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Ray Allen's Hot Start: A Brief Look at a Living Legend

Note: Please welcome our newest author - Josh Zavadil

Throughout the history of professional basketball there have been many legendary players. Some of them have aged like gods, and others have looked like Steve Nash looked like when he was 28. Rather, they have not aged very well. And then there's Ray Allen. "Old Man Ray" seems like a fitting folk name for Allen. He's not getting any younger. He's not getting any more hair on top of that head, but he is getting one thing -- buckets. Plenty of them.

Ray Allen came into this season just like any of his previous seasons in the league. He worked out like a maniac -- oftentimes sneaking into gyms during the lockout in order to workout and get shots up -- and entered training camp seemingly in normal "Ray Allen" shape. That is, pristine condition. Sure, he's 36. Sure, he'll be 37 this July 20th. However, that doesn't detract from the fact that Ray Allen is still entering each season like it's his time to become a star. Over the course of his lengthy career, Allen has only missed 143 total days due to injury. Occasionally, he will sit out of game because of sickness. Rarely does he serve lengthy injury time. If you wanted a perfect example for young players around the league as to how to treat your body, and to get it ready for the long haul, Ray Allen is that example.

Still, at 36 years old, Allen has not been able to do everything that he used to be able to do. For instance, in Milwaukee and Seattle he could still take the ball off of the dribble and create his own shot. Never has Ray Allen been the strongest player on the court, but he has always been available to create something out of nothing. Time and time again he has taken the ball off of a screen during his time in Boston, and the defense has closed out on him very well. The defense usually chases him off of his spot, and cause him to attempt to drive baseline. On numerous occasions he has tried to drive baseline, failed, and thrown up a crazy turnaround jumper. And he's hit it.

Star-divide

Despite the prolonged lockout, Allen has displayed superb fitness this season, and assisted the Celtics in ways no other player on their roster could have even thought of helping. He opened the season against the Knicks shooting 7-12 from the field, and 2-3 from behind the arc. Those three-point baskets were crucial in Boston's efforts to get back into the game. Against Miami, Ray shot 8-12 from the field, and 6-8 from three-point range. Yes, he hit six three-point field goals against Miami. For as many years as he's been in the league hitting jumper after jumper after jumper after jumper, you would think teams would learn to not allow him to get open. Ever. Apparently, teams don't have a solid grasp on that yet.

Against the Hornets, Allen shot 5-10 from the floor, and 4-8 from beyond the arc. Allen continued his torrid pace against the Pistons where he shot 5-9 from the field, and 2-5 from distance. The Wizards couldn't keep him from getting his points either. He shot 5-10 from the field and 2-5 from distance. During the next game against the Wizards Allen shot 9-16 from the field, and an insane 6-7 from three-point range. Finally, against the Pacers on 1/6/2012, he shot 7-11 from the field and 4-5 from distance. Overall, Allen is shooting 57.5% (46-80) from the floor. That's impressive in its own right, but his 63.5% (26-41) from three-point range is even more impressive. Then again, I guess that's why he's the NBA's greatest three-point shooter of all time.

When thinking about Ray Allen's accomplishments and production I came up with a (probably terrible) example to depict just what Ray Allen can do as he is aging. Think of Ray as that elderly man we all have known at least once during our lives. Despite getting older and slower, the elderly man still moves well and keeps a beautiful lawn and garden. His garden probably looks even better than it did when he was younger. He may not be young anymore, but he has found other ways to continue doing what he loves. It's evident, too, as people constantly compliment the elderly man on how beautiful his lawn and garden look. No one knows how he does it, but everyone respects his body of work and the product he puts out year in and year out.That elderly man is Ray Allen. Ray is slower, older, and not near as agile as he once was in the league. Still, he has found other ways to contribute and make his impact. No longer is he creating his own shots. Rather, he's coming off of screens (numerous screens most times), following up shots, and getting out in transition and hitting big shots. He's been doing all of those things well since he entered the NBA, but as he's aged he's had to utilize those skills much more. Now, even at 36, he's one of the most dangerous players on the league curling off of a screen on the baseline or around the elbow. And still, even at 36, teams just can't keep a body on him for an entire game.

