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NBA Draft Lottery: How to watch where the Boston Celtics land

Courtesy of the Nets, Boston will have a top 4 pick in the 2017 NBA Draft

2016 Continental Tire Las Vegas Invitational - Vanderbilt v Butler Photo by Ethan Miller/Getty Images

The NBA Draft Lottery is tonight. After months of speculation and hand-wringing around the fate of #NetsPick, we’ll know once and for all where the next to last pick in the bounty from the Pierce/Garnett trade will fall.

How to watch the proceedings:

ESPN or the Watch ESPN App - 8:30 PM EST.

What to expect:

The show will begin by introducing the representatives from each team. Wyc Grousbeck, the Celtics Managing Partner and Governor, will represent Boston for the proceedings.

From there, ESPN will explain the process and the odds. We’ll see some clips of the top prospects and then the good stuff will start. Given they have to fill 30 minutes, you can expect to see the results of where Boston will pick somewhere in the 8:45 PM to 8:50 PM range. If we see three teams slotted between 4 and 14 not listed, that is bad news for the Celtics, as that means they’ll be picking 4th. If they make it to the commercial, and we haven’t seen Boston’s card, that means they are in the top 3. Following the unveiling, they’ll interview the representatives from the team in the top spot.

Given the copious amounts of conspiracy theories related to the Draft Lottery, below is a video from the 2014 drawing. The drawing is held in a closed room, where all participants and witnesses have to give up all communication devices and are held there until the results are revealed live on the ESPN broadcast.

Odds:

The NBA will draw a combination of ping pong balls, which are then matched to pre-determined combinations assigned to teams, to reveal which teams will have picks 1-3 in the 2017 NBA Draft. The remainder of the picks are then assigned in reverse order of records.

The order, with their percent chance at the #1 overall pick, pre-Lottery is:

14. Miami Heat - 0.5%

13. Denver Nuggets - 0.6%

12. Detroit Pistons - 0.7%

11. Charlotte Hornets - 0.8%

10. New Orleans Pelicans - 1.1% (pick conveyed to Sacramento if not 1-3)

9. Dallas Mavericks - 1.7%

8. Sacramento Kings - 2.8% (pick conveyed to Chicago if not 1-10, Philadelphia can also swap if Kings have a more favorable pick)

7. New York Knicks - 5.3%

6. Minnesota Timberwolves - 5.3%

5. Orlando Magic - 8.8%

4. Philadelphia 76ers - 11.9%

3. Los Angeles Lakers - 15.6% (pick conveyed to Philadelphia if not 1-3)

2. Phoenix Suns - 19.9%

1. Boston Celtics (via Brooklyn Nets) - 25.0%

Celtics specific odds:

Boston has the top odds at the 1st overall pick and can fall no lower than 4th. Their odds for each of the top 4 picks are:

1st pick - 25.0%

2nd pick - 21.5%

3rd pick - 17.8%

4th pick - 35.7%

What to watch for:

Beyond just where the Celtics pick lands, there are some other items worth watching for.

  • Do the Lakers get a pick in the top 3?

If the Lakers pick drops to 4 or lower, they will have to convey that pick to Philadelphia to complete the Steve Nash trade (via Phoenix) from 2012. In addition, LA would have to give their 2019 first round pick to Orlando to complete the Dwight Howard trade from 2012. If the Lakers pick is 1-3 and they keep it in 2017, they owe a 2018 first round pick to Philadelphia, and 2017 and 2018 second round picks to Orlando. There is a lot on the line for the Celtics rivals tonight.

  • Do the Pelicans get a pick in the top 3?

If the Pelicans land in the top 3, they keep their pick and it becomes top 1 protected through 2020 with Sacramento. If not, the pick conveys to the Kings to complete the DeMarcus Cousins trade from 2017.

  • Do the Kings keep their pick?

Sacramento has two more odd situations, beyond settling with New Orleans. First, is that if their pick stays in the top 10, they keep it and instead give Chicago their 2017 second round pick. That would complete the Omri Casspi trade with Cleveland from way back in 2011. That pick was then dealt to Chicago from Cleveland in 2014. It would end a remarkable six year run that Sacramento has been in the top 10 of the NBA Draft.

The second situation is that the Kings, by virtue of a salary dump trade with Philadelphia in 2015, could see the 76ers swap for their pick if the Kings pick is more favorable. Thus, Sacramento fans do not want to see the Kings win the lottery, as they will hand that pick over to Philadelphia in a swap.

With so much intrigue all over the board, it should be a fun night no matter what the end results are. The 2017 NBA Draft is considered stocked with talent, so no matter where the Celtics land they will have a shot at a big time prospect.

And the best part? We get to play this game all over again, one more time, in 2018, when the Celtics will collect the last of the outstanding debits from the Nets. Pretty sweet spot for a team that finds themselves in the Eastern Conference Finals.

Boston Celtics Lottery History:

2016 - Jaylen Brown - 3rd

2014 - Marcus Smart - 6th

2007 - Jeff Green - 5th (traded for Ray Allen)

2006 - Randy Foye - 7th (traded for Sebastian Telfair and Theo Ratliff)

2001 - Joe Johnson - 10th, Kedrick Brown - 11th

2000 - Jerome Moiso - 11th

1998 - Paul Pierce - 10th

1997 - Chauncy Billups - 3rd, Ron Mercer - 6th

1996 - Antonie Walker - 6th

1994 - Eric Montross - 9th

1986 - Len Bias - 2nd

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