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"Blow It Up" Just Doesn't Make Sense

First things first. I have not given up on this season. I've come too far with this core group to write them off after 10 games - even if that is almost a sixth of the season. There's still time to turn it around and make one last valiant run. Perhaps the season will play out much like all the recent games. Start slow, then come roaring back in the 2nd half... of course that would mean collapsing at the end, but we'll cross that bridge when we get there.

On the other hand, things look pretty bleak from where we stand currently. So I'll write the rest of this from the standpoint of "IF we are done." You know, if we're cooked to a golden brown on both sides with a large fork sticking out and tasty sides all around the edges... (sorry, I'm hungry, can you tell?)

If we are done, then the urge is to say "blow it up!" I stand here scratching my noggin with my head tilted slightly to the right and a perplexed look on my face. Huh? Why would we blow it up?

Star-divide

Let us start with a vague definition of blowing it up. I guess it means a fire-sale of the best players on your team for whatever you can get to start the rebuilding process. I'm thinking the best recent example would be the Wizards nuking the Gilbert, Jamison, Butler trio. They lucked (or perhaps the "s" version of that word) into John Wall and now have lots of young talent and cap room to work with.

Sounds ok at first blush, but let us dig deeper. They had to fire-sale those guys because they were all on long term deals and it wasn't worth paying them to lose when they could lose with young, cheap players instead. The Celtics don't have any such concerns. All the big contracts are up at the end of this year except for Rondo (our future, ...until he isn't) and Paul Pierce (will retire a Celtic and has buyout options if he hangs them up early). In short, one of the prime reasons to "blow it up" is to get cap space, but Boston will have plenty of space if they do exactly nothing.

In fact, if you go out and trade our expiring contracts (because that's really all they are at this point - nobody is going to see KG or Jermaine O'Neal as the final piece of the puzzle), the best thing we can hope for in return is a good but not quite great talent that is being paid like an All Star for many years to come. You could counter that a deal like that would be better than getting nothing. I disagree. Next summer, if you wanted to get that same player, you still could. With the cap room we're going to have, you don't have to match salaries and you could trade one of our protected 2nd round picks from the Kings (ie. nothing) for that player and the other team would happily pull the trigger so they could unload the salary.

That is the kind of flexibility we'll have in the summer even if we don't land a big name free agent like Dwight Howard. We've already got that built into the plan going forward, so why tinker with it now? The only way you do that is if you somehow can find a way to land a young star for next to nothing right now - and I just don't see us having the chips to get a deal like that done. Not when the Lakers can dangle Bynum at least.

Anyway, let us go back to that Wizards example again. To get John Wall, they had to be really, really bad a couple of years ago. Last year was supposed to be the start of turning it around and this year should have been the next step. Well, last year they won just 23 games, they've added just one more win this season. They've got exactly one can't miss talent on their roster and they've got a number of knuckle heads that have tuned out their coach and don't know the first thing about winning basketball.

As someone that lived through the ML Carr years and blogged through the Pitino and early Ainge years, I am in no hurry to return to that nightmare anytime soon thank you very much. Maybe those Wizards are going to turn it around any day now, but that's what we thought about the Baby Bulls after the Jordan years and it never quite worked out. If we have any shot at rebuilding on the fly (and with cap room this summer, we do) you have to take that chance. Remember that the post 80's Celtics fell off the map (in part due to the death of Bias) but the Lakers were able to re-tool on the fly and start a new dynasty. That is the goal.

So, what is the plan to get there? I don't know really. I'm sure there are plenty of plans in the works. Some of them might even involve trading Rondo or Ray Allen (who might have some value left as a final piece for a contender) or anyone on the roster without the initials PP. If you can find someone to give you the next big thing for next to nothing, by all means pull the trigger. But you don't just fire sale guys for the sake of trading them in a lateral move.

I'm all for building through the draft, but if your plan is to tank and you think this team is toast, here again, why would you blow this up? If anything (and I'm speaking somewhat sarcastically here - forgive the tone) you'd run the "risk" of a younger team catching fire and hurting our precious draft position.

Or...

Or we could just let it ride and give these former champions a little more rope. Nobody has to tell them that time is running out. They know it in their creaky bones. If they can give us one last run, they will. If they can't then no harm in giving it a try.

Bottom line is that there doesn't seem to be much to gain in blowing it up, and there is a lot we could get out of keeping things together. Even if it is just an outside shot, we've got guys that have been pretty good at hitting those shots.

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Great writeup

I was thinking about the same stuff. Since the long term strategy with all contracts is to reload/rebuild this summer, why would you ruin that to get players, that will not win a championship this year?

by European NBA fan on Jan 14, 2012 4:14 PM EST reply actions  

Thank you for this post.

