clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Can the Celtics maintain a 3-2 record every five games?

New, comments

Let's think of the Celtics' schedule as a baseball season.

David Butler II-USA TODAY Sports

We can comb through the just released schedule for back-to-backs, homecomings for former Celtics, and nationally televised games, but let's break it down into wins and losses.  It's a fool's errand to predict every outcome, but let's break it down into manageable five-game series like a major league manager might do in baseball.  Win every series and you've got a chance heading into the playoffs.

If a team won 3 out of every 5 games in the NBA, they'd be looking at a near 50-win year and probably a high seed in the Eastern Conference.  I'm sure Brad Stevens wants his team to take each game at a time, but I've broken down the schedule into roughly five-game chunks and made some predictions:

Philadelphia, Toronto, San Antonio, @Indiana, Washington 3-2: win the opener and split the four games vs. playoff teams.
@Milwaukee, Indiana, Atlanta, @Oklahoma City, @ Houston 2-3: win the home games or steal one on the road
Dallas, Brooklyn, @Brooklyn, @Atlanta, Philadelphia 4-1: bury the Nets
Washington, @Orlando, @Miami, @Sacramento, @San Antonio, @ New Orleans 3-3: no back-to-backs in this stretch and the Celtics were surprisingly good on the road last year plus MEXICO CITY!
Chicago, Golden State, @Charlotte, Cleveland, @Detroit 2-3: two B2B's that both finish on the road in December
Atlanta, Minnesota, @Charlotte, @Detroit, New York 4-1: a 5-game win streak would be nice, but one loss ain't bad
LAL, Brooklyn, @Brooklyn, Detroit 3-1: another candidate for a win streak, but I see another loss
@Chicago, @Memphis, @New York, Indiana 1-3: a 3-games-in-4-nights land mine
Phoenix, @Washington, @Dallas, @Toronto, Chicago, @Philadelphia, @Washington 4-3: two travelling B2B's could prove costly, but not too bad
Denver, Orlando, @Orlando, @New York, Detroit 4-1: split the home-and-home with the Magic
@Cleveland, Sacramento, @Milwaukee, LAC (ALL STAR WEEK) 1-3: road block before the break, but 31-24 keeps them on track with win-3-out-of-5-game pace
@Utah, @Denver, @Minnesota 2-1: all close games
Milwaukee, Miami, Utah, Portland, New York, @Cleveland 4-2: this is the most important 10-day stretch on the schedule
Memphis, Houston, @Indiana, Oklahoma City 2-2: four days off between Rockets and Pacers will help
@Toronto, @Philadelphia, Orlando, Toronto 2-2: another 3-games-in-4-nights
@Phoenix, @LAC, @Portland, @Golden State, @LAL 2-3: just survive
New Orleans, Milwaukee, @Atlanta, Charlotte, Miami 3-2: 46-36 should be enough for a 6 or 7 seed in the East

It's not a huge improvement from last year's 40 wins, but gone are the days of those multiple game losing streaks and sub .500 records.