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Around SBN: Bracketology 2012: Duke Finally Steps Up To The No. 1 Line

Rondo's Shooting Still Needs Improvement

Repetition. (Photo by Lisa Blumenfeld/Getty Images)

Rajon Rondo might very well emerge as the Celtics' most important player next season. However, despite that potential importance, the weaknesses in Rondo's game are more evident than those of any other player currently on the roster. 

No player, in any professional sport, is perfect. Not even the greatest of them. They all suffer from their flaws, no matter how slight, and the players who are currently set to comprise the roster of the 2010-2011 Boston Celtics are no exception. 

But when you think of Paul Pierce's flaws, or the improvements he could make, what comes to mind? Is he too turnover prone? Do you wish he'd rebound more? Should his assist numbers be higher? 

What about Ray Allen, Kevin Garnett, or Glen Davis? Does one specific element of their respective games stick out in a very obvious manner? Not really. 

But when you think about Rondo, or ask yourself what he can improve on, the answer is obvious: Jump shooting and free throw shooting. It's one of those questions that, when asked to any longstanding Celtics fan, garners a correct answer almost instantaneously. And because it's so obvious, it should be equally clear to Rondo what he needs to spend the majority of his time on this offseason. 

Star-divide

According to Hoopdata, during the 2009-2010 regular season, Rondo shot the following percentages from various ranges on the floor:

Free Throw Line: 62.1 percent

10-15 feet: 46.9 percent

16-23 feet: 33 percent

Three-Point Nation: 21.3 percent

Compare those numbers to the percentages he posts when he finds himself closer to the basket:

<10 feet: 50.4 percent

At Rim: 64.2 percent

The consensus has been. and continues to be, that Rondo is not a very good jump shooter, or free throw shooter, and the numbers do very little to refute that claim. Compounding matters is the fact that Rondo's free throw shooting took a turn for the worse in the postseason, when his percentage dipped to a ghastly 59.6 percent. Rondo's 62.1 percent from the charity stripe ranked him dead last amongst NBA guards last season

In an interesting twist, however, Rondo's three-point shooting percentage skyrocketed from that 21.3 percent to a very respectable 37.5 percent during the playoffs.

(As a quick aside, Rondo has that interesting habit of knocking down three-pointers whenever the shot clock is about to strike zero.) 

Overall, last season, Rondo shot a career-best 50.8 percent from the field, which ranked him 1st amongst guards in the league. His total field goal percentage has increased to some degree, year by year, since his rookie season. If you're looking for signs of improvement, perhaps it will encourage you to know Rondo improved dramatically from 10-15 feet last season (46.9 percent), compared to the 2008-2009 campaign (35.0 percent). However, despite the improvement from that specific range, Rondo's field goal percentage from 16-23 feet fell from 40 percent in 2008-2009 to 33 percent this past season. Of all the ranges Rondo needs to make improvements from, that one might be the most important. 

Why is it imperative for Rondo to make the necessary improvements as best he can? As we saw on multiple occasions throughout the 2010 playoffs, opponents were quick to place a larger defender in front of Rondo, who sagged off considerably, and became more of a "free safety" defender by helping his teammates double other Celtics at certain times. The two most notable examples came against the Cleveland Cavaliers and the Los Angeles Lakers, who put Anthony Parker and Kobe Bryant in front of Rondo, respectively. 

Having Kevin Garnett around softened the blow of these strategies somewhat, but back during the 2009 playoffs, specifically against the Orlando Magic, when Garnett was out with the knee injury, the Magic were quick to help off of Rondo and double-team Ray Allen and Paul Pierce. Danny Ainge addressed this later in the summer, before Rondo signed that five-year, $55 million extension. We've seen on multiple occasions in the past where Rondo's weaknesses in these areas have served as a liability to his team.

When bringing other point guards into the conversation, what are some of the main things guys like Chris Paul, Deron Williams, and Steve Nash can do better than Rondo? Shoot the basketball. Whether it be pulling up for a three-pointer in transition, or a stop-and-pop after coming off of a well-set screen, these three colleagues of Rondo do it better than he does right now.