I hope this would somehow lessen the “blow it up” reactions. Although you made a great point on why blowing this up could be detrimental to Boston’s rebuilding efforts I personally refuse to lose KG or Ray Allen to free agency because I feel that retiring in a Celtics uniform is the best display of gratitude that the Celtics Organization can give them in return for making Boston relevant again. Who knows they might still be here in one form or another. Boston has no big man coach right now or a defensive coach and KG is a good fit for this position if he decides to call it a day after this season.

by Wilbert on Jan 14, 2012 4:16 PM EST reply actions  

one of my favorite possible scenarios...

is the Celtics adding some really, really good players this summer and bringing KG and Ray back on deep discounted deals

but we’ll cross the bridge when we get there

Faith and Sports - an essay by Jeff Clark

by Jeff Clark on Jan 14, 2012 4:24 PM EST up reply actions  

yes

That is very possible, I hope this is the case, both KG and Ray would’nt want to play elsewhere and they would take a discount I believe. As long as KG does’nt retire.

by forever_green on Jan 14, 2012 4:53 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Was thinking of the same thing.....
bringing KG and Ray back on deep discounted deals

KG maybe. For Ray the way he is shooting, some team just might overpay him I’m afraid.

by LarryBird33 on Jan 14, 2012 8:08 PM EST up reply actions  

I'm fine with anything, as long as KG, Ray and Pierce keep it classy.

Over-the-hill stars can sometimes become overly difficult to deal with. They try to compensate with their mouths for what their legs can no longer deliver. Garnett, in particular, gave indications last season that he may not be able to fade gracefully into the twilight of his career. I’d be nice if the Big 3 can make the transition without embarrassing themselves and us. But if they can’t, then Ainge should send them elsewhere. As a fan, I don’t want to be represented by anyone acting like a jerk – especially if they’re unable to compete for a title. ;-)

by no kidding on Jan 15, 2012 8:29 AM EST up reply actions  

Thank you

for a voice of reason.

by BleedinGreen417 on Jan 14, 2012 4:19 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

About rebuilding through the draft...

You say:

I’m all for building through the draft, but if your plan is to tank and you think this team is toast, here again, why would you blow this up? If anything (and I’m speaking somewhat sarcastically here – forgive the tone) you’d run the “risk” of a younger team catching fire and hurting our precious draft position.

Why would you blow it up? Because even though this team may not be championship caliber, they certainly will not finish in the bottom five. If you really do want to build through the draft, I’d rather blow it up and pick in the top 5 than ride this wave, and try to rebuild by picking in the mid teens.

by FanFromMaine on Jan 14, 2012 4:27 PM EST reply actions  

not worth it

in my opinion, but to each his/her own

Faith and Sports - an essay by Jeff Clark

by Jeff Clark on Jan 14, 2012 4:32 PM EST up reply actions  

I'm not necessarily saying it's worth it,

but if you decide to rebuild through the draft, that’s why you blow it up.

He argues that even if you want to rebuild through the draft, blowing it up doesn’t make any sense. He says somewhat sarcastically that the young players could even hurt our draft pick. Which would imply that our team as-is will be a bottom feeder this year.

I would argue that our team as-is, while it may not be championship level, is certainly not bottom-of-the-league level.

by FanFromMaine on Jan 14, 2012 4:42 PM EST up reply actions  

Plus, could trade for draft picks

Ray and KG are good enough that it’s possible that they could be traded for expiring contracts AND draft picks. Yes, their contracts are already expiring, but if their contracts could be flipped for other expiring contracts plus draft picks I think Danny would have to at least consider it. This is how Sam Presti did it in Seattle, and in my view it was exactly the right thing to do.

by dslack on Jan 14, 2012 7:00 PM EST up reply actions  

I'm on board with this.

I don’t care about winning 45 games if it doesn’t lead to a championship. I see no way for us to compete with the Miamis of the world. I’ll get a lot more excitement out of dreaming of a franchise talent in the draft than I will about watching us slump into the 8th seed.

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by Ben Buchanan on Jan 14, 2012 7:54 PM EST up reply actions  

You forget

that the current Celtics were assembled through a strategy of acquiring so-called “assets”. You can´t compare Rick Pitino with Danny Ainge.

Blowing it up is not about cap space, that cap space won´t help us anyway to acquire a potential star, it´s about getting some kind of value, preferrably a high pick, instead of nothing to speed up the inevitable. I think your proposed strategy will only prolong the “dark days”.

You only provide the Wizards as an example, but what about the Thunder, Bulls or Clippers?

The best thing we could hope for in return isn´t some fringe all-star, it´s Draft Picks.

by Casperian on Jan 14, 2012 4:30 PM EST reply actions  

what picks can you get for our guys?

because I guarantee they won’t be lottery and they probably won’t even be in the teens

not worth it

Faith and Sports - an essay by Jeff Clark

by Jeff Clark on Jan 14, 2012 4:33 PM EST up reply actions  

This year´s draft seems to be pretty deep

Danny found talent like Rondo in the 20ies, I believe he can do it again.

Even if all we get are some late #1´s, we could still package them at the draft to move up, something we can´t do with vet players such as the big three.

Of course, if we can´t get some kind of value in return, it´s not worth it, but that´s true for every trade. However, if we think we can´t win it all anymore, we should go in another direction as quickly as possible and blow it up, as these picks hold more value for us than a 6th seed and second round exit.

Fortune favours the bold, and handling this team´s demise pro-actively will at least allow us to make our own luck.

by Casperian on Jan 14, 2012 5:03 PM EST up reply actions  

You keep just saying "not worth it"

I think you’re missing the point of these debates.

I whole-heartedly agree that blowing this team up is not the correct move. I still believe that once we get into the playoffs, we can beat anybody.

