I'm not really an advanced stats person, but I've heard from a few people that they believe Rondo makes this team worse. I decided to dig a bit and see what evidence I could find of the stats backing up that claim. Unsurprisingly, the evidence I did find only explains our current shooting drought in the playoff and why Rondo is important to our team now more than ever.
If this series has proved anything so far, it's that Rondo is not overrated, but underrated. Yes, he absolutely does take games off in the regular season, and yes his defense was atrocious. But there's no doubt our Playoff success these past 4-5 years can be attributed in large part to Rondo.
First, let's look at his playoff stats. (Sidescroll to see the full statline)
Rondo has been a consistent playoff performer. That should come as no surprise. Here's the surprise for all off you who thinks Rondo stops the offense. Here's his +/- data from last year's playoffs.
|On − Off||BOS||83%||+.048||+2.5||+2.5||+0.4||+3.1||+0.0||-6.1||-2.6||+9.9||+.068||-2.5||-2.5||-0.4||+9.2||+0.8||+0.7||+0.2||+8.5||-.020||+5.1||+5.1||+0.8||+3.0||+0.0||-6.1||-2.7||+1.4|
Check out the Assist Percentage, eFG, and Offensive Rating. We were almost 10+ ORTG with him on the court than without him. We also assisted at a higher rate with him on the court. Those a reason we succeeded as much as we did last year in the playoffs. Rondo ran our offense, and ran it efficiently. He broke down defenses like no other PG in the league. Now check out how Ray Allen and PP did during the playoffs. First regular stats, and then advanced.
It's especially shocking to see how we got so far with Ray and PP's shooting percentage. Rondo has a higher ORTG than both of them. Also keep in mind our offense during the regular season was even WORSE than this regular season. If you recall, we dealt with a lot of the same problems at the beginning of last season as we did at the beginning of this season. Our defense and offense picked up after the all-star break, which is around the time Rondo got hurt.
I could dig a lot deeper into these stats, but I think you get my point. For all the criticism Rondo gets during the regular season (and he does deserve some of it), he is the one who runs our offense, and does a good job of it in the playoffs. We're struggling to score because we're missing Rondo. Pierce can't get his sweet spots, and KG can't get enough wide open pick-and-pops.
When the playoffs come, it's a different game. It slows down, and execution is key. And right now, we can't execute. Unfortunately we're in for a very rough series without him.
For some extended analysis (although I don't agree with all of it) along with video evidence, check out this link http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1615429-the-rajon-rondo-effect-how-star-point-guards-absence-is-killing-boston-celtics