More importantly than the "best point guard" conversation is how Rondo's inconsistencies hinder his own team. It's exciting to think about how much more Rondo could ascend as a player if he were able to incorporate a reliable jump shot that opposing defenses need to respect. His ball handling is excellent, he just made his first NBA All-Defense team last season, his passing is difficult to top, he's one of the best rebounding point guards in the league, he led the NBA in steals last season, and he played in his first All-Star game. 

So, how exactly can he go about making the necessary improvements? Is it matter of simple repetition? Does he need to park himself in the gym and shoot 2,000 free throws and 5,000 jump shots every day? Should he tweak his shooting form? Does he need to have another rendezvous with Mark Price? Does he need to shadow Ray Allen for the summer? Maybe a little bit of everything? 

While the solution might not be as obvious as the weakness, Rondo needs to make a concerted effort this summer to remedy his shooting woes. Both he, and the Celtics, would certainly be better for it. 

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I agree but

even though he’s not like Jose Calderon at the foul line and he’s not like Steve Nash from 3-point land, those guys are not like like him defensively. But I really think he needs work on that horrid jumpshot. He will improve a lot this year, remember, he’s at 13-16 PPG even with a bad jumper, imagine his scoring with a better shot.

by Celtics own the refs on Jul 20, 2010 8:19 AM EDT reply actions  

Calderon

I just have to say Calderon sucked so much last season.

by JaimeP on Jul 20, 2010 10:55 AM EDT up reply actions  

I would recommend...

… that he listen to a recording of crowd noise a mix of boos and cheers. Our minds can link any two things together. Such as a certain movement to an action. This is why most basketball players do the same movements before each free throw. They do them when they practice (and hit more shots) and this gets linked to the shot its self. Rondo could (if he wanted) link crowd noise to hitting his free throws in the same way.

by warriorspirit on Jul 20, 2010 7:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

Well considering the fact he drives a NASCAR

I doubt he’d ever do something as highly professional and sane like that.
/no sarcasm

Irresponsible I stand...

by LeoMoreno on Jul 21, 2010 10:25 AM EDT up reply actions  

I think it's his role on the team that's holding his jump shot back.

We’ve all seen him make the most ridiculous buzzer beating jump shots time and time again. But it’s been noted that when he over thinks things or hesitates, he usually misses. So why does he hesitate? Maybe because Doc and Danny can’t seem to make up their minds about what they want him to do. One day, you’d read from them about how Rondo needs to make those shots. The next day, you’d read about how Rondo needs to stay aggressive and not take jumpers when the defense sags off him. So which should it be? Compound that with so many options for who to throw the ball to, and behind the scenes stuff about so and so not getting the ball enough, and you get a point guard who never looks to shoot. His free throws on the other hand…totally a mystery to me.

by Pengaloo on Jul 20, 2010 8:29 AM EDT reply actions  

He's shown he can overcome those problems (sometimes)

One day everyone’s making fun of his jumper here (this blog) because he shot so poorly, and we all beg him not to try doing it again. The next day each time C’s attacked, whoever was guarding Rondo was like 4-5 feet away from him the whole time, which Rondo used for 4-4 (if I remember correctly) jump shots.
Even though, improving a shot is no big deal. A friend of mine, very young, went to college to Phoenix last year. He was here couple of days ago and the guy simply can’t miss. Before he went there he couldn’t hit the basket at all, and he had been doing basketball for 3-4 years already.
Perhaps Ray should help Rondo (or help him even more intense if he’s already doing it)…

Irresponsible I stand...

by LeoMoreno on Jul 20, 2010 11:21 AM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah, but he can

Tons of PGs have improved their shooting and become very proficient -it’s really the process of developing new skills that shows what his work ethic is like. On the court there is no doubt he hustles and plays hard, but so did Iverson, and off the court Iverson had questionable work ethic during his pro career – at least from an outsider’s perspective. I guess we will see what Rondo’s commitment to improvement is next year because the jumpshot is really the only glaring flaw in his game right now.

I recall Tim Hardaway having a terrible shot early in his career but he worked on it over and over and became a deadly shooter.

by Eeeee on Jul 20, 2010 8:54 AM EDT reply actions  

Improvements can be made for everyone.