BUT, if Danny (and Doc?) (who know the team a lot better than anyone on this board) decide that this core group no longer has any shot at a title (which doesn’t seem so far-fetched anymore), than I’d rather blow it up and get as many assets as we can, rather than let these players walk for absolutely nothing. If we know that we can’t win this year, why lose KG and Ray for nothing? Why not get whatever assets we can for them?

by FanFromMaine on Jan 14, 2012 4:49 PM EST reply actions  

because

we can get those same assets in the offseason using the cap space rather than trading KG or Ray

in fact, we might get more

Faith and Sports - an essay by Jeff Clark

by Jeff Clark on Jan 14, 2012 4:51 PM EST up reply actions  

Or... we might get less

shouldn’t danny be exploring all those options now, because once we pass the trade deadline, there’s no going back.

by FanFromMaine on Jan 14, 2012 4:55 PM EST up reply actions  

FanFrom Maine...

you make a valid point.

If KG and Ray come off the books we might not be able to lure free agents to Boston using there $$$, especially if players seem to not want to play in Boston like Paul and West preferred not to.

But if we trade KG and Ray away we may have a better chance of getting talent in return since its a trade and any players we trade for will have to come to Boston like it or not.

Its always a good debate when a aging club seeks to rebuild if they should just let there aging stars big contacts come off the books, then go after free agents using that free money or if its better to try and trade them away to get some value be it picks or younger talent in return.

I am sure if Ainge thinks the season is a loss and he starts to think about rebuilding the team he will look at both options above and will take the route that he thinks will be the best for the C’s long term interests.

by fordescort on Jan 14, 2012 5:19 PM EST up reply actions  

I'm sure if other teams made a legit offer for Ray or KG danny would do it, with the Perkins trade we know he is not sentimental

There are a lot of teams that would want Ray or KG but why would they give up real assets for it? It benefits other teams just like the Celtics to let Ray and KG expire then see if they will sign for cheap after. The only players teams would be willing to give up would not be players Ainge wants, they would be salary dumps.

by kg2128 on Jan 14, 2012 9:33 PM EST up reply actions  

Great article.

As a relatively young Celtics fan I was not quite sure what the phrase “blow it up” meant until today, yet I was in favor of it because from what I could pick up from all the Celtic forums/articles etc was that “blow it up”= get rid of the sluggish Celtics (basically any one except rondo, pietrus, bass,and maybe steimsma) and get all these young fresh legs on the team and win the championship. Obviously that is not the case. I think a lot of fans right now just want to see some changes because we are really frustrated…so we might just be saying thing without fully thinking about the repercussions… Except Jeff haha

But what I don’t get is why would we ever even consider trading Rondo? Wasn’t there a recent article about how rondo is like one of, if not the best point gaurd in the league?? Am I missing something??

by ilovemyceltics on Jan 14, 2012 5:00 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

Couldn’t disagree more. Ainge needs to move the valuable veterans for picks and pieces that can play alongside Rondo in the immediate future.

by xmuscular ghandix on Jan 14, 2012 5:02 PM EST reply actions  

Bulls?

The Bulls still need a 3pt shooter at the 2 and their 1st will be at the end of the draft so it isn’t particularly valuable to them.

by guava_wrench on Jan 14, 2012 9:41 PM EST up reply actions  

Then why would it be valuable to us? Mid 20 picks just aren’t worth trading half your team for, regardless of the draft.

Take the 2003 draft, the most loaded draft in recent history. Picks 20-30 were: Dahntay Jones, Boris Diaw, Zoran Planinic, Travis Outlaw, Brian Cook, Carlos Delfino, Ndudi Ebi, Kendrick Perkins, Leandro Barbosa, Josh Howard and Maciej Lampe. Admittedly, there’s some good names in there. But would you trade one of your best players only for the chance that you’ll draft someone who, based on prior history, most likely will not have even a half decent career?

Wouldn’t you rather just reload in the offseason and take a punt on free agents who have actually proven themselves in the NBA? And, as Jeff pointed out, this leaves open the chance of signing KG and Ray to smaller deals, thus allowing him to sign higher calibre free agents.

"Can't eat sushi in Utah, brother. Landlocked."

by IsItTheShoes on Jan 15, 2012 6:07 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

But when 2 mid-20's picks can be traded for a mid-1st rounder?

When otherwise you get nothing for those “best players” (who aren’t good enough anymore to win with what you’ve got otherwise) at the end of the year?

When trading them away by the deadline, when the C’s are clearly out of it, would both increase the value of your own pick in a deep class and increase the value, via playing time, of your younger players, whether you want to keep or trade them?

I think the thing to be afraid of is taking on bad or so-so continuing contracts for middling players if that messes up your cap space, but I see only upside for getting picks in return for the old guys in decline.

by clover on Jan 15, 2012 7:43 AM EST up reply actions  

This makes a couple of assumptions. 1) that a team would give up a higher draft pick for two lower draft picks. Would any lottery team actually do that, unless we threw in another player as well? Would that even be worth it? 2) “Who aren’t good enough anymore to win”/“When the C’s are clearly out of it”. While I don’t want to get into this argument, saying KG or Ray aren’t good enough anymore or calling the season over after 11 games is a tad farcical.

Any GM who would make a significant change to the roster based on 11 games would be out of a job in a hurry. Or working for Orlando.

