Several Differences Led to Orlando's Game 4 Win Last Night
You're going to hear an awful lot about how "different" last night's Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Finals was compared to the first three games, all the way up until Game 5 tips off tomorrow evening. When someone mentions how "different" things were last night, they're probably referring to the more aggressive mindset the Magic brought to the show, along with a lack of late-game execution on the part of the Celtics. But there were certainly other factors that contributed to last night's loss. Such as:
A Less Efficient Paul Pierce: Paul was the model of efficiency over the course of the first three games of this series, taking a pedestrian number of field goal attempts, and hitting at least half of them in each game. Throughout Game 4, on the other hand, he was much less conservative, going off for a series-high 25 field goal attempts and making just 11.
Game 1: 6-8 FG (75 percent), 2-3 3-PT FG (66.6 percent), 8-10 FT (80 percent), 22 points, 9 rebounds
Game 2: 8-16 FG (50 percent), 3-7 3-PT FG (42.8 percent), 9-11 FT (81.8 percent), 28 points, 5 rebounds
Game 3: 6-12 FG (50 percent), 2-4 3-PT FG (50 percent), 1-2 FT (50 percent), 15 points, 9 rebounds
Game 4: 11-25 FG (44 percent), 0-6 3-PT FG (0 percent), 10-13 FT (76.9 percent), 32 points, 11 rebounds
Pierce will probably take a fair amount of heat for the final play in regulation, when the C's couldn't even muster a shot at the rim, along with his two missed three-pointers in the waning seconds of overtime, with his team down four points. Should the Celtics have called timeout at the end of regulation? They seemed to run the play they wanted regardless (a pick-and-roll for Pierce and Ray Allen, with Ray fading to the left wing), and while Ray might have seemed open off his flare to the left side, Pierce was still heading right, and basically got too far along on the right wing to hurl a cross-court pass which would have had to sail over both a recovering Vince Carter (who stumbled through a screen set by Kevin Garnett), and Dwight Howard, who, stationed higher up in the paint off of Garnett, was in a decent position to try and pick off the pass. Disaster really struck with about three seconds left, when Pierce tried to cut back left with a between-the-legs dribble, lost the handle, and then had to deal with Jameer Nelson going for the loose ball. Had he maintained his dribble, he might have been able to force what would have been a fading three-pointer - not exactly a high percentage shot, to say the least.
People will criticize Pierce left and right, but don't forget that he also kept the C's in the game throughout the fourth quarter. Remember when Glen Davis got on a mini-roll midway through the fourth quarter? He took a charge on Vince Carter with 8:03 left, then hit two straight buckets? Pierce assisted on both of them. But you're more likely to remember Pierce's drive down the middle of the lane with 2:15 to play, which culminated in him throwing it down with the right hand, which cut into Orlando's seven-point lead. Then, with 1:16 left, and the Celtics down three, Pierce drove left on Carter, laid the ball in, drew the foul, and converted the free throw, notching things up at 86. While Pierce might be an easy scapegoat in this one, don't forget that he actually kept the Celtics in the game in the final minutes of regulation.
Jameer Nelson Unleashed His Inner All-Star: Nelson was an integral part of Orlando's success last night, largely due to his aggressive nature, highlighted by a steady storm of drives into the paint, a flurry of lobs for Howard to throw down, and a number of passes to open shooters along the perimeter. Along with his hard-earned 23 points last night, he also handed out a series-high nine assists, which trumped his previous three-game total of seven.
Game 1: Two assists
Game 2: Four assists
Game 3: One assist
Game 4: Nine assists
Toss in his back-to-back three-point bombs midway through overtime, which gave Orlando a 92-86 lead, and he stood alone as a one-man wrecking crew at times.
