Admittedly, MarShon Brooks is a bit of an enigma to me. Having not seen him play that many minutes has him as a wild card in my mind. Our acquisition of him has be excited however, as he's been touted to have decent potential going forward. It'll be interesting to see how Brooks develops going forward, but enough of this, lets get to the Brooks comparison.
NBA Comparison: O. J. Mayo
Now, this may be a long shot, but statistics seem to say differently. I know a lot of people aren't very high on Mayo, he's often referred to as a "shot jacker" and that reputation is probably well deserved. However, OJ just signed a three year deal with the Bucks for 24 million dollars, so he must be doing something right. In reality, OJ is a streak shooter, capable of hitting shots from all of the court. He's an below average/average defender, and a decent ball handler, who can also facilitate the ball. So let's look at how the two players stack up.
Firstly, the physical attributes of both players is nearly identical. Brooks is one inch taller, and ten pounds lighter than OJ's 6'4" 210lb. frame. Now let's look at the stats.
Here's the per 36 for OJ:
Per 36 Minutes
And now the per 36 for MarShon:
Per 36 Minutes
Now what exactly do these numbers tell us?
- Currently, MarShon is the better shot, but let's give OJ the benefit of the doubt, he's played five seasons to MarShons' two. I'd call it a wash, but as streak shooters, both will undoubtedly have stretches of poor shooting; but what makes that ok is those stretches when they can't be stopped.
- Both take 13-14 shots per game in 36 minutes. This is actually a good thing for the Celtics in my opinion. This coming season is going to be a work in progress on both sides of the ball. We're going to need some players who aren't afraid to take a shot, MarShon fills this role quite well.
- Brooks' FT is a little low, hopefully with time we'll see that improve.
- For a SG, MarShon rebounds reasonably well. This is also good for this young Celtics team, who is wanting for solid rebounders.
- OJ averages more ppg than MarShon does, but I'd attribute that to his ability to hit the three-ball with more consistency than Brooks. As MarShon continues to improve his game, I'd say that the three pointer, especially the coveted corner three is where MarShon could stand to do a bit better.
Now that we've seen the per 36 similarities between the two players, lets look at the advanced stat similarities:
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So what's all this mean? Let's take a look:
- Notice Brooks' TS% is quite a bit lower than OJ's. The reasons are twofold: 1) His inconsistent three-ball and 2) His FT is lacking in comparison to OJ's, both areas in which MarShon looks to improve in.
- Notice the USG% for both players. Again, both guys are capable of taking shots, this could be a real boon for the Celtics in the future.
- The AST% for both players is a little low, but I don't see this as a big problem going forward. Rondo carries an AST% of 40.9 over his career (49 last year.) I don't see assists as being a problem for the Celtics as long as we have Rajon.
- The Win Shares are a little unfair to MarShon, as he's played role player minutes most of is career to date. If he can get court time, expect those numbers to go up.
Now let's take a look at the shot selection of both players from last season:
|Shot Distance||At Rim||72||104||.692||0||0||.692||29||.403|
|16 ft to||13||41||.317||0||0||.317||4||.308|
|Shot Distance||At Rim||115||196||.587||0||0||.587||48||.417|
|16 ft to||104||252||.413||0||0||.413||46||.442|
So what do these numbers tell us:
- Well let's get this right out of the way, the three pointers is a huge difference between the two players.... I know. If there's a hole in this entire comparison, it is the deep ball numbers. OJ tossed up an incredible 349 threes last season, and that's most likely way more than MarShon will ever shoot I know. It's important to keep a few things in mind however: OJ was carrying an ailing Mav's team, and was pretty much the only scoring option, so he was allowed to jack up just about anything. Also, MarShon did toss up 150 threes in the season before last, so it's not so far a stretch to think he could focus more on that part of his game.
- One positive from these tables is the variety in how both players scored. Their not just three-point specialist, and their not just slashers, their capable of doing a little bit of everything. These abilities allow their coaches to utilize them in multiple ways.
- Piggybacking off of my last point, Brooks needs to round out his game from 10 feet out. Those numbers are just not satisfying, especially when you consider what Mayo is capable of. Even the year before last, there is a noticeable drop in his numbers from that point on. As he develops, I expect this will be a big point of necessary improvement for him.
Finally I'll add, this comparison is not a hand in glove fit, but I believe with a lot of practice (practice?) and hard work, Brooks could potentially develop into a player similar to Mayo. What do you think? I look forward to your comments.
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