"Can't eat sushi in Utah, brother. Landlocked."

by IsItTheShoes on Jan 15, 2012 8:11 AM EST up reply actions  

Any best opportunities to 'blow it up' aren't likely to transpire before March anyway.

But I think Danny thought they were done before the season started, and it’s not so much that they’ve a losing record in the early going as to how they are losing—looking totally too old to compete with top-tier teams.

A mid-1st rounder isn’t a lottery pick, and yes, GM’s often by the time of the draft know who’s going to be taken above and below their picks, and if if their choice will be there a few picks later, why not pick up a free additional 1st rounder? Teams do it all the time. Besides, even 20’s picks can be great finds.

If KG and Ray were in their peak, we wouldn’t be in this situation, but clearly they’re not and so on that level they aren’t ‘good enough’ anymore.

by clover on Jan 15, 2012 10:50 AM EST up reply actions  

Jeff

I disagree, I think Ray could bring a 1st Rd pick lottery protected, from a contender who needs outside shooting. Is there a better shooter even at his age in the NBA? How about Chicago? Ray already knows the defensive schemes and Thib’s might like Ray’s 3 Pt shooting. LA Clip Memphis, Atlanta and Indy could all use his shooting.

To move KG, Danny would have to be very creative. But i think it can be done. Part of my thinking is based on the fact that I don’t see necessarily Danny spending money on someone who he doesn’t believe will be a star – DH Yes, Gallinara or Beasley – No Way. So Danny could spend his cap over the next 1-3 years. He might decide to acquire assets by facilitating deals. Heck, Cleve wound up with a lottery pick for taking Baron Davis.

I don’t see Danny even trying to move PP, although I wouldn’t be surprised to see him renegotiate his contract to lower the annual yearly salary, which can be done under the new CBA.

I hope this doesn’t happen, but if the losing goes on, it just might.

by badax33 on Jan 16, 2012 12:21 PM EST up reply actions  

Way to early...

to give up on the season and to blow up the team at this point.

I think its only fair to give this core until the trade deadline to see if they can get it together to compete this year.

If not then at that time it would be reasonable and smart to start to think about blowing up the team and starting to rebuild.

by fordescort on Jan 14, 2012 5:07 PM EST reply actions  

The market isn't even there for blowing it up at this point.

The ‘blow it up’ issue will come to a head in early March, though giving the young players more playing time already makes sense.

by clover on Jan 15, 2012 7:45 AM EST up reply actions  

Agree 100%

giving the young players makes sense.

I think they (being Moore, JJ and Steamer) can not just help the C’s short term and maybe help get them back on track, but it will help give them some playing time to grow and develop which they will need if we are to consider them and give them a shot to be our players of the future.

by fordescort on Jan 15, 2012 7:51 PM EST up reply actions  

Ainge needs to be prepared.

If it makes sense at a later date and a contending teams will give you value for our aging core, then I say do it.

That means we clearly aren’t going to snap out of this and there is value to be had. It’s so hard to say right now. A contender could look at Ray or Paul or KG or even JO as the last piece to the puzzle and is willing to give Ainge value in return.

Ainge has to be prepared for a scenario like this because it has happened in the past.. It happened between Phoenix and Boston in 2001-02. Boston got veterans who helped in a playoff run(which was fool’s gold). Phoenix got Joe Johnson. He needs to be ready.

He doesn’t need to necessarily shop any around but just be prepared because some years at the dead line someone trades a valuable young asset for a vet they think can get them over the top.

The Celtic’s could benefit is such a scenario.

by CelticsFanNC on Jan 14, 2012 5:26 PM EST reply actions  

oh....

I especially believe he needs to be prepared because the UFA class next off season isn’t very good. Elite FA’s don’t normally sign in Boston so that’s not something anyone should be counting on. Cap space’s value is in whom you can get for it.

by CelticsFanNC on Jan 14, 2012 5:29 PM EST up reply actions  

doesn't really have to be superstars

that’s needed to be signed. There are tons of starting caliber YOUNG talent that’ll be available and with them collectively, could do some damage while still developing. And they could be available for cheaper, shorter deals too.

by Yoki Rivero on Jan 14, 2012 6:36 PM EST up reply actions  

agree'd

but in that scenario I keep thinking, Charlie Villanueva and Ben Gordon.

I guess I just can’t wrap my mind around who is going to be available and at what price. Most of the younger guys are restricted so if they’re worth it then the team they’ve been with will probably match any reasonable offer. It’s possible. I would love to get someone like Kevin Love but Minnesota isn’t going to let him go.

by CelticsFanNC on Jan 14, 2012 7:01 PM EST up reply actions  

Yup. Regular FA's usually aren't worth it.

The only players worth signing (by definition) are ones who are worth more than their salaries. These are the max guys, rookies, and a few others. Since these guys are underpaid (as a result of the CBA), other guys are overpaid. Those overpaid guys are the vast middle class, guys like Charlie V and Ben G, as CFNC said. Signing those guys for more than they’re worth is the quickest way to NBA purgatory.

by dslack on Jan 14, 2012 7:06 PM EST up reply actions  

Ya but,

But even if a starting caliber young talent could have anything we offer him matched by his current team, he could still opt to come here simply because it’s where he’d rather be.

by Mikey Bizzle on Jan 15, 2012 2:31 PM EST via iPhone app up reply actions  

I love this article

I think it illustrates a point that gets lost sometimes.