Ray: dribbling, he sometimes loses the ball when he tries to go to the hole.
Glenn Davis: finishing inside, extending his range
Paul and KG: Shot selection, too many jumpers not enough drives..

by Evantime34 on Jul 20, 2010 9:33 AM EDT reply actions  

Hands??

If anyone remembers, Shaq laments that his hands are too large for shooting foul shots. There was also Chamberlin. I’ve never been lucky enough to see Rondo in person; I’d love to that I might compare my hands with his. I’d love to talk with him as well – we could talk math as well as basketball. In any event, I believe Shaq when he talks about his hands being too large. Try shooting a baseball – I have!!

On another vein, Rondo is clearly a “set up” kind of player. I believe him when he says he’d rather get an assist then a basket. At 22 seconds, there is not enough time to make a play – just shoot. Remember, we did not want Tony to think – just “slash and shoot” was our desire of him. We want Rondo to think; he can “slash and think” better than any else in the league in my opinion. The mention of late shooting success to me indicates that he could convert himself into a “Tony” kind of player. I’m equally sure were he to convert himself into a “slash and shoot” kind of player, we’d want the old Rondo back in a hurry!!! But “just shoot” and “thinking” are somewhat exclusive of one another.

by Rivah on Jul 20, 2010 9:41 AM EDT reply actions  

Chamberlain was an 80% free throw shooter before knee surgery

the few, the proud, the boston celtics

by bleedgreen34 on Jul 20, 2010 10:17 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Hand size is BS

I’ve been trying an experiment to test this after I recently broke my arm and couldn’t play basketball – I practiced for a month and shot on one of those Fisher Price 6 foot hoops with a small ball. I figure the hight ratios and hand to ball ratios are at least similar to what Shaq experiences with a normal ball. I wanted to see if this hand size jargon made you a worse free throw shooter.

After a week of practice I was able to drill 90% of shots from an area that was a roughly equal distant foul line – WITH ONE ARM

Bottom line – hand size is NO excuse if you ask me and Shaq is a lazy ass when it comes to working on his FT shooting. He was a half hearted free throw practicer at best. It all comes down to two things – practice and mechanics – Bend your knees!

by Eeeee on Jul 20, 2010 10:47 AM EDT up reply actions  

BTW

I practiced both on my knees and standing up – you can still shoot better than 70% on your knees, trust me.

by Eeeee on Jul 20, 2010 10:48 AM EDT up reply actions  

Okay, I think we can all agree just about every player in the NBA is over payed and could make improvements in many facets of there game..If rondos defense was as bad his jumper (steve nash) u wouldnt hear about it, but bc everyone knows what a good jumpshot is, and he doesnt have one, its constantly talked about, and rightly so, its his biggest weakness, not typical for a great basketball player. but he is.
And Your fisher price comparison is silly. Its alot different with a huge crowd and being in an NBA game..Rondo in a near empty gym gave Durant a run for his money in horse…by jump shooting

by lennz on Jul 20, 2010 3:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

but hand size as an issue is also silly

there have been plenty of shooters in the NBA, both poor and excellent, with hands both small and large.

by mmmmm on Jul 20, 2010 4:58 PM EDT up reply actions  

You tell me why

   I have read numeous times that Chamberlain was a VERY good 3 point shooter. And gave his teammates all they could handle in HORSE practice. So, if that was true, I don’t believe the ‘big hands’ theory was the cause of his free throw miseries. I THINK but am not sure I remember reading that he made his free throws in practice also. If so, then it’s a strictly head case.

by Dipper on Jul 20, 2010 1:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

watching don chaney go from a terrible shooter to a passable shooter, gives me hope rondo can and will improve.

by nazzbo on Jul 20, 2010 10:01 AM EDT reply actions  

yeah yeah

but sometimes if god gives you one thing he takes something else away… i would love to see Rondo improve his shooting but hope his slashing drives remain….

by tommyfan on Jul 20, 2010 10:40 AM EDT reply actions  

it's his form

It’s been pointed out before but his elbow is sticking out way too far. When I was in high school I had almost the exact same shooting motion that he has now and I was wildly inconsistent. Sometimes I could go red hot but I could never stay that way because the ball never really comes off the same. I met Pete Carril at a basketball camp and he helped me get comfortable with getting both my elbows in and it drastically changed my %. I don’t think repetition will do Rondo that much good, or the Celtics for that matter it’s probably the motion. He could at least try changing it, I doubt he’ll shoot worse.

by jackscompletelackofsurprise on Jul 20, 2010 10:52 AM EDT reply actions  

Greg, I love you.