Orlando's Unlikely Trio: Who would have thought heading into last night that the combined production of Brandon Bass, Rashard Lewis, and Matt Barnes would help push the Magic over the top? Bass didn't even touch the court until the final minutes of Game 3, but a thundering dunk seemed to get Stan Van Gundy's attention, so he inserted Bass late in the first quarter last night. Lewis, on the other hand, finally had a "breakout" game, tallying a series-high 13 points to go along with five rebounds. He hit two of his three three-point field goal attempts, after hitting just one of 13 through the first three games. And then there was Barnes, who brought an unprecedented scoring touch to the fray last night. He hit two threes early in the first quarter, and finished with a series-high 10 points.
Lewis, Barnes, and Bass in Games 1, 2, and 3 combined: 27 points.
Lewis, Barnes, and Bass in Game 4 last night: 26 points, 14 rebounds.
What Happened to the Bench?: The second half of Doc Rivers's rotation (Rasheed Wallace, Glen Davis, and Tony Allen) was instrumental in the Celtics obtaining their 3-0 series lead. They scored, they rebounded, they hustled, and they played stellar defense at times. Last night there wasn't a whole lot to celebrate.
Bench Points in Game 1: 25
Bench Points in Game 2: 18
Bench Points in Game 3: 38
Bench Points in Game 4: 12
It wasn't just the scoring that was the issue, though. It appeared to be the bench brigade's mentality in general, which had served as a strong point of theirs earlier in the series. Rasheed Wallace was chucking up airballs and picked up a technical with 10:30 left in the fourth quarter, which definitely broke Doc's no fourth quarter technical fouls rule. Tony Allen could only muster two points, while committing four fouls. And while Davis might have scored four important points midway through the fourth, where was his overall impact through the first three quarters? He was so effective with 17 points in Game 3 because he was contributing throughout the entire game.
The Magic Weren't Exactly Rondo'd Last Night: Perhaps the muscles spasms got to him, or his early foul trouble took him out of any sort of rhythm he was hoping to develop, or fatigue is beginning to set in (42 minutes per game through the first three games, including 46 in Games 1 and 2), but Rondo wasn't his usual self last night. He was close to his second straight double-double with nine points and eight assists, but few of his points and assists were definitively impactful last night, with the exceptions being his assists on two of Ray's final three three-point field goals in the fourth quarter and overtime. Which leads us to...
A Lack of Ball Movement: The Celtics managed just 19 assists last night (17 through the first four quarters), with Rondo accounting for just eight of them. The Celtics recorded at least 20 assists in each of the first three games of this series. Against the Cavaliers, the Celtics (and Rondo), had consistently high assist numbers, but both the team and Rondo have seen those numbers shrink somewhat against Orlando. Take a look:
Team Assists Per Game vs. Cleveland: 23.0
Rondo's Assists Per Game vs. Cleveland: 11.8
Team Assists Per Game vs. Orlando: 20.75
Rondo's Assists Per Game vs. Orlando: 9.0
So, why the difference? Personally, I chalk it up to Paul Pierce serving as Boston's primary option on offense throughout this series, as opposed to Ray Allen battling Rondo for that role against Cleveland. Ray relies on Rondo to get him the ball once he gets open after curling around all of those screens, while Pierce thrives taking a basic entry pass on the wing and going to work himself, which often stops the ball from moving. I don't want to say Ray's scoring is dependent on Rondo's passing, but it seems clear at this point that Rondo's more likely to record an assist when looking for Ray, as opposed to Pierce, and that comes down to the differences in their games and how they score the ball. But with Pierce working through so many isolation situations throughout this series, there's bound to be a dip in overall ball movement, and that definitely occurred late in the game last night and the Celtics suffered because of it. It might be a give-and-take of sorts, seeing as the formula worked through the first three games of the series, yet seemed to come back to bite them in Game 4. And is it a coincidence that the only points the Celtics scored in overtime last night came off of two Ray Allen three-pointers, which came on the heels of some sort of ball movement (both shots were assisted)?
Through the first four games of this series, Pierce has scored 97 points, but only 29 of those points have been assisted, which measures out to just 29.9 percent. Compare that to Allen, who's scored 65 points through the first four games of the series. Of those 65 points, 41 have been assisted, which comes out to 63.1 percent. There's clearly a difference between how Pierce and Allen score, and perhaps this stat shows how much each relies on ball movement for his respective scoring. One other interesting stat: Of the 29 points of Pierce's that have been assisted, 21 of them have come via three-point nation. All seven of Pierce's three-pointers this series have been assisted.