Advocating blowing it up because you’re disgusted with the players is different than being okay with the notion if its going to help the Celtics long-term. It doesn’t mean you ‘hate’ the big 3 or that you’re ‘throwing them under a bus’ (that term is being over-used in Bieber proportions right now). It just means that you’re okay with nuking the roster if it’ll put the Celtics in a position to get back to contending.

Which also means if you believe that, you also believe that if staying pat and letting them expire is the best option you have, you’re okay with that too.

I like the article because it doesn’t rely on some arbitrary and wholly emotional pathos foundation. Its logical, and I can buy that. Great piece Jeff.

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by Tom Bellinger on Jan 14, 2012 5:58 PM EST reply actions  

Great article.

Like you said Jeff, we will have some cap room. And it’ll be enough to bring one superstar or rising star caliber player or a few solid ones. I sure hope that Danny don’t blow it off on just one guy. Tons of solid players that can be acquired for much cheaper and collectively, could be dangerous, ala the championship Detroit Pistons team from 2004 (? not sure if it was 2004), or more recently, the Denver Nuggets right now.

by Yoki Rivero on Jan 14, 2012 6:34 PM EST reply actions  

Totally agree with you

I think this team as presently comprised will improve significantly from their current level of play. How good they can be is an open question but I have little doubt it’s better than what we have seen so far.

BUT even if this Celtics team has just lost it and things don’t get better, there still might not be a good way to “blow it up” that would actually improve the team moving forward. If their struggles continue and an opportunity presents itself this season to greatly improve the Celtics moving forward by trading one or all of the big 3 then by all means they should do it. Still, that opportunity might not present itself and Ray and KG are coming off the books next season anyway.

If blowing up the team now doesn’t mean improving it for the future then why bother? It seems the only reason would be to spare us fans the sight of a great team getting older and losing some of what made them great. I’d rather see an underwhelming last season of this team as it exists now then blow it up just to protect the delicate sensibilities of fair weather Celtics fans.

by BlackMass on Jan 14, 2012 6:38 PM EST reply actions  

Finally, a voice of reason raises his voice above the baying wolf pack. Thanks Jeff.

From the baying that’s been going on over each and every one of the losses this season, I was almost expecting our players to be torn to shreds at any moment and eviscerated.
That would have been one way to ’ blow up ’ the team, and start over from scratch.

It’s very possible, that this team as we see it this year, will be the last season that ’ the Big Three ’ and Rondo will be playing together as a unit.

Next year, there will be a lot of money available to attract some new young studs to help the rebuilding process, and as long as K.G., R.Allen and P.Pierce are around and healthy, I hope they’ll continue to be a part of that process, even if only as role players and role models to help the coming generation along.

However, this year is uppermost in our thoughts, as we don’t live in the past or the future. It’s obvious to me that P.Pierce is working his way through some kind of injury, which may take some time [ I’m not a doctor, so I can’t make predictions on that score ], and it’s also obvious that K.Garnett isn’t playing at his normal superb level.

However, this is a team that will get its act together, and as long as the Cs remain healthy, and make the playoffs, they will be contenders.

Now is the time to support this team, for better or worse, and let this season take its course. At least, support them for the past four seasons of fantastic basketball they’ve given to us [ after a hiatus of mor than 20 years ].

Commiserate after a loss, as that’s only natural, but stop the constant whining and complaining about ’ blowing up ’ the team this year.

IT’S NOT GOING TO HAPPEN.

Lygafe.

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by lygafe on Jan 14, 2012 7:40 PM EST reply actions  

Here is the thing...

Even healthy, this team is NOT contending.

If you really think they have a chance of winning this year, you should start watching more Heat, Bulls, Thunder, Lakers, Sixers, Knicks or even Clippers games.

This is not happening. They had weaknesses last year that are even worse now (weak on the glass, poor scoring ability, slow team). Do you think the Heat or the Bulls are gonna be weaker than last year in the PO? I don’t.

by lepooo on Jan 14, 2012 9:58 PM EST up reply actions  

don't mean to be antagonistic..

.. but the optimists among us are not the ones ‘drinking kool aid’. We are embracing the reality that has been the Celtics for the past 4 seasons. The Celtics were the best team in the league for most of last season. They were all-stars. Record breakers. All defensive team members. Yeah they burned out at the end of the year, but there are many reasons that could have been, a lot having to do with drastic, traumatic changes to the team that were far beyond their control.

At some point, the Cs are going to start playing better, they’re going to win against quality teams and they’re going to start gearing up for the playoffs. And if you think they can’t turn it on for one last run, you are disregarding history.

by JunkyardDawg on Jan 14, 2012 7:49 PM EST reply actions  

playoffs???

Who’s talking about playoffs??

They need to play a whole lot better to finish this season .500 because this early part of the schedule is the easy part of it for the Celtics. The second half gets a whole lot harder. Right now they look terrible so mediocre would be playing better and that’s just not good enough. What happens when our older players start missing games like they have in each of the past three seasons? What happens if Rondo misses any time?

I’d love to believe they have one more run in them but the best they are going to do is getting their head above water. A 7th or 8th seed and a 1st round sweep isn’t anything I’m looking forward to.