… but you’re stating the obvious :)

Hehe, seriously though, Rondo with a jumpshot & 80+ FT percentage… that would be SCARY.

Seriously, woe the league if he develops both.

Btw, good read. I stand by the obviousness of it, but good read nonetheless ;)

- Dirk van Boxtel, the wandering Celtic fan.
Twitter: @4Hoopz

by Kiorrik on Jul 20, 2010 11:08 AM EDT reply actions  

He's got to state it for those who're not regular to this site as much as we are

As well as for the people who don’t follow Celtics games

Irresponsible I stand...

by LeoMoreno on Jul 20, 2010 11:24 AM EDT up reply actions  

No malicious intent :)

Jus’ sayin’! :)

- Dirk van Boxtel, the wandering Celtic fan.
Twitter: @4Hoopz

by Kiorrik on Jul 20, 2010 11:44 AM EDT up reply actions  

I have said this many times

But I would be very surprised if Rondo ever develops a reliable jumper from anywhere on the floor. I just think that his jump shot had so far to go even from college (it was seriously in the Ben Wallace-Rodman category) can it would be unreasonable to expect it to get much better. He obviously never had the knack for shooting (for whatever reason) and it’s simply too late for him to become a good shooter.

Yes, many will call this absurd but I firmly believe it is true. No player, regardless of who you name has ever had to come this far with his jump shot. Nobody.

by droopdog7 on Jul 20, 2010 11:09 AM EDT reply actions  

Improve the mechanics, and practice using video

Simple physics – with someone like Carril or Ray directing the changes. If Rondo is as smart as has been mentione he will definitely improve.

by nba is the worst on Jul 20, 2010 6:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

Free Throws, Not Jump Shots

If Rondo could improve his mid-range jumper, that would be great. And I think his shooting has improved over the years and will probably still keep improving. He’s a point guard in an offensive system that means that when nothing develops, he often has to take a desperation shot. His jump-shooting percentage will often suffer because of that.

But, frankly, it’s good enough now. I don’t think I saw the C’s lose a single game last year because of Rondo’s poor shooting.

What he NEEDS to improve is his free-throw shooting. Not just because he goes to the rim constantly and can wind up shooting a lot of penalty shots, but because teams need to fear sending him to the line. That will improve his ability to get to the rim, to dish unexpected assists near the basket as he fakes going to the rim, and generally allow him to wreak more havoc in the paint.

Plus, if teams are more hesitant to foul him, he’ll be more likely to avoid injuries. Also important.

So to hell with the jump-shooting, Rondo. Spend 90% of your time working on free throws.

by random axe on Jul 20, 2010 11:11 AM EDT reply actions  

check it out: Jordan vs Rajon

http://www.nba.com/playerfile/michael_jordan/index.html

http://www.nba.com/playerfile/rajon_rondo/career_stats.html

Rajon is shooting better from 3 point land than Jordan did, and indeed he is better or nearly as good in all other areas except blocked shots…and freebies

Later Jordan shot over 40% from three after being as low as 17%. he was very erratic wasn’t he…that is a huge swing at the end of his career where he regressed on his 3 % by over 15 points.

Rajon would become an all time great if he shot 80% and 35% assuming he kept doing all the other things he does

by wahz on Jul 20, 2010 11:22 AM EDT reply actions  

Not to mention hearing Van Gundy saying:

“Rondoooo up and under! That looked a lot like Jordan in his days! If not better than Jordan.”
/the first and so far the last positive thing I’ve heard him say about the Celtics

Irresponsible I stand...

by LeoMoreno on Jul 20, 2010 11:27 AM EDT up reply actions  

He's palming the basketball < (bad rondo)

The only thing tats wrong with his jumpshot is that he palms the ball
The first thing he should have learned when shooting a basketball is when u palm the ball you’ll never get the same shot over again and u should never ever let the palm touch the ball when shooting
(tats why his elbow sticks out, also thats why his shooting arc is so inconsistent )