Even though the season is still young, it would be wise to take a deeper look at just how well Ray Allen is shooting. Allen is ranked third in the entire NBA (in players who play 15+ minutes. Sorry, Ronny Turiaf.) in True Shooting Percentage (TS%). Ray's TS% is 77.1, and that's right behind Tyson Chandler at 77.3% and Manu Ginobili at 77.6%. The league average for TS% is 52.4%. Ray also leads the NBA in effective field goal percentage (eFG%) at 73.8% based on players who play 15 or more minutes per game. The league average for eFG% 48.3%. Yea, Ray is shooting pretty well.

Digging in a little deeper to his numbers reveals a whole lot more. Ray is averaging 1.34 points per play. According to Synergy Sports Technology, that's good enough for second in the entire NBA. Ray has been involved in 18 plays resulting in spot-up chances. He's shot the ball 16 times during those plays, and is 8-16 (6-13 from three-point range) from the floor. Allen is averaging 1.33 points per plays resulting in a spot-up attempt. The most often used play involving Allen has him coming off of screens (more times than not he's curling off a screen set for him on the baseline). He has been involved in 47 plays where he is coming off of the screen (that's 45.6% of plays involving Allen). Ray is averaging 1.34 points per play off of those chances -- and that's the best in the NBA. He is shooting 22-38 (57.9%) from the floor in plays where he is curling off of those screens, and 12-17 (70.6%) from beyond the arc. Those are absolutely crazy numbers. The other area where Allen has had a definite impact during this season has been in plays resulting in fast-breaks. In transition opportunities, Ray Allen is shooting 11-13 (84.6%) from the field, and 8-10 (80%) from three. That's an average of 1.7 points per play when Allen is involved in the Celtics' transition opportunities.

Ray has some deficiencies that he will never get rid of -- especially as he ages. His defense isn't what it used to be, but has never been known as an outright defensive monster. Then again, it's kind of hard to keep Dwyane Wade and other elite 2-guards that he is faced up against at bay for an entire game. Deficiencies aside, though, Ray Allen is shooting at a torrid pace. There's no viable explanation for why he is playing and shooting so well other than the fact that Ray Allen has taken pristine care of his body, and has worked extremely hard to put himself in the position that he is in today. He's 36, he's aging, but he can still contribute. He stated recently that he looking for a multi-year contract from Boston at the end of the year. It remains to be seen if Allen will be attainable at a decent price, but one would think that Danny Ainge and the other executive in the front office will be able to find a contract that will please Ray Allen and help the Celtics' cap at the same time. Allen said he wants to play until he is 40. Judging by the way he has taken care of his body thus far, I'd say that's a pretty viable goal.

As Allen's 2011-2012 campaign progresses it will interesting to see if he can keep up this crazy scoring output. Will he be able to continue shooting 57% from the floor for an entire year? That's unlikely. However, one thing we have always learned with Ray Allen is to never give up on him. Every great shooter goes through slumps. Ray may hit a funk at some point this season, but one thing is certain -- he will be ready for the big shot whenever he is called upon. For now, it's probably best to sit back, have some fun, and enjoy the performances Ray continues to put on, because after all, it's not everyday that a 36 year old is shooting like a player in the prime of his career.

Comment 15 comments  |  3 recs  | 

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Wish they gave him the ball more

Ray Allen should be taking no less than 15 shots per game.

-Sammyg

by Samg on Jan 9, 2012 6:57 AM EST reply actions   1 recs

+1

I’ve been thinking that for the last 3 years. He’s FGA have been slowly going down but he should be shooting 15 or more a game. It would be good for the team.

by AussieGreen on Jan 9, 2012 5:07 PM EST up reply actions  

Ray Allen is the greatest shooter in NBA history.

That is all I got out of that article.
:D
Just kidding. Very good write up.

The Miami Heat can beat ANYONE.

(Except two or more players on a team.)

by shamgreen on Jan 9, 2012 7:44 AM EST reply actions  

Contract Extension?

I hope Ray is a part of next year’s team. He is proving that he can still compete at a high level. I also read an article in the Herald where Ray is stating that he would like to re-sign with the Celtics. I hope we can re-sign him 2 yrs/ 8-10 million deal. He can start or even come off the bench!

by Danyck on Jan 9, 2012 9:35 AM EST via mobile reply actions  

Timeless Ray...

Ray Gun…owner of the 3 point ‘lay up’.

Welcome Josh!

Only thing I would say is Ray’s defense is better now than before he arrived in Beantown. Oft times under rated, though it his effort won’t always show up in the numbers., I would guess. How good it is this year particularly, I haven’t checked. The whole team went through that 3 game period to open things up.