This team has always had an expiration date and they look like they are way past it right now.

by CelticsFanNC on Jan 15, 2012 10:18 AM EST up reply actions  

Don't blow it up but.....

Boston needs a major change….either by signing a center or acquiring one through trade but only a rental. I say don’t mess up what has been planned for the off season of opening up major cap space.

by LarryBird33 on Jan 14, 2012 8:12 PM EST reply actions  

Thank you

People blowing up a good team for no reason please give these guys time to gel. We didnt have half of these guys last year playing for us. Let them understand docs system/each others abilities. This is the reason why the spurs are doing good they have been together for the longest time. Lakers too so please stop comparing us to those teams.

by The green mamba on Jan 14, 2012 9:09 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

our starters stink

and would not even make good bench players for next years team even if they signed on cheao after their contracts expired. We need an inside presence on offense and no one seems willin to do the job. They are already too slow to get back on defense so they may as well try to get offense rebounds rather than run back to get back on defense after they take a miss their outside shots.

TIME to see what we have on the bench and see if we can get a combination that can gel together. The tried and true no longer works – need some young legs to mix in with the dinosaurs.

by ForexPirate on Jan 15, 2012 7:09 AM EST reply actions  

Stop and think............

what blowing it up means. Many say trade our vets for young assets. Assets mean bench quality players, not stars. Then you will hear….. dang, all DA got was a bunch of scrubs. Same with starting our rookies……… I would like to see JJJ get minutes, but I trust that Doc who sees him practice sees something that makes him think our vets give us a better chance at winning.

by CelticsUKfan on Jan 15, 2012 8:32 AM EST reply actions  

something to think about

There are some reason to blow it up .as well as some reason to keep your core but for less money and a lesser role like off the bench . All these articles from all the doubters and nonbelievers well mean nothing if this team stay as is and the sign DH 12 .because his strenghts are where they are being beaten at Reb.and inside defensive rim protector as KG was off the ball because he never weigh enough but with a space eater such as big baby ,Perkins And one of the most underrated defenders and rebounders with a hustling never quit on a play Leon Powe all these players made KG a all world def.off the ball.and on off these players gave KG and Paul Pierce confidence to shoot any shot from anywhere knowing their rebound abilities. So getting DH 12 bring all of that back. Now their was some other dumb moves need I say even when we draft well we not structured enough to keep the players because of not being like .Bullshit if you had a chance at getting Kobe 24 one of the most hated players u wouldn’t pull the trigger because KG can’t work with his attitude ,again bullshit Gerald Green is not Kobe but his talents would help Rondo so we lost out on developement and he lost out on leaving to earlier but Ainge drafted him so someone seen something in him.Moshaun Booker a score that we need traded for a big man in the KG mode that we can’t use yet .and why has he not benifited from KG liking him? Let Delante West go for less money and keeping 6"7 slow shooter with now confidence or def. Sashia P who we pay about 3 million more than it would have cost to D West another dumb move .Ainge you better get DH 12 or I will quit my job and spend my saving to buy season front row seats just to hold a sign at every game with every dumb move you ever done Starting with the Joe Johnson trade who right now would have gave Paul Pierce a better and more skilled teamate than keeping Antione Walker giving him and 100 million .every game Ainge every game

by emilio745i on Jan 15, 2012 8:43 AM EST reply actions  

Emilio745i

If you are going to complain at least get your facts straight.

1. Danny did not trade Joe Johnson, that was Chris Wallace.

2. Sasha is on a Vet min, so he and Delonte are making the same salary = so we are not spending $3M more on Sasha. And the reason he traded for Dooling was Delonte wanted more money than the Vet Min he signed for. In a short FA period Danny problably did good with most of his pickups.

3. I think you meant Marshon Brooks not Moshaun Booker. And you’ll have to explain Brooks and the big man that isn’t playing but KH likes. Not sure what that means.

by badax33 on Jan 16, 2012 4:59 PM EST up reply actions  

The advantages of blowing it up are

1. You can get real value for KG and Ray
2. You would be doing them a favor sending them to a real contender
3. You would potentially go from a mediocre draft choice to a top 6
4.Younger guys would have to get used to leadership roles rather than deferring to the vets
5. You wouldn’t be depending on top free agents wanting to come to Boston instead you’d take Rondo, Pierce and Bass add what you get for KG and Ray plus the high draft choice and then look for players to fill in the blanks.

by calc on Jan 15, 2012 8:55 AM EST via mobile reply actions  

What “real value” are you getting for KG and Ray?

Ray probably has some value, maybe a pick in the late twenties and you have to take salary back. KG has little, maybe no value in a trade.

by mcpickl on Jan 15, 2012 2:51 PM EST up reply actions  

I disagree

by calc on Jan 15, 2012 3:12 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

So you think Ray and KG have considerably more value than Lamar Odom?

Because Odom got traded for a protected 1st round pick which will be in the 20s, and the Lakers had to throw in a 2nd round pick with Odom just to get that.

Ray probably has around the same value as Odom, and KG has less because of his salary.

by mcpickl on Jan 15, 2012 3:42 PM EST up reply actions  

Yes

both are better players and have the advantage of having their contracts be up at the end of the year.

by calc on Jan 15, 2012 4:22 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Equal or less value than Odom

Odom’s contract is only partially guaranteed next year because of a team option so he is practically a expiring contract too. His contract which is about 8.9M is even more attractive to teams because of the flexibility it offers as compared to KG’s.