Howard's Explosive Night: Besides his 6-14 performance from the free throw line, Dwight Howard played very, very well last night, tallying 32 points, hauling in 16 rebounds, and rejecting four of Boston's shot attempts. One of the biggest differences, especially later in the game, was Orlando's pick-and-roll action between Howard and Nelson. Rather than sticking Howard down on the block and expecting him to go all Kevin McHale on the Celtics, Orlando had him screen for Nelson between the free throw line and the top of the key, and when he rolled to the hoop, it opened things up for him, allowing him to basically be an athlete, and throw down lob passes from Nelson, and clean up on the offensive glass (five offensive rebounds last night). So, rather than relying on Howard to be an effective low post scorer in the traditional sense, Orlando adjusted and created a way for him to score based around his natural talents as a freak athlete.
So, yes, while the Magic certainly brought a much more aggressive mentality into last night's actions, all of these factors played a significant role as well. The good news is, if you're a Celtics fan, Orlando made all of these adjustments, and the C's still had opportunities to win in both regulation and overtime. Hopefully last night's loss will bring everyone back down to Earth a little bit, and the C's will head back to Orlando focused, primed to earn that trip back to the NBA Finals.
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Hat tip Greg
I’m in Central America on business and could only follow the action via GameCast on a not so fast internet connection, so this analysis is much appreciated.
Needless to say, but when Rondo doesn’t set the pace, we are not the same team. I’m surprised we went Pierce ISO at the end of regulation—would have been the perfect time to have him draw the double and then pass it off to KG, Ray or Davis for the jumper to win the game—we’ve seen that before and I would say that it has been much more effective than the PP iso that we’ve seen this year (with the exception of Game 3 against Miami).
by McHaleinthepost on May 25, 2010 12:22 PM EDT reply actions
I'm sick of people blaming Pierce.
The final play wasn’t the reason we lost the game. There are lots of reasons. Bad Tony showed up last night. KG played stupid down the stretch and I don’t believe he scored at all in overtime or the 4th quarter, Rondo played horribly and Sheed stunk it up as well. I blame all those reasons before I blame a guy who had 34 points and 11 rebounds.
Right, but
It is wrong to blame Pierce entirely. His offense kept them in the game. But when you are Paul Pierce, and you have the ball with the chance to win the game, he absolutely, no excuses, has to at least get a shot off. Factor in that had he had his head up, Ray was open to his left and Rondo to his right. Instead, he reverted to bad Paul, and just dribbled off his foot. Can not have that.
KG had a FT that could have tied the game in the third quarter (on a 3-pt play). he missed it and did not score the rest of the way. Why is he disappearing in this series? And his turnover at the end of OT was something you wouldn’t allow from someone in youth basketball.
Sheed’s T was awful. He looked like regular season Sheed last night.
Regarding KG
He had a monster 1st half with 10/8 without missing a shot from the floor and the ft line.
In the 2nd half/OT he missed 7 shots and that ft, and got just 4 boards.
IMO the team was tiring by the 4th, based on the Magic (finally) pushing the pace consistently. If that was the case, we will see more of it with only a day’s rest between games from now on…
by nba is the worst on May 25, 2010 8:05 PM EDT up reply actions
PP was shooting over 50% through end of regulation
11-21.
