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Update Thursday 12:00 AM: The Nets loss clinches the 3rd seed in the lottery for the Celtics. The Mavs loss and the Grizzlies' currently losing by 20+ to the Warriors will lead to a coin flip for the 16th pick.
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It's the final day of the regular season, folks. Here is a look at the draft pick seeding scenarios for the Brooklyn Nets and Dallas Mavericks picks. If you'd like to learn more about players the Celtics could select, please order my 2016 NBA Draft Guide, and keep tabs on CelticsBlog for more prospect profiles.
Nets pick (unprotected, currently 3rd-best odds)
Brooklyn is one game ahead of the Suns (4th spot). The Nets host the Raptors (8 PM) and the Suns host the Clippers (10:30 PM).
The Nets pick will have the 3rd-best lottery odds if...
- Nets lose AND Suns lose.
- Nets lose AND Suns win.
- Nets win AND Suns win.
- If this happens, the pick will have a 15.6% chance of being No. 1 and a 46.9% chance of landing in the Top 3.
The Nets pick will tie for the 3rd-best lottery odds if...
- Nets win AND Suns lose.
- If this happens, the pick will have a ~13.8% chance of being No. 1 and ~42.4% of being Top 3.
Mavs pick (Top-7 protected, currently 16th or 17th)
The Mavs are the 7th seed, and they have secured a playoff spot. The Mavs pick can fall anywhere from 16th to 19th, including ties. Here are the important games today with implications on the Mavs pick: Mavs vs. Spurs (8 PM), Pistons at Cavs (8 PM), Grizzlies at Warriors (10:30 PM), and Blazers vs. Nuggets (10:30 PM)
The Mavs pick will be 16th if...
- Mavs lose AND Grizzlies win.
The Mavs pick will be 17th if...
- Mavs win AND Grizzlies lose AND Blazers win AND Pistons win.
The Mavs pick will tie for 16th and 17th if...
- Mavs lose AND Grizzlies lose.
- OR Mavs win AND Grizzlies win AND Blazers win AND Pistons win.
The Mavs pick will tie for 16th and 17th and 18th if...
- Mavs win AND Grizzlies win AND Blazers win AND Pistons lose.
- OR Mavs win AND Grizzlies win AND Blazers lose AND the Pistons win.
The Mavs pick will tie for 16th and 17th and 18th and 19th if...
- Mavs win AND Grizzlies win AND Blazers lose AND Pistons lose.
The Mavs pick will tie for 17th and 18th if...
- Mavs win AND Grizzlies lose AND Blazers win AND Pistons lose.
- OR Mavs win AND Grizzlies lose AND Blazers lose AND the Pistons win.
The Mavs pick will tie for 17th and 18th and 19th if...
- Mavs win AND Grizzlies lose AND Blazers lose AND Pistons lose.
The NBA Draft Lottery will be on May 17. The NBA Draft is on June 23. Go to www.tankathon.com to simulate the lottery.
Follow me on Facebook and Twitter @KevinOConnorNBA. My 2016 NBA Draft Guide can be ordered below. You'll receive emails with updated versions of the guide over the next few months leading up to the NBA Draft on June 23.