"The idea is not to block every shot. The idea is to make your opponent believe that you might block every shot."

- Bill Russell

by Marjun Raposon on Jan 15, 2012 4:37 PM EST via Android app up reply actions  

Wow, if you think those two have considerably more value than Odom you’re in a Heinsohnian Utopia.

No point in continuing the conversation.

by mcpickl on Jan 15, 2012 4:51 PM EST up reply actions  

come on now

the odom trade was a panic move/salary dump by the lakers. it made no sense then or now, really, i think kupchak and buss lost their minds. lots of teams would give up more for odom than what dallas gave.
like the celtics, for instance. tell me they wouldn’t have given up a 1st rounder + jermaine for odom…

by Kraidstar on Jan 16, 2012 4:58 AM EST up reply actions  

Sure they would’ve, but that’s a worse offer. The Lakers don’t have to pay Jermaines’ salary. Dallas offer is better.

by mcpickl on Jan 16, 2012 3:15 PM EST up reply actions  

Blowing it up concept is just being reactive

It’s only 11 or so games into the season. Yes, the team might end up being a lower seed or even a lottery team but it’s just to early to tell. As far as next season, Danny has put the team in a very enviable position. There is a lot of cap space, two first round picks and the possibility of bring back Kevin and Ray at reduced salaries to augment the bench. The team has given us much to cheer about over the last four years. Yes, we might have a down year but it was to be expected. But the Celts have a good chance of making this possible slide very short due to the way Danny has everything lined up for next year.

Is it possible to make the playoffs with a losing record (because the east is so weak) and still
be in the lottery? That would be quite an accomplishment (and a great scenario)

by ramana on Jan 15, 2012 10:20 AM EST reply actions  

Nope

Only teams that don’t make the playoffs qualify for the lottery. Our best chance to draft good player an STILL win the championship would be for the Clippers to be a couple games back from the eighth seed and miss the playoffs and settle for a 11-14 pick because it’s top ten protected. Neither seem like a possibility right biw

by OFWG1554 on Jan 15, 2012 11:43 AM EST via iPhone app reply actions  

I agree to finish with what we've got

They are not a scary opponent to anyone now. but they should make the playoffs and veteran pride and the closing window on their year/careers can rejuvenate for a month or so.

i have seen enough of J O’Neal though. He should come off the bench and start Stiemsma now. Stiemsma has earned a deeper look and O’Neal has earned the bench.

by Wildblu1 on Jan 15, 2012 12:03 PM EST reply actions  

No worries. Danny's at work.

Change is coming. He’ll trade Rondo and get Jason Kidd in return. And pullout Shaq and Sheed from retirement.

by KingCeltics on Jan 15, 2012 1:31 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

Great post Jeff

I couldn’t agree more. As painful as it may be to watch (possibly) the big 3 fade away into the sunset and become an average team, it is still the best course of action to take. Personally, I am in the camp with you as a Rondo supporter with you, Jeff. However, looking at next summer’s FA class after Dwight Howard (who is a pipe dream) the next best FA out there are PG. Deron Williams and even a guy like Raymond Felton are great (Williams) and solid (Felton) starting PG. I wonder if with the cap room to sign two max FA if the way the Celtics could get the most talent wouldn’t be for them to try to sign one of those PG (preferably Williams, and trade Rondo for a good big man). If you keep Rondo leaving you with no need for a PG and eliminate the possibility of signing Howard there really aren’t many exciting FA out there who aren’t restricted. Rondo could net you a big man AND you could replace him with another all-star PG. Sure some restricted guys like Kevin Love, Eric Gordon, Brook Lopez etc would be great signing but those teams aren’t letting those guys go anywhere most likely (except many Lopez if Howard signs but something tells me he’s not going to sign with the Nets despite all the talk.)

Bottom line is, I think rebuilding is going to be hard to do on the fly. Because this FA class isn’t necessarily as deep as everyone makes it out to be. Most of the talented guys are either restricted, play the same position as Rondo, or are Dwight Howard who probably will not come here. I just hope we don’t do what the Pistons did a few off seasons ago and spend the money just because we have it. They signed Villanueva and Ben Gordon just because they could afford it. But those guys aren’t worth max deals and they set themselves back about 5 years in doing so as they’re stuck with those contracts. Having money is great, but the Celtics need to guard against not being tempted to pay good players like they’re great players just because they have the money to do so. If they do, it will set the rebuilding process back a couple years like the Pistons did to themselves.

by ryanthesportsguy on Jan 15, 2012 1:33 PM EST reply actions  

Good article...I disagree...

It is Danny’s Job. It isn’t KG’s job or Doc’s or any of ours. Danny is the one who will protect his boss’ investment. He does not care who goes or who stays or when. We do. He does not. This is a very valuable franchise and we have a solid GM. As everyone has outlined here, there are options.

Trading

Only for draft picks that are high. 2012 draft is well rated. There are three 6’10" guys in the top 6 picks as of today. Obviously, a shot at this group will “cause a trade.” Will a team that needs one guy come along? LONGSHOT. Trading does not look good unless the next possibility comes into play.