“I use to shoot the same way and had the same problem then all I did was switch to the balls of my hand and my fingers because the palm doesnt give you any control if you watch PISTOL PETE’s homework basketball on shooting you’ll understand what im talking about
”http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D-nV0Gzof_0" target="_blank">http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D-nV0Gzof_0

Hard work can beat talent any day of the week....

by Celtic21 on Jul 20, 2010 11:51 AM EDT reply actions  

i have hopes he will improve again this year

we really need him too improve that 16-23 footer and his FT’s. especially if we are going to use bradley as his backup. having two PG’s who shoot under 65% from the FT line? not good. believe it or not bradley is a worse FT shooter at 54% last year.

i understand we have the great ray helping rondo but i still think the team should bring in a shooting coach to guide him

"Hello. My name is Inigo Montoya. You killed my father. Prepare to die."

im gonna be all up on you like a spider monkey!

i can just see delonte west winning a game of poker against lebron, throwing down the cards he yells, "who's your daddy!"...."oh, sorry man"

by remembering9ergods on Jul 20, 2010 12:01 PM EDT reply actions  

Everyone knows rondos shooting still needs impovement, but he wont emerge as the celtics most important player this year…that change clearly already happened this past season

by lennz on Jul 20, 2010 12:14 PM EDT reply actions  

he’s gotta work on his shot..baby gotta work on dunking the ball and not getting blocked..everybody else except ray and some of the younger guys (the few we have) need to work on their conditioning..this is why perks injure is gonna hurt him because he should be the first on the treadmill

by KyleChristian15 on Jul 20, 2010 1:44 PM EDT reply actions  

If Glen Davis getting blocked 10 times a game isn’t an obvious flaw then I don’t know what is.

by markgent on Jul 20, 2010 2:05 PM EDT reply actions  

Davis significantly improved in this area as the year progressed

And, without any stats in front of me, I would dare say that he was much better in the playoffs than during the regular season.

by vinnie on Jul 20, 2010 2:17 PM EDT up reply actions  

I was going to post what markgent said too

but then thought of what you said vinnie. Why was this?… was he just amped up and trying more (agressive) or playing smarter?

"I don’t think in the past. I don’t think in the future. You grasp the moment." -KG

by SotaPop on Jul 20, 2010 11:37 PM EDT up reply actions  

Rondo shooting 3 pointers.

Rondo knows he’s not a good 3 point shooter he’s only taken 176 3 point shots in 376 games and when he does it’s usually because the 24 second clock is running out and he has no choice. I give him credit for playing to his strenghts he’s a very smart player.I think the free throws are more of a mental thing that’s gotten into his head. He may get over it but he may not. He’s still a great player either way.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qsrM7JwWSuY

by Celtics9Lakers2 on Jul 20, 2010 2:25 PM EDT reply actions  

I don’t really care what it is. You’re being paid $10,000,000 a year to play basketball full-time, figure it out and fix it.

by kozlodoev on Jul 20, 2010 2:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

ITS ALL MENTAL!!

Does anyone remember during all star weekend when Rondo went head to head with Durant in a game of horse? They went on for what seemed like minutes, back and fourth, back and fourth, both hitting nothing but net, from DEEP three point range. Rondo looked confident and relaxed because it didnt matter. I think he just needs to have that state of mind during games and he will be ok.

by ebouton2 on Jul 20, 2010 2:57 PM EDT reply actions  

But when you think of Paul Pierce's flaws, or the improvements he could make, what comes to mind?

Um, Defense?

In the new Geico commercial, Marte sings "Let me be myself" on Wedge's front lawn (with the cavemen).

by V-Mart Shopper on Jul 20, 2010 3:53 PM EDT reply actions  

Obviously, not just shooting, but FT % as well as FT attempts....

Just take the NBA Finals as an example.

Rondo went 3-9 from the stripe in the 1st 2 games of the series. From there, he averaged only 2 free throw attempts per game over the last 5 games. He is a great rebounder, runs the offense well and plays great defense, but is it too much to ask the guy to make about 70-75% of his FT attempts when it counts? I was at that Clipper-Celtic game in December when he missed both free throws at the end of the game that led to Baron Davis’ game winner. I posted something similar in another thread.

