An interesting question was brought up in the Globe's summer mailbag article today.
Who do you think will lead the Celtics in PPG this season and around how many points do you think he'll average per game? Matt, Brookline
This is a two-man race between Green and Rondo. If it were total points I'd go with Green, as he should play more minutes right from the start of the season. In an upset, I'll give the edge to Rondo. Teams will key in on Green all season, and everyone expects Rondo to pass. I'll peg Rondo for an average of 19.5 points per game, with Green just slightly under that.
I think I like that answer a lot by Gary Dzen. Bradley isn't much of an offensive threat in the half court setting. Wallace has struggled with his shot. Sullinger will score, but I'm not sure he's a go-to guy. We need to give Olynyk time to grow and work on his defense. If you figure out who our center is, let me know and I'll figure out if he can score or not.
I think it really boils down to Jeff Green or Rajon Rondo. And I agree that Rondo will be forced to call his own number quite a bit. Sure he's a pass first guy, but he has long been surrounded by Hall of Famers that (in theory) should be taking a lot of shots. When he's needed to, he's picked up his scoring here and there. This new roster might require him to do it a lot more often.
Throw in the fact that he's a really counter-intuitive type of person, and I could see him putting up 20 ppg and less than 10 assists a game if only because he's never done something like that consistently before.
None of this is a slight on Jeff Green who should and hopefully will keep up his scoring outputs from late last year. I just think that Rondo is our best player and he's going to need to assert himself in ways he might not have in the past.
What say you?