Special player – on and off the court.

by Tom Halzack on Jan 9, 2012 9:37 AM EST reply actions  

It shows up in the team Defensive Rating

Ray may not be the best individual ‘man on man’ defender, but he has logged the most minutes over the last 4 years as a key part of a team that has consistently been among the very best team defenses in the NBA. In fact, most of these years it has clearly been THE best. So obviously, he must be doing something right.

I just don’t think think a team could consistently be among the very best defenses for so long if the guy who has played the most minutes on that team during that stretch was a sub-par defender.

NBA Officiating - Corrupt? Incompetent? Which is worse? Does it matter? It sucks.

by mmmmm on Jan 9, 2012 10:39 AM EST up reply actions  

Great article, Josh!

Well researched to provide perspective on just HOW awesome Ray’s shooting has been to start this young season.

NBA Officiating - Corrupt? Incompetent? Which is worse? Does it matter? It sucks.

by mmmmm on Jan 9, 2012 10:40 AM EST reply actions  

Rec'd

he’s the best

Waffles, Digimon, SETOGUCHI

STALOCK GET A ROBOT LEG OR SOMETHING AND COME BACK~WE NEED SOME LOCK STOCK STALOCK HERE!!

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by YeahTommyB4ZGermansGetThere on Jan 9, 2012 1:03 PM EST reply actions  

Welcome Josh!

Nice write up on Ray. He’s easily been the most consistent Celtics player this season. Second most consistent player behind Pierce since he’s been with the team.

by Jimmy Toscano on Jan 9, 2012 2:51 PM EST reply actions  

Nice piece on Ray Allen, who I've been following since his UConn days.

However, I didn’t understand the analogy you were trying to make about aging players. …. “there have been many legendary players. Some of them have aged like gods, and others have looked like Steve Nash looked like when he was 28. Rather, they have not aged very well.”
All the legendary players should only age as badly as him. Nash is another wunderkind ; at age 37, is still dishing them out with the elite and scoring at about a 50% clip, to boot, with a FT % at around the 90% mark.

Lygafe.

Lionel Gaffen / Fotomix.

Lygafe

Lionel Gaffen / Fotomix | International Hockey Forums > Europe > ISRAEL
Israel Recreational Hockey Association 2009-2010 & 2010-2011 [ Lygafe ] | Israel Ice Skating Federation - From the Media [ Lionel Gaffen ]

by lygafe on Jan 9, 2012 4:04 PM EST reply actions  

thanks!!

Allow me to clarify: I was meaning to describe his physical aging. Nash has looked a good bit older than other players from his class and era for a while now. Physically, he is aging quick in terms of appearance. Production wise, though, he is insane. Love that he is still a top 10 PG at his age. Hope that clears some of it up!

I try my best to know what I am talking about. Follow me on Twitter - @JoshZavadil

by JoshZavadil on Jan 9, 2012 4:26 PM EST via iPhone app up reply actions  

That's because of his hair-do. LOL. Thanks for the clarification.

Lygafe

Lionel Gaffen / Fotomix | International Hockey Forums > Europe > ISRAEL
Israel Recreational Hockey Association 2009-2010 & 2010-2011 [ Lygafe ] | Israel Ice Skating Federation - From the Media [ Lionel Gaffen ]

by lygafe on Jan 9, 2012 4:36 PM EST up reply actions  

yeah, that confused me too

but I let it go because I thought I was just missing something ;)

Faith and Sports - an essay by Jeff Clark

by Jeff Clark on Jan 9, 2012 8:23 PM EST up reply actions  

Reggie Miller was a solid player when he was 40

And I seem to remember the C’s wanting to get him out of retirement at some point. We should definitely keep Ray around as long as he wants to keep playing. He’s always in great shape and he’s a great guy. Plus that shooting touch is something that doesn’t get worse with age.

by Aluminum Penguin on Jan 9, 2012 5:23 PM EST reply actions  

Yup.

They tried to get him prior to the 07-08 season I believe. Even though he didn’t come back, you see the kind of longevity some guards are capable of. Add to that Ray’s inhuman conditioning and we could be seeing at least a few more years of Ray. Which can only be described as excellent!

"Can't eat sushi in Utah, brother. Landlocked."

by IsItTheShoes on Jan 9, 2012 7:56 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

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