were not supposed to double team," said Rivers. "Then dribble penetration. Jameer killed us off the dribble. We have to do a better job there."
One such instance came with 8:42 left in the fourth quarter. The Celtics led, 79-63, the ball got tossed into Howard, and I believe it was Ray Allen (although it could have been Rondo. My short term memory is failing me) who went down to double him, which led to Howard kicking the ball back out just to the right of the top of the key to Jason Williams, who rose up and buried a three-pointer. At that point in the game, Howard had just 10 points, and was showing no signs that he was about to explode on the offensive end and take the game over. I specifically remember screaming at the TV: "Why are you double-teaming him!?" Admit it, you were, too. And if you want to get technical, the Magic outscored the Celtics 22-13 after Williams hit that three-pointer.
The good news is the C's are clearly aware of all of this, which means they are hopefully poised to continue to find success in both of these areas tonight en route to taking a commanding 2-0 series lead.
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really important
the key to this series is whether we can control their 3 game.
Why is the game starting so late? I have to make a serious decision – date or game? I woosh she liked watching the games, but i feel like she’s just doing me a favor.
Have her watch the game because you never know...
My girlfriend hated basketball until last year when I made her watch the last 1/4 of the season and then the playoffs. She loves it now haha. We went to a Celts game in January for our anniversary. Good times. Rondo is her favorite (mine too) and she bought me an authentic #9 jersey for my birthday!
Do you have TiVo
Or a DVR or any of that stuff? I personally don’t, but I hear those things can come in handy in situations like these.
How important is this girl?
This IS the conference finals, you know.
by TheOutletPass on May 18, 2010 6:03 PM EDT up reply actions
From a review of the 5 games this season, ft margin is key also
Magic won 3 games, all with more fts, C’s won twice, with Sunday’s game having the same qty of fts for each team and the Christmas game having 4 more fts.
Here’s tonight’s ref analysis:
Joe DeRosa – chief
Marc Davis
Bill Kennedy
Interesting crew combination. DeRosa is one of the most pro-C’s refs in the league, but neither team has lost this season with him reffing; Kennedy is anti-C’s and pro-Magic; Davis’ history is negative ft margin for C’s – key for Magic to win.
Derosa: Hm teams won 56% of the time, avg margin 4.3 pts, 39-29-1 vs spread.
Gm w Bos 4-0 (2 hm, 2 rd): @MIN 11/4 92-90 ft +7; @HOU 3/19 94-87 ft -13; playoff gm 1 MIA 85-76 ft +15; playoff gm 4 CLE 97-87 ft +1
Gm w Orl 6-0 (4 hm, 2 rd): PHI 11/28 120-108 ft -13; Bcats 1/23 106-95 ft 0; ATL 1/30 104-86 ft +7; CLE 2/21 101-95 ft +2; playoff gm 4Bcats 99-90 ft +9; playoff gm 1 ATL 114-71 ft +6
Kennedy: Hm teams won 56% of the time, avg margin 2.3 pts, 35-43 vs spread.
Gm w Bos 1-2 (1 hm, 2 rd): PHI 12/18 97-98 ft -3; @NJ 1/13 111-87 ft -13; playoff gm 4 @ MIA 92-101 ft +2
Gm w Orl 4-0 (2 hm, 2 rd): NY 12/2 118-104 ft +9; ATL 1/9 113-81 ft -5; @CHI 2/10 107-87 ft +2; @NJ 3/5 97-87 ft +20
Davis: Hm teams won 59% of the time, avg margin 2.9 pts, 38-32-3 vs spread.
Gm w Bos 5-3 (5 hm, 3 rd): @PHI 11/3 105-74 ft -8; @SA 12/3 90-83 ft +2; ATL 1/11 96-102 ft -15; LAL 1/31 89-90 ft -3; NJ 2/27 96-104 ft -30; DEN 3/24 133-99 ft -11; playoff gm 2 MIA 106-77 ft +11; playoff gm 5 @CLE 120-88 ft 0
Gm w Orl 6-2 (3 hm, 5 rd): NJ 11/13 88-72 ft +4; @ATL 11/26 93-76 ft +13; @WAS 1/8 97-104 ft -4; @LAL 1/18 92-98 ft -7; @PHI 3/1 126-105 ft +11; MEM 4/4 107-92 ft -14; playoff gm 4 @Bcats 99-90 ft +9; playoff gm 2 ATL 112-98 ft +8
Kenny Smith thinks the C’s will win!
by nba is the worst on May 18, 2010 3:12 PM EDT reply actions
just enough to make him think he should jack up more
he should get in the paint, try to draw some fouls and get his nose dirty on the offensive glass (you know…like PF should) like BBD does, like Sherwin does and like Leon POwe used to……
Is it Soup Yet?
Odd bug - repost DeRosa paragraph
Ref analysis:
Joe DeRosa – chief
Marc Davis
Bill Kennedy
Interesting crew. DeRosa – one of the most pro-C’s refs in the league, but neither team has lost with him reffing; Kennedy is anti-C’s and pro-Magic, Davis’ history is negative ft margin for C’s – key for Magic to win.
Derosa: Hm teams won 56% of the time, avg margin 4.3 pts, 39-29-1 vs spread.
Gm w Bos 4-0 (2 hm, 2 rd): @MIN 11/4 92-90 ft +7; @HOU 3/19 94-87 ft -13; playoff gm 1 MIA 85-76 ft +15; playoff gm 4 CLE 97-87 ft +1
Gm w Orl 6-0 (4 hm, 2 rd): PHI 11/28 120-108 ft -13; @Bcats 1/23 106-95 ft 0; ATL 1/30 104-86 ft +7; CLE 2/21 101-95 ft +2; playoff gm 4 @Bcats 99-90 ft +9; playoff gm 1 ATL 114-71 ft +6
by nba is the worst on May 18, 2010 3:18 PM EDT reply actions
Lest people forget
Bill Kennedy is the ref that Tim Donaghy claimed is a homosexual who has had an axe to grind ever since Doc Rivers supposedly questioned his sexuality.
Hadn't heard that angle
But Kennedy has proven his bias even though he hasn’t ref’d many games this year.
I think DeRosa should balance it out.
Can’t see the Magic losing this, though
by nba is the worst on May 18, 2010 7:45 PM EDT up reply actions
The one play that stuck out to me...
…was when Rondo ran up to help cover Howard, and Dwight kicked the ball beyond the arc and someone hit the three pointer. That was during their comeback.
I don’t think the Celtics should try that again.
Interesting Stats Before the Jump
Unless I’m thinking about this wrong, if the percentage of the Magic’s shots that are 3s are always higher than the percentage of the Magic’s points that result from 3s, shouldn’t they stop shooting so many 3s??? I know that’s their identity and they are sharpshooters and all, but look at those stats… Because of the extra point you get, don’t you want to shoot fewer 3s and get a higher percentage of your points out of ’em?
by Ryan Gomes Phone Home on May 18, 2010 3:54 PM EDT reply actions
I was wondering the same thing
Forty percent of your shots are threes but only a third of your points result from them? That seems way inefficient. Do most other teams have similar ratios?
Just did some quick numbers
And so they are probably wrong. But in the regular season 3-pointers accounted for 35% of their shots and 30% of their points. So they’ve definitely increased their number of 3s in the playoffs, but when measured as percentage of points, they seem to be less efficient, kind of significantly so in the Hawks series (a way less efficient against the Cs, but that’s just one game).
So maybe we don’t mind that they jack up more 3s?
you cant shoot fewer threes and get a higher percentage from them
if you shoot less you make less, and score less points using a particular shot

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