The 4 missed shots in OT killed his efficiency. However, bball 101 says get the ball to the hot hand (Ray) – so that was his mistake.
by nba is the worst on May 25, 2010 7:54 PM EDT up reply actions
Hawks fan here
When my Hawks get bounced from the playoffs, I root for the C’s because they are the epitome of team basketball. I watched last night’s game and was befuddled as to why they kept isolating Pierce after it was evident that he’d gone cold. I really came here to have someone ease my mind about what I’m starting to think about Pierce. Let me start by saying I love Pierce. He’s a tremendous scorer and very competitive. Please ease my mind by telling me that he’s not having issues with Rondo as the newly appointed leader. The offense became so stagnant with the Pierce isolations. I thought I was watching the Joe Johnson show at it’s worse. Pierce called for the ball on a couple of occasions and commenced to dribble, dribble until he either was forced into a turnover or he dribbled it off of his foot. I’ve seen Rondo call for the ball on a couple of occasions and Pierce totally ignored him and then proceeded to turn it over. I can credit the Magic with a little defense but not all of it was that. This has always been Pierce’s team. Now all of sudden Rondo has emerged into this lightening rod of a player and let me tell you. He is an absolute joy to watch! Someone, please discredit my delusional thoughts.
Bet it hit the rim!
Greg, You're Should have Mentioned
That Jameer Nelson basically shoulder blocked Paul into the parquet as he was attempting the gather the ball and put up a shot at the buzzer, a play that was almost identical to the play TA made on the ball in the exact same spot on the court earlier in the game, a play that drew a foul from TA and gave the Magic two points at the FT line.
The same play should be officiated the same, no matter if one occurred late in the 1st quarter and the other occurred late in the 4th.
by SalmonAndMashedPotatoes on May 25, 2010 12:44 PM EDT reply actions
sure, BUT
they also called baby for a non-foul down the stretch as well. that gave the magic 2 points they didn’t earn. all i want is borderline consistency with the refs. we didn’t get that down the stretch last night by any means. if they don’t give nelson 2 free throws on baby’s clean block, the play at the end doesn’t even matter, and orlando is swept.
by guy incognito on May 25, 2010 1:08 PM EDT up reply actions
again
pierce would get the call that went against davis 110% of the time.
if he drove in to howard and initiated contact and there was no foul called you guys would be crying that he got hammered….why wasn’t there a foul called, etc. watch chris paul, manu ginobli, basically any perimeter player who drives the ball a lot. they dribble up and jump into the defender. if the defender doesn’t get out of the way, it is a foul. it is a stupid rule and i wish they would change it, but that is how they call that foul EVERY SINGLE TIME. it is paul pierce’s move of choice when he doesn’t have his jumper going. to complain about it now is frivolous.
If they're not going to call it at the end of the game
Don’t call it in the first quarter.
by SalmonAndMashedPotatoes on May 25, 2010 1:24 PM EDT up reply actions
naw, not at the buzzer...
Not even Lebron.
Pierce gets more preferential treatment than Kobe. Guys go to jail everyday for what the Celtics did to Kobe in the 2008 finals, while if the Lakers even breathed on Pierce, the whistles came out.
End of rant.
First, if you look at the video, Nelson got to the ball before his shoulder got to Pierce. It was a good play.
by LakersForDeuce on May 25, 2010 6:03 PM EDT up reply actions
How did Nash break his nose?
Another clean play?
no, the Lakers all ganged up on him
I saw it myself, they held him down and just pounded away on him.
Dirty Lakers.
Glad the Celtics aren’t like that. All those spleen and kidney shots that Perkins and Wallace hand out…all inadvertent no doubt.
Sheeeeeesh!
by LakersForDeuce on May 25, 2010 6:59 PM EDT up reply actions
Just asking because I didn't see it.
But I find it hilarious a Laker fan would explain to us what a foul is. The Lakers have been the biggest beneficiaries of calls and non calls for the past ten years. What a joke.
If you look at Kobe too hard it’s a foul, and if Fischer lays you out it’s just a hard play.
by eastie Rich on May 25, 2010 11:51 PM EDT up reply actions
On Pierce's efficiency
Greg – a great article. But you should note a couple of facts about Pierce’s efficiency.
Pierce was 0 for 6 from beyond the arc. His three point shooting was stone cold.
However, inside the arc, he was 11 for 19 plus 10 of 13 on free throws resulting from running basically the same “iso” plays all night. That is EXTREMELY efficient.
People need to understand that when they wonder why we kept running that same play all night. It was what the defense was giving us and it is what kept us in the game.