Tanking

Tanking is good. The Celtics keep losing? Their draft order improves. Top six? That would be a hell of a tank. If Danny thought he could get top six by tanking, would he start the two Purdue guys and Steamer with Rondo and whomever? Of course he would. He is running a company worth 100’s of millions of dollars, he HAS to do what it takes. Would he trade Rondo? Duh!

“Oh gee! What a mistake to trade Perk?” Wrong, you don’t build a team around a guy who scores six points a game. Don’t ask Danny to do things because you have an attachment to a player. He doesn’t. This is about $ and nothing else.

Where are the best odds to make the Celtics a future contender?

The draft or trade Rondo to someone who is desperate enough to send TWO all stars in exchange?

The draft option sucks, but, what else does Danny have? Cap space? I completely disagree that cap space is going to yield what Ainge needs. He knows better than I do, but, PP looks good as a sixth guy and Rondo and Bradley are too short to play 4 and 5. I think cap space is below TANKING in Dannyland.

Danny will not trade any Celtics without the potential for significant draft improvement.

The point of all this blather is this:

Would Danny trade Ray and KG in order to help his team TANK in 2012 and improve his draft chances? Can the big three-less Celtics suck bad enough to beat the raptors et al to the bottom of the pile?

Yes he would. Every time the Celtics lose…do you think he cares? Danny Ainge PREFERS the Celtics to lose. If they do he can do a better of job of protecting the owner’s investment.

Will PP and KG improve this year and help them get into the playoffs? Yes they will….does Danny want this “make it into the playoffs” Scenario? No he does not.

The Thunder are coming to town. Danny needs a team that can beat the Thunder and the Heat. He certainly does not have that team now…and he will have to do whatever it takes to get one.

by tstorey1 on Jan 15, 2012 2:33 PM EST reply actions  

i agree keep the band together

great article from somebody that knows basketball logic look i know nobody wants to here this but danny killed this teams interior defense by trading perk for nothing because green is gone this year and might not be back next year cause he is a free agent. yes this team is old and most likley will not win the title but i do believe they are still a playoff team. we have expiring contracts with ray,s and KG,S after this season so if we trade them this year we are not going to get equal value no g.m. is gonna give us 1st round draft picks for those 2 old dogs so we ride it out if we make the playoffs or not let theses guys go out fighting one last time never question the heart of a champion these old dogs might still have some tricks up there sleeves the retooling starts next year

lohaus #54

by lohaus#54 on Jan 15, 2012 3:44 PM EST reply actions  

I agree you can’t ‘blow it up’ and get quality in return for the kg’s or ray allens. Your not going to get a monta ellis for ray or a Howard for kg.

BUT I do think teams like San Antonio who may be a shooter away from winning in the second round may be ok with giving up a 1st round pick for ray allen. So match the salary match an expiring contract and the 1st round pick for ray.. or the hawks could use a kg to add to there depth and lighten the blow of tossing horford. Don’t know if they have the salaries to make it work. I’m saying give up kg and ray to playoff teams wanting to keep up with the L.A Miami, Chicago for draft picks over the next to years. E

by jdunn123 on Jan 15, 2012 9:47 PM EST reply actions  

There is no reason to do anything now.

If you don’t think there is a plan then you don’t know the Celtics.This team only problem is J ONeal. Doc did not resign for money He could have stay home and watch Austin all year at Duke.then came back and had any job he wanted. He still lives in Olando. And also gave you a hint in the allstar game .DH 12 is coming .We already has a comfort zone with him and resign KG and Ray Allen along with bringing back Jeff Green makes this team a contender. Rondo And PaulPierce,Bass , Jeff Green if ready. and DH12.bench Ray is 6th man KG ,JJ,Moore, Greg S,Avery Bradley, M Pietres and Doolingyou heard it here first

by emilio745i on Jan 16, 2012 5:46 AM EST reply actions  

just thinking

DH12 never had a guard like Rondo who in the East is a better PG and Center combo and with Ray and Paul on the wings and Bass and Jeff Green or KG on the floor who gets to double DH12 .it would be a very easy MVP trophy for Howard on the way to his first ring

by emilio745i on Jan 16, 2012 5:58 AM EST reply actions  

Thanks for the calm, rational article, Jeff.

The ‘blow it up’ mania was getting crazy.

Sadly, this article will probably only marginally dampen that craziness. But it was well-written and hopefully will bring a little light into the darkness.

NBA Officiating - Corrupt? Incompetent? Which is worse? Does it matter? It sucks.

by mmmmm on Jan 16, 2012 9:36 AM EST reply actions  

Patience

We need a little patience now to let this play out a bit more. The C’s are clearly on the back side but teams in that situation are not always done. There could be a run if the pieces start to click. Not likely, but still possible. It is disturbing that this team does not seem tough-minded but we know the key guys are, or have been in the past. Right now the offense, the rebounding and the bench are all bad. You are not as good as you look when you are going good and not as bad as you look when you are going bad.

by DeeEl on Jan 16, 2012 10:39 AM EST reply actions  

Not convincing

BLOW IT UP PLEASE

If we are no longer a contender, let’s use those chips to get some REAL prospects and try building around Rondo and getting some inside presence.

KG’s only value is as an expiring chip, and Ray has a LOT of value. Let Pierce play out his career but he needs to take a paycut.

by rickyfan3.0... on Jan 16, 2012 1:22 PM EST reply actions  

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