This is the 11th re-draft in a 14-part series of re-drafts, looking at every NBA draft from 2004 to 2017.
So far, this hasn't been opinion or one controversial statistic. This is a re-draft has been based on a formula that includes VORP (value over replacement player), BPM (box plus/minus), WS (win shares), PPG (points per game), contribution (minutes), and shooting percentage (field goal and 3-point).
For these last four re-drafts, the data still helps to determine the re-draft order; however, potential is still taken into consideration. Then the players are placed into categories based on that potential: star potential, starter potential, to be determined, bench. This is the likely category the player will end up within, with four or less seasons, there is still so much unknown. For example, Oladipo was evaluated much differently before and after his fifth season. A lot can still change for these players.
The format is as follows: Re-Draft Position #. Player – Original Draft Position # and Team – Statistics. Also, a team who acquired a player’s rights in a draft day trade is considered the drafting team in our analysis.
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NBA Re-draft ~ 2014
Nik Staukas is another former top 10 pick now in Brooklyn
Bench Guys
30. P.J. Hairston - #26 Chicago
29. K.J. McDaniels - #32 Philadelphia
28. Noah Vonleh - #9 Charlotte
27. Nik Stauskas - #8 Sacramento
26. Glenn Robinson III - #40 Minnesota
25. Shabazz Napier - #24 Miami
24. Doug McDermott - #11 Chicago
23. Jerami Grant - #39 Philadelphia
22. Joe Harris - #33 Cleveland
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Exum, the #5 pick, has been limited by injuries early in his career
To Be Determined
21. Dante Exum - #5 Utah
20. Dwight Powell - #45 Charlotte
19. Spencer Dinwiddie - #38 Detroit
18. Jordan Clarkson - #46 L.A. Lakers
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Can Wiggins, the #1 pick, have an Oladipo type of 5th season?
Starter Potential
17. Kyle Anderson - #30 San Antonio – Top 10 in WS, BPM, VORP
16. Bogdan Bogdanovic - #27 Phoenix – Top 15 in FG%, 3PT%, PPG, BPM
15. T.J. Warren - #14 Phoenix – Top 10 in FG%, PPG, WS
14. Jusurf Nurkic - #16 Denver – Top 15 in FG%, BPM, VORP
13. Rodney Hood - #23 Utah – Top 10 in 3PT%, PPG, WS, VORP
12. Elfrid Payton - #10 Orlando – Top 10 in WS, BPM, VORP
11. Julius Randle - #7 L.A. Lakers – Top 15 in FG%, PPG, WS
10. Marcus Smart - #6 Boston – Top 10 in WS, BPM, VORP
9. Zach Lavine - #13 Minnesota - # 6 in PPG, #5 in 3PT%
8. Dario Saric - #12 Philadelphia - #7 in PPG
7. Jabari Parker - #2 Milwaukee - #3 in PPG
6. Andrew Wiggins - #1 Cleveland - #2 in PPG
5. Clint Capela - #25 Houston – Top 10 in FG%, WS, BPM, VORP
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Philly has been rewarded for taking a chance on Embiid, who when healthy is a dominant superstar
Star Potential
4. Aaron Gordon - #4 Orlando – Top 10 in WS, BPM, VORP
3. Gary Harris - #19 Denver – Top 8 in 3PT%, WS, BPM, VORP
2. Nikola Jokic - #41 Denver - #1 in WS, BPM, VORP, #3 in FG%
1. Joel Embiid - #3 Philadelphia - #1 in PPG, #2 in BPM, #9 in FG%, VORP
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Winners
Philadelphia - Embiid is a franchise changing superstar
Denver - drafted Jokic at #41 and Harris at #19
Houston - drafted Capela at #25
Losers
Utah - drafted Dante Exum at #5, he drops 16 spots to #21
Charlotte - drafted Noah Vonleh at #9, he drops 19 spots to #28
Chicago - drafted Doug McDermott at #11, he drops 13 spots to #24
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I expect a lot of disagreement over the rankings, categories, etc. Let me know where you disagree and agree. Who do you think will be better in the future? Who is in your top 5?