We didn’t lose because of running Pierce again and again on the pick & roll against VC, Nelson & co.
We lost because Pierce was cold from 3PT range. We lost because other players (KG, Rondo) had sub-par shooting games. We lost because the refs hate Sheed. We lost because KG threw a ball out of bounce. We lost because Rondo was visibly slow and couldn’t run Nelson off the three point line or deny him the turn down the paint or along the baseline. We lost because Tony had a brain fart, gambled and paid for it with an easy 3PT shot. We lost because Howard had too easy of a time dunking over BBD.
Has I posted on the first post game thread blog
The Celtics will not win many games if Pierce or any other player is taking 25 shots (including 5-17 in the second half). Pierce took 33 percent of the Celtics’ shots last night. That is not Celtics basketball and never has been.
i hate pierce iso, i hate pierce iso, i hate pierce iso
maybe if I say it enough times we’ll stop running it. It never works at the end of the game! the only time it works is when Pierce passes the ball to someone else ( see, KG vs. KNicks). The rest of the time Pierce turns the ball over. what happened last night is the norm for a Pierce iso at the end of a quarter or the end of a game. The guy NEVER SCORES. Why do we keep running it?? Pierce was already running on empty and the possession before he attempted a really difficult, bad shot from the corner that barely drew rim. I blame Doc for not coming up with a better play but I also blame Pierce for putting his ego in front of the team. I don’t care if he scored 30+ and kept us in the game. He booted it away when we needed to at least get a shot off.
8 man rotation is causing starters to be fatigued
last night Davis was the only player off the bench who contributed. sheed with his tech and allen with his gamble and shot clock violation cost us points. so that meant even bigger minutes for the starters who are loggin a lot of minutes. of all the things to be concerned about I’d put fatigue at the top of the list. doc went for it last night playing his starters huge minutes and that may cost us tomorrow night. when finley’s in the game he at least needs to take a shot. maybe it’s time for marquis or nate to get some minutes. rondo is clearly worn out
At least you've got eight healthy players
The Lakers have an eight-man rotation too, but that includes Bynum. So, it’s really seven, and two of them are banged up.
Maybe your eight are tired, but at least you’ve got eight.
by LakersForDeuce on May 25, 2010 6:05 PM EDT up reply actions
Pierce and Rondo
Pierce and Rondo both looked tired and/or hurt. Not at their best.
Rondo was obviously playing at half-speed or less and had no confidence to shoot. The Magic left him open 15’ from the basket more than once, daring him to shoot, and he looked to pass instead, just giving up the ball, not making an assist. Something was wrong with Rondo, and hopefully it was a one-night thing.
Pierce was alert and had a great touch, but I would’ve been surprised to see any of those 3’s go in. He could not jump last night, barring one or two plays (like the dunk). On most of his jump shots, he got maybe 2" off the floor. He was practically shooting flat-footed. It’s a miracle he was hitting so many of them.
Howard was leading a charmed life, too — he got away with at least two goaltends on Rondo, a flagrant for intentionally cuffing Garnett in the face, and a flagrant for throwing Perkins to the floor by his jersey. I’m especially disappointed that the refs didn’t see him throw Perkins down, because — much as I like Howard — it’s a bad habit he’s gotten into. It’s exactly what he did to get a flagrant called on him when he was fouling Pierce earlier in the series.
KG was a little off last night, but if Rondo had been near his normal self, the C’s would’ve still won handily.
in both plays
the offensive player (pierce/perkins) actually jumped directly into dwight’s chest. they knew they were going to be falling down on that play. if the play was flagrant 1/2 etc the league would call it that way.
Question for my lovely Celtic Friends
Would Rondo be the same player has he not begun his career with the Big 3?
The guy is bonkers. I just didn’t see this coming when he was at UK…
"Just to remind you, Orlando made it to the finals last year without this guy. Crazy."~John Krolik
No, he'd still be good though.
He’s benefited alot from the experience of Pierce, Allen and Garnett. I’m sure they taught him better ways to approach the game in all their practice together. That being said, you can’t teach heart.

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