Btw, he only made 2 free throws TOTAL in games 3 thru 7. When the $ is on the line, I think he’s got to attack the basket a little more which would happen if he improved his free throw shooting.

For what it’s worth, I am a huge Rondo fan and he is my daughter’s favorite player.

by 17wasEZ on Jul 20, 2010 4:42 PM EDT reply actions  

Goodness - listen to all the NBA caliber shot coaches on this blog!

I think we all recognize that Rondo could improve. I’ll leave it to Doc, the coaching staff, his teammates and any hired trainers (i.e. Price) to give him specific advice.

Results wise, I actually don’t need Rondo to become a killer outside jump shooter AND a great FT shooter.

If he could just become ONE of those, I’d actually prefer he became a decent FT shooter. WIth his speed, in theory he should be able to get to the line 10-15 times a game. If he could convert those to points at a 66% clip, that would be a very good thing.

But whatever. Every great player needs to recognize and work on improving their game, not matter at what stage of their career they are at. Look at how Pierce has dramatically improved his own 3PT shot as well as his FT shot these last few years. Look at how Ray has worked on his man-to-man defense. These guys are veterans but never satisfied. That’s why they are headed to the HoF.

by mmmmm on Jul 20, 2010 5:07 PM EDT reply actions  

+1

Great post, mmmmm. Rondo definitely improved his J from 15 ft. in last year—he made teams pay for going below the pick. His FT shooting is a mystery. With proper mechanics he should be able to hit 75% easily. I think he’s got a mental block when he steps up to the line.

He strikes me as a very serious professional who isn’t going to be satisfied until he’s the best all around PG in the game. He’s ahead of the competition in many areas (passing skills, rebounding, steals) but until he develops a reliable J that extends out to 18-20 ft. (don’t really need 3 pt. range-although that would be nice) and can hit at least 75% at the line, he can’t be considered the best at his position.

by McHaleinthepost on Jul 20, 2010 5:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

he will improve .

 i think he will be a good shooter it will come to him. this guys hustle and determination to get to loose balls and get in the other players way to steal the ball makes him one of the top defensive guards in my mind in the n.b.a. the offense will get there he is the real deal .

lohaus #54

by lohaus#54 on Jul 20, 2010 6:03 PM EDT reply actions  

Exactly.

Very well said. He is too good to let something like this hold him back.

Go Gators!

by FlaGators on Jul 20, 2010 10:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

In other breaking news...

Obama blamed something on Bush today

Double rainbow all the way

by dooyork on Jul 20, 2010 9:46 PM EDT reply actions  

Freethrows

I remember it, I was a horrible shooter. I practiced on my FT’s and I increased my range and went from a player who shoots from 10-15 feet to a player who can shoot from 24-25 feet.

by Celtics own the refs on Jul 21, 2010 7:51 AM EDT reply actions  

Rondo is already the Celtics most important player

He was amazing in the Playoffs…big play after big play…

And he was responsible for the Celtics 13 point lead in the final game….but Doc didn’t give him a rest in the 3rd qtr….( one of Doc’s rare mistakes ) — but he still almost saved the game, but they didn’t call a foul on Kobe when he had the ball stolen from him..

by Gary Z on Jul 21, 2010 10:00 PM EDT reply actions  

Double R

I for one enjoyed Rajon Rondo last season..he is definitely the future of the Celtics when Pierce, Garnett & Allen retire. As for his jump shooting…does anyone remember the HORSE competition with him and Kevin Durant…some said it was boring..but to me as a NBA fan for over a decade, I enjoyed it. Rajon Rondo showed right there that he can improve his jumpers…i cant remember how many baskets each of these guys made but they are two of my fave youngsters in the game right now. This season I say should be the shooting breakout season for Rondo, he has major potential to be a top star in years to come.

by Jon Cutro on Jul 23, 2010 1:54 AM EDT reply actions  

true!!!!!!!!!

i belive in him,he just need a bit more practice thats all.

by jr mshana on Jul 29, 2010 6:38 AM EDT reply actions  

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